Pastel-Milkshake — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$6

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

86.4%

Resolved

108

Trades

817

lifetime

Volume

$1.30K

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-01-17

last 05-23 01:44

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 7 days

Categories

Crypto

90% 79% +$6

Politics

7% — —

Other

3% — —

Tech

1% — —

Sports

0% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

15 active days in 12wk • peak 135 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (4) Recent trades Correlated wallets (8)

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
btc updown 15m 1770238800	6	$24	25	18	+8	open	—	02-04 21:14
btc updown 15m 1770176700	10	$23	31	9	+22	open	—	02-04 03:59
btc updown 15m 1770235200	5	$22	26	13	+13	open	—	02-04 20:11
btc updown 15m 1770234300	7	$22	25	0	+25	open	—	02-04 19:57
us strikes iran by january 23 2026 494 711 798 734 155	2	$21	12	12	+0	open	—	01-21 21:28
btc updown 15m 1770177600	10	$21	27	0	+27	open	—	02-04 04:13
btc updown 15m 1770237000	6	$21	24	5	+19	open	—	02-04 20:44
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 7:05PM-7:10PM ET	5	$20	21	0	+21	Up	+$1	05-10 23:09
btc updown 15m 1770165000	5	$19	24	5	+19	open	—	02-04 00:39
btc updown 15m 1770165900	3	$15	19	0	+19	open	—	02-04 00:52
btc updown 15m 1770329700	3	$15	136	25	+111	open	—	02-05 22:29
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 7:10PM-7:15PM ET	6	$14	17	0	+17	Up	+$3	05-10 23:14
btc updown 15m 1770331500	13	$13	117	5	+112	open	—	02-05 22:59
btc updown 15m 1770318000	11	$13	17	0	+17	open	—	02-05 19:14
btc updown 15m 1770163200	5	$13	16	0	+16	open	—	02-04 00:10
btc updown 15m 1770174900	4	$13	16	0	+16	open	—	02-04 03:26
btc updown 15m 1770330600	7	$13	11	5	+6	open	—	02-05 22:44
nvda close above 190 on january 29 2026	2	$12	7	7	+0	open	—	01-29 23:13
btc updown 15m 1770319800	11	$12	16	5	+11	open	—	02-05 19:42
btc updown 15m 1770175800	2	$11	14	0	+14	open	—	02-04 03:33
btc updown 15m 1770255900	8	$11	13	0	+13	open	—	02-05 01:58
btc updown 15m 1770318900	7	$11	26	0	+26	open	—	02-05 19:25
will nvidia be the largest company in the world by market cap on january 31 985	2	$10	5	5	+0	open	—	01-21 21:28
btc updown 5m 1775526900	6	$10	10	5	+5	open	—	04-07 01:59
btc updown 15m 1770161400	1	$10	10	0	+10	open	—	02-03 23:43
btc updown 15m 1770240600	5	$10	11	0	+11	open	—	02-04 21:39
btc updown 15m 1770251400	9	$10	11	0	+11	open	—	02-05 00:44
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 8:55PM-9:00PM ET	5	$9	5	4	+1	Up	+$0	05-14 00:59
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 6:20AM-6:25AM ET	4	$9	6	6	+0	Up	+$3	05-09 10:25
btc updown 5m 1775529000	5	$9	11	0	+11	open	—	04-07 02:34

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
05-23 01:44:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 9:30PM-9:45PM ET	Down	BUY	3	36¢	$1	0x183ba1…
05-23 01:43:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 9:30PM-9:45PM ET	Down	BUY	2	63¢	$1	0x0eea00…
05-23 01:42:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 9:30PM-9:45PM ET	Down	BUY	1	71¢	$1	0xd6cd0f…
05-23 01:32:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 9:30PM-9:45PM ET	Up	SELL	2	59¢	$1	0xd82ae2…
05-23 01:31:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 9:30PM-9:45PM ET	Up	BUY	2	53¢	$1	0x6a28ee…
05-16 00:59:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 8:55PM-9:00PM ET	Down	BUY	2	49¢	$1	0x49d950…
05-16 00:39:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 8:35PM-8:40PM ET	Up	BUY	1	98¢	$1	0x3c2f6d…
05-16 00:39:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 8:35PM-8:40PM ET	Up	BUY	1	97¢	$1	0x00fb84…
05-16 00:37:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 8:35PM-8:40PM ET	Up	BUY	1	90¢	$1	0x0bf059…
05-16 00:37:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 8:35PM-8:40PM ET	Up	BUY	1	91¢	$1	0xa78f6a…
05-15 02:13:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 10:10PM-10:15PM ET	Down	SELL	3	98¢	$3	0x188bf2…
05-15 02:11:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 10:10PM-10:15PM ET	Down	BUY	1	89¢	$1	0xbb51b9…
05-15 02:10:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 10:10PM-10:15PM ET	Down	BUY	1	89¢	$1	0x3d98db…
05-15 02:10:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 10:10PM-10:15PM ET	Down	BUY	1	89¢	$1	0x819332…
05-15 02:01:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 10:00PM-10:05PM ET	Down	BUY	2	65¢	$1	0xfb9179…
05-15 02:00:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 10:00PM-10:05PM ET	Down	BUY	2	62¢	$1	0x12b79c…
05-15 01:53:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 9:50PM-9:55PM ET	Down	SELL	3	99¢	$3	0x827d16…
05-15 01:51:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 9:50PM-9:55PM ET	Down	BUY	1	95¢	$1	0xca83f9…
05-15 01:51:41	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 9:50PM-9:55PM ET	Down	BUY	1	89¢	$1	0x0c6f70…
05-15 01:51:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 9:50PM-9:55PM ET	Down	BUY	1	79¢	$1	0xfa43d3…
05-15 01:44:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 9:40PM-9:45PM ET	Down	BUY	1	85¢	$1	0x6b2218…
05-15 01:44:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 9:40PM-9:45PM ET	Down	BUY	1	69¢	$1	0x39991f…
05-15 01:28:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 9:25PM-9:30PM ET	Down	SELL	1	95¢	$1	0xb01585…
05-15 01:27:25	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 9:25PM-9:30PM ET	Down	BUY	1	72¢	$1	0x8b2feb…
05-15 01:18:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 9:15PM-9:20PM ET	Up	BUY	1	73¢	$1	0xa1a865…
05-15 01:16:55	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 9:15PM-9:20PM ET	Up	BUY	1	83¢	$1	0xa57453…
05-15 01:14:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 9:10PM-9:15PM ET	Up	BUY	1	79¢	$1	0x28bd7a…
05-15 01:13:53	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 9:10PM-9:15PM ET	Up	BUY	1	85¢	$1	0x340da3…
05-15 01:09:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 9:05PM-9:10PM ET	Down	SELL	2	96¢	$2	0x1632ef…
05-15 01:08:49	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 9:05PM-9:10PM ET	Down	BUY	1	98¢	$1	0x4deffc…
05-15 01:08:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 9:05PM-9:10PM ET	Down	BUY	1	92¢	$1	0x7966bb…
05-15 01:07:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 9:05PM-9:10PM ET	Down	SELL	3	94¢	$2	0xbf5ae8…
05-15 01:06:37	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 9:05PM-9:10PM ET	Down	BUY	1	84¢	$1	0x6f32fe…
05-15 01:05:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 9:05PM-9:10PM ET	Down	BUY	1	70¢	$1	0x0371ae…
05-15 01:02:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 9:00PM-9:05PM ET	Up	SELL	1	96¢	$1	0xce1fdd…
05-15 01:02:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 9:00PM-9:05PM ET	Up	BUY	1	92¢	$1	0x55bc14…
05-15 00:58:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 8:55PM-9:00PM ET	Down	BUY	1	72¢	$1	0xf60ed5…
05-15 00:53:49	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 8:50PM-8:55PM ET	Down	SELL	4	98¢	$3	0x729d13…
05-15 00:53:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 8:50PM-8:55PM ET	Down	BUY	1	93¢	$1	0xb4ae22…
05-15 00:52:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 8:50PM-8:55PM ET	Down	BUY	1	80¢	$1	0x597f66…
05-15 00:52:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 8:50PM-8:55PM ET	Down	BUY	1	82¢	$1	0x60b688…
05-15 00:47:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 8:45PM-8:50PM ET	Up	SELL	2	99¢	$2	0xbd505a…
05-15 00:46:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 8:45PM-8:50PM ET	Up	BUY	2	91¢	$2	0x4f3b62…
05-15 00:41:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 8:40PM-8:45PM ET	Down	SELL	1	97¢	$1	0x4facba…
05-15 00:40:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 8:40PM-8:45PM ET	Down	BUY	1	88¢	$1	0x2f319f…
05-15 00:29:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 8:25PM-8:30PM ET	Down	BUY	3	72¢	$2	0xdde123…
05-15 00:29:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 8:25PM-8:30PM ET	Down	BUY	2	66¢	$1	0x78bcc2…
05-15 00:28:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 8:25PM-8:30PM ET	Down	BUY	1	82¢	$1	0x2c7371…
05-15 00:28:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 8:25PM-8:30PM ET	Down	BUY	1	87¢	$1	0x54948c…
05-15 00:27:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 8:25PM-8:30PM ET	Down	BUY	1	82¢	$1	0xd1d58a…
05-15 00:24:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 8:20PM-8:25PM ET	Up	BUY	1	81¢	$1	0xbf3cbc…
05-15 00:24:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 8:20PM-8:25PM ET	Up	BUY	1	86¢	$1	0x1dbdb1…
05-15 00:03:55	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 8:00PM-8:05PM ET	Up	SELL	2	95¢	$2	0xe6d9a5…
05-15 00:03:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 8:00PM-8:05PM ET	Up	BUY	1	94¢	$1	0x207270…
05-15 00:02:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 8:00PM-8:05PM ET	Up	BUY	1	87¢	$1	0x6f64bf…
05-14 23:59:55	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 7:55PM-8:00PM ET	Up	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0xba14d5…
05-14 23:59:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 7:55PM-8:00PM ET	Up	BUY	1	84¢	$1	0xd1d8f2…
05-14 23:57:37	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 7:55PM-8:00PM ET	Up	BUY	1	67¢	$1	0x369d77…
05-14 23:57:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 7:55PM-8:00PM ET	Up	BUY	1	75¢	$1	0xb38aaf…
05-14 23:51:01	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 7:50PM-7:55PM ET	Down	BUY	1	74¢	$1	0x2ffb79…
05-14 23:43:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 7:40PM-7:45PM ET	Down	SELL	2	98¢	$2	0x184de3…
05-14 23:42:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 7:40PM-7:45PM ET	Down	BUY	1	94¢	$1	0xba6014…
05-14 23:41:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 7:40PM-7:45PM ET	Down	BUY	1	82¢	$1	0x0a769e…
05-14 23:33:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 7:30PM-7:35PM ET	Down	BUY	1	90¢	$1	0xa41527…
05-14 23:32:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 7:30PM-7:35PM ET	Down	BUY	1	84¢	$1	0x80d34e…
05-14 23:31:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 7:30PM-7:35PM ET	Down	BUY	1	81¢	$1	0x8a3c98…
05-14 00:59:59	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 8:55PM-9:00PM ET	Up	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0x9ec14a…
05-14 00:59:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 8:55PM-9:00PM ET	Up	SELL	4	98¢	$4	0xfaee7e…
05-14 00:59:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 8:55PM-9:00PM ET	Up	BUY	2	98¢	$2	0x6fa356…
05-14 00:59:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 8:55PM-9:00PM ET	Up	BUY	1	95¢	$1	0x8485fe…
05-14 00:59:01	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 8:55PM-9:00PM ET	Up	BUY	1	91¢	$1	0xeafce3…
05-14 00:54:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 8:50PM-8:55PM ET	Down	BUY	2	99¢	$2	0x1cb96f…
05-14 00:53:53	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 8:50PM-8:55PM ET	Down	SELL	2	88¢	$2	0x568d75…
05-14 00:53:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 8:50PM-8:55PM ET	Down	BUY	2	50¢	$1	0x2fc23a…
05-14 00:49:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 8:45PM-8:50PM ET	Up	BUY	1	69¢	$1	0x467101…
05-14 00:48:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 8:45PM-8:50PM ET	Up	BUY	1	80¢	$1	0xce7b13…
05-14 00:48:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 8:45PM-8:50PM ET	Up	BUY	1	76¢	$1	0x373179…
05-14 00:46:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 8:45PM-8:50PM ET	Up	BUY	1	75¢	$1	0x2abd0f…
05-14 00:42:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 8:40PM-8:45PM ET	Down	BUY	2	64¢	$1	0xe1c3e3…
05-14 00:40:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 8:35PM-8:40PM ET	Down	BUY	2	99¢	$2	0xfc4b9e…
05-14 00:32:55	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 8:30PM-8:35PM ET	Up	SELL	2	99¢	$2	0xfc795a…
05-14 00:31:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 8:30PM-8:35PM ET	Up	BUY	1	92¢	$1	0x6a71ff…
05-14 00:30:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 8:30PM-8:35PM ET	Up	BUY	1	88¢	$1	0x8d7854…
05-14 00:29:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 8:25PM-8:30PM ET	Down	SELL	4	99¢	$4	0x027b22…
05-14 00:29:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 8:25PM-8:30PM ET	Down	BUY	1	97¢	$1	0xf8964a…
05-14 00:28:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 8:25PM-8:30PM ET	Down	BUY	1	94¢	$1	0xb03076…
05-14 00:28:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 8:25PM-8:30PM ET	Down	BUY	1	88¢	$1	0x2d5c5a…
05-14 00:28:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 8:25PM-8:30PM ET	Down	BUY	1	85¢	$1	0x6a169c…
05-13 23:49:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 7:45PM-7:50PM ET	Down	BUY	1	88¢	$1	0x99e693…
05-13 23:49:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 7:45PM-7:50PM ET	Down	BUY	1	94¢	$1	0x0d23cb…
05-13 23:44:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 7:40PM-7:45PM ET	Up	SELL	1	98¢	$1	0x76dfd8…
05-13 23:43:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 7:40PM-7:45PM ET	Up	BUY	1	92¢	$1	0x31ffa2…
05-13 23:34:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 7:30PM-7:35PM ET	Down	SELL	1	98¢	$1	0xd3e663…
05-13 23:33:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 7:30PM-7:35PM ET	Down	BUY	1	92¢	$1	0x6742f9…
05-13 23:27:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 7:25PM-7:30PM ET	Up	BUY	2	58¢	$1	0xcfc2a4…
05-13 23:24:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 7:20PM-7:25PM ET	Up	SELL	1	99¢	$1	0xe4330d…
05-13 23:23:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 7:20PM-7:25PM ET	Up	BUY	1	93¢	$1	0xe93a37…
05-13 23:19:53	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 7:15PM-7:20PM ET	Down	SELL	1	98¢	$1	0x890e5d…
05-13 23:19:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 7:15PM-7:20PM ET	Down	BUY	1	97¢	$1	0x78dd83…
05-13 23:14:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 7:10PM-7:15PM ET	Down	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0xe44ffa…

Wallet	Shared markets	Overlap volume	Overlap trades	Last seen
Dry-Solvency 0x5d3c…c298	228	$20.9K	3,517	05-16 00:58
Palatable-Patent 0x0c7c…e4cb	203	$33.9K	7,168	05-16 00:59
(anonymous) 0xdaa9…e31d	195	$3.03K	596	05-16 00:53
(anonymous) 0x88f4…d4db	194	$87.6K	6,309	05-16 00:59
Rubbery-Chiffonier 0xe8d6…c964	193	$593	1,185	05-16 01:00
Joyful-Algorithm 0xf16a…f999	188	$7.77K	520	05-15 02:10
Enraged-Finisher 0xff3e…34e0	188	$1.89K	330	05-23 01:44
(anonymous) 0xa3d0…ec04	184	$9.53K	1,609	05-16 00:59