Essential-Statute — Polymarket

Realized P&L (90d)

-$4

Unrealized P&L

+$2

Hit rate

58.7%

Resolved (90d)

Trades (90d)

48 lifetime

Volume (90d)

$133

$133 lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

$13

3 positions

First seen

2026-05-04

last 05-05 18:48

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 2 days

Categories

Crypto

100% 52% $-4

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

2 active days in 12wk • peak 45 trades/day

Open positions (3) Resolved markets (17) Recent trades Correlated wallets (8)

Market	Outcome	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 2:45PM-2:50PM ET	Up	+10	$5	99¢	$10	+$4	05-05 18:48
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 2:20PM-2:25PM ET	Down	+5	$2	54¢	$3	+$0	05-05 18:23
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 2:15PM-2:20PM ET	Up	+5	$3	1¢	$0	$-3	05-05 18:15

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
05-05 18:48:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 2:45PM-2:50PM ET	Up	BUY	5	63¢	$3	0x8635be…
05-05 18:46:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 2:45PM-2:50PM ET	Up	BUY	5	46¢	$2	0xadb390…
05-05 18:23:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 2:20PM-2:25PM ET	Down	BUY	5	49¢	$2	0x1340bf…
05-05 18:15:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 2:15PM-2:20PM ET	Up	BUY	5	49¢	$3	0xbca450…
05-05 16:59:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 12:55PM-1:00PM ET	Down	BUY	6	18¢	$1	0xb775c0…
05-05 15:59:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 11:55AM-12:00PM ET	Down	BUY	5	86¢	$5	0xd5af1b…
05-05 15:39:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 11:35AM-11:40AM ET	Up	BUY	18	6¢	$1	0xb86ce7…
05-05 14:44:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 10:40AM-10:45AM ET	Down	BUY	12	9¢	$1	0x03cf0a…
05-05 14:34:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 10:30AM-10:35AM ET	Up	BUY	17	6¢	$1	0x0f06f2…
05-05 12:56:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 8:55AM-9:00AM ET	Up	BUY	5	28¢	$1	0xd87065…
05-05 11:45:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 7:45AM-7:50AM ET	Up	BUY	5	46¢	$2	0x0f127d…
05-05 10:30:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 6:30AM-6:35AM ET	Up	BUY	5	62¢	$3	0x8cb141…
05-05 10:16:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 6:15AM-6:20AM ET	Up	BUY	5	82¢	$4	0x4b434b…
05-05 10:10:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 6:10AM-6:15AM ET	Up	BUY	5	52¢	$3	0xc8ea50…
05-05 09:50:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 5:50AM-5:55AM ET	Down	BUY	5	59¢	$3	0x271770…
05-05 08:55:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 4:55AM-5:00AM ET	Down	BUY	5	63¢	$3	0x1f6c27…
05-05 08:50:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 4:50AM-4:55AM ET	Down	BUY	5	45¢	$2	0xff5391…
05-05 08:30:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 4:30AM-4:35AM ET	Up	BUY	5	60¢	$3	0x1a213b…
05-05 08:25:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 4:25AM-4:30AM ET	Up	BUY	6	39¢	$2	0x3a9986…
05-05 08:20:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 4:20AM-4:25AM ET	Up	BUY	5	55¢	$3	0x2ce783…
05-05 08:16:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 4:15AM-4:20AM ET	Down	BUY	5	44¢	$2	0xd5adfb…
05-05 08:15:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 4:15AM-4:20AM ET	Up	BUY	5	56¢	$3	0x818b05…
05-05 06:55:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 2:55AM-3:00AM ET	Down	BUY	6	41¢	$2	0x476e7b…
05-05 06:50:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 2:50AM-2:55AM ET	Down	BUY	6	39¢	$2	0xdb0307…
05-05 06:30:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 2:30AM-2:35AM ET	Up	BUY	5	48¢	$3	0xfd2d06…
05-05 06:10:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 2:10AM-2:15AM ET	Down	BUY	5	57¢	$3	0x791795…
05-05 05:35:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 1:35AM-1:40AM ET	Up	BUY	5	58¢	$3	0x024364…
05-05 05:10:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 1:10AM-1:15AM ET	Up	BUY	5	45¢	$2	0xf6ea1b…
05-05 05:00:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 1:00AM-1:05AM ET	Down	BUY	5	60¢	$3	0x026827…
05-05 03:40:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 11:40PM-11:45PM ET	Up	BUY	6	43¢	$2	0x4e6e75…
05-05 03:30:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 11:30PM-11:35PM ET	Up	BUY	5	57¢	$3	0x8dac87…
05-05 03:30:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 11:30PM-11:35PM ET	Down	BUY	5	46¢	$2	0xf3e59e…
05-05 03:15:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 11:15PM-11:20PM ET	Up	BUY	6	48¢	$3	0x56fbba…
05-05 03:00:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 11:00PM-11:05PM ET	Up	BUY	6	51¢	$3	0x27b266…
05-05 02:55:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 10:55PM-11:00PM ET	Up	BUY	2	57¢	$1	0x2a5f18…
05-05 02:40:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 10:40PM-10:45PM ET	Up	BUY	5	43¢	$2	0x58e024…
05-05 02:35:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 10:30PM-10:35PM ET	Up	BUY	7	69¢	$5	0x4e9d67…
05-05 02:15:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 10:10PM-10:15PM ET	Up	BUY	5	94¢	$5	0x3da722…
05-05 01:55:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 9:55PM-10:00PM ET	Down	BUY	6	47¢	$3	0xe53b48…
05-05 01:44:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 9:40PM-9:45PM ET	Down	BUY	4	81¢	$3	0x7820ce…
05-05 01:15:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 9:15PM-9:20PM ET	Down	BUY	5	42¢	$2	0xac3afd…
05-05 01:00:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 9:00PM-9:05PM ET	Up	BUY	6	46¢	$3	0x291750…
05-05 00:59:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 8:55PM-9:00PM ET	Up	BUY	5	90¢	$5	0x7bc966…
05-05 00:15:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 8:15PM-8:20PM ET	Down	BUY	7	40¢	$3	0x64214b…
05-05 00:05:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 8:05PM-8:10PM ET	Up	BUY	6	43¢	$2	0xca4e92…
05-04 23:15:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 7:10PM-7:15PM ET	Up	BUY	5	94¢	$5	0x4820f9…
05-04 23:15:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 7:10PM-7:15PM ET	Up	BUY	5	79¢	$4	0xd1f12e…
05-04 22:59:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 6:55PM-7:00PM ET	Up	BUY	5	58¢	$3	0xadb877…

Wallet	Shared markets	Overlap volume	Overlap trades	Last seen
(anonymous) 0xe907…cff6	44	$8.88K	254	05-05 18:48
Upset-Sight 0xe022…6603	41	$2.61K	232	05-05 18:48
Rash-Alternative 0xf353…6685	41	$2.46K	149	05-05 18:47
Novel-Morbid 0x4766…5a03	41	$2.36K	201	05-05 18:48
Slight-Goodnight 0x6088…f361	40	$2.25K	134	05-05 18:47
Popular-Insurrection 0xeebd…ba30	39	$7.32K	261	05-05 18:48
Little-Fraction 0xcfb1…f694	35	$5.80K	95	05-05 18:48
Babyish-Cribbage 0x2a6c…0b42	35	$582	137	05-05 18:48

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 7:10PM-7:15PM ET	2	$9	10	+10	Up	+$1	05-04 23:15
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 2:45PM-2:50PM ET	2	$5	10	+10	open	—	05-05 18:48
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 11:30PM-11:35PM ET	2	$5	10	+10	Up	$-0	05-05 03:30
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 4:15AM-4:20AM ET	2	$5	10	+10	open	—	05-05 08:16
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 10:30PM-10:35PM ET	1	$5	7	+7	Up	+$2	05-05 02:35
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 10:10PM-10:15PM ET	1	$5	5	+5	Up	+$0	05-05 02:15
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 8:55PM-9:00PM ET	1	$5	5	+5	Up	+$1	05-05 00:59
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 11:55AM-12:00PM ET	1	$5	5	+5	open	—	05-05 15:59
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 6:15AM-6:20AM ET	1	$4	5	+5	open	—	05-05 10:16
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 4:55AM-5:00AM ET	1	$3	5	+5	open	—	05-05 08:55
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 9:40PM-9:45PM ET	1	$3	4	+4	Down	+$1	05-05 01:44
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 6:30AM-6:35AM ET	1	$3	5	+5	open	—	05-05 10:30
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 1:00AM-1:05AM ET	1	$3	5	+5	Down	+$2	05-05 05:00
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 2:10AM-2:15AM ET	1	$3	5	+5	Up	$-3	05-05 06:10
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 4:30AM-4:35AM ET	1	$3	5	+5	open	—	05-05 08:30
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 1:35AM-1:40AM ET	1	$3	5	+5	Up	+$2	05-05 05:35
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 6:55PM-7:00PM ET	1	$3	5	+5	Down	$-3	05-04 22:59
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 5:50AM-5:55AM ET	1	$3	5	+5	open	—	05-05 09:50
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 11:00PM-11:05PM ET	1	$3	6	+6	Down	$-3	05-05 03:00
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 4:20AM-4:25AM ET	1	$3	5	+5	open	—	05-05 08:20
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 6:10AM-6:15AM ET	1	$3	5	+5	open	—	05-05 10:10
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 8:15PM-8:20PM ET	1	$3	7	+7	Up	$-3	05-05 00:15
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 11:15PM-11:20PM ET	1	$3	6	+6	Up	+$3	05-05 03:15
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 2:15PM-2:20PM ET	1	$3	5	+5	open	—	05-05 18:15
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 2:30AM-2:35AM ET	1	$3	5	+5	open	—	05-05 06:30
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 9:55PM-10:00PM ET	1	$3	6	+6	Up	$-3	05-05 01:55
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 9:00PM-9:05PM ET	1	$3	6	+6	Down	$-3	05-05 01:00
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 2:20PM-2:25PM ET	1	$2	5	+5	open	—	05-05 18:23
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 11:40PM-11:45PM ET	1	$2	6	+6	Up	+$3	05-05 03:40
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 8:05PM-8:10PM ET	1	$2	6	+6	Down	$-2	05-05 00:05