Realized P&L (7d)
+$3.98K
Unrealized P&L
+$2.60K
Hit rate
75.5%
Resolved (7d)
3,087
Trades (7d)
12,529
222,984 lifetime
Volume (7d)
$134.6K
$2.11M lifetime
Avg / trade
$9
Open exposure
$32.3K
30 positions
First seen
2026-05-15
last 11-06 09:58
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 175 days
Categories
Other
85% 60% +$20,744
Politics
10% 67% +$1,023
Sports
3% 65% +$200
Tech
1% 67% +$836
Crypto
1% 59% -$439
Pop-Culture
0% 83% -$25
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
85 active days in 12wk • peak 2951 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will Puma Shen win the next Taipei Mayor election? No +4,756 $3,251 71¢ $3.4K +$119 11-06 10:12
Will Benjamin Netanyahu receive the first mandate to form a government after the 2026 Israeli election? No +2,076 $1,655 98¢ $2.0K +$388 11-05 18:57
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the December 2026 meeting? No +1,838 $1,832 100¢ $1.8K -$2 11-06 09:37
Will Al Qadisiyah Saudi Club win on 2026-11-05? No +1,536 $1,255 99¢ $1.5K +$271 11-05 13:34
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the December 2026 meeting? No +1,533 $1,502 99¢ $1.5K +$23 11-06 06:13
Will Dan Sullivan win the Alaska Senate race in 2026? No +1,507 $1,088 98¢ $1.5K +$382 11-03 22:02
Will Chiang Wan-an win the next Taipei Mayor election? No +5,062 $1,481 29¢ $1.4K -$39 11-06 10:13
Will Al Khaleej Saudi Club win on 2026-11-05? No +1,408 $1,334 99¢ $1.4K +$67 11-05 12:03
Will Al Hazem SC win on 2026-11-06? No +1,374 $1,363 100¢ $1.4K +$5 11-06 09:11
Will Al Nassr Saudi Club win on 2026-11-06? No +1,321 $1,174 99¢ $1.3K +$137 11-06 09:24
Will Al Fayha Saudi Club win on 2026-11-05? No +1,220 $1,205 100¢ $1.2K +$10 11-05 15:56
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the December 2026 meeting? No +1,211 $1,196 99¢ $1.2K +$6 11-06 04:20
Will Al Shabab Saudi Club win on 2026-11-05? No +1,003 $923 99¢ $997 +$74 11-05 12:46
Will OpenAI have the highest IPO Market Cap 2026? No +918 $911 100¢ $916 +$5 11-05 16:42
Will Ebba Busch be the next Prime Minister of Sweden? No +894 $892 99¢ $885 -$7 11-06 06:39
Will the Republicans win the Mississippi Senate race in 2026? No +902 $194 98¢ $883 +$690 11-04 02:16
Will Abha Saudi Club win on 2026-11-05? No +883 $864 99¢ $878 +$15 11-05 14:43
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the December 2026 meeting? No +1,199 $862 70¢ $845 -$17 11-06 06:12
Will Al Kholood Saudi Club win on 2026-11-05? No +838 $801 99¢ $833 +$32 11-05 12:08
Will SpaceX be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31? No +780 $779 100¢ $779 +$0 11-04 14:33
Will Ulf Kristersson be the next Prime Minister of Sweden? No +1,088 $865 70¢ $767 -$98 09-22 10:54
Will Jimmie Åkesson be the next Prime Minister of Sweden? No +624 $622 100¢ $623 +$1 10-19 11:33
Will PSOE win the most seats in the 2026 Spanish general election? No +676 $542 91¢ $616 +$74 10-23 06:55
Will a team from LEC (Europe / EMEA) win LoL Worlds 2026? No +553 $544 99¢ $548 +$4 11-06 01:17
Will Al Ahli Saudi Club win on 2026-11-07? No +546 $436 99¢ $542 +$106 11-05 19:25
Will Microsoft be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31? No +532 $530 99¢ $528 -$2 11-06 01:35
Will Anthropic have the highest IPO Market Cap 2026? No +602 $450 86¢ $518 +$68 11-05 15:36
Will Trump meet with Vladimir Putin in 2026? Yes +554 $261 89¢ $493 +$232 08-31 22:19
Will the Democratic Party win the CA-23 House seat? No +508 $427 94¢ $477 +$50 11-05 22:24
Will Alphabet be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31? No +471 $458 100¢ $469 +$11 11-05 12:11