Realized P&L (30d)
+$3.79K
Unrealized P&L
+$1.40K
Hit rate
74.1%
Resolved (30d)
10,795
Trades (30d)
48,338
231,433 lifetime
Volume (30d)
$481.3K
$2.19M lifetime
Avg / trade
$9
Open exposure
$29.9K
30 positions
First seen
2026-05-15
last 11-14 13:58
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 183 days
Categories
Other
85% 60% +$20,508
Politics
10% 67% +$828
Sports
3% 65% +$224
Tech
1% 68% +$851
Crypto
1% 59% -$403
Pop-Culture
0% 83% -$25
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
85 active days in 12wk • peak 2951 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will Puma Shen win the next Taipei Mayor election? No +5,190 $3,545 65¢ $3.4K -$168 11-10 03:29
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the December 2026 meeting? No +2,817 $2,808 100¢ $2.8K +$1 11-14 10:03
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the December 2026 meeting? No +1,865 $1,847 100¢ $1.9K +$11 11-14 10:03
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the December 2026 meeting? No +2,049 $1,996 91¢ $1.9K -$138 11-14 10:02
Will Chiang Wan-an win the next Taipei Mayor election? No +5,177 $1,517 34¢ $1.8K +$269 11-08 15:40
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the December 2026 meeting? No +1,580 $1,198 96¢ $1.5K +$323 11-14 10:03
Will Dan Sullivan win the Alaska Senate race in 2026? No +1,507 $1,088 100¢ $1.5K +$417 11-03 22:02
Will Labour Party win the most seats in the New Zealand House of Representatives in the 2026 New Zealand legislative election? No +1,278 $1,130 99¢ $1.3K +$141 11-11 21:50
Will OpenAI have the highest IPO Market Cap 2026? No +968 $962 100¢ $967 +$5 11-06 13:34
Will Anthropic have the highest IPO Market Cap 2026? No +1,026 $852 94¢ $960 +$108 11-11 14:06
Will Ebba Busch be the next Prime Minister of Sweden? No +939 $936 99¢ $934 -$2 11-06 14:57
Will PSOE win the most seats in the 2026 Spanish general election? No +1,126 $930 82¢ $918 -$12 11-13 16:38
Will SpaceX be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31? No +818 $817 100¢ $816 -$1 11-12 15:28
Will Doncaster Rovers FC win on 2026-11-14? No +731 $721 96¢ $701 -$20 11-13 13:50
Will Alphabet be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31? No +692 $678 99¢ $684 +$6 11-11 14:44
Will Meta have the best AI model at the end of November 2026? No +662 $658 100¢ $659 +$1 11-13 14:19
Will Microsoft be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31? No +657 $652 99¢ $652 $0 11-11 22:40
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31? No +697 $320 92¢ $641 +$321 11-12 15:28
Will Vox win the most seats in the 2026 Spanish general election? No +539 $538 100¢ $537 $0 11-13 09:48
Will Ulf Kristersson be the next Prime Minister of Sweden? No +1,088 $865 49¢ $535 -$330 09-22 10:54
Will Trump meet with Vladimir Putin in 2026? Yes +554 $261 96¢ $534 +$272 08-31 22:19
Will the Democratic Party win the CA-23 House seat? No +532 $449 99¢ $528 +$79 11-12 01:31
Will the Republican Party win the NC-05 House seat? No +526 $483 100¢ $524 +$41 11-11 14:14
Will Mansfield Town FC win on 2026-11-14? No +602 $596 86¢ $519 -$77 11-11 21:43
Will CU Técnica de Cajamarca win on 2026-11-13? No +502 $498 99¢ $497 -$1 11-13 08:53
Will Alibaba have the best AI model at the end of November 2026? No +479 $478 100¢ $478 +$0 11-13 14:36
Will Leyton Orient FC win on 2026-11-14? No +492 $488 97¢ $477 -$11 11-13 18:00
Will a team from LPL (China) win LoL Worlds 2026? No +716 $531 62¢ $447 -$83 11-09 01:48
Will Huddersfield Town AFC win on 2026-11-14? No +447 $442 100¢ $445 +$2 11-14 10:02
Will Magdalena Andersson be the next Prime Minister of Sweden? No +851 $189 52¢ $438 +$250 09-28 14:24