Pure-Physiology — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$107

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

83.2%

Resolved

135

Trades

417

lifetime

Volume

$7.11K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$17

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-02-18

last 08-01 22:33

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 75 days

Categories

Other

63% 80% +$19

Politics

34% 81% +$58

Sports

3% 86% +$32

Tech

0% 50% -$2

Activity

No trades in the last 84 days (last trade 2026-08-01).

Open positions Resolved markets (27) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 13°C on May 11?	2	$202	102	102	+0	No	+$2	05-11 22:27
Will Spider-Man: Brand New Day be the top grossing movie of 2026?	7	$197	154	154	+0	open	—	08-01 22:33
Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 30°C on May 11?	2	$196	100	100	+0	No	+$2	05-11 06:50
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	9	$196	324	324	+0	No	+$18	07-02 08:45
Confirmed case of Hantavirus in US by May 15?	7	$188	202	151	+52	Yes	-$38	05-14 06:10
Starmer out by May 19, 2026?	6	$188	98	98	+0	No	+$4	05-18 11:12
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?	7	$174	113	113	+0	No	+$46	04-24 08:49
Will Trump visit China by May 15?	10	$158	100	100	+0	Yes	+$37	05-11 04:36
Will the U.S. invade Cuba in 2026?	3	$151	97	97	-0	open	—	05-26 06:02
mojtaba khamenei seen in public by july 15 155	5	$136	75	75	+0	No	+$5	07-15 08:28
Will the Labour Party win the second-most council seat elections in the 2026 United Kingdom local elections?	4	$131	76	76	+0	Yes	+$1	05-08 14:06
Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 7°C or below on April 26?	4	$115	59	59	+0	No	+$3	04-26 06:23
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	3	$113	67	67	+0	No	+$13	05-31 07:30
Starmer out by May 15, 2026?	3	$107	64	64	+0	No	+$15	05-14 06:09
will benot payan win the marseille mayor election	2	$104	54	54	+0	Yes	+$4	03-23 08:24
Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 16°C on May 12?	4	$103	145	145	+0	No	+$3	05-12 10:29
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by May 28?	2	$100	56	56	+0	No	+$10	05-28 13:30
Will Romania be in the top 10 at Eurovision 2026?	3	$99	59	59	+0	Yes	-$3	05-16 22:24
Will Finland win Eurovision 2026?	5	$99	126	61	+65	No	+$29	05-16 06:12
will emmanuel grgoire win the paris mayor election	11	$98	79	79	+0	Yes	-$4	03-18 08:33
Will the Republicans win the Vermont governor race in 2026?	3	$93	58	58	+0	open	—	05-26 12:02
Iran leadership change by April 30?	7	$91	50	50	+0	No	+$1	04-25 06:42
us iran final nuclear deal by august 31 2026 20260621201255154	4	$91	50	50	+0	No	+$1	07-26 08:07
Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 0°C on April 28?	2	$79	40	40	+0	No	+$1	04-28 08:18
Ebola case in the US by June 30?	3	$79	118	118	+0	No	+$15	05-18 17:52
Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 6°C on April 27?	2	$77	39	39	+0	No	+$1	04-27 15:12
khamenei out as supreme leader of iran by march 31	6	$75	68	68	+0	Yes	+$12	02-28 13:34
Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 32°C on May 8?	2	$74	39	39	+0	No	+$3	05-08 07:20
Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 16°C on May 6?	6	$72	87	87	+0	No	-$16	05-06 13:54
Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 7°C on April 25?	3	$71	36	36	+0	No	+$1	04-25 06:15

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
08-01 22:33:06	Will Spider-Man: Brand New Day be the top grossing movie of 2026?	Yes	SELL	68	87¢	$59	0xb16b35…
07-26 08:07:16	us iran final nuclear deal by august 31 2026 20260621201255154	No	SELL	39	93¢	$36	0xc25930…
07-20 13:27:36	us iran final nuclear deal by august 31 2026 20260621201255154	No	BUY	11	93¢	$10	0x0d13b1…
07-20 07:54:25	us announces end of iranian blockade by july 24 2026 20260713152715081 211	No	BUY	42	96¢	$40	0x5bb6a7…
07-19 21:42:22	Will Kylian Mbappe be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	SELL	31	100¢	$31	0xd5be45…
07-19 14:26:28	Will Kylian Mbappe be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	BUY	31	92¢	$29	0x3bc8a2…
07-18 19:21:10	us announces end of iranian blockade by august 31 2026 20260713152715084 642	No	SELL	47	60¢	$28	0x342bb9…
07-17 21:14:36	us announces end of iranian blockade by august 31 2026 20260713152715084 642	No	BUY	47	57¢	$27	0x9bc09a…
07-17 15:30:07	us announces end of iranian blockade by august 15 2026 20260713152715083 347	No	SELL	39	71¢	$28	0x51ff67…
07-15 10:54:43	Will Spider-Man: Brand New Day be the top grossing movie of 2026?	Yes	BUY	19	53¢	$10	0x426a48…
07-15 10:54:16	us iran final nuclear deal by august 31 2026 20260621201255154	No	SELL	11	92¢	$10	0x3b912b…
07-15 08:50:07	us announces end of iranian blockade by august 15 2026 20260713152715083 347	No	BUY	39	67¢	$26	0x95e97b…
07-15 08:28:29	mojtaba khamenei seen in public by july 15 155	No	SELL	27	99¢	$26	0xe7aaa4…
07-13 10:28:38	mojtaba khamenei seen in public by july 15 155	No	BUY	27	97¢	$26	0x142392…
07-13 10:27:53	Will Count Binface win the Clacton by-election?	No	SELL	28	94¢	$26	0xf0e5df…
07-12 15:12:13	Will Count Binface win the Clacton by-election?	No	BUY	28	94¢	$26	0x0aabab…
07-12 15:10:47	us iran final nuclear deal by august 31 2026 20260621201255154	No	BUY	39	90¢	$35	0x016fdd…
07-06 08:18:22	will a nation that has never won the world cup win in 2026 20260605003149811	No	BUY	21	81¢	$17	0x50bc35…
07-06 07:34:50	Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	No	BUY	8	83¢	$7	0x69639c…
07-06 07:31:56	Will Erling Haaland be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	No	BUY	23	88¢	$20	0xe199fa…
07-06 07:31:05	mojtaba khamenei seen in public by july 15 155	No	SELL	48	92¢	$44	0x9ade25…
07-06 07:29:46	Will Erling Haaland be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	No	BUY	17	88¢	$15	0x84ac85…
07-06 07:25:53	Will National Liberation Front (FLN) win the most seats in the 2026 Algerian parliamentary elections?	Yes	SELL	14	99¢	$14	0x20e453…
07-02 08:55:13	Will National Liberation Front (FLN) win the most seats in the 2026 Algerian parliamentary elections?	Yes	BUY	14	98¢	$14	0xedd1cb…
07-02 08:48:19	mojtaba khamenei seen in public by july 15 155	No	BUY	6	79¢	$5	0x959eca…
07-02 08:47:02	Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	No	BUY	18	82¢	$15	0x783355…
07-02 08:45:53	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	No	SELL	35	100¢	$35	0x7e4b0f…
06-29 08:14:22	Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	No	BUY	16	79¢	$13	0x225387…
06-29 08:09:59	mojtaba khamenei seen in public by july 15	No	BUY	42	84¢	$35	0x73eb06…
06-29 07:28:44	Will Andy Burnham be the next Prime Minister of the United Kingdom in 2026?	No	SELL	556	2¢	$13	0xa0f898…
06-29 07:26:58	Will Spider-Man: Brand New Day be the top grossing movie of 2026?	Yes	BUY	19	74¢	$14	0xc93d68…
06-25 15:14:11	Will Scotland advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	No	BUY	50	75¢	$38	0xe1b78f…
06-25 14:59:34	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?	Yes	SELL	56	67¢	$38	0x8ea88a…
06-22 14:45:08	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?	Yes	BUY	56	50¢	$28	0x756ddf…
06-22 09:45:38	Will Andy Burnham be the next Prime Minister of the United Kingdom in 2026?	No	BUY	556	4¢	$20	0x1400a9…
06-21 07:51:08	Will Spider-Man: Brand New Day be the top grossing movie of 2026?	Yes	BUY	30	67¢	$20	0x4ca5ec…
06-20 21:01:37	Starmer out by June 30, 2026?	No	BUY	71	7¢	$5	0x6f9b49…
06-19 19:35:53	Starmer out by June 30, 2026?	No	BUY	28	36¢	$10	0xcfdaf1…
06-19 16:31:35	Starmer out by June 30, 2026?	No	BUY	20	51¢	$10	0x8377ca…
06-19 15:28:22	Starmer out by June 30, 2026?	No	BUY	56	63¢	$35	0xab1fe2…
06-19 10:30:23	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	No	BUY	12	91¢	$11	0x2e95e3…
06-18 08:05:10	Will Spider-Man: Brand New Day be the top grossing movie of 2026?	Yes	SELL	86	57¢	$49	0x7b5135…
06-16 08:23:51	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	No	BUY	23	84¢	$19	0x87d4e8…
06-15 11:20:33	Will Andy Burnham win the 2026 Makerfield by-election?	Yes	BUY	93	75¢	$70	0x819aee…
06-12 08:03:57	Will Pete Hegseth leave the Trump administration before 2027?	No	SELL	39	73¢	$29	0x992383…
06-11 21:55:25	Will Spider-Man: Brand New Day be the top grossing movie of 2026?	Yes	BUY	24	41¢	$10	0x6a205f…
06-11 19:35:48	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	Yes	SELL	289	25¢	$72	0xcf2812…
06-08 04:27:39	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	Yes	BUY	37	10¢	$4	0xab6508…
06-06 10:48:15	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	Yes	BUY	33	15¢	$5	0x8672b7…
06-06 08:15:58	Will the highest temperature in Paris be 21°C on June 7?	Yes	SELL	5	23¢	$1	0xa095df…
06-06 08:08:28	Will the highest temperature in Paris be 21°C on June 7?	Yes	SELL	28	23¢	$6	0xd67e3d…
06-06 07:57:48	Will the highest temperature in Paris be 21°C on June 7?	Yes	BUY	47	21¢	$10	0xb7bc8a…
06-05 19:07:31	Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 25°C on June 6?	Yes	SELL	31	34¢	$10	0x0ae04b…
06-05 07:15:33	Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 25°C on June 6?	Yes	BUY	31	33¢	$10	0xa8a293…
06-04 07:43:51	Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 18°C on June 4?	No	SELL	2	54¢	$1	0xaec0c1…
06-04 07:43:51	Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 18°C on June 4?	No	SELL	16	54¢	$9	0x37a7b1…
06-04 07:43:25	Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 18°C on June 4?	No	SELL	3	54¢	$2	0xc113b7…
06-04 06:44:46	Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 18°C on June 4?	No	BUY	21	52¢	$11	0x1e9f9f…
06-04 05:35:19	Will Spider-Man: Brand New Day be the top grossing movie of 2026?	Yes	BUY	61	57¢	$35	0xf8718a…
06-04 04:58:46	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	Yes	BUY	62	16¢	$10	0xb920f6…
06-03 15:05:22	Will Lee Won-taek win the 2026 Jeonbuk Province Gubernatorial Election?	Yes	BUY	18	97¢	$18	0xeaa16e…
06-03 06:26:42	Will Xavier Becerra win the California Governor Election in 2026?	No	SELL	94	20¢	$18	0xba4936…
06-03 05:57:25	Will Xavier Becerra win the California Governor Election in 2026?	No	BUY	94	19¢	$18	0x2565db…
06-02 08:27:16	Will the highest temperature in London be 19°C on June 2?	Yes	SELL	9	26¢	$2	0x440535…
06-02 07:55:28	Will the highest temperature in London be 19°C on June 2?	Yes	BUY	9	22¢	$2	0x9f5c82…
06-01 17:36:24	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	Yes	BUY	53	19¢	$10	0x53284c…
05-31 09:07:32	Will the Democratic Party of Korea (DP) win the 2026 South Korean local elections?	Yes	BUY	39	98¢	$38	0x8eeb88…
05-31 09:02:03	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	Yes	BUY	103	29¢	$30	0x351c2a…
05-31 08:35:26	Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 14°C on May 31?	Yes	SELL	15	14¢	$2	0x3e2253…
05-31 08:15:04	Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 14°C on May 31?	Yes	SELL	1	14¢	$0	0xbf13c8…
05-31 07:52:16	Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 21°C on May 31?	No	BUY	28	89¢	$25	0x89b580…
05-31 07:45:21	Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 14°C on May 31?	Yes	BUY	16	12¢	$2	0x63f0a3…
05-31 07:30:09	Will Trump agree to unfreeze Iranian assets by May 31?	No	SELL	28	96¢	$27	0x8291f3…
05-31 07:30:04	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	No	SELL	33	98¢	$32	0xadeb28…
05-31 07:28:54	US-Iran nuclear deal by May 31?	No	SELL	34	98¢	$33	0x9c6761…
05-30 06:32:37	Will Pete Hegseth leave the Trump administration before 2027?	No	BUY	39	71¢	$28	0x8ca319…
05-29 11:02:15	Will Abelardo de la Espriella win the 2026 Colombian presidential election?	No	SELL	35	37¢	$13	0xb1f5b8…
05-29 10:55:20	Will Abelardo de la Espriella win the 2026 Colombian presidential election?	No	SELL	14	37¢	$5	0xda6417…
05-29 10:52:53	Will Abelardo de la Espriella win the 2026 Colombian presidential election?	No	SELL	27	37¢	$10	0x5f51cb…
05-29 08:23:19	US-Iran nuclear deal by May 31?	No	BUY	34	87¢	$30	0xb776ce…
05-29 08:23:03	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	No	SELL	34	90¢	$31	0xfae30b…
05-28 20:44:22	Will Abelardo de la Espriella win the 2026 Colombian presidential election?	No	BUY	76	35¢	$27	0x141b12…
05-28 20:35:53	Will Trump agree to unfreeze Iranian assets by May 31?	No	BUY	28	89¢	$25	0xec45c5…
05-28 14:29:57	Claude 4.8 released by May 31?	No	BUY	15	20¢	$3	0xce0aee…
05-28 13:30:19	US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by May 28?	No	SELL	56	98¢	$55	0x46f310…
05-26 12:02:46	US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by May 28?	No	BUY	56	80¢	$45	0x64eae9…
05-26 12:02:27	Will the Republicans win the Vermont governor race in 2026?	Yes	SELL	57	80¢	$46	0x19c90b…
05-26 06:04:53	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	No	BUY	67	75¢	$50	0xbc7446…
05-26 06:02:25	Will the U.S. invade Cuba in 2026?	No	SELL	64	77¢	$50	0x598299…
05-25 06:30:41	Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 27?	Yes	BUY	27	94¢	$25	0xfc95de…
05-25 06:30:11	Will the U.S. invade Cuba in 2026?	No	SELL	33	77¢	$26	0x07490f…
05-25 06:29:31	Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 27?	Yes	BUY	26	94¢	$24	0x5bca8c…
05-23 14:47:30	Will AKEL win the most seats at the Cyprus House of Representatives election?	Yes	BUY	7	14¢	$1	0x665c7d…
05-23 14:47:04	Will the Republicans win the Vermont governor race in 2026?	Yes	SELL	1	80¢	$0	0xa652a6…
05-23 14:45:37	Will ADK win the most seats at the Cyprus House of Representatives election?	No	BUY	24	98¢	$23	0xba2eec…
05-23 14:28:36	Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 23?	Yes	SELL	26	93¢	$24	0xbafe0f…
05-23 09:15:28	Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 23?	Yes	BUY	26	87¢	$23	0x4306f7…
05-22 09:50:19	Will SpaceX Starship Flight Test 12 launch by May 31?	Yes	BUY	23	95¢	$22	0xf49ad8…
05-22 09:49:56	Will Ed Gallrein win the 2026 KY-04 Republican Primary Election by 9% or more?	Yes	SELL	22	98¢	$22	0xb88082…
05-20 12:30:56	Will Ed Gallrein win the 2026 KY-04 Republican Primary Election by 9% or more?	Yes	BUY	22	99¢	$22	0xc14cea…