Realized P&L (7d)
+$4.07K
Unrealized P&L
+$2.89K
Hit rate
75.5%
Resolved (7d)
2,945
Trades (7d)
11,682
224,767 lifetime
Volume (7d)
$126.2K
$2.13M lifetime
Avg / trade
$9
Open exposure
$33.4K
30 positions
First seen
2026-05-15
last 11-07 18:00
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 176 days
Categories
Other
85% 60% +$20,684
Politics
10% 67% +$1,037
Sports
3% 65% +$200
Tech
1% 67% +$836
Crypto
1% 59% -$434
Pop-Culture
0% 83% -$25
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
85 active days in 12wk • peak 2951 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will Puma Shen win the next Taipei Mayor election? No +5,110 $3,492 67¢ $3.4K -$81 11-07 01:00
Will Benjamin Netanyahu receive the first mandate to form a government after the 2026 Israeli election? No +2,076 $1,655 99¢ $2.0K +$392 11-05 18:57
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the December 2026 meeting? No +1,949 $1,942 99¢ $1.9K -$5 11-06 13:31
Will Chiang Wan-an win the next Taipei Mayor election? No +5,157 $1,510 32¢ $1.7K +$166 11-07 02:56
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the December 2026 meeting? No +1,583 $1,551 99¢ $1.6K +$23 11-06 13:30
Will Al Qadisiyah Saudi Club win on 2026-11-05? No +1,536 $1,255 100¢ $1.5K +$274 11-05 13:34
Will Dan Sullivan win the Alaska Senate race in 2026? No +1,507 $1,088 98¢ $1.5K +$394 11-03 22:02
Will Al Hazem SC win on 2026-11-06? No +1,415 $1,403 100¢ $1.4K +$5 11-06 13:31
Will Al Khaleej Saudi Club win on 2026-11-05? No +1,408 $1,334 100¢ $1.4K +$68 11-05 12:03
Will Al Nassr Saudi Club win on 2026-11-06? No +1,335 $1,187 100¢ $1.3K +$141 11-06 14:27
Will Al Fayha Saudi Club win on 2026-11-05? No +1,220 $1,205 100¢ $1.2K +$11 11-05 15:56
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the December 2026 meeting? No +1,211 $1,196 99¢ $1.2K +$7 11-06 04:20
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the December 2026 meeting? No +1,386 $1,010 78¢ $1.1K +$78 11-06 14:29
Will Al Shabab Saudi Club win on 2026-11-05? No +1,003 $923 100¢ $998 +$75 11-05 12:46
Will OpenAI have the highest IPO Market Cap 2026? No +968 $962 100¢ $967 +$5 11-06 13:34
Will Ebba Busch be the next Prime Minister of Sweden? No +939 $936 99¢ $931 -$5 11-06 14:57
Will the Republicans win the Mississippi Senate race in 2026? No +902 $194 99¢ $893 +$699 11-04 02:16
Will Abha Saudi Club win on 2026-11-05? No +883 $864 100¢ $880 +$16 11-05 14:43
Will Al Kholood Saudi Club win on 2026-11-05? No +838 $801 100¢ $835 +$34 11-05 12:08
Will SpaceX be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31? No +790 $789 100¢ $789 +$0 11-06 14:28
Will PSOE win the most seats in the 2026 Spanish general election? No +845 $693 88¢ $748 +$54 11-07 14:16
Will Al Hilal Saudi Club win on 2026-11-07? No +723 $596 99¢ $719 +$123 11-07 11:53
Will Al Ahli Saudi Club win on 2026-11-07? No +690 $579 99¢ $685 +$107 11-07 11:54
Will Jimmie Åkesson be the next Prime Minister of Sweden? No +624 $622 100¢ $623 +$1 10-19 11:33
Will Anthropic have the highest IPO Market Cap 2026? No +620 $467 89¢ $551 +$84 11-06 14:37
Will Microsoft be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31? No +532 $530 99¢ $528 -$1 11-06 01:35
Will the Democratic Party win the CA-23 House seat? No +528 $446 98¢ $518 +$72 11-07 00:39
Will Magdalena Andersson be the next Prime Minister of Sweden? No +851 $189 58¢ $498 +$309 09-28 14:24
Will Ulf Kristersson be the next Prime Minister of Sweden? No +1,088 $865 45¢ $489 -$376 09-22 10:54
Will Trump meet with Vladimir Putin in 2026? Yes +554 $261 87¢ $482 +$221 08-31 22:19