Realized P&L (30d)
+$3.86K
Unrealized P&L
+$1.59K
Hit rate
74.1%
Resolved (30d)
10,786
Trades (30d)
48,407
231,143 lifetime
Volume (30d)
$482.5K
$2.18M lifetime
Avg / trade
$9
Open exposure
$29.7K
30 positions
First seen
2026-05-15
last 11-14 05:59
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 183 days
Categories
Other
85% 60% +$20,544
Politics
10% 67% +$827
Sports
3% 65% +$224
Tech
1% 68% +$851
Crypto
1% 59% -$403
Pop-Culture
0% 83% -$25
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
85 active days in 12wk • peak 2951 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will Puma Shen win the next Taipei Mayor election? No +5,190 $3,545 66¢ $3.4K -$127 11-10 03:29
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the December 2026 meeting? No +2,616 $2,608 100¢ $2.6K +$1 11-13 18:14
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the December 2026 meeting? No +2,036 $1,984 92¢ $1.9K -$108 11-13 18:14
Will Chiang Wan-an win the next Taipei Mayor election? No +5,177 $1,517 34¢ $1.8K +$269 11-08 15:40
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the December 2026 meeting? No +1,764 $1,747 100¢ $1.8K +$10 11-13 18:12
Will Dan Sullivan win the Alaska Senate race in 2026? No +1,507 $1,088 100¢ $1.5K +$417 11-03 22:02
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the December 2026 meeting? No +1,520 $1,140 97¢ $1.5K +$330 11-13 18:12
Will Labour Party win the most seats in the New Zealand House of Representatives in the 2026 New Zealand legislative election? No +1,278 $1,130 99¢ $1.3K +$141 11-11 21:50
Will OpenAI have the highest IPO Market Cap 2026? No +968 $962 100¢ $967 +$5 11-06 13:34
Will Anthropic have the highest IPO Market Cap 2026? No +1,026 $852 94¢ $964 +$111 11-11 14:06
Will Ebba Busch be the next Prime Minister of Sweden? No +939 $936 99¢ $934 -$2 11-06 14:57
Will PSOE win the most seats in the 2026 Spanish general election? No +1,126 $930 82¢ $918 -$12 11-13 16:38
Will SpaceX be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31? No +818 $817 100¢ $816 -$1 11-12 15:28
Will Doncaster Rovers FC win on 2026-11-14? No +731 $721 100¢ $728 +$7 11-13 13:50
Will Alphabet be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31? No +692 $678 99¢ $684 +$6 11-11 14:44
Will Meta have the best AI model at the end of November 2026? No +662 $658 100¢ $659 +$1 11-13 14:19
Will Microsoft be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31? No +657 $652 99¢ $652 $0 11-11 22:40
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31? No +697 $320 92¢ $637 +$317 11-12 15:28
Will Mansfield Town FC win on 2026-11-14? No +602 $596 100¢ $599 +$4 11-11 21:43
Will Vox win the most seats in the 2026 Spanish general election? No +539 $538 99¢ $535 -$3 11-13 09:48
Will Trump meet with Vladimir Putin in 2026? Yes +554 $261 96¢ $533 +$271 08-31 22:19
Will the Democratic Party win the CA-23 House seat? No +532 $449 99¢ $528 +$79 11-12 01:31
Will the Republican Party win the NC-05 House seat? No +526 $483 100¢ $524 +$41 11-11 14:14
Will Ulf Kristersson be the next Prime Minister of Sweden? No +1,088 $865 46¢ $505 -$360 09-22 10:54
Will CU Técnica de Cajamarca win on 2026-11-13? No +502 $498 99¢ $497 -$1 11-13 08:53
Will Leyton Orient FC win on 2026-11-14? No +492 $488 100¢ $490 +$2 11-13 18:00
Will Alibaba have the best AI model at the end of November 2026? No +479 $478 100¢ $478 +$0 11-13 14:36
Will Magdalena Andersson be the next Prime Minister of Sweden? No +851 $189 54¢ $460 +$271 09-28 14:24
Will a team from LPL (China) win LoL Worlds 2026? No +716 $531 62¢ $447 -$83 11-09 01:48
Will Huddersfield Town AFC win on 2026-11-14? No +442 $437 99¢ $439 +$2 11-14 00:48