Pure-Physiology — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$2

Unrealized P&L

+$5

Hit rate

100.0%

Resolved

Trades

297

lifetime

Volume

$4.37K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$15

Open exposure

$35

1 position

First seen

2026-02-18

last 06-29 08:09

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 2 days

Categories

Other

55% — —

Politics

43% 100% +$2

Sports

1% — —

Tech

1% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

47 active days in 12wk • peak 15 trades/day

Open positions (1) Resolved markets Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	No		+35	$30	100¢	$35	+$5	06-19 10:30

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Confirmed case of Hantavirus in US by May 15?	7	$188	202	151	+52	open	—	05-14 06:10
Starmer out by May 19, 2026?	6	$188	98	98	+0	open	—	05-18 11:12
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?	7	$174	113	113	+0	open	—	04-24 08:49
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	8	$161	324	289	+35	open	—	06-19 10:30
Will Trump visit China by May 15?	10	$158	100	100	+0	open	—	05-11 04:36
Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 7°C or below on April 26?	4	$115	59	59	+0	open	—	04-26 06:23
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	3	$113	67	67	+0	open	—	05-31 07:30
Starmer out by May 15, 2026?	3	$107	64	64	+0	open	—	05-14 06:09
will benot payan win the marseille mayor election	2	$104	54	54	+0	open	—	03-23 08:24
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by May 28?	2	$100	56	56	+0	open	—	05-28 13:30
Will Romania be in the top 10 at Eurovision 2026?	3	$99	59	59	+0	open	—	05-16 22:24
will emmanuel grgoire win the paris mayor election	11	$98	79	79	+0	open	—	03-18 08:33
Iran leadership change by April 30?	7	$91	50	50	+0	open	—	04-25 06:42
Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 0°C on April 28?	2	$79	40	40	+0	open	—	04-28 08:18
Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 6°C on April 27?	2	$77	39	39	+0	open	—	04-27 15:12
khamenei out as supreme leader of iran by march 31	6	$75	68	68	+0	open	—	02-28 13:34
Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 7°C on April 25?	3	$71	36	36	+0	open	—	04-25 06:15
Iran leadership change by May 31?	9	$70	41	41	+0	open	—	04-17 16:04
will fideszkdnp win the most national list votes in the 2026 hungarian parliamentary election	6	$69	163	163	+0	open	—	04-02 11:26
will tisza win the national list vote in the 2026 hungarian parliamentary election by 12 15	5	$68	37	37	+0	open	—	04-15 11:17
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?	2	$66	56	56	+0	open	—	06-25 14:59
Will Xi Jinping meet with Cheng Li-wun by June 30?	11	$65	49	49	+0	open	—	04-02 09:34
highest temperature in moscow on april 17 2026 11c	2	$65	34	34	+0	open	—	04-17 14:33
highest temperature in amsterdam on april 24 2026 17c	5	$64	166	159	+7	open	—	04-24 15:07
US-Iran nuclear deal by May 31?	2	$63	34	34	+0	open	—	05-31 07:28
Starmer out by June 30, 2026?	4	$60	174	0	+174	open	—	06-20 21:01
Will Trump visit China by May 31?	4	$59	39	39	+0	open	—	04-14 12:16
Will Pete Hegseth leave the Trump administration before 2027?	2	$57	39	39	+0	open	—	06-12 08:03
highest temperature in moscow on april 15 2026 10c	4	$54	32	32	+0	open	—	04-15 13:45
us escorts commercial ship through hormuz by april 30 894	2	$52	32	32	+0	open	—	04-17 15:08

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
06-29 08:09:59	mojtaba khamenei seen in public by july 15	No	BUY	42	84¢	$35	0x73eb06…
06-25 15:14:11	Will Scotland advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	No	BUY	50	75¢	$38	0xe1b78f…
06-25 14:59:34	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?	Yes	SELL	56	67¢	$38	0x8ea88a…
06-22 14:45:08	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?	Yes	BUY	56	50¢	$28	0x756ddf…
06-20 21:01:37	Starmer out by June 30, 2026?	No	BUY	71	7¢	$5	0x6f9b49…
06-19 19:35:53	Starmer out by June 30, 2026?	No	BUY	28	36¢	$10	0xcfdaf1…
06-19 16:31:35	Starmer out by June 30, 2026?	No	BUY	20	51¢	$10	0x8377ca…
06-19 15:28:22	Starmer out by June 30, 2026?	No	BUY	56	63¢	$35	0xab1fe2…
06-19 10:30:23	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	No	BUY	12	91¢	$11	0x2e95e3…
06-16 08:23:51	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	No	BUY	23	84¢	$19	0x87d4e8…
06-12 08:03:57	Will Pete Hegseth leave the Trump administration before 2027?	No	SELL	39	73¢	$29	0x992383…
06-11 19:35:48	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	Yes	SELL	289	25¢	$72	0xcf2812…
06-08 04:27:39	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	Yes	BUY	37	10¢	$4	0xab6508…
06-06 10:48:15	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	Yes	BUY	33	15¢	$5	0x8672b7…
06-04 04:58:46	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	Yes	BUY	62	16¢	$10	0xb920f6…
06-01 17:36:24	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	Yes	BUY	53	19¢	$10	0x53284c…
05-31 09:02:03	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	Yes	BUY	103	29¢	$30	0x351c2a…
05-31 07:30:09	Will Trump agree to unfreeze Iranian assets by May 31?	No	SELL	28	96¢	$27	0x8291f3…
05-31 07:30:04	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	No	SELL	33	98¢	$32	0xadeb28…
05-31 07:28:54	US-Iran nuclear deal by May 31?	No	SELL	34	98¢	$33	0x9c6761…
05-30 06:32:37	Will Pete Hegseth leave the Trump administration before 2027?	No	BUY	39	71¢	$28	0x8ca319…
05-29 08:23:19	US-Iran nuclear deal by May 31?	No	BUY	34	87¢	$30	0xb776ce…
05-29 08:23:03	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	No	SELL	34	90¢	$31	0xfae30b…
05-28 20:35:53	Will Trump agree to unfreeze Iranian assets by May 31?	No	BUY	28	89¢	$25	0xec45c5…
05-28 14:29:57	Claude 4.8 released by May 31?	No	BUY	15	20¢	$3	0xce0aee…
05-28 13:30:19	US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by May 28?	No	SELL	56	98¢	$55	0x46f310…
05-26 12:02:46	US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by May 28?	No	BUY	56	80¢	$45	0x64eae9…
05-26 06:04:53	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	No	BUY	67	75¢	$50	0xbc7446…
05-25 06:30:41	Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 27?	Yes	BUY	27	94¢	$25	0xfc95de…
05-25 06:29:31	Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 27?	Yes	BUY	26	94¢	$24	0x5bca8c…
05-23 14:28:36	Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 23?	Yes	SELL	26	93¢	$24	0xbafe0f…
05-22 09:50:19	Will SpaceX Starship Flight Test 12 launch by May 31?	Yes	BUY	23	95¢	$22	0xf49ad8…
05-20 12:23:03	Starmer out by May 31, 2026?	No	SELL	23	94¢	$22	0xc46742…
05-18 11:15:18	Starmer out by May 31, 2026?	No	BUY	23	86¢	$20	0xe09bdf…
05-18 11:12:03	Starmer out by May 19, 2026?	No	SELL	33	96¢	$32	0x41b7cc…
05-17 21:15:33	Starmer out by May 19, 2026?	No	BUY	11	89¢	$10	0x6ac158…
05-17 10:52:40	Starmer out by May 19, 2026?	No	BUY	22	92¢	$20	0x695b3c…
05-16 22:24:29	Will Romania be in the top 10 at Eurovision 2026?	Yes	SELL	59	81¢	$48	0x1ed27f…
05-16 06:21:17	Will Romania be in the top 10 at Eurovision 2026?	Yes	BUY	36	85¢	$31	0x9b002b…
05-16 06:20:20	Starmer out by May 19, 2026?	No	SELL	32	98¢	$31	0x8219b2…
05-16 06:12:10	Starmer out by May 19, 2026?	No	SELL	33	98¢	$33	0x5d01bf…
05-15 17:40:55	Will Romania be in the top 10 at Eurovision 2026?	Yes	BUY	23	87¢	$20	0x27f71a…
05-15 08:50:14	Starmer out by May 19, 2026?	No	BUY	65	95¢	$62	0x53c6dd…
05-14 06:10:33	Confirmed case of Hantavirus in US by May 15?	No	BUY	52	79¢	$41	0x270b12…
05-14 06:09:49	Starmer out by May 15, 2026?	No	SELL	43	96¢	$41	0x38013c…
05-14 06:02:04	Will Cyprus advance through the second Eurovision Semi-Final?	Yes	BUY	63	64¢	$40	0xff27d0…
05-14 05:58:37	Confirmed case of Hantavirus in US by May 15?	No	SELL	54	77¢	$41	0x85e003…
05-13 07:36:22	Confirmed case of Hantavirus in US by May 15?	No	BUY	54	58¢	$31	0x140e57…
05-13 07:30:13	Starmer out by May 15, 2026?	No	SELL	21	95¢	$20	0xbc0eb4…
05-13 07:27:41	Confirmed case of Hantavirus in US by May 15?	Yes	SELL	29	42¢	$12	0x75e3c8…
05-12 06:22:27	Confirmed case of Hantavirus in US by May 15?	Yes	BUY	29	69¢	$20	0x8a83fb…
05-12 06:21:36	Confirmed case of Hantavirus in US by May 15?	No	SELL	68	31¢	$21	0x2646a4…
05-12 06:16:44	Confirmed case of Hantavirus in US by May 15?	No	BUY	68	31¢	$21	0xc949c3…
05-12 06:01:30	Starmer out by May 15, 2026?	No	BUY	64	72¢	$46	0x2f6585…
05-11 04:36:23	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 11, 2026?	No	SELL	15	100¢	$15	0xde0c39…
05-11 04:36:16	Will Trump visit China by May 15?	Yes	SELL	95	99¢	$94	0x2b1ec4…
05-08 10:44:55	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 11, 2026?	No	BUY	15	92¢	$13	0x1fde3b…
04-29 06:52:48	Will Trump visit China by May 15?	Yes	BUY	10	65¢	$7	0x7972ea…
04-28 10:48:32	Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 3°C on April 28?	Yes	SELL	40	19¢	$8	0xff5c83…
04-28 10:20:16	Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 3°C on April 28?	Yes	BUY	29	8¢	$2	0x29ebc4…
04-28 10:20:02	Will Trump visit China by May 15?	Yes	SELL	4	67¢	$2	0x8f4c19…
04-28 09:35:24	Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 3°C on April 28?	Yes	BUY	6	22¢	$1	0x520e32…
04-28 09:34:44	Will Trump visit China by May 15?	Yes	SELL	2	69¢	$1	0x17fde2…
04-28 08:42:34	Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 1°C on April 28?	No	BUY	33	96¢	$32	0xfd3a1c…
04-28 08:23:34	Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 3°C on April 28?	Yes	SELL	8	29¢	$2	0x66f5ea…
04-28 08:20:14	Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 3°C on April 28?	Yes	BUY	38	26¢	$10	0xfd5d82…
04-28 08:18:30	Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 0°C on April 28?	No	SELL	40	100¢	$40	0x4f0dcf…
04-27 15:14:30	Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 0°C on April 28?	No	BUY	40	98¢	$39	0x9a5e92…
04-27 15:12:44	Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 6°C on April 27?	No	SELL	39	100¢	$39	0xeb202f…
04-26 07:22:16	Will Trump visit China by May 15?	Yes	BUY	10	60¢	$6	0x5e1a10…
04-26 06:30:08	Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 6°C on April 27?	No	BUY	39	97¢	$38	0x5d0c95…
04-26 06:26:52	Will Trump visit China by May 15?	Yes	BUY	17	60¢	$10	0x9ffb68…
04-26 06:23:52	Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 7°C or below on April 26?	No	SELL	59	100¢	$59	0x076ac2…
04-25 06:42:26	Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 7°C or below on April 26?	No	BUY	21	92¢	$19	0x6da598…
04-25 06:42:02	Iran leadership change by April 30?	No	SELL	20	95¢	$19	0xe99008…
04-25 06:38:14	Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 7°C or below on April 26?	No	BUY	7	92¢	$6	0x22d3b8…
04-25 06:37:48	Iran leadership change by April 30?	No	SELL	6	95¢	$6	0xca75a1…
04-25 06:16:50	Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 7°C or below on April 26?	No	BUY	32	97¢	$31	0xbf33d3…
04-25 06:15:04	Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 7°C on April 25?	No	SELL	31	99¢	$31	0x8e9f58…
04-25 06:09:16	Will Trump visit China by May 15?	Yes	BUY	7	67¢	$5	0x881114…
04-25 06:07:58	Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 7°C on April 25?	No	SELL	5	99¢	$5	0x1d5e52…
04-24 15:11:04	Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 7°C on April 25?	No	BUY	36	97¢	$35	0x589037…
04-24 15:07:20	highest temperature in amsterdam on april 24 2026 15c	Yes	SELL	9	99¢	$9	0xf4f6ef…
04-24 15:07:02	highest temperature in amsterdam on april 24 2026 17c	No	SELL	26	100¢	$26	0xd0bfdd…
04-24 12:45:12	Will Trump visit China by May 15?	Yes	BUY	5	61¢	$3	0x60e87b…
04-24 11:47:24	highest temperature in amsterdam on april 24 2026 17c	Yes	SELL	9	1¢	$0	0xff2ceb…
04-24 11:43:34	highest temperature in amsterdam on april 24 2026 17c	Yes	SELL	124	2¢	$3	0xac9c1d…
04-24 11:35:48	highest temperature in amsterdam on april 24 2026 15c	Yes	BUY	9	66¢	$6	0x3ad07d…
04-24 11:35:06	highest temperature in amsterdam on april 24 2026 14c	Yes	SELL	96	7¢	$6	0xde2b00…
04-24 09:48:08	highest temperature in amsterdam on april 24 2026 17c	No	BUY	26	94¢	$25	0xcc0c1d…
04-24 09:44:36	Iran leadership change by April 30?	No	BUY	27	94¢	$25	0x2b644c…
04-24 09:42:02	highest temperature in amsterdam on april 24 2026 14c	Yes	BUY	100	10¢	$10	0x213d44…
04-24 09:25:38	Will Trump visit China by May 15?	Yes	BUY	8	59¢	$5	0x6787aa…
04-24 09:25:04	Will Trump visit China by May 15?	Yes	BUY	42	59¢	$25	0x95c4ba…
04-24 09:13:46	highest temperature in amsterdam on april 24 2026 17c	Yes	BUY	139	7¢	$10	0x20adb0…
04-24 08:49:12	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?	No	SELL	113	97¢	$110	0x0aa24c…
04-21 07:57:58	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?	No	BUY	15	68¢	$10	0x754127…
04-21 06:21:42	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?	No	BUY	14	71¢	$10	0xdcbab1…
04-19 10:13:56	highest temperature in moscow on april 19 2026 7c	No	SELL	25	96¢	$24	0xaee86b…
04-19 09:12:40	highest temperature in moscow on april 19 2026 7c	No	BUY	26	90¢	$23	0xf7317a…