Devoted-Definition — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$138

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

100.0%

Resolved

Trades

lifetime

Volume

$4.28K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$70

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-04-24

last 05-16 18:03

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 4 days

Categories

Other

88% 100% +$125

Politics

12% 100% +$12

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

10 active days in 12wk • peak 15 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (21) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Romania No-Confidence vote passes?	4	$958	514	489	+25	Yes	+$20	05-05 14:16
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 8, 2026?	2	$244	127	127	+0	No	+$10	05-09 04:15
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 8, 2026?	2	$236	120	120	+0	No	+$3	05-09 04:16
Will Reform UK win at least 2200 council seat elections in the 2026 United Kingdom local elections?	2	$221	116	116	+0	No	+$9	05-09 04:17
Will the Liberal Democrats win at least 700 council seat elections in the 2026 United Kingdom local elections?	2	$220	114	114	+0	Yes	+$7	05-09 04:18
Will the Labour Party win at least 300 council seat elections in the 2026 United Kingdom local elections?	3	$115	59	59	+0	Yes	+$1	05-09 04:16
S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on May 6?	1	$106	116	0	+116	Up	+$9	05-06 09:03
S&P 500 (SPY) closes above $730 on May 7?	1	$106	116	0	+116	Yes	+$9	05-07 09:48
Microsoft (MSFT) Up or Down on May 5?	2	$106	113	0	+113	Down	+$7	05-05 17:44
Will S&P 500 (SPY) hit (HIGH) $745 Week of May 4 2026?	1	$106	109	0	+109	No	+$3	05-08 05:52
S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on May 6?	2	$106	109	0	+109	Up	+$2	05-06 09:56
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $110 Week of May 4 2026?	2	$106	110	0	+110	No	+$4	05-07 10:37
SPY (SPY) Up or Down on May 6?	1	$106	114	0	+114	Up	+$8	05-06 08:59
Will Meta (META) close above $590 on May 6?	1	$106	111	0	+111	Yes	+$5	05-06 13:38
S&P 500 (SPY) closes above $735 on May 6?	1	$106	110	0	+110	No	+$4	05-06 13:38
WTI Crude Oil (WTI) Up or Down on May 6?	1	$104	116	0	+116	Down	+$12	05-06 08:24
S&P 500 (SPY) closes above $725 on May 6?	1	$104	113	0	+113	Yes	+$9	05-06 10:14
S&P 500 (SPY) closes above $720 on May 6?	3	$96	104	0	+104	Yes	+$8	05-06 13:15
Will NVIDIA (NVDA) hit (HIGH) $220 Week of May 4 2026?	1	$94	96	0	+96	No	+$2	05-06 13:48
Will Serbia be in the top 5 at Eurovision 2026?	1	$91	94	0	+94	open	—	05-16 16:16
Will Lithuania be in the top 10 at Eurovision 2026?	1	$91	97	0	+97	open	—	05-16 13:01
Will Australia be in the top 10 at Eurovision 2026?	1	$91	97	0	+97	open	—	05-16 07:32
Will Germany be in the top 10 at Eurovision 2026?	1	$91	95	0	+95	open	—	05-16 17:14
Will Sweden be in the top 5 at Eurovision 2026?	3	$91	99	0	+99	open	—	05-16 08:32
Will Malta be in the top 5 at Eurovision 2026?	1	$91	94	0	+94	open	—	05-16 02:05
Will Finland be in the top 10 at Eurovision 2026?	1	$91	93	0	+93	open	—	05-16 15:17
Will Croatia be in the top 5 at Eurovision 2026?	2	$91	95	0	+95	open	—	05-16 00:25
SPY (SPY) Up or Down on May 5?	1	$53	55	0	+55	Up	+$2	05-05 14:30
Will Anheuser-Busch (BUD) beat quarterly earnings?	2	$36	38	0	+38	Yes	+$2	05-03 00:48
Will Poland be in the top 5 at Eurovision 2026?	1	$28	29	0	+29	open	—	05-16 18:03

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
05-16 18:03:34	Will Poland be in the top 5 at Eurovision 2026?	No	BUY	29	98¢	$28	0xbaa73c…
05-16 17:14:46	Will Germany be in the top 10 at Eurovision 2026?	No	BUY	95	95¢	$91	0x63fcf5…
05-16 16:16:31	Will Serbia be in the top 5 at Eurovision 2026?	No	BUY	94	97¢	$91	0xf7cdeb…
05-16 15:17:01	Will Finland be in the top 10 at Eurovision 2026?	Yes	BUY	93	98¢	$91	0x206d3e…
05-16 13:01:33	Will Lithuania be in the top 10 at Eurovision 2026?	No	BUY	97	94¢	$91	0xcf6531…
05-16 11:44:55	Will Norway be in the top 5 at Eurovision 2026?	No	BUY	2	95¢	$2	0xfb556b…
05-16 08:32:15	Will Sweden be in the top 5 at Eurovision 2026?	No	BUY	37	92¢	$34	0x5adaa4…
05-16 07:36:45	Will Sweden be in the top 5 at Eurovision 2026?	No	BUY	25	92¢	$23	0xf033ca…
05-16 07:32:31	Will Australia be in the top 10 at Eurovision 2026?	Yes	BUY	97	94¢	$91	0xc5fab2…
05-16 07:10:03	Will Israel be in the top 10 at Eurovision 2026?	Yes	BUY	5	92¢	$5	0xbcab9e…
05-16 06:47:57	Will Israel be in the top 10 at Eurovision 2026?	Yes	BUY	7	92¢	$6	0x5745af…
05-16 06:42:26	Will Sweden be in the top 5 at Eurovision 2026?	No	BUY	37	92¢	$34	0x773ca5…
05-16 02:05:28	Will Malta be in the top 5 at Eurovision 2026?	No	BUY	94	97¢	$91	0x16a934…
05-16 00:25:20	Will Croatia be in the top 5 at Eurovision 2026?	No	BUY	7	96¢	$6	0xd83de4…
05-16 00:25:20	Will Croatia be in the top 5 at Eurovision 2026?	No	BUY	88	96¢	$85	0x852988…
05-09 04:18:09	Will the Liberal Democrats win at least 700 council seat elections in the 2026 United Kingdom local elections?	Yes	SELL	114	100¢	$114	0x53be34…
05-09 04:17:13	Will Reform UK win at least 2200 council seat elections in the 2026 United Kingdom local elections?	No	SELL	116	99¢	$115	0x04e985…
05-09 04:16:26	Will the Labour Party win at least 300 council seat elections in the 2026 United Kingdom local elections?	Yes	SELL	59	99¢	$58	0x3d7eb1…
05-09 04:16:06	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 8, 2026?	No	SELL	120	100¢	$120	0x95524a…
05-09 04:15:52	Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 8, 2026?	No	SELL	127	100¢	$127	0x023519…
05-08 19:58:10	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 8, 2026?	No	BUY	120	98¢	$117	0xbaeebc…
05-08 11:18:58	S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on May 8?	Up	BUY	8	94¢	$7	0xaf13e4…
05-08 05:52:37	Will S&P 500 (SPY) hit (HIGH) $745 Week of May 4 2026?	No	BUY	109	97¢	$106	0x107663…
05-07 21:52:55	Will S&P 500 (SPY) hit (LOW) $715 Week of May 4 2026?	No	BUY	9	95¢	$8	0xfcfd36…
05-07 11:22:32	Will the Labour Party win at least 300 council seat elections in the 2026 United Kingdom local elections?	Yes	BUY	5	97¢	$5	0xbcf08d…
05-07 11:14:36	Will Reform UK win at least 2200 council seat elections in the 2026 United Kingdom local elections?	No	BUY	116	92¢	$106	0xae536e…
05-07 10:42:36	Will Green Party win a mayorship in the 2026 United Kingdom local elections?	Yes	BUY	1	92¢	$1	0x975070…
05-07 10:42:31	Will Green Party win a mayorship in the 2026 United Kingdom local elections?	Yes	BUY	1	92¢	$1	0xe275b9…
05-07 10:37:18	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $110 Week of May 4 2026?	No	BUY	98	97¢	$95	0xede943…
05-07 09:48:37	S&P 500 (SPY) closes above $730 on May 7?	Yes	BUY	116	92¢	$106	0x307e44…
05-07 08:39:56	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $110 Week of May 4 2026?	No	BUY	12	97¢	$11	0xfdff22…
05-06 13:48:10	Will NVIDIA (NVDA) hit (HIGH) $220 Week of May 4 2026?	No	BUY	96	98¢	$94	0x1aaae7…
05-06 13:38:12	Will Meta (META) close above $590 on May 6?	Yes	BUY	111	96¢	$106	0x089df2…
05-06 13:38:06	S&P 500 (SPY) closes above $735 on May 6?	No	BUY	110	96¢	$106	0xae5aca…
05-06 13:15:40	S&P 500 (SPY) closes above $720 on May 6?	Yes	BUY	5	92¢	$5	0x5a4239…
05-06 12:56:44	Will the Liberal Democrats win at least 700 council seat elections in the 2026 United Kingdom local elections?	Yes	BUY	114	93¢	$106	0x6155ec…
05-06 12:51:56	Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 8, 2026?	No	BUY	127	92¢	$117	0x5f2618…
05-06 12:19:40	S&P 500 (SPY) closes above $720 on May 6?	Yes	BUY	49	92¢	$45	0x5211b0…
05-06 12:19:38	S&P 500 (SPY) closes above $720 on May 6?	Yes	BUY	49	92¢	$45	0xde4b64…
05-06 10:14:06	S&P 500 (SPY) closes above $725 on May 6?	Yes	BUY	113	92¢	$104	0x80e612…
05-06 09:56:02	S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on May 6?	Up	BUY	59	98¢	$57	0x26c4d7…
05-06 09:55:46	S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on May 6?	Up	BUY	50	98¢	$49	0x46ee0a…
05-06 09:03:30	S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on May 6?	Up	BUY	116	92¢	$106	0x33de48…
05-06 08:59:50	SPY (SPY) Up or Down on May 6?	Up	BUY	114	93¢	$106	0x8c184e…
05-06 08:24:22	WTI Crude Oil (WTI) Up or Down on May 6?	Down	BUY	116	90¢	$104	0x283ade…
05-05 17:44:04	Microsoft (MSFT) Up or Down on May 5?	Down	BUY	98	94¢	$92	0xd22bb5…
05-05 17:42:56	Microsoft (MSFT) Up or Down on May 5?	Down	BUY	15	94¢	$14	0x56ad83…
05-05 14:30:02	SPY (SPY) Up or Down on May 5?	Up	BUY	55	96¢	$53	0xae1345…
05-05 14:16:38	Romania No-Confidence vote passes?	Yes	SELL	489	100¢	$489	0x442207…
05-05 11:01:08	Romania No-Confidence vote passes?	Yes	BUY	16	96¢	$15	0x5740d8…
05-05 10:58:02	Romania No-Confidence vote passes?	Yes	BUY	474	95¢	$450	0x2e7a6f…
05-05 10:46:48	Romania No-Confidence vote passes?	No	BUY	25	16¢	$4	0x1ab7c3…
05-05 10:16:16	Will the Labour Party win at least 300 council seat elections in the 2026 United Kingdom local elections?	Yes	BUY	53	97¢	$52	0x7e87df…
05-03 19:49:00	Will Palantir (PLTR) beat quarterly earnings?	Yes	BUY	29	95¢	$27	0x7bab41…
05-03 01:01:30	Will Occidental Petroleum (OXY) beat quarterly earnings?	Yes	BUY	19	94¢	$18	0x0daae5…
05-03 00:48:34	Will Anheuser-Busch (BUD) beat quarterly earnings?	Yes	BUY	19	96¢	$18	0x047ff5…
05-03 00:32:54	Will Anheuser-Busch (BUD) beat quarterly earnings?	Yes	BUY	19	96¢	$18	0xc53d96…
05-02 16:21:36	Will Vitality make it to the BLAST Rivals Fort Worth 2026 Grand Final?	Yes	BUY	5	92¢	$5	0x5c57e3…
05-02 13:06:22	Will a team get 13-0'd at BLAST Rivals Fort Worth 2026?	No	BUY	5	97¢	$5	0xc51b0e…
04-26 00:47:06	US x Iran permanent peace deal by April 30, 2026?	No	SELL	1	96¢	$1	0x38f541…
04-24 22:48:06	US x Iran permanent peace deal by April 30, 2026?	No	BUY	1	90¢	$1	0xec5963…