Wallet — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$262

Unrealized P&L

-$32

Hit rate

81.9%

Resolved

Trades

lifetime

Volume

$2.31K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$27

Open exposure

$135

6 positions

First seen

2026-01-02

last 06-22 09:20

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 36 days

Categories

Other

61% 59% +$198

Crypto

23% 100% +$2

Politics

14% 50% +$61

Sports

2% 50% +$1

Activity

No trades in the last 84 days (last trade 2026-06-22).

Open positions (6) Resolved markets (27) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will Karen Bass win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?	Yes	+100	$60	60¢	$60	$0	05-18 19:40
Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?	Yes	+50	$40	97¢	$49	+$8	06-22 02:28
Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $1.75T by December 31?	Yes	+20	$12	85¢	$17	+$5	05-30 06:17
Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	Yes	+30	$7	16¢	$5	-$3	05-19 10:39
Will Naftali Bennett be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	Yes	+100	$33	4¢	$4	-$29	05-30 04:50
Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?	No	+50	$15	3¢	$1	-$14	05-18 05:24

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
ethereum above 2600 on january 3	1	$300	300	0	+300	Yes	+$0	01-02 18:00
Starmer out by June 30, 2026?	1	$178	200	0	+200	Yes	+$22	06-22 02:43
WTI Crude Oil (WTI) closes above $102 on May 18?	2	$160	100	100	+0	Yes	+$26	05-18 18:25
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?	1	$148	200	0	+200	Yes	+$52	06-22 05:31
Fed rate hike in 2026?	1	$120	200	0	+200	Yes	+$80	06-22 09:20
ethereum above 2500 on january 3	1	$100	100	0	+100	Yes	+$0	01-02 17:51
Will Trump agree to unfreeze Iranian assets by June 30?	1	$92	200	0	+200	Yes	+$108	05-30 05:50
Evo Morales arrested by May 31?	2	$89	150	0	+150	No	+$11	05-18 20:40
S&P 500 (SPY) closes above $755 on May 29?	1	$76	100	0	+100	Yes	+$24	05-29 17:28
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	1	$66	200	0	+200	No	-$66	05-30 10:39
Will Karen Bass win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?	3	$60	100	0	+100	open	—	05-18 19:40
bitcoin above 90k on january 24	1	$60	60	0	+60	No	+$0	01-24 16:05
bitcoin above 90k on january 21	1	$60	60	0	+60	No	+$0	01-21 16:43
Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?	2	$55	100	0	+100	open	—	06-22 02:28
S&P 500 (SPY) closes above $735 on May 18?	2	$44	100	0	+100	Yes	+$56	05-18 18:19
Will S&P 500 (SPY) hit (LOW) $730 in May?	1	$39	50	0	+50	No	-$39	05-18 08:20
Will Natural Gas (NG) hit (HIGH) $3.20 in May?	1	$34	50	0	+50	Yes	+$16	05-21 20:36
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $95 Week of May 18 2026?	2	$34	50	0	+50	Yes	-$34	05-21 09:28
Will Naftali Bennett be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	1	$33	100	0	+100	open	—	05-30 04:50
MVP Fight Night: Nate Diaz vs. Mike Perry	1	$33	50	0	+50	Perry	+$17	05-05 17:16
Will Abelardo de la Espriella win the 2026 Colombian presidential election?	1	$33	50	0	+50	Yes	-$33	05-05 21:19
Will Silver (XAGUSD) hit (LOW) $72 in May?	1	$30	50	0	+50	Yes	+$20	05-18 08:09
Will Palantir Technologies Inc. (PLTR) hit (LOW) $126 in May?	1	$27	50	0	+50	No	-$27	05-18 13:49
wti up or down on june 22 2026	1	$26	40	0	+40	Down	-$26	06-22 01:18
US-Iran nuclear deal by July 31?	4	$25	50	0	+50	Yes	+$24	05-30 10:41
Will Coinbase Global, Inc. (COIN) hit (LOW) $175 in May?	2	$25	50	0	+50	Yes	+$25	05-18 10:22
Will Toby Doeden and Dusty Johnson advance to the South Dakota Governor Republican Primary runoff election?	3	$24	40	0	+40	No	-$24	05-30 05:22
Will SpaceX's market cap be between $1.5T and $2.0T at market close on IPO day?	4	$23	100	0	+100	No	-$23	05-18 19:20
Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (HIGH) $4,650 in May?	1	$22	50	0	+50	No	+$28	05-21 10:19
Will AS Saint-Etienne achieve promotion from Ligue 2 to Ligue 1 for the 2026-27 season?	2	$21	40	0	+40	No	-$1	05-29 17:31

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
06-22 09:20:28	Fed rate hike in 2026?	Yes	BUY	200	60¢	$120	0xf8021f…
06-22 05:31:55	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	200	74¢	$148	0x32c2fc…
06-22 02:43:05	Starmer out by June 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	200	89¢	$178	0x86d241…
06-22 02:28:43	Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?	Yes	BUY	50	81¢	$40	0x6dcecc…
06-22 01:18:31	wti up or down on june 22 2026	Up	BUY	40	66¢	$26	0xb910f5…
06-22 01:17:16	Will Gold (GC) settle at $3,800-$4,200 in June?	Yes	BUY	20	60¢	$12	0x5e4436…
06-22 01:09:43	Will Keir Starmer be the next leader out before 2027?	Yes	BUY	20	38¢	$8	0xb9af76…
06-22 01:00:28	will xauusd dip to 4000 in june 2026	Yes	BUY	50	39¢	$19	0xabac73…
05-30 20:51:01	Will Darryn Peterson be the first pick in the 2026 NBA draft?	Yes	BUY	20	13¢	$3	0xaef8cc…
05-30 10:41:47	US-Iran nuclear deal by July 31?	Yes	BUY	2	51¢	$1	0xfc8240…
05-30 10:39:31	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	Yes	BUY	200	33¢	$66	0x8ee124…
05-30 10:24:00	US-Iran nuclear deal by July 31?	Yes	BUY	36	51¢	$18	0xa06d6f…
05-30 08:27:16	Trump declassifies new UFO files by June 15?	Yes	BUY	14	52¢	$7	0x6dbee9…
05-30 08:23:59	US-Iran nuclear deal by July 31?	Yes	BUY	10	51¢	$5	0x9b3b82…
05-30 08:22:14	Trump declassifies new UFO files by June 15?	Yes	BUY	5	52¢	$3	0x01eb79…
05-30 06:36:44	US-Iran nuclear deal by July 31?	Yes	BUY	2	51¢	$1	0xc4255f…
05-30 06:32:53	Will Christopher Taylor be the Democratic nominee for the Ann Arbor Mayoral Election?	Yes	BUY	1	64¢	$1	0x9a6ea5…
05-30 06:27:34	Trump declassifies new UFO files by June 15?	Yes	BUY	1	52¢	$1	0xdf29ca…
05-30 06:17:22	Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $1.75T by December 31?	Yes	BUY	20	58¢	$12	0x862305…
05-30 06:05:47	Will UMich Consumer Sentiment be below 40.0 in June?	Yes	BUY	10	57¢	$6	0x88c108…
05-30 06:05:47	Will UMich Consumer Sentiment be below 40.0 in June?	Yes	BUY	6	57¢	$3	0x649b38…
05-30 06:05:19	Will UMich Consumer Sentiment be below 40.0 in June?	Yes	BUY	4	57¢	$2	0x5a6e49…
05-30 05:50:39	Will Trump agree to unfreeze Iranian assets by June 30?	Yes	BUY	200	46¢	$92	0xacf01e…
05-30 05:22:07	Will Toby Doeden and Dusty Johnson advance to the South Dakota Governor Republican Primary runoff election?	Yes	BUY	0	59¢	$0	0xfef8d2…
05-30 05:22:07	Will Toby Doeden and Dusty Johnson advance to the South Dakota Governor Republican Primary runoff election?	Yes	BUY	10	59¢	$6	0xb6d4d0…
05-30 05:18:46	Will Toby Doeden and Dusty Johnson advance to the South Dakota Governor Republican Primary runoff election?	Yes	BUY	30	59¢	$17	0xa90797…
05-30 04:50:16	Will Naftali Bennett be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	Yes	BUY	100	33¢	$33	0x33ab6b…
05-30 04:44:40	Will Christopher Taylor be the Democratic nominee for the Ann Arbor Mayoral Election?	Yes	BUY	7	64¢	$5	0xee379e…
05-30 00:05:07	Will Micron Q3 DRAM revenue be above $30B?	No	BUY	3	71¢	$2	0xe9e87f…
05-29 17:31:58	Will AS Saint-Etienne achieve promotion from Ligue 2 to Ligue 1 for the 2026-27 season?	No	BUY	20	63¢	$13	0xa57c95…
05-29 17:28:28	S&P 500 (SPY) closes above $755 on May 29?	Yes	BUY	100	76¢	$76	0x33bbf3…
05-21 20:36:08	Will Natural Gas (NG) hit (HIGH) $3.20 in May?	Yes	BUY	50	68¢	$34	0x0dc607…
05-21 10:19:03	Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (HIGH) $4,650 in May?	No	BUY	50	45¢	$22	0x93d0e6…
05-21 09:28:20	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $95 Week of May 18 2026?	No	BUY	32	67¢	$21	0x129c28…
05-21 08:37:00	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $95 Week of May 18 2026?	No	BUY	18	67¢	$12	0x80e6c0…
05-19 13:14:01	Will NVIDIA (NVDA) hit (HIGH) $256 in May?	Yes	BUY	50	12¢	$6	0x22b706…
05-19 10:39:59	Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	Yes	BUY	30	25¢	$7	0xfd07f6…
05-19 09:23:33	Will AS Saint-Etienne achieve promotion from Ligue 2 to Ligue 1 for the 2026-27 season?	Yes	BUY	20	40¢	$8	0x843beb…
05-19 07:33:42	Will Donald Trump announce Lee Zeldin as the next United States Attorney General by June 30?	Yes	BUY	100	12¢	$12	0xf31217…
05-19 03:27:29	Will Alphabet Inc. (GOOGL) hit (HIGH) $420 in May?	Yes	BUY	13	39¢	$5	0xf790a9…
05-18 22:49:36	Will Number 7A by Pollock sell for $125M or more?	Yes	BUY	20	82¢	$16	0x1b58b3…
05-18 20:43:47	Will "Backrooms" Opening Weekend Box Office be greater than 35m?	No	BUY	20	43¢	$9	0x508cf6…
05-18 20:40:40	Evo Morales arrested by May 31?	No	BUY	100	80¢	$80	0x54d427…
05-18 19:40:00	Will Karen Bass win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?	Yes	BUY	40	60¢	$24	0x71bb3d…
05-18 19:39:44	Will Karen Bass win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?	Yes	BUY	30	60¢	$18	0x3ad3b7…
05-18 19:39:35	Will Karen Bass win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?	Yes	BUY	30	60¢	$18	0x02254d…
05-18 19:20:29	Will SpaceX's market cap be between $1.5T and $2.0T at market close on IPO day?	Yes	BUY	16	23¢	$4	0xae1ed1…
05-18 19:00:25	Will SpaceX's market cap be between $1.5T and $2.0T at market close on IPO day?	Yes	BUY	10	23¢	$2	0x5443fb…
05-18 18:34:26	Will Southampton achieve promotion from the EFL Championship to the English Premier League for the 2026-27 season?	No	BUY	20	48¢	$10	0xdaf950…
05-18 18:27:22	Will SpaceX's market cap be between $1.5T and $2.0T at market close on IPO day?	Yes	BUY	26	23¢	$6	0xe62e5c…
05-18 18:25:56	WTI Crude Oil (WTI) closes above $102 on May 18?	Yes	SELL	100	93¢	$93	0xb82e9b…
05-18 18:21:39	Will SpaceX's market cap be between $1.5T and $2.0T at market close on IPO day?	Yes	BUY	48	23¢	$11	0xe301b1…
05-18 18:19:47	S&P 500 (SPY) closes above $735 on May 18?	Yes	BUY	80	44¢	$35	0x01b536…
05-18 18:18:02	S&P 500 (SPY) closes above $735 on May 18?	Yes	BUY	20	44¢	$9	0x0be42f…
05-18 13:49:07	Will Palantir Technologies Inc. (PLTR) hit (LOW) $126 in May?	Yes	BUY	50	54¢	$27	0xc2b854…
05-18 10:22:23	Will Coinbase Global, Inc. (COIN) hit (LOW) $175 in May?	Yes	BUY	40	50¢	$20	0x85693f…
05-18 08:20:37	Will S&P 500 (SPY) hit (LOW) $730 in May?	Yes	BUY	50	78¢	$39	0x1fff51…
05-18 08:09:11	Will Silver (XAGUSD) hit (LOW) $72 in May?	Yes	BUY	50	60¢	$30	0x467eb3…
05-18 07:03:21	Will Coinbase Global, Inc. (COIN) hit (LOW) $175 in May?	Yes	BUY	10	50¢	$5	0x97b2e9…
05-18 06:32:09	WTI Crude Oil (WTI) closes above $102 on May 18?	Yes	BUY	100	67¢	$67	0x52e77b…
05-18 05:41:06	Will MrBeast's next video get between 42 and 44 million views on day 2?	Yes	BUY	20	67¢	$13	0x156dcf…
05-18 05:24:15	Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?	No	BUY	50	30¢	$15	0xb4dce2…
05-18 05:17:34	Will Trump be photographed every day this week? (5/11-5/17)	Yes	BUY	1	22¢	$0	0xeef308…
05-18 05:16:50	Will Trump be photographed every day this week? (5/11-5/17)	Yes	BUY	35	22¢	$8	0xf76b08…
05-18 05:16:50	Will Trump be photographed every day this week? (5/11-5/17)	Yes	BUY	14	22¢	$3	0x7d4350…
05-05 21:19:28	Will Abelardo de la Espriella win the 2026 Colombian presidential election?	No	BUY	50	66¢	$33	0xc47603…
05-05 17:16:16	MVP Fight Night: Nate Diaz vs. Mike Perry	Perry	BUY	50	66¢	$33	0xf4f0be…
04-16 17:13:50	Will Real Betis win the 2025-26 UEFA Europa League?	Yes	BUY	40	15¢	$6	0x2813e1…
04-12 20:21:33	Will Cooper Flagg win the 2025–26 NBA Rookie of the Year award?	Yes	BUY	20	64¢	$13	0xd8054e…
04-12 18:16:39	will cameron young win the 2026 masters tournament	Yes	BUY	40	27¢	$11	0xb705b2…
04-12 16:56:55	Will Tottenham be relegated from the English Premier League after the 2025–26 season?	Yes	BUY	5	41¢	$2	0xb839c3…
04-12 16:53:49	Will Tottenham be relegated from the English Premier League after the 2025–26 season?	Yes	BUY	14	41¢	$6	0xeaaf14…
04-12 16:35:37	Will Tottenham be relegated from the English Premier League after the 2025–26 season?	Yes	BUY	1	41¢	$1	0x036f1e…
04-12 15:56:27	will rory mcilroy win the 2026 masters tournament	Yes	BUY	32	35¢	$11	0xec64db…
04-12 15:56:21	will rory mcilroy win the 2026 masters tournament	Yes	BUY	8	35¢	$3	0x7f5ba8…
04-01 14:13:27	Evo Morales arrested by May 31?	Yes	BUY	50	18¢	$9	0xddc423…
04-01 11:17:31	US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by May 31?	Yes	BUY	40	17¢	$7	0x6e248c…
04-01 10:33:47	hungary election tisza wins a constitutional majority	Yes	BUY	4	20¢	$1	0x3ee09e…
02-14 03:20:55	bad bunny video becomes most viewed sb halftime on youtube in 1st month	No	BUY	3	98¢	$3	0xbeb4c3…
02-14 03:20:27	will norway win the most gold medals in the 2026 winter olympics	Yes	BUY	5	92¢	$5	0x08b6b4…
02-14 03:19:31	another us government shutdown by february 14	No	BUY	6	87¢	$5	0xba3495…
01-24 16:05:28	bitcoin above 90k on january 24	No	BUY	60	100¢	$60	0xd13f17…
01-21 16:43:24	bitcoin above 90k on january 21	No	BUY	60	100¢	$60	0x63cc17…
01-19 03:46:16	will antnio jos seguro win the 2026 portugal presidential election	Yes	BUY	12	94¢	$11	0x333bb7…
01-05 03:04:47	bitcoin above 90k on january 5	Yes	BUY	21	96¢	$20	0x1e84ce…
01-02 18:00:49	ethereum above 2600 on january 3	Yes	BUY	300	100¢	$300	0xe23567…
01-02 17:51:23	ethereum above 2500 on january 3	Yes	BUY	100	100¢	$100	0x58ca07…