Pastel-Milkshake — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$29

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

75.0%

Resolved

302

Trades

842

lifetime

Volume

$1.34K

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-01-17

last 09-13 17:35

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 55 days

Categories

Crypto

87% 73% -$10

Politics

7% 44% -$9

Other

5% 43% -$9

Sports

1% 50% -$1

Tech

1% 100% +$0

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

1 active day in 12wk • peak 4 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-02-04 21:00 UTC	6	$24	25	18	+8	Up	-$9	02-04 21:14
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-02-04 03:45 UTC	10	$23	31	9	+22	Up	+$3	02-04 03:59
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-02-04 20:00 UTC	5	$22	26	13	+13	Down	-$7	02-04 20:11
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-02-04 19:45 UTC	7	$22	25	0	+25	Up	+$3	02-04 19:57
us strikes iran by january 23 2026 494 711 798 734 155	2	$21	12	12	+0	No	+$1	01-21 21:28
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-02-04 04:00 UTC	10	$21	27	0	+27	Up	+$6	02-04 04:13
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-02-04 20:30 UTC	6	$21	24	5	+19	Up	+$2	02-04 20:44
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 7:05PM-7:10PM ET	5	$20	21	0	+21	Up	+$1	05-10 23:09
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-02-04 00:30 UTC	5	$19	24	5	+19	Up	+$2	02-04 00:39
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-02-04 00:45 UTC	3	$15	19	0	+19	Down	-$15	02-04 00:52
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-02-05 22:15 UTC	3	$15	136	25	+111	Up	+$11	02-05 22:29
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 7:10PM-7:15PM ET	6	$14	17	0	+17	Up	+$3	05-10 23:14
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-02-05 22:45 UTC	13	$13	117	5	+112	Down	-$11	02-05 22:59
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-02-05 19:00 UTC	11	$13	17	0	+17	Down	+$4	02-05 19:14
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-02-04 00:00 UTC	5	$13	16	0	+16	Down	+$3	02-04 00:10
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-02-04 03:15 UTC	4	$13	16	0	+16	Down	+$3	02-04 03:26
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-02-05 22:30 UTC	7	$13	11	5	+6	Down	+$2	02-05 22:44
nvda close above 190 on january 29 2026	2	$12	7	7	+0	Yes	+$2	01-29 23:13
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-02-05 19:30 UTC	11	$12	16	5	+11	Down	-$10	02-05 19:42
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-02-04 03:30 UTC	2	$11	14	0	+14	Up	+$3	02-04 03:33
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-02-05 01:45 UTC	8	$11	13	0	+13	Down	+$2	02-05 01:58
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-02-05 19:15 UTC	7	$11	26	0	+26	Down	+$1	02-05 19:25
will nvidia be the largest company in the world by market cap on january 31 985	2	$10	5	5	+0	Yes	+$0	01-21 21:28
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-07 01:55 UTC	6	$10	10	5	+5	Down	+$3	04-07 01:59
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-02-03 23:30 UTC	1	$10	10	0	+10	Up	+$0	02-03 23:43
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-02-04 21:30 UTC	5	$10	11	0	+11	Down	-$10	02-04 21:39
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-02-05 00:30 UTC	9	$10	11	0	+11	Down	+$1	02-05 00:44
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 8:55PM-9:00PM ET	5	$9	5	4	+1	Up	+$0	05-14 00:59
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 6:20AM-6:25AM ET	4	$9	6	6	+0	Up	+$3	05-09 10:25
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-07 02:30 UTC	5	$9	11	0	+11	Down	+$2	04-07 02:34

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
09-13 17:35:24	Will Swedish Social Democratic Party (S) win between 27% and 30% of all valid votes?	Yes	BUY	4	67¢	$2	0x6e8725…
09-13 17:32:48	Will Sweden Democrats (SD) win at least 20% of all valid votes?	Yes	BUY	6	47¢	$3	0xa67033…
09-13 17:32:16	Sweden Parliamentary Election: Liberals Win Seats?	Yes	BUY	2	87¢	$2	0x1c9223…
09-13 17:31:40	Will the Sweden Democrats (SD) win the second most seats in the 2026 Swedish parliamentary election?	Yes	BUY	4	77¢	$3	0xdac062…
07-19 00:17:22	Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	BUY	5	59¢	$3	0x17bce7…
07-17 01:23:19	will trump say make america great again during speech to the nation 20260713200621430	Yes	BUY	3	38¢	$1	0xe6fa3d…
07-17 01:22:50	will trump say million billion or trillion 20 times during speech to the nation 20260713200621419	No	BUY	1	89¢	$1	0xcaa930…
07-17 01:20:25	will trump say crooked during speech to the nation 20260713200621438	Yes	BUY	2	58¢	$1	0x32ac61…
07-17 00:37:53	fifwc esp arg 2026 07 19 team to advance	Spain	BUY	3	59¢	$2	0xc3757f…
07-17 00:37:44	fifwc fra eng 2026 07 18 team to advance	France	BUY	3	64¢	$2	0xe40299…
07-15 02:25:11	Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	BUY	2	58¢	$1	0x6dffec…
07-15 02:24:47	Will England win on 2026-07-15?	Yes	BUY	6	35¢	$2	0x4ae782…
07-13 11:48:35	Will France win on 2026-07-14?	Yes	BUY	2	41¢	$1	0xbbecea…
07-13 11:48:01	Will France reach the 2026 FIFA World Cup final?	Yes	BUY	3	60¢	$2	0xabdb43…
07-11 23:03:53	Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	BUY	5	38¢	$2	0x1c1270…
07-10 21:54:46	Will Norway win on 2026-07-11?	Yes	BUY	4	24¢	$1	0xdc87f8…
07-10 21:53:37	Will Argentina win on 2026-07-11?	Yes	BUY	3	58¢	$2	0x96f1f5…
07-09 22:03:34	Will Argentina win on 2026-07-11?	Yes	BUY	4	57¢	$2	0x1baceb…
07-09 22:03:11	Will Spain win on 2026-07-10?	Yes	BUY	3	59¢	$2	0x18e3d1…
07-07 18:01:35	Will Argentina win on 2026-07-07?	Yes	SELL	3	97¢	$3	0xc27a1f…
07-06 23:35:13	Will Norway win on 2026-07-11?	Yes	BUY	4	24¢	$1	0xfdf9d0…
07-06 23:35:07	Will France win on 2026-07-09?	Yes	BUY	3	62¢	$2	0xddd082…
07-06 23:34:56	Will Colombia win on 2026-07-07?	Yes	BUY	2	42¢	$1	0xc0dc5e…
07-06 23:34:46	Will Argentina win on 2026-07-07?	Yes	BUY	3	72¢	$2	0x1bbc89…
07-06 23:34:31	Will United States win on 2026-07-06?	Yes	BUY	3	37¢	$1	0xb61f0b…
05-23 01:44:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 9:30PM-9:45PM ET	Down	BUY	3	36¢	$1	0x183ba1…
05-23 01:43:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 9:30PM-9:45PM ET	Down	BUY	2	63¢	$1	0x0eea00…
05-23 01:42:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 9:30PM-9:45PM ET	Down	BUY	1	71¢	$1	0xd6cd0f…
05-23 01:32:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 9:30PM-9:45PM ET	Up	SELL	2	59¢	$1	0xd82ae2…
05-23 01:31:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 9:30PM-9:45PM ET	Up	BUY	2	53¢	$1	0x6a28ee…
05-16 00:59:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 8:55PM-9:00PM ET	Down	BUY	2	49¢	$1	0x49d950…
05-16 00:39:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 8:35PM-8:40PM ET	Up	BUY	1	98¢	$1	0x3c2f6d…
05-16 00:39:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 8:35PM-8:40PM ET	Up	BUY	1	97¢	$1	0x00fb84…
05-16 00:37:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 8:35PM-8:40PM ET	Up	BUY	1	90¢	$1	0x0bf059…
05-16 00:37:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 8:35PM-8:40PM ET	Up	BUY	1	91¢	$1	0xa78f6a…
05-15 02:13:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 10:10PM-10:15PM ET	Down	SELL	3	98¢	$3	0x188bf2…
05-15 02:11:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 10:10PM-10:15PM ET	Down	BUY	1	89¢	$1	0xbb51b9…
05-15 02:10:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 10:10PM-10:15PM ET	Down	BUY	1	89¢	$1	0x3d98db…
05-15 02:10:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 10:10PM-10:15PM ET	Down	BUY	1	89¢	$1	0x819332…
05-15 02:01:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 10:00PM-10:05PM ET	Down	BUY	2	65¢	$1	0xfb9179…
05-15 02:00:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 10:00PM-10:05PM ET	Down	BUY	2	62¢	$1	0x12b79c…
05-15 01:53:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 9:50PM-9:55PM ET	Down	SELL	3	99¢	$3	0x827d16…
05-15 01:51:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 9:50PM-9:55PM ET	Down	BUY	1	95¢	$1	0xca83f9…
05-15 01:51:41	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 9:50PM-9:55PM ET	Down	BUY	1	89¢	$1	0x0c6f70…
05-15 01:51:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 9:50PM-9:55PM ET	Down	BUY	1	79¢	$1	0xfa43d3…
05-15 01:44:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 9:40PM-9:45PM ET	Down	BUY	1	85¢	$1	0x6b2218…
05-15 01:44:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 9:40PM-9:45PM ET	Down	BUY	1	69¢	$1	0x39991f…
05-15 01:28:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 9:25PM-9:30PM ET	Down	SELL	1	95¢	$1	0xb01585…
05-15 01:27:25	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 9:25PM-9:30PM ET	Down	BUY	1	72¢	$1	0x8b2feb…
05-15 01:18:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 9:15PM-9:20PM ET	Up	BUY	1	73¢	$1	0xa1a865…
05-15 01:16:55	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 9:15PM-9:20PM ET	Up	BUY	1	83¢	$1	0xa57453…
05-15 01:14:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 9:10PM-9:15PM ET	Up	BUY	1	79¢	$1	0x28bd7a…
05-15 01:13:53	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 9:10PM-9:15PM ET	Up	BUY	1	85¢	$1	0x340da3…
05-15 01:09:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 9:05PM-9:10PM ET	Down	SELL	2	96¢	$2	0x1632ef…
05-15 01:08:49	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 9:05PM-9:10PM ET	Down	BUY	1	98¢	$1	0x4deffc…
05-15 01:08:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 9:05PM-9:10PM ET	Down	BUY	1	92¢	$1	0x7966bb…
05-15 01:07:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 9:05PM-9:10PM ET	Down	SELL	3	94¢	$2	0xbf5ae8…
05-15 01:06:37	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 9:05PM-9:10PM ET	Down	BUY	1	84¢	$1	0x6f32fe…
05-15 01:05:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 9:05PM-9:10PM ET	Down	BUY	1	70¢	$1	0x0371ae…
05-15 01:02:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 9:00PM-9:05PM ET	Up	SELL	1	96¢	$1	0xce1fdd…
05-15 01:02:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 9:00PM-9:05PM ET	Up	BUY	1	92¢	$1	0x55bc14…
05-15 00:58:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 8:55PM-9:00PM ET	Down	BUY	1	72¢	$1	0xf60ed5…
05-15 00:53:49	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 8:50PM-8:55PM ET	Down	SELL	4	98¢	$3	0x729d13…
05-15 00:53:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 8:50PM-8:55PM ET	Down	BUY	1	93¢	$1	0xb4ae22…
05-15 00:52:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 8:50PM-8:55PM ET	Down	BUY	1	80¢	$1	0x597f66…
05-15 00:52:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 8:50PM-8:55PM ET	Down	BUY	1	82¢	$1	0x60b688…
05-15 00:47:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 8:45PM-8:50PM ET	Up	SELL	2	99¢	$2	0xbd505a…
05-15 00:46:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 8:45PM-8:50PM ET	Up	BUY	2	91¢	$2	0x4f3b62…
05-15 00:41:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 8:40PM-8:45PM ET	Down	SELL	1	97¢	$1	0x4facba…
05-15 00:40:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 8:40PM-8:45PM ET	Down	BUY	1	88¢	$1	0x2f319f…
05-15 00:29:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 8:25PM-8:30PM ET	Down	BUY	3	72¢	$2	0xdde123…
05-15 00:29:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 8:25PM-8:30PM ET	Down	BUY	2	66¢	$1	0x78bcc2…
05-15 00:28:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 8:25PM-8:30PM ET	Down	BUY	1	82¢	$1	0x2c7371…
05-15 00:28:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 8:25PM-8:30PM ET	Down	BUY	1	87¢	$1	0x54948c…
05-15 00:27:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 8:25PM-8:30PM ET	Down	BUY	1	82¢	$1	0xd1d58a…
05-15 00:24:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 8:20PM-8:25PM ET	Up	BUY	1	81¢	$1	0xbf3cbc…
05-15 00:24:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 8:20PM-8:25PM ET	Up	BUY	1	86¢	$1	0x1dbdb1…
05-15 00:03:55	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 8:00PM-8:05PM ET	Up	SELL	2	95¢	$2	0xe6d9a5…
05-15 00:03:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 8:00PM-8:05PM ET	Up	BUY	1	94¢	$1	0x207270…
05-15 00:02:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 8:00PM-8:05PM ET	Up	BUY	1	87¢	$1	0x6f64bf…
05-14 23:59:55	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 7:55PM-8:00PM ET	Up	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0xba14d5…
05-14 23:59:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 7:55PM-8:00PM ET	Up	BUY	1	84¢	$1	0xd1d8f2…
05-14 23:57:37	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 7:55PM-8:00PM ET	Up	BUY	1	67¢	$1	0x369d77…
05-14 23:57:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 7:55PM-8:00PM ET	Up	BUY	1	75¢	$1	0xb38aaf…
05-14 23:51:01	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 7:50PM-7:55PM ET	Down	BUY	1	74¢	$1	0x2ffb79…
05-14 23:43:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 7:40PM-7:45PM ET	Down	SELL	2	98¢	$2	0x184de3…
05-14 23:42:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 7:40PM-7:45PM ET	Down	BUY	1	94¢	$1	0xba6014…
05-14 23:41:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 7:40PM-7:45PM ET	Down	BUY	1	82¢	$1	0x0a769e…
05-14 23:33:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 7:30PM-7:35PM ET	Down	BUY	1	90¢	$1	0xa41527…
05-14 23:32:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 7:30PM-7:35PM ET	Down	BUY	1	84¢	$1	0x80d34e…
05-14 23:31:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 7:30PM-7:35PM ET	Down	BUY	1	81¢	$1	0x8a3c98…
05-14 00:59:59	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 8:55PM-9:00PM ET	Up	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0x9ec14a…
05-14 00:59:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 8:55PM-9:00PM ET	Up	SELL	4	98¢	$4	0xfaee7e…
05-14 00:59:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 8:55PM-9:00PM ET	Up	BUY	2	98¢	$2	0x6fa356…
05-14 00:59:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 8:55PM-9:00PM ET	Up	BUY	1	95¢	$1	0x8485fe…
05-14 00:59:01	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 8:55PM-9:00PM ET	Up	BUY	1	91¢	$1	0xeafce3…
05-14 00:54:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 8:50PM-8:55PM ET	Down	BUY	2	99¢	$2	0x1cb96f…
05-14 00:53:53	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 8:50PM-8:55PM ET	Down	SELL	2	88¢	$2	0x568d75…
05-14 00:53:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 8:50PM-8:55PM ET	Down	BUY	2	50¢	$1	0x2fc23a…
05-14 00:49:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 8:45PM-8:50PM ET	Up	BUY	1	69¢	$1	0x467101…