Realized P&L
-$527
Unrealized P&L
-$12
Hit rate
63.0%
Resolved
887
Trades
3,319
lifetime
Volume
$16.5K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$5
Open exposure
$67
11 positions
First seen
2026-03-19
last 11-13 01:51
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 121 days
Categories
Other
70% 54% -$347
Politics
23% 66% -$132
Sports
6% 47% -$61
Tech
1% 83% +$22
Crypto
0% 67% -$9
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
62 active days in 12wk • peak 53 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will Puma Shen win the next Taipei Mayor election? No +42 $28 65¢ $27 -$1 11-12 02:45
Fourth Jensen Huang affair reported by November 13? No +10 $9 91¢ $9 +$1 11-13 01:51
Will the Republican Party win the CO-04 House seat? No +7 $2 100¢ $7 +$5 09-24 08:49
Will Pope Leo XIV be TIME Person of the Year 2026? No +7 $6 92¢ $6 $0 11-08 22:42
US announces end of Iranian blockade by November 30, 2026? Yes +69 $12 8¢ $5 -$7 11-09 22:03
Will Mark Carney be TIME Person of the Year 2026? No +6 $5 88¢ $5 $0 11-09 16:45
US-Iran Hormuz Agreement by November 30? Yes +40 $7 8¢ $3 -$4 11-09 21:37
Will Chiang Wan-an win the next Taipei Mayor election? Yes +4 $2 66¢ $3 +$0 10-20 05:13
Will Abdul El-Sayed be TIME Person of the Year 2026? Yes +6 $1 16¢ $1 $0 11-10 10:44
Will Delcy Rodríguez be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026? Yes +10 $7 7¢ $1 -$7 10-02 13:54
bab el mandeb strait effectively closed by december 31 983 117 No +0 -$1 92¢ $0 +$1 08-01 18:48