(anonymous) 0x18e1e6…b6a5ee
← all wallets
Realized P&L
+$815
Unrealized P&L
-$27
Hit rate
58.7%
Resolved
29
Trades
967
lifetime
Volume
$71.5K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$74
Open exposure
$65.3K
30 positions
First seen
2026-01-01
last 10-27 03:23
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 8 days
Categories
Politics
61% — —
Sports
34% 59% +$815
Other
5% — —
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
37 active days in 12wk • peak 52 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? No +19,441 $16,393 82¢ $15.8K -$549 10-19 16:57
Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? No +10,107 $8,564 83¢ $8.4K -$130 10-15 01:11
Will the Republican Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections? No +5,313 $4,895 92¢ $4.9K -$34 10-08 17:00
Will the Denver Broncos win the 2027 NFL league championship? No +5,009 $4,839 96¢ $4.8K -$28 10-18 16:13
Will Houston Rockets win the 2027 NBA Finals? No +5,028 $4,851 94¢ $4.7K -$125 10-27 05:04
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? Yes +19,441 $3,022 18¢ $3.6K +$575 10-18 11:23
Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez win the 2028 US Presidential Election? No +3,433 $2,976 87¢ $3.0K +$10 10-14 23:33
Will Barcelona win the 2026-27 UEFA Champions League Championship? No +3,645 $2,826 78¢ $2.8K -$1 10-15 13:18
Will Chelsea win the 2026-27 English Premier League (EPL) Championship? No +2,229 $2,119 96¢ $2.1K +$17 10-25 16:04
Will Russia invade another country in 2026? No +2,221 $2,064 94¢ $2.1K +$35 10-08 21:06
Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? Yes +10,107 $1,585 17¢ $1.7K +$87 10-16 21:55
Will Raphaël Glucksmann win the 2027 French presidential election? No +1,701 $1,635 97¢ $1.6K +$10 10-26 10:52
Will Mohammed bin Salman cease to be the de facto leader of Saudi Arabia by December 31, 2026? No +1,660 $1,544 92¢ $1.5K -$13 10-26 11:30
Zelenskyy out as Ukraine president by end of 2026? No +1,339 $1,246 94¢ $1.3K +$20 10-25 23:02
Will the San Francisco 49ers win the 2027 NFL league championship? No +1,082 $921 86¢ $935 +$15 10-26 19:25
Will Toronto Raptors win the 2027 NBA Finals? No +920 $882 96¢ $881 -$2 10-19 01:17
Will the Republicans win the New York governor race in 2026? No +882 $839 96¢ $845 +$6 10-17 15:14
Will Barcelona win the 2026-27 UEFA Champions League Championship? Yes +3,645 $816 22¢ $820 +$4 10-17 14:41
Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections? Yes +565 $520 92¢ $517 -$3 10-22 06:37
Will the Republican Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections? Yes +5,313 $413 8¢ $452 +$38 10-19 19:17
Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez win the 2028 US Presidential Election? Yes +3,433 $476 13¢ $446 -$30 10-17 10:04
Will Real Madrid win the 2026-27 UEFA Champions League Championship? No +481 $426 88¢ $420 -$5 10-26 08:17
Will the Democrats win the Michigan governor race in 2026? Yes +371 $346 93¢ $347 +$1 10-21 22:19
Will the Democrats win the New Hampshire Senate race in 2026? Yes +295 $261 92¢ $270 +$9 10-13 09:01
Will Houston Rockets win the 2027 NBA Finals? Yes +4,372 $148 6¢ $262 +$114 10-26 21:15
Will the Denver Broncos win the 2027 NFL league championship? Yes +5,012 $188 4¢ $198 +$10 10-18 22:10
Will the San Francisco 49ers win the 2027 NFL league championship? Yes +1,307 $195 14¢ $177 -$18 10-25 23:40
Will Russia invade another country in 2026? Yes +2,221 $147 6¢ $122 -$25 10-09 15:54
Will Mohammed bin Salman cease to be the de facto leader of Saudi Arabia by December 31, 2026? Yes +1,532 $107 8¢ $119 +$12 10-26 04:00
Will Chelsea win the 2026-27 English Premier League (EPL) Championship? Yes +1,986 $111 4¢ $82 -$28 10-26 18:43