(anonymous) 0x17904d…ad30f7
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← all wallets
Realized P&L
-$808
Unrealized P&L
+$73
Hit rate
50.3%
Resolved
1,414
Trades
2,109
lifetime
Volume
$17.1K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$8
Open exposure
$604
30 positions
First seen
2026-07-10
last 10-23 16:24
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 97 days
Categories
Other
74% 53% +$89
Sports
18% 46% -$827
Politics
8% 41% -$71
Pop-Culture
0% 80% +$4
Crypto
0% 33% -$2
Tech
0% 33% -$1
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
76 active days in 12wk • peak 99 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will there be no next Google Gemini Pro model release by November 1, 2026? Yes +288 $176 98¢ $282 +$106 10-13 16:17
Will the Baltimore Ravens win the 2027 NFL league championship? No +55 $50 94¢ $52 +$2 09-20 19:25
Will Kamala Harris win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? No +54 $49 94¢ $50 +$1 09-21 05:08
Will the Kansas City Chiefs win the 2027 NFL league championship? No +55 $50 90¢ $49 $0 09-26 22:42
Will the Buffalo Bills win the 2027 NFL league championship? No +28 $24 88¢ $25 +$0 10-04 23:45
Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 US Presidential Election? No +17 $15 90¢ $15 +$1 07-18 23:12
Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez win the 2028 US Presidential Election? No +17 $15 87¢ $15 +$0 08-26 11:11
Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election? No +18 $14 81¢ $15 +$0 07-14 13:08
Will Ulf Kristersson be the next Prime Minister of Sweden? No +17 $14 76¢ $13 -$1 08-15 13:08
Will Marine Le Pen win the 2027 French presidential election? No +22 $15 56¢ $12 -$3 07-19 18:46
Will Arsenal win the 2026-27 English Premier League (EPL) Championship? No +24 $15 34¢ $8 -$6 07-14 09:29
Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections? No +93 $15 8¢ $8 -$7 07-20 02:41
Will the Democratic Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections? Yes +10 $5 66¢ $7 +$2 08-23 15:47
Will Mary Peltola win the Alaska Senate race in 2026? Yes +9 $5 74¢ $7 +$2 08-16 18:33
Will the San Francisco 49ers win the 2027 NFL league championship? Yes +44 $4 14¢ $6 +$2 10-05 04:46
NATO x Russia military clash by October 31, 2026? No +5 $3 98¢ $5 +$2 10-23 16:24
Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? Yes +25 $5 17¢ $4 -$1 07-19 05:15
Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? Yes +24 $3 16¢ $4 +$0 07-22 07:12
Will Jon Ossoff win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? Yes +24 $4 15¢ $4 $0 07-25 23:58
Will Liverpool win the 2026-27 English Premier League (EPL) Championship? Yes +41 $1 7¢ $3 +$2 09-18 20:52
Will Raphaël Glucksmann win the 2027 French presidential election? Yes +82 $1 3¢ $3 +$1 09-20 17:03
Will Rafael López Aliaga win the next Lima mayoral elections? Yes +3 $3 88¢ $3 +$0 10-02 09:36
Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 US Presidential Election? Yes +22 $2 12¢ $3 +$1 08-16 18:31
Will the Chicago Bears win the 2027 NFL league championship? Yes +42 $2 6¢ $3 +$1 10-04 18:27
Will James Talarico win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? Yes +82 $2 2¢ $2 +$0 09-27 19:43
Will the Republican Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections? Yes +24 $4 8¢ $2 -$2 07-23 00:01
Will Bernie endorse James Talarico for TX-Sen by Nov 2 2026 ET? No +2 $2 95¢ $2 +$0 10-04 22:44
Will the Denver Broncos win the 2027 NFL league championship? Yes +41 $1 4¢ $2 +$1 09-15 08:35
Will the Tampa Bay Rays win the 2026 World Series? Yes +47 $8 3¢ $2 -$7 10-13 03:42
Will the Milwaukee Brewers win the 2026 World Series? No +28 $24 3¢ $1 -$23 09-05 05:51