Elastic-Retrospect — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$515

Unrealized P&L

-$12

Hit rate

95.7%

Resolved

Trades

886

lifetime

Volume

$7.11K

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

$53

1 position

First seen

2026-04-05

last 07-11 18:29

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 6 days

Categories

Crypto

57% 33% $-12

Other

36% 75% +$317

Politics

7% 100% +$209

Tech

0% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

38 active days in 12wk • peak 143 trades/day

Open positions (1) Resolved markets (3) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026?	Yes		+621	$65	8¢	$53	$-12	07-11 18:29

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Viktor Orbán?	2	$417	251	251	+0	open	—	04-14 10:47
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by end of 2026?	2	$409	312	312	+0	Yes	+$209	05-09 06:20
AEK vs. BC Rytas	4	$358	366	326	+41	BC Rytas	+$293	05-09 20:22
Gemini 3.5 released by July 31?	2	$306	233	233	+0	open	—	05-15 18:57
fifwc aus egy 2026 07 03 team to advance	3	$286	166	166	+0	open	—	07-03 21:06
btc updown 5m 1780546800	4	$222	133	118	+15	open	—	06-04 04:25
btc updown 5m 1780547400	3	$150	322	0	+322	open	—	06-04 04:31
Gemini 3.5 released by May 31?	2	$146	172	172	+0	open	—	05-15 18:57
BC Rytas vs. La Laguna Tenerife	2	$146	96	96	+0	BC Rytas	+$46	05-07 19:00
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	4	$143	391	391	-0	open	—	06-24 06:59
btc updown 5m 1780547100	6	$132	114	70	+44	open	—	06-04 04:30
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 12:55PM-1:00PM ET	2	$129	79	79	+0	open	—	05-26 17:00
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 12:10PM-12:15PM ET	3	$117	80	62	+18	open	—	05-26 16:15
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 12:05PM-12:10PM ET	2	$116	67	67	+0	open	—	05-26 16:10
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 10:10AM-10:15AM ET	2	$115	65	65	+0	open	—	06-01 14:16
Will a new Gemini flagship be released by May 31, 2026?	2	$110	699	0	+699	open	—	05-18 18:11
S&P 500 (SPY) closes above $735 on May 18?	1	$100	127	0	+127	open	—	05-15 19:32
bkfibaqeu ita lit 2026 07 05	1	$80	129	0	+129	open	—	07-05 18:35
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 7:25AM-7:30AM ET	2	$79	179	179	+0	open	—	05-23 11:26
Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026?	4	$65	621	0	+621	open	—	07-11 18:29
fifwc esp bel 2026 07 10 team to advance	1	$65	90	0	+90	open	—	07-10 20:31
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 7:20AM-7:25AM ET	1	$50	116	0	+116	open	—	05-23 11:20
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 1:00PM-1:05PM ET	1	$50	91	0	+91	open	—	05-26 17:00
btc updown 5m 1776448200	4	$50	49	48	+0	open	—	04-17 17:55
fifwc aus egy 2026 07 03 penalty shootout	3	$48	71	45	+26	open	—	07-03 20:10
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 2:55PM-3:00PM ET	5	$47	27	27	+0	open	—	05-17 19:00
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 4:20PM-4:25PM ET	3	$42	38	38	+0	open	—	05-16 20:24
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 4:45AM-4:50AM ET	6	$41	38	38	+0	open	—	05-17 08:50
will claude fable 5 be restored for us customers by july 1 20260613193829179 129 881 748 432 345	2	$33	32	32	+0	open	—	06-24 06:59
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 3:00PM-3:05PM ET	8	$33	89	47	+41	open	—	05-17 19:04

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
07-11 18:29:17	Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	56	9¢	$5	0xd2fba5…
07-11 18:28:59	putin out as president of russia by june 30 2027	Yes	BUY	50	20¢	$10	0x8285dc…
07-11 18:26:55	fifwc nor eng 2026 07 11 btts	No	BUY	26	38¢	$10	0xd7e38a…
07-10 20:31:23	fifwc esp bel 2026 07 10 team to advance	Spain	BUY	90	72¢	$65	0x787c01…
07-10 15:01:26	Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	56	9¢	$5	0x71a436…
07-10 15:01:13	Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	56	9¢	$5	0xe355e7…
07-05 18:35:19	bkfibaqeu ita lit 2026 07 05	Lithuania	BUY	129	62¢	$80	0xad63fb…
07-05 11:49:26	Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	455	11¢	$50	0xbf50da…
07-03 21:06:13	fifwc aus egy 2026 07 03 team to advance	Egypt	SELL	166	100¢	$166	0xab3582…
07-03 20:48:26	fifwc aus egy 2026 07 03 team to advance	Egypt	BUY	132	76¢	$100	0x6f4dc9…
07-03 20:18:32	fifwc aus egy 2026 07 03 team to advance	Egypt	BUY	34	58¢	$20	0xaba3bf…
07-03 20:10:58	fifwc aus egy 2026 07 03 penalty shootout	No	BUY	26	39¢	$10	0x1876f3…
07-03 20:10:16	fifwc aus egy 2026 07 03 penalty shootout	Yes	SELL	45	62¢	$28	0xeefe60…
07-03 16:39:44	fifwc aus egy 2026 07 03 penalty shootout	Yes	BUY	45	22¢	$10	0x03c925…
07-03 08:55:14	doge updown 5m 1783068900	Up	BUY	23	48¢	$11	0x3cb1c1…
07-01 18:25:17	btc updown 5m 1782930300	Down	BUY	11	48¢	$5	0xb5d784…
07-01 18:14:50	btc updown 5m 1782929700	Up	BUY	10	49¢	$5	0x139f6c…
06-30 19:40:05	btc updown 5m 1782848400	Down	BUY	9	50¢	$4	0x10b595…
06-30 18:24:49	btc updown 5m 1782843900	Down	BUY	11	48¢	$5	0x0b4dc9…
06-30 03:30:22	xrp updown 5m 1782790200	Up	BUY	6	49¢	$3	0x39c99f…
06-30 03:30:16	btc updown 5m 1782790200	Up	BUY	6	50¢	$3	0x98bce3…
06-30 03:30:14	btc updown 5m 1782790200	Up	BUY	3	50¢	$1	0x55533e…
06-30 03:30:02	xrp updown 5m 1782790200	Up	BUY	4	49¢	$2	0x436b06…
06-30 01:15:07	doge updown 5m 1782782100	Up	BUY	3	51¢	$2	0x70213a…
06-30 01:15:05	doge updown 5m 1782782100	Up	BUY	3	51¢	$2	0x8c458f…
06-30 01:15:05	doge updown 5m 1782782100	Up	BUY	3	51¢	$2	0x0102d7…
06-29 20:04:58	xrp updown 5m 1782763500	Down	BUY	7	49¢	$4	0xdcd85c…
06-29 20:04:40	xrp updown 5m 1782763500	Down	BUY	2	49¢	$1	0x25369b…
06-29 17:52:35	doge updown 5m 1782755400	Down	BUY	5	51¢	$3	0xec4dfc…
06-29 17:50:04	doge updown 5m 1782755400	Down	BUY	2	51¢	$1	0x2e2186…
06-29 17:49:41	doge updown 5m 1782755400	Down	BUY	2	51¢	$1	0xcb48c6…
06-29 17:32:49	doge updown 5m 1782754200	Up	BUY	10	48¢	$5	0x95304a…
06-29 17:32:47	doge updown 5m 1782754200	Up	BUY	3	48¢	$1	0xc3e393…
06-29 17:29:49	btc updown 5m 1782754200	Up	BUY	12	48¢	$6	0x430f8f…
06-29 16:56:40	doge updown 5m 1782752100	Down	BUY	12	48¢	$6	0x93b91c…
06-29 15:35:29	btc updown 5m 1782747300	Down	BUY	10	49¢	$5	0x949740…
06-29 15:35:26	bnb updown 5m 1782747300	Down	BUY	9	50¢	$4	0x691005…
06-29 15:25:28	doge updown 5m 1782746700	Down	BUY	7	48¢	$3	0xacdc74…
06-29 15:25:28	doge updown 5m 1782746700	Down	BUY	6	48¢	$3	0x097438…
06-29 15:10:17	btc updown 5m 1782745800	Up	BUY	9	50¢	$4	0xb91f40…
06-29 15:00:08	doge updown 5m 1782745200	Down	BUY	4	50¢	$2	0xb92381…
06-29 15:00:04	btc updown 5m 1782745200	Down	BUY	10	49¢	$5	0xd16c06…
06-29 14:51:08	btc updown 5m 1782744600	Up	BUY	6	50¢	$3	0xb681c5…
06-29 14:51:08	btc updown 5m 1782744600	Up	BUY	3	50¢	$1	0x61e502…
06-29 13:50:05	doge updown 5m 1782741000	Up	BUY	12	48¢	$6	0xd121fc…
06-29 13:39:49	xrp updown 5m 1782740400	Down	BUY	9	49¢	$4	0x1f65f6…
06-29 13:10:05	btc updown 5m 1782738600	Down	BUY	9	49¢	$4	0x8cc92f…
06-29 12:45:35	doge updown 5m 1782737100	Up	BUY	2	48¢	$1	0x543c55…
06-29 12:45:35	doge updown 5m 1782737100	Up	BUY	10	48¢	$5	0x14c661…
06-29 12:10:29	bnb updown 5m 1782735000	Down	BUY	9	50¢	$5	0x8ebb28…
06-29 12:10:08	sol updown 5m 1782735000	Down	BUY	12	49¢	$6	0xe6bc4e…
06-29 11:44:47	btc updown 5m 1782733500	Up	BUY	9	50¢	$4	0xadf408…
06-29 09:32:16	doge updown 5m 1782725400	Up	BUY	8	48¢	$4	0xb74fb0…
06-29 09:32:16	doge updown 5m 1782725400	Up	BUY	5	48¢	$2	0x6976d2…
06-29 06:35:01	sol updown 5m 1782714900	Up	BUY	9	49¢	$5	0x574ec8…
06-29 02:35:23	bnb updown 5m 1782700500	Down	BUY	4	50¢	$2	0x970bc8…
06-29 02:35:23	bnb updown 5m 1782700500	Down	BUY	6	50¢	$3	0x3c4605…
06-29 02:35:17	sol updown 5m 1782700500	Down	BUY	5	50¢	$2	0xf1349a…
06-29 02:34:58	sol updown 5m 1782700500	Down	BUY	6	50¢	$3	0x9f26bf…
06-29 02:30:04	sol updown 5m 1782700200	Down	BUY	7	49¢	$3	0x2b723c…
06-29 02:15:25	bnb updown 5m 1782699300	Up	BUY	9	50¢	$5	0xf74489…
06-29 01:45:05	bnb updown 5m 1782697500	Down	BUY	4	50¢	$2	0x9afbee…
06-29 01:45:05	bnb updown 5m 1782697500	Down	BUY	5	50¢	$3	0x151613…
06-29 01:45:04	sol updown 5m 1782697500	Down	BUY	6	50¢	$3	0x7e0381…
06-29 01:45:04	sol updown 5m 1782697500	Down	BUY	5	50¢	$2	0x72de84…
06-29 01:27:41	xrp updown 5m 1782696300	Up	BUY	4	49¢	$2	0xf1308b…
06-29 01:27:32	xrp updown 5m 1782696300	Up	BUY	5	49¢	$2	0x741a99…
06-29 01:10:05	sol updown 5m 1782695400	Up	BUY	8	49¢	$4	0xc46db8…
06-29 01:10:05	sol updown 5m 1782695400	Up	BUY	5	49¢	$3	0x1dd7fc…
06-29 01:10:05	xrp updown 5m 1782695400	Up	BUY	7	48¢	$3	0x158036…
06-29 01:10:02	xrp updown 5m 1782695400	Up	BUY	4	48¢	$2	0x0a8127…
06-29 01:09:58	btc updown 5m 1782695400	Up	BUY	10	49¢	$5	0xfcc6a0…
06-29 01:05:04	sol updown 5m 1782695100	Down	BUY	12	50¢	$6	0xe1bcac…
06-29 00:50:07	sol updown 5m 1782694200	Down	BUY	5	49¢	$2	0xd39272…
06-29 00:50:07	sol updown 5m 1782694200	Down	BUY	5	49¢	$2	0x7edec5…
06-29 00:50:07	sol updown 5m 1782694200	Down	BUY	3	49¢	$1	0x14fcab…
06-29 00:45:01	btc updown 5m 1782693900	Up	BUY	1	49¢	$0	0x1e5e30…
06-29 00:44:58	btc updown 5m 1782693900	Up	BUY	10	49¢	$5	0xf8b1ae…
06-29 00:19:41	btc updown 5m 1782692400	Down	BUY	12	48¢	$6	0xc3c6f1…
06-28 23:45:10	sol updown 5m 1782690300	Down	BUY	10	50¢	$5	0xa1e9cd…
06-28 23:45:02	sol updown 5m 1782690300	Down	BUY	2	50¢	$1	0xf1df14…
06-28 23:24:56	btc updown 5m 1782689100	Down	BUY	10	49¢	$5	0xc4297d…
06-28 23:05:04	sol updown 5m 1782687900	Down	BUY	5	49¢	$2	0x74233c…
06-28 23:05:04	sol updown 5m 1782687900	Down	BUY	5	49¢	$2	0x190254…
06-28 23:05:02	sol updown 5m 1782687900	Down	BUY	4	49¢	$2	0x403d4d…
06-28 23:00:07	sol updown 5m 1782687600	Up	BUY	6	50¢	$3	0xc9735c…
06-28 23:00:07	sol updown 5m 1782687600	Up	BUY	5	50¢	$2	0x3b1292…
06-28 22:50:04	eth updown 5m 1782687000	Up	BUY	11	51¢	$5	0xc9d6ac…
06-28 22:30:05	xrp updown 5m 1782685800	Down	BUY	11	48¢	$5	0x817eb7…
06-28 22:30:04	sol updown 5m 1782685800	Down	BUY	5	50¢	$2	0xe8dae2…
06-28 22:30:04	sol updown 5m 1782685800	Down	BUY	2	50¢	$1	0x000b52…
06-28 22:30:02	eth updown 5m 1782685800	Down	BUY	5	49¢	$2	0xbd7dae…
06-28 22:30:02	eth updown 5m 1782685800	Down	BUY	6	49¢	$3	0x51a65c…
06-28 22:29:58	sol updown 5m 1782685800	Down	BUY	4	50¢	$2	0xb46049…
06-28 22:29:53	eth updown 5m 1782685800	Down	BUY	2	49¢	$1	0x27c5ba…
06-28 22:25:08	sol updown 5m 1782685500	Up	BUY	8	49¢	$4	0xc3134f…
06-28 22:25:07	sol updown 5m 1782685500	Up	BUY	5	49¢	$2	0xcbd2c3…
06-28 22:25:02	eth updown 5m 1782685500	Up	BUY	1	50¢	$1	0xacc85a…
06-28 22:24:56	eth updown 5m 1782685500	Up	BUY	5	50¢	$2	0x36b217…
06-28 22:24:55	eth updown 5m 1782685500	Up	BUY	4	50¢	$2	0x232ab9…