Wallet — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$148

Unrealized P&L

+$0

Hit rate

75.1%

Resolved

Trades

215

lifetime

Volume

$27.7K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$129

Open exposure

1 position

First seen

2026-03-14

last 07-14 11:27

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 16 days

Categories

Politics

82% 44% -$57

Other

17% 50% -$58

Tech

0% 100% +$8

Sports

0% 0% -$41

Activity

No trades in the last 84 days (last trade 2026-07-14).

Open positions (1) Resolved markets (25) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Zelenskyy out as Ukraine president by end of 2026?	No		+0	$0	94¢	$0	+$0	07-13 15:11

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
putin out as president of russia by july 31 2026	23	$11.9K	6,000	6,000	+0	No	+$3	07-14 11:25
Zelenskyy out as Ukraine president by end of 2026?	8	$5.7K	3,180	3,180	+0	open	—	07-13 15:11
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?	22	$2.1K	5,000	5,000	+0	No	-$24	07-12 00:02
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	7	$1.7K	1,000	1,000	+0	open	—	07-12 11:11
will the us announce a blockade on iran by july 31 20260622191116912	21	$1.3K	1,400	1,400	+0	Yes	-$44	07-12 12:10
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by April 30, 2026?	6	$1.0K	518	518	+0	No	-$15	04-09 19:58
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?	8	$785	500	500	+0	Yes	+$5	07-12 05:14
russia x ukraine ceasefire by march 31 2026	1	$500	510	0	+510	No	+$10	03-14 20:18
Will Norway win on 2026-07-11?	11	$497	1,000	1,000	+0	No	+$2	07-11 21:09
Will Elon Musk post 40-59 tweets from July 3 to July 10, 2026?	4	$239	170	70	+100	No	+$0	07-06 03:26
us x iran diplomatic meeting by july 31 2026 20260622191708361	2	$212	200	200	+0	No	+$0	07-11 14:00
Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from June 26 to July 3, 2026?	2	$200	100	100	+0	No	+$0	07-01 22:06
Will Elon Musk post 80-99 tweets from June 30 to July 7, 2026?	3	$193	100	100	+0	No	+$0	07-05 13:46
Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from June 26 to July 3, 2026?	2	$184	100	100	+0	Yes	+$0	07-01 17:12
russia x ukraine ceasefire agreement by august 31 2026	2	$174	100	100	+0	No	+$2	07-06 07:32
Will Victor Marx win the 2026 Colorado Governor Republican primary election?	3	$122	100	100	+0	Yes	+$2	07-01 15:55
gpt 5pt6 released by july 6 2026	2	$118	70	70	+0	No	+$8	07-01 16:37
Will Bilibili Gaming win MSI 2026?	3	$114	100	100	+0	No	-$8	07-09 11:22
Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from July 4 to July 6, 2026?	5	$109	100	100	+0	Yes	+$1	07-05 14:20
Will Elon Musk post 100-119 tweets from June 30 to July 7, 2026?	4	$73	100	100	+0	No	+$14	07-06 19:15
iran commits not to attack ships in hormuz by sunday 20260710215434348	5	$73	200	200	+0	No	-$11	07-11 14:35
us x iran diplomatic meeting by july 17 2026 20260625223459704	10	$52	200	200	+0	No	-$4	07-11 16:53
Will "Young Washington" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 18m and 20m?	5	$42	114	114	+0	Yes	+$4	07-05 15:10
f1 british grand prix driver podium verstappen 2026 07 05	4	$41	200	0	+200	No	-$41	07-05 15:18
Will Anthony Fauci be arrested before 2027?	7	$39	120	120	+0	open	—	07-12 10:10
will falcons win blast bounty 2026 season 2 20260709150231150	8	$35	100	100	+0	Yes	+$1	07-11 16:45
Lee Jae-myung out as president of South Korea in 2026?	3	$29	200	200	+0	open	—	07-06 01:33
will vitality win blast bounty 2026 season 2 20260709150231151	3	$27	100	100	+0	resolved	+$1	07-11 22:03
Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from June 23 to June 30, 2026?	10	$27	890	0	+890	Yes	-$27	06-30 15:58
Lee Jae-myung arrested before 2027?	3	$18	100	100	+0	open	—	07-10 03:29

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
07-14 11:27:31	Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by December 31, 2026?	No	SELL	8	59¢	$5	0xef1cff…
07-14 11:25:04	putin out as president of russia by july 31 2026	No	SELL	5,381	100¢	$5,354	0xfa1b31…
07-14 10:09:41	Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	8	59¢	$5	0xe4d867…
07-13 15:16:52	putin out as president of russia by july 31 2026	No	SELL	51	100¢	$51	0x73d0f7…
07-13 15:11:25	Zelenskyy out as Ukraine president by end of 2026?	No	SELL	93	90¢	$83	0x3eac88…
07-13 14:56:53	Zelenskyy out as Ukraine president by end of 2026?	No	SELL	22	90¢	$20	0x401e7f…
07-13 14:46:32	Zelenskyy out as Ukraine president by end of 2026?	No	SELL	6	90¢	$5	0xf93337…
07-13 14:30:32	putin out as president of russia by july 31 2026	No	SELL	112	99¢	$111	0x2c47f2…
07-13 14:04:55	putin out as president of russia by july 31 2026	No	SELL	10	99¢	$10	0x2143be…
07-13 14:02:46	putin out as president of russia by july 31 2026	No	SELL	9	100¢	$9	0x069304…
07-13 13:55:32	putin out as president of russia by july 31 2026	No	SELL	13	100¢	$13	0x85409e…
07-13 13:52:50	putin out as president of russia by july 31 2026	No	SELL	9	100¢	$9	0x37564e…
07-13 13:50:59	putin out as president of russia by july 31 2026	No	SELL	10	99¢	$10	0x59b298…
07-13 12:53:46	putin out as president of russia by july 31 2026	No	SELL	183	99¢	$182	0x8cf76a…
07-13 12:52:52	putin out as president of russia by july 31 2026	No	SELL	159	100¢	$158	0x13433a…
07-13 11:44:07	putin out as president of russia by july 31 2026	No	SELL	13	99¢	$13	0x6cf543…
07-13 10:39:59	Zelenskyy out as Ukraine president by end of 2026?	No	SELL	16	90¢	$15	0x50130c…
07-13 10:36:04	Zelenskyy out as Ukraine president by end of 2026?	No	SELL	6	90¢	$5	0xfac584…
07-13 10:35:50	Zelenskyy out as Ukraine president by end of 2026?	No	SELL	3,037	90¢	$2,733	0x41d58b…
07-13 10:32:46	putin out as president of russia by july 31 2026	No	SELL	13	99¢	$13	0x225e82…
07-13 09:47:46	putin out as president of russia by july 31 2026	No	SELL	37	99¢	$37	0x7bf780…
07-12 20:36:05	putin out as president of russia by july 31 2026	No	BUY	619	99¢	$615	0x48af58…
07-12 19:17:59	putin out as president of russia by july 31 2026	No	BUY	2,000	99¢	$1,988	0x462b2a…
07-12 17:49:22	putin out as president of russia by july 31 2026	No	BUY	381	99¢	$378	0x3cf00f…
07-12 16:13:40	putin out as president of russia by july 31 2026	No	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x8d80cb…
07-12 15:38:19	Zelenskyy out as Ukraine president by end of 2026?	No	BUY	23	90¢	$21	0x764b47…
07-12 14:08:38	putin out as president of russia by july 31 2026	No	BUY	18	99¢	$18	0x79c400…
07-12 14:01:49	putin out as president of russia by july 31 2026	No	BUY	13	99¢	$13	0x3c5be6…
07-12 14:01:19	Zelenskyy out as Ukraine president by end of 2026?	No	BUY	3,156	90¢	$2,841	0x6730c3…
07-12 12:53:19	putin out as president of russia by july 31 2026	No	BUY	20	99¢	$20	0xc4db79…
07-12 12:26:10	putin out as president of russia by july 31 2026	No	BUY	400	100¢	$398	0x7f2a7b…
07-12 12:11:43	putin out as president of russia by july 31 2026	No	BUY	1,000	100¢	$995	0xe9b543…
07-12 12:10:19	will the us announce a blockade on iran by july 31 20260622191116912	No	SELL	200	55¢	$110	0x64d0a2…
07-12 11:56:43	will the us announce a blockade on iran by july 31 20260622191116912	No	BUY	200	56¢	$112	0x1cf34b…
07-12 11:47:22	will the us announce a blockade on iran by july 31 20260622191116912	Yes	SELL	133	41¢	$54	0xf0235a…
07-12 11:43:37	will the us announce a blockade on iran by july 31 20260622191116912	Yes	SELL	5	41¢	$2	0x076bb9…
07-12 11:43:08	will the us announce a blockade on iran by july 31 20260622191116912	Yes	SELL	2	41¢	$1	0x8a7560…
07-12 11:41:44	will the us announce a blockade on iran by july 31 20260622191116912	Yes	SELL	60	41¢	$25	0x937b9e…
07-12 11:32:16	will the us announce a blockade on iran by july 31 20260622191116912	Yes	BUY	0	40¢	$0	0xbbba4a…
07-12 11:31:26	will the us announce a blockade on iran by july 31 20260622191116912	Yes	BUY	121	40¢	$48	0x10ea3e…
07-12 11:28:20	will the us announce a blockade on iran by july 31 20260622191116912	Yes	BUY	79	40¢	$31	0x58b4aa…
07-12 11:11:13	Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	No	SELL	121	83¢	$100	0x2fc89f…
07-12 11:11:07	Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	No	SELL	16	83¢	$14	0x64eb07…
07-12 11:09:26	Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	No	SELL	166	83¢	$138	0x2e07d5…
07-12 11:06:59	Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	No	SELL	167	83¢	$139	0x5e0d90…
07-12 11:04:29	Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	No	SELL	500	83¢	$415	0xc9a15c…
07-12 11:02:41	Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	No	SELL	29	83¢	$24	0x7400e8…
07-12 10:50:22	Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	No	BUY	1,000	83¢	$830	0x156f7a…
07-12 10:10:46	Will Anthony Fauci be arrested before 2027?	Yes	SELL	56	11¢	$6	0xc744a0…
07-12 10:10:08	will the us announce a blockade on iran by july 31 20260622191116912	No	SELL	841	45¢	$378	0x099c0f…
07-12 10:09:05	will the us announce a blockade on iran by july 31 20260622191116912	No	SELL	5	45¢	$2	0x831a1e…
07-12 10:01:32	will the us announce a blockade on iran by july 31 20260622191116912	No	SELL	0	47¢	$0	0x31e78b…
07-12 10:01:22	will the us announce a blockade on iran by july 31 20260622191116912	No	SELL	50	47¢	$24	0xc65f8b…
07-12 09:59:40	will the us announce a blockade on iran by july 31 20260622191116912	No	SELL	0	50¢	$0	0x77bbc6…
07-12 09:59:37	will the us announce a blockade on iran by july 31 20260622191116912	No	SELL	7	50¢	$3	0xd2f50d…
07-12 09:59:37	will the us announce a blockade on iran by july 31 20260622191116912	No	SELL	0	50¢	$0	0xa80f07…
07-12 09:59:37	will the us announce a blockade on iran by july 31 20260622191116912	No	SELL	14	50¢	$7	0xa642a6…
07-12 09:59:37	will the us announce a blockade on iran by july 31 20260622191116912	No	SELL	22	50¢	$11	0x55011c…
07-12 09:59:35	will the us announce a blockade on iran by july 31 20260622191116912	No	SELL	22	50¢	$11	0xaa1457…
07-12 09:59:35	will the us announce a blockade on iran by july 31 20260622191116912	No	SELL	40	50¢	$20	0x0897ca…
07-12 09:57:19	will the us announce a blockade on iran by july 31 20260622191116912	No	BUY	1,000	50¢	$500	0x063daa…
07-12 05:14:43	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?	Yes	SELL	500	79¢	$395	0x3d640c…
07-12 00:02:26	Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?	Yes	SELL	2,007	21¢	$417	0x449510…
07-11 23:49:38	Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?	Yes	SELL	98	21¢	$20	0xbc7959…
07-11 23:49:38	Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?	Yes	SELL	5	21¢	$1	0x9ae75c…
07-11 23:49:29	Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?	Yes	SELL	5	21¢	$1	0xca95ca…
07-11 23:49:26	Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?	Yes	SELL	0	21¢	$0	0x65a074…
07-11 23:49:25	Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?	Yes	SELL	0	21¢	$0	0xc837a9…
07-11 23:49:25	Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?	Yes	SELL	0	21¢	$0	0xbd8b21…
07-11 23:49:25	Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?	Yes	SELL	0	21¢	$0	0xa3cbf1…
07-11 23:49:25	Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?	Yes	SELL	5	21¢	$1	0x53c988…
07-11 23:49:23	Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?	Yes	SELL	21	21¢	$4	0xd6d695…
07-11 23:49:23	Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?	Yes	SELL	2	21¢	$0	0x2702ff…
07-11 23:49:23	Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?	Yes	SELL	1	21¢	$0	0x160cf3…
07-11 23:49:20	Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?	Yes	SELL	1,950	21¢	$406	0x9678b9…
07-11 23:49:20	Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?	Yes	SELL	34	21¢	$7	0x75dc3d…
07-11 23:49:20	Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?	Yes	SELL	15	21¢	$3	0x5ed275…
07-11 23:49:20	Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?	Yes	SELL	9	21¢	$2	0x495472…
07-11 22:38:50	Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?	Yes	SELL	213	21¢	$44	0x0524cb…
07-11 22:03:41	will vitality win blast bounty 2026 season 2 20260709150231151	Yes	SELL	100	14¢	$14	0xc9aaa6…
07-11 21:51:02	will vitality win blast bounty 2026 season 2 20260709150231151	Yes	BUY	46	13¢	$6	0x2c0e9e…
07-11 21:51:01	will vitality win blast bounty 2026 season 2 20260709150231151	Yes	BUY	54	13¢	$7	0x8991d9…
07-11 21:09:17	Will Norway win on 2026-07-11?	Yes	SELL	1,000	25¢	$250	0xb1e809…
07-11 18:58:05	Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?	Yes	SELL	100	21¢	$21	0x0ddc44…
07-11 18:38:59	Will Norway win on 2026-07-11?	Yes	BUY	1	25¢	$0	0xeccdce…
07-11 18:38:34	Will Norway win on 2026-07-11?	Yes	BUY	12	25¢	$3	0xf25455…
07-11 18:38:11	Will Norway win on 2026-07-11?	Yes	BUY	2	25¢	$0	0xd6b5d2…
07-11 18:37:55	Will Norway win on 2026-07-11?	Yes	BUY	13	25¢	$3	0x5f895d…
07-11 18:37:53	Will Norway win on 2026-07-11?	Yes	BUY	20	25¢	$5	0x98bbde…
07-11 18:37:43	Will Norway win on 2026-07-11?	Yes	BUY	66	25¢	$16	0x8c4df3…
07-11 18:37:35	Will Norway win on 2026-07-11?	Yes	BUY	2	25¢	$0	0x8ac998…
07-11 18:36:56	Will Norway win on 2026-07-11?	Yes	BUY	377	25¢	$93	0x749c38…
07-11 18:36:17	Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?	Yes	SELL	476	21¢	$100	0x7ce1b9…
07-11 18:36:08	Will Norway win on 2026-07-11?	Yes	BUY	304	25¢	$75	0x1ac0c3…
07-11 18:36:01	Will Norway win on 2026-07-11?	Yes	BUY	203	25¢	$50	0x9e0084…
07-11 18:16:56	Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?	Yes	SELL	38	21¢	$8	0x5cc155…
07-11 17:33:16	Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?	Yes	SELL	20	21¢	$4	0xb1ca1a…
07-11 17:26:08	Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	5,000	21¢	$1,065	0x73d675…
07-11 16:53:16	us x iran diplomatic meeting by july 17 2026 20260625223459704	Yes	SELL	100	11¢	$11	0xfc93ee…
07-11 16:45:25	will falcons win blast bounty 2026 season 2 20260709150231150	Yes	SELL	100	18¢	$18	0xa5eed4…