Wallet — Polymarket

Realized P&L (30d)

—

Unrealized P&L

-$15

Hit rate

—

Resolved (30d)

Trades (30d)

136 lifetime

Volume (30d)

$237.9K lifetime

Avg / trade

$1.75K

Open exposure

$147

2 positions

First seen

2026-01-13

last 06-10 01:30

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 33 days

Categories

Other

54% 44% +$44

Politics

22% 95% +$269

Crypto

16% 59% -$59

Tech

8% 0% -$13

Sports

1% 0% -$1

Activity

No trades in the last 84 days (last trade 2026-06-10).

Open positions (2) Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Predict.fun FDV above $100M one day after launch?	Yes		-128	-$113	99¢	$-127	-$14	06-10 01:30
Opensea FDV above $5B one day after launch?	No		-20	-$19	98¢	$-20	-$1	06-10 01:30

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
will the fed decrease interest rates by 50 bps after the march 2026 meeting	7	$30.0K	16,647	13,591	+3,056	No	-$19	03-13 03:02
will the fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the march 2026 meeting	4	$15.0K	7,705	7,451	+253	No	-$2	03-02 01:36
no change in fed interest rates after january 2026 meeting	6	$13.2K	8,377	5,031	+3,346	Yes	+$85	01-28 12:47
will saudi aramco be the largest company in the world by market cap on february 28	5	$11.8K	5,937	5,900	+37	No	-$5	02-27 02:49
will bitcoin reach 150k in february 2026	6	$11.8K	5,944	5,852	+92	No	-$5	02-25 01:53
will anthropic have the best ai model at the end of january 2026	2	$11.7K	5,868	5,868	+0	No	-$6	01-28 12:46
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the April 2026 meeting?	5	$10.1K	5,213	4,902	+311	No	-$3	04-20 06:49
will amazon be the largest company in the world by market cap on march 31 453	3	$8.1K	4,057	4,049	+8	No	-$4	03-26 07:18
will deepseek have the best ai model at the end of march 2026 113	3	$8.0K	4,012	3,992	+20	No	-$4	03-26 07:17
will alibaba have the best ai model at the end of february 2026	2	$7.9K	3,960	3,960	+0	No	-$8	02-05 00:32
will nvidia be the largest company in the world by market cap on january 31 985	2	$7.5K	3,754	3,754	+0	Yes	-$8	01-29 13:08
Will Trump nominate Rick Rieder as the next Fed chair?	2	$7.4K	3,726	3,726	+0	No	+$0	02-21 02:30
will mistral have the best ai model at the end of march 2026 494	2	$7.4K	3,772	3,659	+113	No	-$4	03-13 03:01
Will Trump nominate David Malpass as the next Fed chair?	2	$6.0K	2,999	2,999	+0	No	-$3	01-27 12:33
will the price of bitcoin be between 82000 84000 on january 27	1	$5.8K	5,812	0	+5,812	No	+$12	01-27 12:35
will amazon be the largest company in the world by market cap on february 28	2	$4.9K	2,437	2,437	+0	No	-$2	02-04 00:44
us strikes iran by february 1 2026	2	$4.9K	4,857	0	+4,857	No	+$7	02-02 02:52
will microsoft be the largest company in the world by market cap on march 31 889	3	$4.7K	2,386	2,332	+54	No	+$0	03-02 01:36
us strikes iran by january 29 2026 183 883 657 383 499	1	$4.7K	4,767	0	+4,767	No	+$62	01-29 13:09
us strikes iran by january 26 2026 337 214 511	2	$4.1K	4,157	0	+4,157	No	+$88	01-26 08:03
Will Opinion launch a token by September 30, 2026?	1	$4.0K	4,012	0	+4,012	Yes	+$12	03-02 01:37
footballfun fdv above 70m one day after launch	2	$3.9K	2,164	2,164	+0	Yes	-$40	01-16 09:50
us strikes iran by february 20 2026 151 468 624 297 614 778 872 127 349 448 499 337 826 553	1	$3.8K	3,762	0	+3,762	No	+$8	02-21 02:30
us strikes iran by january 28 2026 117 856 648 735 438	2	$3.4K	3,464	0	+3,464	No	+$21	01-29 00:44
us strikes iran by february 3 2026	1	$3.3K	3,336	0	+3,336	No	+$3	02-04 00:45
bitcoin above 84k on january 26	1	$3.0K	2,996	0	+2,996	Yes	+$3	01-26 13:24
bitcoin above 86k on january 28	1	$2.7K	2,736	0	+2,736	Yes	+$5	01-28 12:48
Will Trump nominate Scott Bessent as the next Fed chair?	2	$2.6K	1,313	1,313	+0	No	+$1	02-01 13:19
khamenei out as supreme leader of iran by january 31	1	$2.5K	2,533	0	+2,533	No	+$33	01-29 07:31
us strikes iran by february 26 2026 368	1	$2.3K	2,338	0	+2,338	No	+$5	02-27 02:51

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
06-10 01:30:48	Opensea FDV above $5B one day after launch?	No	SELL	20	94¢	$19	0xbd24ec…
06-10 01:30:39	Predict.fun FDV above $100M one day after launch?	Yes	SELL	128	88¢	$113	0xe702e0…
05-06 01:37:26	Will Ethereum reach $4,000 in May?	No	BUY	1,404	100¢	$1,400	0x24cea6…
04-20 06:49:32	Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the April 2026 meeting?	No	BUY	311	100¢	$311	0xd34aa3…
04-08 06:58:09	Will Baidu have the best AI model at the end of April 2026?	No	BUY	1,130	100¢	$1,129	0xe6fce7…
04-08 06:57:47	Genius FDV above $20M one day after launch?	Yes	BUY	204	98¢	$200	0x038907…
04-08 06:57:41	Genius FDV above $50M one day after launch?	Yes	BUY	107	93¢	$100	0x2e3e07…
04-08 06:56:23	Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the April 2026 meeting?	No	SELL	1,395	100¢	$1,389	0x86b674…
04-08 06:56:15	USD.AI FDV above $6B one day after launch?	No	SELL	10	100¢	$10	0x9413db…
04-08 06:56:09	USD.AI FDV above $4B one day after launch?	No	SELL	30	100¢	$30	0x8d52b5…
04-02 01:52:35	Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the April 2026 meeting?	No	BUY	1,395	100¢	$1,389	0xe4f564…
03-31 13:49:37	EdgeX FDV above $300M one day after launch?	Yes	BUY	61	98¢	$60	0x53852d…
03-31 13:49:17	EdgeX FDV above $1B one day after launch?	No	SELL	77	77¢	$60	0x15eb2b…
03-31 02:00:37	EdgeX FDV above $1B one day after launch?	No	BUY	77	92¢	$71	0x5dba71…
03-26 07:18:49	will amazon be the largest company in the world by market cap on march 31 453	No	SELL	154	100¢	$154	0x9bfe32…
03-26 07:18:39	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the April 2026 meeting?	Yes	SELL	299	96¢	$286	0xe11ade…
03-26 07:17:43	will deepseek have the best ai model at the end of march 2026 113	No	SELL	181	100¢	$180	0x31f080…
03-26 07:17:35	will bitcoin reach 110k in march 2026	No	SELL	766	100¢	$764	0xb7a6d7…
03-26 07:17:31	Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the April 2026 meeting?	No	SELL	3,507	99¢	$3,489	0xd3984d…
03-25 01:26:31	will bitcoin reach 110k in march 2026	No	BUY	1,563	100¢	$1,559	0x202357…
03-24 05:56:55	EdgeX FDV above $300M one day after launch?	Yes	SELL	211	84¢	$178	0x84b010…
03-24 05:53:35	Backpack FDV above $100M one day after launch?	Yes	SELL	810	95¢	$772	0xfb4939…
03-24 04:00:51	EdgeX FDV above $300M one day after launch?	Yes	SELL	421	86¢	$362	0xb2c139…
03-24 03:50:33	EdgeX FDV above $500M one day after launch?	Yes	SELL	128	58¢	$74	0xfc3444…
03-24 00:58:45	Backpack FDV above $200M one day after launch?	No	SELL	76	15¢	$12	0xe89f37…
03-24 00:58:29	Backpack FDV above $200M one day after launch?	Yes	SELL	171	82¢	$141	0x7f73f4…
03-23 01:40:07	Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the April 2026 meeting?	No	BUY	3,507	100¢	$3,493	0x122460…
03-23 01:40:01	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the April 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	318	94¢	$300	0xfc8864…
03-23 01:39:29	will deepseek have the best ai model at the end of march 2026 113	No	SELL	3,812	100¢	$3,792	0x181942…
03-19 07:22:11	EdgeX FDV above $300M one day after launch?	Yes	BUY	211	95¢	$200	0x239175…
03-19 07:22:07	EdgeX FDV above $300M one day after launch?	Yes	BUY	316	95¢	$300	0xe44792…
03-19 07:21:23	will deepseek have the best ai model at the end of march 2026 113	No	BUY	4,012	100¢	$3,996	0x5d3669…
03-19 07:20:03	EdgeX FDV above $300M one day after launch?	Yes	BUY	316	95¢	$300	0x92be69…
03-19 07:19:55	EdgeX FDV above $500M one day after launch?	Yes	BUY	128	78¢	$100	0x75c524…
03-13 03:02:41	will the fed decrease interest rates by 50 bps after the march 2026 meeting	No	BUY	2,720	100¢	$2,717	0x0f2034…
03-13 03:02:27	Based FDV above $100M one day after launch?	Yes	SELL	51	48¢	$25	0x523b95…
03-13 03:02:07	Backpack FDV above $200M one day after launch?	No	BUY	76	13¢	$10	0xd833f6…
03-13 03:02:01	Backpack FDV above $200M one day after launch?	Yes	BUY	171	88¢	$150	0x230d01…
03-13 03:01:53	Backpack FDV above $100M one day after launch?	Yes	BUY	810	99¢	$800	0x59917a…
03-13 03:01:39	will mistral have the best ai model at the end of march 2026 494	No	SELL	3,659	100¢	$3,652	0xc9fc1a…
03-11 12:32:41	will mistral have the best ai model at the end of march 2026 494	No	BUY	3,772	100¢	$3,769	0xb822a8…
03-11 12:32:19	Based FDV above $100M one day after launch?	Yes	BUY	51	39¢	$20	0x8d4684…
03-11 12:31:55	will amazon be the largest company in the world by market cap on march 31 453	No	SELL	3,895	100¢	$3,887	0x84fadd…
03-05 15:27:23	will amazon be the largest company in the world by market cap on march 31 453	No	BUY	4,057	100¢	$4,053	0x5b1a66…
03-02 01:37:33	USD.AI FDV above $6B one day after launch?	No	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x95622b…
03-02 01:37:13	Will Opinion launch a token by September 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	4,012	100¢	$4,000	0x311b8e…
03-02 01:36:33	will microsoft be the largest company in the world by market cap on march 31 889	No	SELL	161	100¢	$161	0x952ccb…
03-02 01:36:25	will the fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the march 2026 meeting	No	SELL	3,966	100¢	$3,950	0x4a9f5a…
03-02 01:36:21	will microsoft be the largest company in the world by market cap on march 31 889	No	SELL	2,171	100¢	$2,167	0x59c486…
03-01 02:45:09	will microsoft be the largest company in the world by market cap on march 31 889	No	BUY	2,386	100¢	$2,381	0x9aca28…
03-01 02:44:53	khamenei out as supreme leader of iran by february 28	Yes	BUY	20	100¢	$20	0x537c56…
02-27 02:51:48	will the fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the march 2026 meeting	No	BUY	4,219	100¢	$4,202	0xe0d73f…
02-27 02:51:38	us strikes iran by february 26 2026 368	No	BUY	2,338	100¢	$2,333	0x0c2cdc…
02-27 02:49:22	USD.AI FDV above $4B one day after launch?	No	BUY	30	100¢	$30	0x33e778…
02-27 02:49:00	will saudi aramco be the largest company in the world by market cap on february 28	No	SELL	117	100¢	$117	0xce773a…
02-27 02:48:54	will the fed decrease interest rates by 50 bps after the march 2026 meeting	No	SELL	5,272	99¢	$5,240	0x723c01…
02-25 01:54:34	will the fed decrease interest rates by 50 bps after the march 2026 meeting	No	BUY	5,608	99¢	$5,575	0x9797a4…
02-25 01:54:18	us strikes iran by february 24 2026	No	BUY	1,228	100¢	$1,222	0x05a3cd…
02-25 01:53:44	russia x ukraine ceasefire by february 28 2026	No	BUY	25	100¢	$25	0xa05526…
02-25 01:53:28	Fabric FDV above $100M one day after launch?	Yes	BUY	27	94¢	$25	0x42869c…
02-25 01:53:16	Will Opinion launch a token by June 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	20	99¢	$20	0xe1cfc9…
02-25 01:53:08	will bitcoin reach 150k in february 2026	No	SELL	1,059	100¢	$1,057	0x16f52b…
02-25 01:53:00	will saudi aramco be the largest company in the world by market cap on february 28	No	SELL	2,049	100¢	$2,047	0xf05585…
02-21 02:30:28	us strikes iran by february 20 2026 151 468 624 297 614 778 872 127 349 448 499 337 826 553	No	BUY	3,762	100¢	$3,755	0x678a75…
02-21 02:30:12	Will Trump nominate Rick Rieder as the next Fed chair?	No	SELL	3,726	100¢	$3,715	0x20f6df…
02-10 08:24:33	will bitcoin reach 150k in february 2026	No	BUY	1,151	100¢	$1,149	0x4d6322…
02-10 08:24:09	Backpack FDV above $500M one day after launch?	Yes	BUY	29	69¢	$20	0xbcbef1…
02-10 08:24:03	Backpack FDV above $3B one day after launch?	No	BUY	21	96¢	$20	0xf10d1a…
02-10 08:23:49	MegaETH market cap (FDV) >$6B one day after launch?	No	BUY	25	98¢	$25	0xdef327…
02-10 08:23:41	EdgeX FDV above $4B one day after launch?	No	BUY	126	95¢	$120	0x97ac87…
02-10 01:30:29	Will Trump nominate Rick Rieder as the next Fed chair?	No	BUY	3,726	100¢	$3,715	0x44b1af…
02-10 01:18:51	us strikes iran by february 9 2026 113 751	No	BUY	932	99¢	$926	0xbf4364…
02-10 01:18:45	us strikes iran by february 9 2026 113 751	No	BUY	402	99¢	$400	0x3438bd…
02-10 01:18:17	will seguro win all of portugals districts	Yes	BUY	40	100¢	$40	0xd702f9…
02-09 03:00:15	will saudi aramco be the largest company in the world by market cap on february 28	No	BUY	2,203	100¢	$2,201	0xb628b2…
02-09 03:00:01	bitcoin above 78k on february 9	No	BUY	200	100¢	$200	0x454147…
02-09 02:59:49	elon musk of tweets february 7 february 9 140 164	No	BUY	765	99¢	$755	0x03598b…
02-09 02:59:29	us strikes iran by february 8 2026	No	BUY	400	100¢	$400	0x1371b6…
02-09 02:59:15	will the fed decrease interest rates by 50 bps after the march 2026 meeting	No	SELL	3,489	99¢	$3,454	0xe24a30…
02-07 01:32:39	will the fed decrease interest rates by 50 bps after the march 2026 meeting	No	BUY	3,489	99¢	$3,454	0xe06050…
02-07 01:31:15	us strikes iran by february 7 2026	No	BUY	101	99¢	$100	0xf08b1c…
02-07 01:29:41	will bitcoin reach 150k in february 2026	No	SELL	3,566	100¢	$3,551	0xb63f9b…
02-05 10:13:57	will saudi aramco be the largest company in the world by market cap on february 28	No	SELL	3,733	100¢	$3,724	0xe5a13c…
02-05 00:35:03	will saudi aramco be the largest company in the world by market cap on february 28	No	BUY	3,733	100¢	$3,730	0x796fa5…
02-05 00:34:47	will bitcoin reach 150k in february 2026	No	BUY	3,566	100¢	$3,555	0x41c90c…
02-05 00:32:55	will alibaba have the best ai model at the end of february 2026	No	SELL	3,960	100¢	$3,948	0xde801b…
02-04 00:45:34	will alibaba have the best ai model at the end of february 2026	No	BUY	3,960	100¢	$3,956	0xddcfa1…
02-04 00:45:10	us strikes iran by february 3 2026	No	BUY	3,336	100¢	$3,333	0x14eb36…
02-04 00:44:40	will amazon be the largest company in the world by market cap on february 28	No	SELL	2,437	100¢	$2,432	0x79c7fa…
02-02 02:52:26	us strikes iran by february 1 2026	No	BUY	4,655	100¢	$4,650	0xae5db4…
02-02 02:52:04	will the fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the march 2026 meeting	No	SELL	3,485	98¢	$3,430	0x5a9150…
02-02 02:51:58	will bitcoin reach 150k in february 2026	No	SELL	1,227	99¢	$1,221	0x61852a…
02-01 13:21:04	will amazon be the largest company in the world by market cap on february 28	No	BUY	2,437	100¢	$2,435	0x45e9a9…
02-01 13:20:32	will the fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the march 2026 meeting	No	BUY	3,485	98¢	$3,433	0x246a40…
02-01 13:20:10	will bitcoin reach 150k in february 2026	No	BUY	1,227	100¢	$1,222	0x52fd50…
02-01 13:19:52	us strikes iran by february 1 2026	No	BUY	202	99¢	$200	0xd29a0c…
02-01 13:19:32	Will Trump nominate Kevin Warsh as the next Fed chair?	Yes	SELL	821	98¢	$807	0x31e500…
02-01 13:19:28	Will Trump nominate Scott Bessent as the next Fed chair?	No	SELL	1,313	100¢	$1,311	0xc6aec0…
01-31 02:05:02	Will Trump nominate Scott Bessent as the next Fed chair?	No	BUY	1,313	100¢	$1,310	0x3eacd8…
01-31 02:04:42	will bitcoin reach 100k in january 2026	No	BUY	1,502	100¢	$1,500	0xa3c44b…