Realized P&L
+$289
Unrealized P&L
-$63
Hit rate
65.0%
Resolved
479
Trades
920
lifetime
Volume
$8.04K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$9
Open exposure
$22
3 positions
First seen
2026-04-05
last 07-11 21:50
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 47 days
Categories
Crypto
51%
47%
-$376
Other
40%
44%
+$453
Politics
6%
50%
+$199
Tech
3%
100%
+$13
Activity
No trades in the last 84 days (last trade 2026-07-11).
| Market | Outcome | Mid 30D | Net shares | Cost basis | Current mid | Current value | Unrealized P&L | Last trade |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026? | Yes | +621 | $65 | 2¢ | $11 | -$54 | 07-11 18:29 | |
| Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? | Yes | +40 | $10 | 19¢ | $7 | -$3 | 07-03 20:29 | |
| putin out as president of russia by june 30 2027 | Yes | +50 | $10 | 8¢ | $4 | -$6 | 07-11 18:28 |
| Market | Trades | Volume USD | Bought | Sold | Net shares | Resolution | P&L | Last activity |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Viktor Orbán? | 2 | $417 | 251 | 251 | +0 | No | +$82 | 04-14 10:47 |
| Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by end of 2026? | 2 | $409 | 312 | 312 | +0 | Yes | +$209 | 05-09 06:20 |
| AEK vs. BC Rytas | 4 | $358 | 366 | 326 | +41 | BC Rytas | +$293 | 05-09 20:22 |
| Gemini 3.5 released by July 31? | 2 | $306 | 233 | 233 | +0 | Yes | +$106 | 05-15 18:57 |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June? | 6 | $289 | 563 | 563 | +0 | No | -$51 | 06-24 06:59 |
| fifwc aus egy 2026 07 03 team to advance | 3 | $286 | 166 | 166 | +0 | Egypt | +$46 | 07-03 21:06 |
| BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-04 04:20 UTC | 4 | $222 | 133 | 118 | +15 | Up | +$12 | 06-04 04:25 |
| Will OpenAI have a #1 AI model by December 31, 2026? | 2 | $202 | 182 | 182 | +0 | open | — | 05-20 08:39 |
| BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-04 04:30 UTC | 3 | $150 | 322 | 0 | +322 | Down | -$150 | 06-04 04:31 |
| Gemini 3.5 released by May 31? | 2 | $146 | 172 | 172 | +0 | Yes | +$126 | 05-15 18:57 |
| BC Rytas vs. La Laguna Tenerife | 2 | $146 | 96 | 96 | +0 | BC Rytas | +$46 | 05-07 19:00 |
| BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-04 04:25 UTC | 6 | $132 | 114 | 70 | +44 | Down | +$2 | 06-04 04:30 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 12:55PM-1:00PM ET | 2 | $129 | 79 | 79 | +0 | Up | +$29 | 05-26 17:00 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 12:10PM-12:15PM ET | 3 | $117 | 80 | 62 | +18 | Down | +$7 | 05-26 16:15 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 12:05PM-12:10PM ET | 2 | $116 | 67 | 67 | +0 | Down | +$16 | 05-26 16:10 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 10:10AM-10:15AM ET | 2 | $115 | 65 | 65 | +0 | Down | +$15 | 06-01 14:16 |
| Will a new Gemini flagship be released by May 31, 2026? | 2 | $110 | 699 | 0 | +699 | No | -$110 | 05-18 18:11 |
| Will Argentina win on 2026-06-16? | 1 | $100 | 143 | 0 | +143 | Yes | +$43 | 06-10 20:33 |
| S&P 500 (SPY) closes above $735 on May 18? | 1 | $100 | 127 | 0 | +127 | Yes | +$27 | 05-15 19:32 |
| Will Gemini 3.2 be released on May 19? | 2 | $100 | 556 | 556 | +0 | Yes | $0 | 05-16 06:20 |
| bkfibaqeu ita lit 2026 07 05 | 1 | $80 | 129 | 0 | +129 | Italy | -$80 | 07-05 18:35 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 7:25AM-7:30AM ET | 2 | $79 | 179 | 179 | +0 | Up | -$21 | 05-23 11:26 |
| Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026? | 4 | $65 | 621 | 0 | +621 | open | — | 07-11 18:29 |
| fifwc esp bel 2026 07 10 team to advance | 1 | $65 | 90 | 0 | +90 | Spain | +$25 | 07-10 20:31 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 7:20AM-7:25AM ET | 1 | $50 | 116 | 0 | +116 | Up | -$50 | 05-23 11:20 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 1:00PM-1:05PM ET | 1 | $50 | 91 | 0 | +91 | Up | -$50 | 05-26 17:00 |
| BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-17 17:50 UTC | 4 | $50 | 49 | 48 | +0 | Down | +$18 | 04-17 17:55 |
| Will Argentina win on 2026-07-11? | 1 | $49 | 86 | 0 | +86 | No | -$49 | 07-11 21:50 |
| fifwc aus egy 2026 07 03 penalty shootout | 3 | $48 | 71 | 45 | +26 | Yes | +$8 | 07-03 20:10 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 2:55PM-3:00PM ET | 5 | $47 | 27 | 27 | +0 | Up | +$7 | 05-17 19:00 |
| Wallet | Shared markets | Overlap volume | Overlap trades | Last seen |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Open this tab to load correlated wallets… | ||||