Scarce-Shearling — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$221

Unrealized P&L

-$5

Hit rate

61.1%

Resolved

2,440

Trades

4,619

lifetime

Volume

$15.6K

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

1 position

First seen

2026-03-31

last 09-07 13:22

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 59 days

Categories

Crypto

99% 53% +$156

Other

0% 60% -$3

Sports

0% 75% +$63

Politics

0% 50% +$5

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

4 active days in 12wk • peak 1 trade/day

Open positions (1) Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Discord IPO before 2027?	Yes		+14	$5	3¢	$0	-$5	07-18 18:31

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 1:00PM-1:15PM ET	39	$138	152	134	+17	Up	+$6	06-01 17:10
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 10:00PM-10:15PM ET	26	$89	109	93	+16	Down	+$1	06-02 02:05
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-29 12:00 UTC	13	$79	244	126	+118	Up	+$5	06-29 12:03
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 10:15PM-10:30PM ET	23	$78	107	91	+15	Up	-$2	06-02 02:24
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 10:30PM-10:45PM ET	22	$72	65	65	+0	Down	+$1	06-02 02:39
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 8:30PM-8:45PM ET	20	$70	75	75	+0	Down	+$0	06-02 00:38
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 5:45AM-6:00AM ET	21	$69	91	83	+8	Down	-$1	06-02 09:55
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-04-13 23:30 UTC	2	$66	42	41	+1	Down	+$16	04-13 23:42
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 1:30AM-1:45AM ET	20	$64	99	73	+25	Down	-$7	06-02 05:42
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 11:15PM-11:30PM ET	18	$63	70	69	+1	Up	+$0	06-02 03:24
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 1:45PM-2:00PM ET	16	$56	60	60	+0	Down	+$0	06-01 17:57
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 1:30PM-1:45PM ET	15	$54	75	75	+0	Down	-$2	06-01 17:44
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-01 01:40 UTC	8	$49	82	82	+0	Up	+$9	07-01 01:43
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 4:00AM-4:15AM ET	14	$48	62	62	+0	Down	-$1	06-02 08:06
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 9:00PM-9:15PM ET	12	$45	45	45	+0	Up	+$3	06-02 01:12
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 3:30PM-3:45PM ET	13	$45	48	42	+6	Up	+$2	06-01 19:38
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 1:15PM-1:30PM ET	14	$44	70	64	+5	Up	$0	06-01 17:25
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 3:45AM-4:00AM ET	12	$42	52	52	+0	Down	+$0	06-02 07:56
Ethereum Up or Down - May 20, 1:15PM-1:30PM ET	8	$42	36	36	-0	Up	+$7	05-20 17:20
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-30 13:50 UTC	8	$42	72	72	+0	Up	+$2	06-30 13:52
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 11:30PM-11:45PM ET	12	$41	37	37	+0	Up	-$1	06-02 03:37
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 5:30AM-5:45AM ET	12	$41	44	44	+0	Up	-$1	06-02 09:40
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-30 13:40 UTC	8	$37	52	52	+0	Up	-$3	06-30 13:41
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-04-12 02:00 UTC	2	$35	23	22	+1	Up	+$10	04-12 02:13
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 8:00PM-8:15PM ET	12	$35	51	51	+0	Down	-$3	06-02 00:06
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 1:30PM-1:35PM ET	7	$35	377	21	+357	Down	$0	06-01 17:33
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 1:00PM-1:05PM ET	9	$33	61	43	+18	Up	+$10	06-01 17:03
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 5:00AM-5:15AM ET	10	$33	54	54	+0	Down	-$2	06-02 09:03
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 4:30PM-4:45PM ET	10	$33	34	33	+0	Down	-$2	06-01 20:40
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 5:15AM-5:30AM ET	10	$33	57	50	+6	Down	-$2	06-02 09:23

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
09-07 13:22:18	Will Linda Noskova win the 2026 Women’s US Open?	Yes	SELL	129	5¢	$6	0x4a6e62…
09-06 06:33:06	Will Mirra Andreeva win the 2026 Women’s US Open?	Yes	SELL	79	8¢	$6	0xb990bc…
09-03 11:48:12	Will Fabian Ruiz win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	Yes	BUY	266	2¢	$5	0xccf529…
09-02 20:08:31	Will Fabian Ruiz win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	Yes	SELL	278	2¢	$5	0xc6c5d4…
08-05 09:20:17	Will Francesca Hong win the 2026 Wisconsin Governor Democratic primary election?	No	SELL	108	14¢	$15	0x2c1c37…
08-02 19:22:51	Will Monty Fritts win the 2026 Tennessee Governor Republican primary election?	Yes	BUY	183	3¢	$5	0x85697f…
07-29 19:39:50	Will Linda Noskova win the 2026 Women’s US Open?	Yes	BUY	129	4¢	$5	0x962185…
07-29 19:39:30	Will Francesca Hong win the 2026 Wisconsin Governor Democratic primary election?	No	BUY	108	5¢	$5	0x075e02…
07-29 19:39:02	Will Mirra Andreeva win the 2026 Women’s US Open?	Yes	BUY	79	6¢	$5	0x49b30f…
07-24 06:24:24	Will Pau Cubarsi win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	Yes	SELL	500	2¢	$8	0x2d3b8f…
07-22 09:01:51	Will the Republican Party win the OH-15 House seat?	Yes	SELL	7	70¢	$5	0x0321b4…
07-22 09:01:39	Will the Democratic Party win the WA-05 House seat?	No	SELL	7	81¢	$5	0xd8752a…
07-22 09:01:12	Will Pau Cubarsi win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	Yes	BUY	500	1¢	$5	0x89d43f…
07-22 08:21:27	Will Fabian Ruiz win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	Yes	BUY	278	2¢	$5	0xbfbaee…
07-19 22:05:24	Will Lionel Messi win the Golden Ball at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	No	BUY	71	7¢	$5	0x2210a4…
07-18 18:31:40	Discord IPO before 2027?	Yes	BUY	14	35¢	$5	0xd5119c…
07-18 07:22:34	Will the Republican Party win the NJ-09 House seat?	Yes	SELL	68	10¢	$7	0x626506…
07-15 20:53:37	Will Jude Bellingham win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	Yes	SELL	15	2¢	$0	0x28ee6e…
07-15 20:53:28	Will Jude Bellingham win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	Yes	SELL	64	2¢	$1	0x7571bf…
07-15 19:01:26	Will Jude Bellingham win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	Yes	BUY	78	6¢	$5	0x48e645…
07-14 11:07:13	Will the Republican Party win the NJ-09 House seat?	Yes	BUY	68	7¢	$5	0x8a884e…
07-14 11:06:23	Will Lamine Yamal win the Golden Ball at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	BUY	238	2¢	$5	0xce4a7f…
07-12 13:28:55	Will Samuel Alito announce his retirement by December 31, 2026?	No	SELL	1	79¢	$1	0x77559e…
07-09 07:07:28	Will the Democratic Party win the WA-05 House seat?	No	BUY	7	74¢	$5	0x04f2aa…
07-09 07:07:25	Will the Republican Party win the OH-15 House seat?	Yes	BUY	7	68¢	$5	0x6bd728…
07-05 20:21:50	Will Samuel Alito announce his retirement by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	1	74¢	$1	0x3a2229…
07-02 22:52:19	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-02 22:50 UTC	Up	SELL	50	5¢	$3	0x438ddb…
07-02 22:52:08	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-02 22:50 UTC	Up	BUY	50	10¢	$5	0x07c640…
07-02 14:43:41	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-02 14:40 UTC	Up	SELL	99	6¢	$6	0x11229f…
07-02 14:43:32	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-02 14:40 UTC	Up	BUY	99	5¢	$5	0xe98073…
07-02 13:37:23	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-02 13:35 UTC	Up	SELL	6	22¢	$1	0x359d7f…
07-02 13:37:22	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-02 13:35 UTC	Up	SELL	5	22¢	$1	0x32e401…
07-02 13:37:10	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-02 13:35 UTC	Up	BUY	11	46¢	$5	0x6a4c96…
07-02 13:37:07	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-02 13:35 UTC	Up	BUY	10	49¢	$5	0xe1c6b2…
07-02 13:30:49	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-02 13:30 UTC	Down	SELL	6	74¢	$5	0x8e410b…
07-02 13:30:37	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-02 13:30 UTC	Down	BUY	6	81¢	$5	0x0c1a72…
07-02 13:18:32	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-02 13:15 UTC	Up	SELL	5	97¢	$5	0xf06345…
07-02 13:18:22	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-02 13:15 UTC	Up	BUY	5	95¢	$5	0x1c3799…
07-02 12:30:50	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-02 12:30 UTC	Up	SELL	6	90¢	$5	0x9fc707…
07-02 12:30:38	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-02 12:30 UTC	Up	BUY	6	89¢	$5	0xd303a0…
07-02 12:30:31	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-02 12:30 UTC	Down	SELL	23	17¢	$4	0xbbf475…
07-02 12:30:20	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-02 12:30 UTC	Down	BUY	25	20¢	$5	0x9003d4…
07-02 12:03:52	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-02 12:00 UTC	Up	SELL	83	5¢	$4	0xbe6934…
07-02 12:03:41	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-02 12:00 UTC	Up	BUY	83	6¢	$5	0x8b21db…
07-02 03:50:23	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-02 03:50 UTC	Up	SELL	7	71¢	$5	0x83336e…
07-02 03:50:13	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-02 03:50 UTC	Up	BUY	7	75¢	$5	0x2b9945…
07-01 23:02:28	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-01 23:00 UTC	Down	SELL	5	95¢	$5	0x4545fe…
07-01 23:02:17	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-01 23:00 UTC	Down	BUY	5	95¢	$5	0xb6e9e8…
07-01 22:23:01	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-01 22:20 UTC	Up	SELL	5	95¢	$5	0x64700e…
07-01 22:22:50	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-01 22:20 UTC	Up	BUY	5	93¢	$5	0xce9b56…
07-01 11:37:02	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-01 11:35 UTC	Up	SELL	5	92¢	$5	0x641bbc…
07-01 11:36:52	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-01 11:35 UTC	Up	BUY	5	92¢	$5	0x6c97ca…
07-01 09:55:25	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-01 09:55 UTC	Up	BUY	10	48¢	$5	0xc80f6f…
07-01 09:55:25	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-01 09:55 UTC	Up	BUY	10	48¢	$5	0x4b61e4…
07-01 09:55:25	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-01 09:55 UTC	Up	BUY	10	48¢	$5	0x2ce066…
07-01 09:55:25	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-01 09:55 UTC	Up	BUY	10	48¢	$5	0x178b34…
07-01 09:55:23	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-01 09:55 UTC	Up	BUY	10	48¢	$5	0xc868c8…
07-01 01:45:31	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-01 01:45 UTC	Up	SELL	10	51¢	$5	0x680a67…
07-01 01:45:20	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-01 01:45 UTC	Up	BUY	10	51¢	$5	0x2ffe31…
07-01 01:43:43	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-01 01:40 UTC	Up	SELL	6	96¢	$6	0x7a58f8…
07-01 01:43:32	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-01 01:40 UTC	Up	BUY	6	86¢	$5	0xd993bd…
07-01 01:41:56	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-01 01:40 UTC	Down	SELL	33	34¢	$11	0x568f9d…
07-01 01:41:46	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-01 01:40 UTC	Down	BUY	33	15¢	$5	0xea7eac…
07-01 01:41:34	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-01 01:40 UTC	Down	SELL	33	14¢	$5	0x776b8f…
07-01 01:41:23	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-01 01:40 UTC	Down	BUY	33	15¢	$5	0x733e39…
07-01 01:41:07	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-01 01:40 UTC	Up	SELL	10	71¢	$7	0x6d5280…
07-01 01:40:56	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-01 01:40 UTC	Up	BUY	10	50¢	$5	0xd6588f…
07-01 01:32:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 30, 9:30PM-9:35PM ET	Up	SELL	5	94¢	$5	0xc8fb76…
07-01 01:32:04	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-01 01:30 UTC	Up	BUY	5	94¢	$5	0x6a9347…
07-01 01:31:17	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-01 01:30 UTC	Up	SELL	5	90¢	$5	0x780e42…
07-01 01:31:07	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-01 01:30 UTC	Up	BUY	5	93¢	$5	0x2afd9e…
06-30 21:10:58	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-30 21:10 UTC	Down	SELL	5	95¢	$5	0x069508…
06-30 21:10:47	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-30 21:10 UTC	Down	BUY	5	93¢	$5	0xd582ae…
06-30 16:06:58	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-30 16:05 UTC	Down	SELL	33	7¢	$2	0xce011d…
06-30 16:06:47	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-30 16:05 UTC	Down	BUY	58	9¢	$5	0xdb358d…
06-30 15:46:16	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-30 15:45 UTC	Up	SELL	5	96¢	$5	0xf108b0…
06-30 15:46:05	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-30 15:45 UTC	Up	BUY	5	91¢	$5	0xe3bcf5…
06-30 15:05:25	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-30 15:05 UTC	Down	SELL	9	65¢	$6	0x68e2ac…
06-30 15:05:11	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-30 15:05 UTC	Down	BUY	9	57¢	$5	0x8ad45e…
06-30 14:36:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 30, 10:35AM-10:40AM ET	Down	SELL	5	93¢	$5	0x943635…
06-30 14:36:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 30, 10:35AM-10:40AM ET	Down	BUY	5	92¢	$5	0x4ca8af…
06-30 14:06:26	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-30 14:05 UTC	Down	SELL	3	45¢	$1	0xb7e3b0…
06-30 14:06:10	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-30 14:05 UTC	Down	BUY	3	47¢	$1	0xe163a2…
06-30 14:02:19	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-30 14:00 UTC	Down	SELL	77	2¢	$2	0xf1a4c4…
06-30 14:02:19	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-30 14:00 UTC	Down	SELL	6	3¢	$0	0x75edb4…
06-30 14:02:07	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-30 14:00 UTC	Down	BUY	83	6¢	$5	0x4e19a6…
06-30 14:01:53	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-30 14:00 UTC	Up	SELL	8	82¢	$7	0x7b0bd7…
06-30 14:01:41	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-30 14:00 UTC	Up	BUY	8	63¢	$5	0x0c12e5…
06-30 13:52:28	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-30 13:50 UTC	Up	SELL	5	94¢	$5	0xae1955…
06-30 13:52:17	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-30 13:50 UTC	Up	BUY	5	92¢	$5	0x649e7c…
06-30 13:52:10	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-30 13:50 UTC	Up	SELL	5	91¢	$5	0x99e915…
06-30 13:51:53	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-30 13:50 UTC	Up	BUY	5	93¢	$5	0xb37515…
06-30 13:51:50	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-30 13:50 UTC	Up	SELL	6	89¢	$5	0xd4f891…
06-30 13:51:40	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-30 13:50 UTC	Up	BUY	6	89¢	$5	0xce4e73…
06-30 13:51:38	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-30 13:50 UTC	Down	SELL	56	12¢	$7	0xf50165…
06-30 13:51:28	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-30 13:50 UTC	Down	BUY	56	9¢	$5	0xfe4bc2…
06-30 13:41:17	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-30 13:40 UTC	Up	SELL	6	87¢	$5	0xdc6704…
06-30 13:41:07	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-30 13:40 UTC	Up	BUY	6	86¢	$5	0xf92e1e…
06-30 13:40:47	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-30 13:40 UTC	Up	SELL	6	85¢	$5	0xdee6c7…
06-30 13:40:37	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-30 13:40 UTC	Up	BUY	6	82¢	$5	0xad5248…