Curvy-Chassis — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$3.04K

Unrealized P&L

-$11

Hit rate

25.3%

Resolved

252

Trades

543

lifetime

Volume

$20.4K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$38

Open exposure

$206

6 positions

First seen

2026-04-30

last 11-12 17:05

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 104 days

Categories

Other

46% 37% -$64

Politics

28% 33% -$430

Sports

14% 12% -$2,355

Crypto

11% 25% -$187

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

69 active days in 12wk • peak 16 trades/day

Open positions (6) Resolved markets (24) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by December 31?	No	+187	$174	98¢	$184	+$10	09-15 21:30
Will Arsenal win the 2026-27 English Premier League (EPL) Championship?	No	+50	$18	24¢	$12	-$5	11-07 21:31
Will Manchester City win the 2026-27 English Premier League (EPL) Championship?	Yes	+50	$10	6¢	$3	-$7	11-01 16:47
Will Liverpool win the 2026-27 English Premier League (EPL) Championship?	Yes	+50	$2	6¢	$3	+$0	11-02 12:10
Will Chelsea win the 2026-27 English Premier League (EPL) Championship?	Yes	+200	$10	1¢	$2	-$7	11-12 11:28
Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by December 31?	Yes	+50	$3	2¢	$1	-$2	07-02 02:33

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-05-19?	2	$4.0K	5,024	5,024	+0	No	-$50	05-19 12:29
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	6	$3.4K	2,210	2,210	+0	open	—	05-11 03:45
Spread: Cavaliers (-4.5)	1	$2.3K	4,815	0	+4,815	Cavaliers	-$2,311	05-09 18:54
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 26, 2026?	3	$2.1K	1,513	1,513	+0	No	-$431	05-25 19:38
Will Bitcoin reach $90,000 in October?	20	$615	477	477	+0	No	-$41	10-27 06:50
Will Bitcoin reach $95,000 in September?	18	$512	380	360	+20	No	+$8	09-29 02:51
Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 in September?	7	$295	200	200	+0	No	+$1	09-23 14:14
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $105 in October?	23	$275	487	333	+154	Yes	+$33	10-30 23:35
Will Arsenal win the 2026-27 English Premier League (EPL) Championship?	14	$271	344	294	+50	open	—	11-07 21:31
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $100 in October?	7	$203	185	135	+50	Yes	+$12	10-17 01:38
israeli forces enter nabatieh by june 7	4	$192	126	83	+43	No	-$5	06-07 09:40
Will Bitcoin reach $87,500 in October?	16	$191	454	196	+258	No	-$126	10-27 08:31
Will Harry Kane win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	8	$187	200	200	+0	Yes	$0	10-23 19:48
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $95 in October?	11	$183	312	149	+163	Yes	-$43	10-13 14:36
Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by December 31?	6	$177	238	0	+238	open	—	09-15 21:30
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting?	8	$164	183	183	+0	Yes	-$41	10-23 03:01
Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 29°C on June 8?	5	$158	87	87	+0	Yes	-$10	06-08 08:00
Will Bitcoin dip to $75,000 in October?	9	$145	251	201	+50	No	-$28	10-29 03:00
Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 31°C on June 6?	3	$128	116	18	+98	Yes	-$1	06-06 09:36
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 82-83°F on June 10?	2	$120	66	66	+0	Yes	-$6	06-10 21:31
Will Bitcoin dip to $80,000 in October?	8	$117	104	104	+0	Yes	+$4	10-13 03:36
Will Bitcoin reach $92,500 in October?	4	$114	100	100	+0	No	-$6	10-23 08:30
Exact Score: Spain 2 - 1 Argentina?	4	$104	125	50	+75	No	-$8	07-19 20:48
Will Liverpool win the 2026-27 English Premier League (EPL) Championship?	5	$103	150	100	+50	open	—	11-02 12:10
Will Manchester United win the 2026-27 English Premier League (EPL) Championship?	2	$97	50	50	+0	open	—	09-13 17:20
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the December 2026 meeting?	6	$96	150	150	+0	open	—	11-12 17:05
Will the highest temperature in Karachi be 33°C on August 12?	2	$96	100	0	+100	Yes	+$4	08-12 08:01
Will Bitcoin dip to $77,500 in October?	8	$95	210	93	+117	Yes	+$76	10-29 15:50
Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 76-77°F on August 5?	2	$91	100	0	+100	Yes	+$9	08-05 18:08
Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 27°C on July 29?	1	$87	101	0	+101	Yes	+$14	07-29 18:01

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
11-12 17:05:15	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the December 2026 meeting?	Yes	SELL	50	2¢	$1	0x982b23…
11-12 11:28:51	Will Chelsea win the 2026-27 English Premier League (EPL) Championship?	Yes	SELL	50	1¢	$1	0x28b5d0…
11-10 16:00:24	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the December 2026 meeting?	Yes	SELL	50	4¢	$2	0x29f329…
11-07 21:31:46	Will Arsenal win the 2026-27 English Premier League (EPL) Championship?	No	BUY	50	25¢	$12	0x3d1f6f…
11-06 00:48:01	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the December 2026 meeting?	No	SELL	50	68¢	$34	0xd1f154…
11-05 21:22:07	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the December 2026 meeting?	No	BUY	50	67¢	$34	0xd60247…
11-05 18:40:39	Will Arsenal win the 2026-27 English Premier League (EPL) Championship?	No	SELL	50	31¢	$16	0x9ca361…
11-03 17:13:54	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the December 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	50	25¢	$12	0xeadc82…
11-03 10:53:24	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the December 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	50	26¢	$13	0xe3f303…
11-02 12:10:03	Will Liverpool win the 2026-27 English Premier League (EPL) Championship?	Yes	SELL	50	5¢	$2	0x6acef8…
11-01 16:47:28	Will Manchester City win the 2026-27 English Premier League (EPL) Championship?	Yes	BUY	50	11¢	$6	0x33466a…
10-30 23:35:27	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $105 in October?	No	BUY	60	3¢	$2	0x0d6a23…
10-30 23:02:16	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $105 in October?	No	BUY	39	3¢	$1	0x7093ff…
10-30 22:33:18	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $105 in October?	No	BUY	54	16¢	$9	0x615400…
10-30 22:13:16	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $105 in October?	Yes	SELL	5	82¢	$4	0x9502f1…
10-30 21:52:09	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $105 in October?	Yes	SELL	52	87¢	$45	0xb65ed0…
10-30 21:30:51	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $105 in October?	Yes	SELL	54	60¢	$32	0x8ef287…
10-30 20:11:19	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $105 in October?	Yes	SELL	68	2¢	$2	0x370fad…
10-30 19:37:55	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $105 in October?	Yes	BUY	68	5¢	$3	0x9df0dc…
10-30 17:36:25	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $105 in October?	Yes	SELL	20	79¢	$16	0x26a7c6…
10-30 16:38:01	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $105 in October?	Yes	BUY	5	41¢	$2	0x173d53…
10-30 15:33:34	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $105 in October?	Yes	BUY	20	26¢	$5	0x2c7e49…
10-30 12:50:24	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $105 in October?	Yes	SELL	12	60¢	$7	0xe1b746…
10-30 12:43:51	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $105 in October?	Yes	BUY	54	57¢	$31	0x525553…
10-30 12:05:15	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $105 in October?	Yes	BUY	12	44¢	$5	0x916fe2…
10-30 06:37:52	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $105 in October?	Yes	BUY	52	33¢	$17	0x7c1d16…
10-30 05:32:55	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $105 in October?	No	SELL	16	56¢	$9	0xecf0e0…
10-29 15:50:16	Will Bitcoin dip to $77,500 in October?	Yes	SELL	33	4¢	$1	0x08202c…
10-29 03:00:02	Will Bitcoin dip to $75,000 in October?	No	SELL	50	95¢	$47	0xc7e45a…
10-29 02:38:31	Will Bitcoin dip to $75,000 in October?	Yes	SELL	50	5¢	$2	0x4f3f71…
10-29 02:32:10	Will Bitcoin dip to $75,000 in October?	No	BUY	50	95¢	$48	0x55b6db…
10-28 02:52:39	Will Bitcoin dip to $75,000 in October?	Yes	SELL	50	5¢	$2	0x9f63e1…
10-27 09:01:05	Will Bitcoin dip to $75,000 in October?	Yes	BUY	50	13¢	$6	0xbe4a6a…
10-27 08:31:05	Will Bitcoin reach $87,500 in October?	Yes	SELL	43	4¢	$2	0x7814e1…
10-27 06:50:42	Will Bitcoin reach $90,000 in October?	No	SELL	50	98¢	$49	0xed87b9…
10-27 06:31:18	Will Bitcoin reach $87,500 in October?	Yes	BUY	50	4¢	$2	0xf62076…
10-27 04:49:32	Will Bitcoin reach $90,000 in October?	No	SELL	50	97¢	$49	0xd46a5c…
10-25 23:57:23	Will Bitcoin reach $90,000 in October?	No	SELL	50	96¢	$48	0xf81e94…
10-25 13:49:14	Will Manchester City win the 2026-27 English Premier League (EPL) Championship?	Yes	SELL	50	12¢	$6	0x51960a…
10-25 01:15:12	Will Bitcoin reach $87,500 in October?	Yes	SELL	10	10¢	$1	0x1ffb2e…
10-24 16:32:21	Will Bitcoin reach $90,000 in October?	No	BUY	50	97¢	$49	0x2e69b7…
10-24 16:09:02	Will Bitcoin reach $90,000 in October?	No	BUY	50	97¢	$48	0xa21cd1…
10-24 15:23:14	Will Bitcoin reach $87,500 in October?	Yes	SELL	35	8¢	$3	0xda03a5…
10-24 12:20:45	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $85 in October?	Yes	SELL	50	2¢	$1	0x973aa2…
10-24 10:01:53	Will Bitcoin reach $90,000 in October?	No	BUY	50	96¢	$48	0x3bc468…
10-24 04:52:47	Will Bitcoin reach $87,500 in October?	Yes	BUY	46	11¢	$5	0x4319a5…
10-24 04:07:32	Will Arsenal win the 2026-27 English Premier League (EPL) Championship?	No	SELL	51	37¢	$19	0xb1b3ff…
10-24 03:05:59	Will Bitcoin dip to $75,000 in October?	Yes	BUY	50	16¢	$8	0xe6d56a…
10-24 00:07:20	Will Bitcoin dip to $77,500 in October?	Yes	BUY	50	35¢	$18	0x581a42…
10-23 19:48:05	Will Harry Kane win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	No	SELL	50	24¢	$12	0x3826d7…
10-23 08:30:24	Will Bitcoin reach $92,500 in October?	No	SELL	50	96¢	$48	0xf6753f…
10-23 08:28:44	Will Chelsea win the 2026-27 English Premier League (EPL) Championship?	Yes	BUY	50	7¢	$4	0x2e7535…
10-23 05:50:33	Will Lamine Yamal win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	Yes	SELL	50	16¢	$8	0x1feaf7…
10-23 05:30:00	Will Bitcoin reach $92,500 in October?	No	BUY	50	95¢	$48	0xce09c4…
10-23 03:01:12	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting?	No	SELL	44	6¢	$3	0xa617e3…
10-22 15:46:08	Will Bitcoin reach $87,500 in October?	Yes	BUY	50	19¢	$10	0x1b7f84…
10-22 13:35:29	Will Lamine Yamal win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	Yes	BUY	50	17¢	$9	0x76fd53…
10-22 08:58:03	Will Bitcoin reach $87,500 in October?	Yes	BUY	50	22¢	$11	0xb88d42…
10-22 02:36:05	Will Bitcoin dip to $77,500 in October?	Yes	BUY	50	23¢	$12	0xb89d3a…
10-22 02:04:42	Will Harry Kane win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	No	SELL	50	24¢	$12	0x08570b…
10-21 22:03:06	Will Bitcoin reach $90,000 in October?	Yes	SELL	50	28¢	$14	0x06db4f…
10-21 21:00:27	Will Harry Kane win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	No	BUY	50	24¢	$12	0x18e3fb…
10-21 16:52:36	Will Harry Kane win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	No	BUY	50	26¢	$13	0x62c000…
10-21 13:04:59	Will Bitcoin reach $90,000 in October?	No	SELL	37	80¢	$30	0x09e7af…
10-21 12:18:53	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $85 in October?	Yes	BUY	50	8¢	$4	0xf23c1b…
10-21 12:04:15	Will Bitcoin reach $90,000 in October?	No	SELL	50	80¢	$40	0x5f1365…
10-21 06:22:20	Will Bitcoin dip to $75,000 in October?	Yes	SELL	51	12¢	$6	0xd68dc8…
10-20 18:24:03	Will Harry Kane win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	Yes	SELL	50	73¢	$36	0xd0687e…
10-20 16:21:09	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $105 in October?	No	SELL	34	64¢	$22	0xba5392…
10-20 11:34:08	Will Bitcoin reach $87,500 in October?	Yes	SELL	50	25¢	$12	0x6e4ff4…
10-20 07:03:52	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $105 in October?	No	SELL	1	61¢	$1	0x256c6d…
10-20 07:03:20	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $105 in October?	No	BUY	52	63¢	$32	0x7a0d6c…
10-20 01:14:50	Will Bitcoin reach $90,000 in October?	No	BUY	50	88¢	$44	0x093893…
10-20 00:32:26	Will Harry Kane win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	Yes	BUY	50	72¢	$36	0x1002c5…
10-19 17:18:35	Will Arsenal win the 2026-27 English Premier League (EPL) Championship?	No	BUY	51	37¢	$19	0x5b3616…
10-19 09:08:06	Will Harry Kane win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	Yes	SELL	50	67¢	$34	0x2e2329…
10-19 01:45:06	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $105 in October?	Yes	SELL	21	39¢	$8	0x790a0d…
10-19 00:51:24	Will Harry Kane win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	Yes	BUY	50	66¢	$33	0xd1839d…
10-19 00:00:23	Will Bitcoin reach $90,000 in October?	No	BUY	37	81¢	$30	0x3c1363…
10-18 15:07:08	Will Bitcoin reach $90,000 in October?	Yes	SELL	50	14¢	$7	0x6a2a42…
10-17 01:38:35	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $100 in October?	Yes	BUY	50	95¢	$48	0x69d77c…
10-16 15:12:46	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $100 in October?	Yes	SELL	35	59¢	$21	0xdbed91…
10-16 00:55:27	Will Bitcoin reach $90,000 in October?	Yes	SELL	50	25¢	$12	0x9dc694…
10-16 00:55:18	Will Bitcoin reach $90,000 in October?	Yes	SELL	40	25¢	$10	0x5f948c…
10-16 00:52:46	will bitcoin dip to 77pt5k in october 2026	Yes	BUY	50	38¢	$19	0xd415cb…
10-15 21:01:53	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $105 in October?	Yes	BUY	21	30¢	$6	0x9cc655…
10-15 09:55:46	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $100 in October?	No	SELL	50	57¢	$28	0x7ea41e…
10-15 08:26:35	will wti reach 100 in october 2026	Yes	BUY	35	36¢	$13	0x348b86…
10-15 05:43:25	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting?	No	SELL	50	25¢	$12	0x185ae3…
10-14 23:59:10	XRP Up/Down 15m · 2026-10-14 23:45 UTC	Down	BUY	5	90¢	$4	0xdf7f06…
10-14 17:45:58	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting?	Yes	SELL	50	67¢	$34	0xbd8d32…
10-14 12:34:56	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting?	No	BUY	50	38¢	$19	0x242251…
10-13 17:29:19	DOGE Up/Down 15m · 2026-10-13 17:15 UTC	Up	BUY	5	78¢	$4	0x596a2a…
10-13 14:36:49	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $95 in October?	No	BUY	9	18¢	$2	0x201754…
10-13 14:20:13	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $95 in October?	No	BUY	52	17¢	$9	0x5a9c43…
10-13 13:02:53	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $95 in October?	No	BUY	51	27¢	$14	0x7f20b3…
10-13 03:36:47	Will Bitcoin dip to $80,000 in October?	No	SELL	7	43¢	$3	0xb34571…
10-13 00:27:29	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $95 in October?	No	SELL	50	24¢	$12	0x03dfc4…
10-12 23:45:26	Will Bitcoin reach $92,500 in October?	Yes	SELL	50	12¢	$6	0x5d7886…
10-12 23:07:29	Will Bitcoin reach $90,000 in October?	Yes	BUY	50	25¢	$12	0xedb7de…