Colossal-Bookcase-Saloon 0x16c733…7322cd
whale bot
← all wallets
Realized P&L (7d)
-$630
Unrealized P&L
+$2.19K
Hit rate
66.5%
Resolved (7d)
2,782
Trades (7d)
14,978
202,821 lifetime
Volume (7d)
$164.3K
$1.90M lifetime
Avg / trade
$9
Open exposure
$49.1K
30 positions
First seen
2026-05-15
last 10-26 22:59
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 164 days
Categories
Other
87% 60% +$20,033
Politics
8% 69% -$1,449
Sports
4% 64% +$213
Crypto
1% 59% -$424
Tech
1% 67% -$575
Pop-Culture
0% 83% -$25
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
85 active days in 12wk • peak 2951 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will Lionel Messi win the 2026 Ballon d'Or? No +5,156 $5,118 100¢ $5.2K +$33 10-26 22:49
Will Lamine Yamal win the 2026 Ballon d'Or? No +4,841 $4,386 100¢ $4.8K +$450 10-26 22:49
Will Kylian Mbappé win the 2026 Ballon d'Or? No +4,308 $3,445 100¢ $4.3K +$859 10-26 22:49
Will Rodri win the 2026 Ballon d'Or? No +3,352 $3,342 100¢ $3.3K +$5 10-26 13:56
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the October 2026 meeting? No +2,890 $2,875 100¢ $2.9K +$5 10-26 16:39
Will Khvicha Kvaratskhelia win the 2026 Ballon d'Or? No +2,546 $2,540 100¢ $2.5K +$3 10-26 20:15
Will Together win the most seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election? No +2,246 $2,233 99¢ $2.2K -$1 10-26 23:09
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting? No +2,016 $2,003 100¢ $2.0K +$11 10-26 14:58
Will the Republican Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections? No +1,812 $1,625 92¢ $1.7K +$33 10-03 00:59
Will Puma Shen win the next Taipei Mayor election? No +2,418 $1,665 65¢ $1.6K -$102 10-26 17:00
Will Likud win the most seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election? No +2,039 $1,369 68¢ $1.4K +$28 10-26 23:09
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting? No +1,453 $1,138 94¢ $1.4K +$221 10-26 17:00
Will Ousmane Dembélé win the 2026 Ballon d'Or? No +1,324 $1,322 100¢ $1.3K +$0 10-26 20:02
Will the Republicans win the Wisconsin governor race in 2026? No +1,557 $1,237 80¢ $1.3K +$17 10-01 15:02
Will the Democrats win the Texas governor race in 2026? No +1,453 $1,018 69¢ $1.0K -$15 10-26 11:26
Will voter turnout in the 2026 Serbian parliamentary election be 70% or more? No +995 $481 98¢ $975 +$494 10-26 11:21
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the December 2026 meeting? No +948 $934 99¢ $942 +$8 10-25 15:34
Will Apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on October 31, 2026? No +972 $795 92¢ $898 +$103 10-26 23:41
Will Dan Sullivan win the Alaska Senate race in 2026? No +1,164 $850 74¢ $867 +$17 10-12 19:19
Will Аndrey Gyurov win the next Bulgarian presidential election? No +1,237 $975 69¢ $854 -$121 10-26 23:55
Will Ulf Kristersson be the next Prime Minister of Sweden? No +1,088 $865 77¢ $840 -$24 09-22 10:54
Will Chiang Wan-an win the next Taipei Mayor election? No +2,400 $625 35¢ $840 +$215 10-26 17:48
Will Ebba Busch be the next Prime Minister of Sweden? No +857 $855 97¢ $829 -$27 09-13 21:11
Will OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of October 2026? No +824 $813 99¢ $814 +$2 10-24 22:50
Will Steve Hilton win the California Governor Election in 2026? No +831 $801 97¢ $805 +$4 10-26 20:43
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the December 2026 meeting? No +767 $764 99¢ $759 -$4 10-25 09:50
Will Karen Bass win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election? No +1,315 $487 56¢ $730 +$243 10-25 22:42
Will Nithya Raman win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election? No +1,583 $972 45¢ $713 -$260 10-26 13:35
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the December 2026 meeting? No +719 $704 97¢ $699 -$4 10-23 09:42
Will Yashar win the most seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election? No +2,122 $669 32¢ $668 -$1 10-26 21:27