Hurtful-Conspiracy — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$51

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

8.9%

Resolved

Trades

lifetime

Volume

$7.27K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$235

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-02-21

last 06-12 09:45

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 14 days

Categories

Other

62% 45% -$54

Crypto

30% 0% -$1

Politics

8% 100% +$2

Tech

0% 100% +$2

Activity

No trades in the last 84 days (last trade 2026-06-12).

Open positions Resolved markets (18) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the April 2026 meeting?	4	$2.2K	1,130	1,130	+0	No	-$1	03-30 20:08
will bitcoin reach 150k in february 2026	2	$1.1K	555	555	+0	No	-$1	02-22 22:40
Will Georgia win Eurovision 2026?	2	$1.1K	545	545	+0	No	-$1	03-28 21:16
will apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on march 31 336	2	$1.1K	535	535	+0	No	-$2	03-27 22:29
will ethereum reach 4000 in march 2026	2	$1.0K	523	515	+8	No	-$1	03-29 00:12
Will Trump nominate Rick Rieder as the next Fed chair?	1	$561	562	0	+562	No	+$1	02-22 22:40
Will United States vs. Paraguay end in a draw?	1	$54	180	0	+180	No	-$54	06-12 09:45
atp monfils augeral 2026 03 06	3	$21	31	0	+31	Felix Auger-Aliassime	+$10	03-06 23:58
Will Anthropic flip BTC by December 31?	2	$17	17	17	+0	open	—	05-27 03:33
Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 16°C on May 2?	1	$15	15	0	+15	No	+$0	05-01 11:55
GPT-5.6 released by May 31, 2026?	3	$15	15	0	+15	No	+$0	05-27 04:15
Will GPT-6 be released by December 31, 2026?	1	$7	8	0	+8	Yes	+$1	05-27 03:35
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 31°C on May 28?	1	$6	7	0	+7	No	+$1	05-27 03:39
will nvidia be the largest company in the world by market cap on march 31 323	1	$5	6	0	+6	Yes	+$0	03-07 00:00
will the fed cutpausepause in the next three decisions decjanmar	1	$5	6	0	+6	Yes	+$0	03-06 23:59
highest temperature in shanghai on march 18 2026 13c	1	$5	5	0	+5	Yes	+$0	03-18 05:14
atp svajda shimabu 2026 02 22	1	$4	5	0	+5	Shimabukuro	-$4	02-22 22:41
Will Trump say "Mosquito" in May?	1	$4	5	0	+5	No	+$1	05-27 03:36
atp buse berrett 2026 02 20	1	$3	6	0	+6	Buse	-$3	02-21 01:19

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
06-12 09:45:25	Will United States vs. Paraguay end in a draw?	Yes	BUY	180	30¢	$54	0xfd591c…
05-27 04:15:06	GPT-5.6 released by May 31, 2026?	No	BUY	0	97¢	$0	0x1f32ab…
05-27 03:39:19	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 31°C on May 28?	No	BUY	7	89¢	$6	0x0ddf46…
05-27 03:36:52	Will Trump say "Mosquito" in May?	No	BUY	5	75¢	$4	0x3f277a…
05-27 03:35:49	Will GPT-6 be released by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	8	86¢	$7	0x7ffe03…
05-27 03:34:58	GPT-5.6 released by May 31, 2026?	No	BUY	8	97¢	$7	0xbc17bd…
05-27 03:34:57	GPT-5.6 released by May 31, 2026?	No	BUY	7	98¢	$7	0x95a7f4…
05-27 03:33:54	Will Anthropic flip BTC by December 31?	No	SELL	17	40¢	$7	0x289183…
05-01 11:55:26	Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 16°C on May 2?	No	BUY	15	100¢	$15	0xf98378…
05-01 11:55:14	Will Anthropic flip BTC by December 31?	No	BUY	17	60¢	$10	0xfaa4bb…
03-30 20:08:01	Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the April 2026 meeting?	No	SELL	565	99¢	$562	0x22ef05…
03-30 03:53:26	Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the April 2026 meeting?	No	BUY	565	100¢	$563	0xdbc0f3…
03-29 00:12:56	will ethereum reach 4000 in march 2026	No	SELL	515	100¢	$514	0x540a98…
03-28 21:17:04	will ethereum reach 4000 in march 2026	No	BUY	523	100¢	$522	0x5828a1…
03-28 21:16:12	Will Georgia win Eurovision 2026?	No	SELL	545	100¢	$543	0x38f51d…
03-27 22:30:37	Will Georgia win Eurovision 2026?	No	BUY	545	100¢	$543	0xe20acc…
03-27 22:29:47	will apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on march 31 336	No	SELL	535	100¢	$532	0xbe9c49…
03-26 18:40:33	will apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on march 31 336	No	BUY	535	100¢	$534	0x3b9e17…
03-26 18:39:45	Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the April 2026 meeting?	No	SELL	565	99¢	$562	0xf4e78a…
03-26 05:07:23	Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the April 2026 meeting?	No	BUY	565	100¢	$563	0x3604b7…
03-18 05:14:05	highest temperature in shanghai on march 18 2026 13c	Yes	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0xd11605…
03-07 00:00:27	will nvidia be the largest company in the world by market cap on march 31 323	Yes	BUY	6	95¢	$5	0xf89406…
03-06 23:59:37	will the fed cutpausepause in the next three decisions decjanmar	Yes	BUY	6	98¢	$5	0x4e2590…
03-06 23:58:25	atp monfils augeral 2026 03 06	Felix Auger-Aliassime	BUY	0	71¢	$0	0x2d84f2…
03-06 23:58:01	atp monfils augeral 2026 03 06	Felix Auger-Aliassime	BUY	16	71¢	$11	0x978cc1…
03-06 23:56:29	atp monfils augeral 2026 03 06	Felix Auger-Aliassime	BUY	15	67¢	$10	0xa84e32…
02-22 22:41:32	atp svajda shimabu 2026 02 22	Svajda	BUY	5	77¢	$4	0x0cf2a3…
02-22 22:40:52	Will Trump nominate Rick Rieder as the next Fed chair?	No	BUY	562	100¢	$561	0x7df54d…
02-22 22:40:12	will bitcoin reach 150k in february 2026	No	SELL	555	100¢	$554	0xdc5ac9…
02-21 01:20:54	will bitcoin reach 150k in february 2026	No	BUY	555	100¢	$554	0xef4257…
02-21 01:19:50	atp buse berrett 2026 02 20	Berrettini	BUY	6	57¢	$3	0x763007…