Measly-Softening — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$1.36K

Unrealized P&L

+$0

Hit rate

27.8%

Resolved

2,037

Trades

9,225

lifetime

Volume

$79.4K

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

2 positions

First seen

2026-05-15

last 07-13 14:33

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 64 days

Categories

Other

61% 16% -$931

Crypto

32% 67% -$203

Politics

5% 7% -$200

Tech

1% 33% -$24

Sports

1% 14% -$4

Activity

No trades in the last 84 days (last trade 2026-07-13).

Open positions (2) Resolved markets (29) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Clarity Act signed into law in 2026?	No		+0	$0	98¢	$0	+$0	07-11 05:06
Clarity Act signed into law in 2026?	Yes		+0	$0	2¢	$0	$0	07-11 06:26

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?	42	$2.7K	2,389	2,389	+0	open	—	07-12 09:25
us x iran diplomatic meeting by july 31 2026 20260622191708361	15	$993	959	959	+0	No	-$14	07-13 14:33
Will the highest temperature in Jeddah be 38°C or higher on July 3?	48	$643	645	645	+0	No	-$8	07-03 04:27
US and Iran sign an agreement by June 30, 2026?	26	$637	873	873	+0	Yes	-$12	06-14 16:12
Will no qualifying diplomatic US-Iran meeting occur by June 30, 2026?	21	$602	642	642	+0	No	-$15	06-14 20:47
will the us announce a blockade on iran by july 31 20260622191116912	8	$584	723	723	+0	Yes	-$93	07-13 14:17
Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by June 22?	8	$567	521	521	+0	No	-$5	06-14 19:46
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 33°C on June 23?	31	$525	540	540	+0	No	-$4	06-22 19:36
Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 40°C on June 23?	32	$523	610	610	+0	No	-$6	06-22 19:35
Fed rate hike in 2026?	6	$495	606	606	+0	Yes	-$6	07-13 06:35
Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 25°C or below on June 25?	41	$456	466	466	+0	Yes	-$2	06-24 15:22
Will the highest temperature in Jeddah be 39°C or higher on July 4?	46	$450	448	448	+0	No	+$9	07-04 19:04
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 33°C on June 24?	25	$429	437	437	+0	No	-$3	06-23 14:07
Will the highest temperature in Jeddah be 41°C or higher on July 6?	29	$405	441	441	+0	No	-$3	07-05 08:10
Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 26°C on June 14?	33	$404	475	475	+0	Yes	-$39	06-14 12:31
Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 25°C or below on June 23?	28	$395	419	419	+0	Yes	-$4	06-22 14:36
Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 12°C on June 27?	12	$385	393	391	+2	No	-$10	06-26 04:06
Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 90-91°F on June 27?	28	$383	401	401	+0	Yes	-$27	06-26 22:51
Will the lowest temperature in Tokyo be 19°C on June 24?	19	$381	424	424	+0	Yes	-$75	06-23 14:32
Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 27°C on July 1?	38	$374	442	314	+128	Yes	-$2	07-01 04:47
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 24°C on June 20?	14	$374	391	391	+0	Yes	-$3	06-19 21:09
Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 72-73°F on June 23?	24	$367	368	368	+0	No	-$4	06-23 07:01
Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 12°C on July 1?	32	$362	374	373	+0	Yes	-$7	06-30 06:12
Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 28°C on June 27?	20	$356	380	380	+0	Yes	-$5	06-26 10:47
Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 26°C on June 29?	28	$353	389	389	+0	No	-$8	06-28 17:28
Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 27°C on June 26?	5	$347	302	302	+0	No	-$6	06-25 08:00
Will Rafael Leão be in Portugal's Starting 11?	8	$347	284	284	+0	No	-$4	06-14 06:22
Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 12°C on June 30?	32	$336	349	349	+0	Yes	-$2	06-29 06:37
Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 17°C on June 15?	22	$331	385	365	+20	No	-$10	06-15 07:22
Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 92-93°F on June 29?	32	$324	312	312	+0	Yes	-$2	06-29 01:02

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
07-13 14:33:28	us x iran diplomatic meeting by july 31 2026 20260622191708361	Yes	SELL	24	35¢	$8	0x4468ca…
07-13 14:33:20	us x iran diplomatic meeting by july 31 2026 20260622191708361	Yes	BUY	23	35¢	$8	0x1a0ab1…
07-13 14:31:19	us x iran diplomatic meeting by july 31 2026 20260622191708361	Yes	BUY	0	35¢	$0	0xd7a4a0…
07-13 14:17:07	will the us announce a blockade on iran by july 31 20260622191116912	No	SELL	200	29¢	$58	0x6c71e7…
07-13 14:16:49	will the us announce a blockade on iran by july 31 20260622191116912	No	BUY	200	69¢	$138	0x421dd2…
07-13 11:13:59	us x iran diplomatic meeting by july 31 2026 20260622191708361	No	SELL	200	60¢	$120	0xbacc12…
07-13 11:13:52	us x iran diplomatic meeting by july 31 2026 20260622191708361	No	BUY	200	61¢	$122	0x9c4d25…
07-13 09:47:31	us x iran diplomatic meeting by july 31 2026 20260622191708361	Yes	SELL	78	36¢	$28	0xa477dc…
07-13 09:47:23	us x iran diplomatic meeting by july 31 2026 20260622191708361	Yes	BUY	78	36¢	$28	0xf03c47…
07-13 09:45:49	us x iran diplomatic meeting by july 31 2026 20260622191708361	Yes	SELL	58	36¢	$21	0x0ee6a0…
07-13 09:45:40	us x iran diplomatic meeting by july 31 2026 20260622191708361	Yes	BUY	58	36¢	$21	0x041c4f…
07-13 09:04:35	us x iran diplomatic meeting by july 31 2026 20260622191708361	No	SELL	200	62¢	$124	0x982acd…
07-13 09:04:28	us x iran diplomatic meeting by july 31 2026 20260622191708361	No	BUY	200	64¢	$128	0x264af1…
07-13 08:29:43	us x iran diplomatic meeting by july 31 2026 20260622191708361	No	SELL	200	62¢	$125	0x163571…
07-13 08:29:35	us x iran diplomatic meeting by july 31 2026 20260622191708361	No	BUY	200	66¢	$132	0x591082…
07-13 07:48:29	us x iran diplomatic meeting by july 31 2026 20260622191708361	Yes	SELL	199	32¢	$64	0x81e2d3…
07-13 07:48:22	us x iran diplomatic meeting by july 31 2026 20260622191708361	Yes	BUY	199	32¢	$64	0x53d82e…
07-13 06:35:26	Fed rate hike in 2026?	No	SELL	200	40¢	$80	0x5cbc87…
07-13 06:35:19	Fed rate hike in 2026?	No	BUY	200	40¢	$80	0x2dff29…
07-12 09:25:49	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?	Yes	SELL	200	63¢	$126	0x74c6e5…
07-12 09:25:41	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?	Yes	BUY	200	64¢	$128	0x138a1e…
07-12 03:50:35	Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	Yes	SELL	95	16¢	$15	0xcc4a61…
07-12 03:50:31	Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	Yes	SELL	62	16¢	$10	0xc0e209…
07-12 03:50:31	Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	Yes	SELL	44	16¢	$7	0xa504ea…
07-12 03:50:25	Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	Yes	BUY	138	17¢	$24	0xf39f2a…
07-12 03:50:23	Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	Yes	BUY	6	17¢	$1	0x80db91…
07-12 03:50:23	Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	Yes	BUY	4	17¢	$1	0x7bd387…
07-12 03:50:23	Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	Yes	BUY	34	17¢	$6	0x4d5fe6…
07-12 03:50:23	Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	Yes	BUY	18	17¢	$3	0x17a615…
07-11 23:11:11	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?	No	SELL	16	38¢	$6	0x56de09…
07-11 23:10:43	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?	Yes	SELL	200	61¢	$122	0x164442…
07-11 23:10:41	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?	No	BUY	16	38¢	$6	0x4ecc96…
07-11 23:10:35	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?	Yes	BUY	200	62¢	$124	0xe68c5e…
07-11 22:19:20	will the us announce a blockade on iran by july 31 20260622191116912	No	SELL	200	65¢	$130	0x06d857…
07-11 22:19:13	will the us announce a blockade on iran by july 31 20260622191116912	No	BUY	200	70¢	$140	0x53485b…
07-11 20:27:08	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?	No	SELL	200	30¢	$60	0x86060f…
07-11 20:27:02	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?	No	BUY	200	31¢	$62	0x7dfd2b…
07-11 19:47:14	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?	Yes	SELL	76	67¢	$51	0xb91a74…
07-11 19:47:07	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?	Yes	BUY	76	67¢	$51	0xbdeb40…
07-11 18:34:35	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?	Yes	SELL	200	66¢	$132	0x28309f…
07-11 18:34:28	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?	Yes	BUY	200	67¢	$134	0xa83b17…
07-11 18:29:43	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?	No	SELL	58	31¢	$18	0x6ea7f3…
07-11 18:29:35	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?	No	BUY	58	31¢	$18	0xf4a01b…
07-11 17:55:32	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?	Yes	SELL	53	65¢	$34	0xa38ece…
07-11 17:55:25	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?	Yes	BUY	50	65¢	$33	0x55795b…
07-11 17:53:05	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?	Yes	BUY	3	65¢	$2	0x183c79…
07-11 17:46:53	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?	Yes	SELL	57	65¢	$37	0xb34c07…
07-11 17:46:46	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?	Yes	BUY	57	65¢	$37	0xb61938…
07-11 15:05:25	will the us announce a blockade on iran by july 31 20260622191116912	Yes	SELL	123	17¢	$21	0x08dd5e…
07-11 15:05:22	will the us announce a blockade on iran by july 31 20260622191116912	Yes	BUY	123	18¢	$22	0x54c18e…
07-11 15:01:26	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?	Yes	SELL	30	65¢	$20	0xdf1c2d…
07-11 15:01:02	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?	Yes	SELL	170	64¢	$109	0x3db514…
07-11 15:00:55	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?	Yes	BUY	30	66¢	$20	0xe9b74d…
07-11 15:00:55	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?	No	SELL	200	33¢	$66	0xbbb2ca…
07-11 15:00:55	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?	Yes	BUY	170	66¢	$112	0x330030…
07-11 15:00:47	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?	No	BUY	200	34¢	$68	0x5796d3…
07-11 14:38:41	Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 30°C on July 11?	No	SELL	6	1¢	$0	0xcce127…
07-11 14:28:38	Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 30°C on July 11?	No	SELL	14	1¢	$0	0xa61e51…
07-11 14:20:29	will the us announce a blockade on iran by july 31 20260622191116912	Yes	SELL	200	18¢	$36	0xdc67f6…
07-11 14:20:23	will the us announce a blockade on iran by july 31 20260622191116912	Yes	BUY	200	19¢	$38	0x28ed95…
07-11 12:28:13	Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 20°C on July 11?	No	SELL	8	11¢	$1	0xdd02b1…
07-11 12:08:08	Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 20°C on July 11?	No	SELL	35	5¢	$2	0xf522ac…
07-11 09:59:47	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?	Yes	SELL	5	64¢	$3	0x9e497d…
07-11 09:59:44	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?	Yes	SELL	137	64¢	$88	0x437981…
07-11 09:59:40	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?	Yes	BUY	5	65¢	$3	0x99e3b3…
07-11 09:59:37	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?	Yes	BUY	137	65¢	$89	0x3d0c9a…
07-11 06:26:59	Clarity Act signed into law in 2026?	Yes	SELL	97	43¢	$42	0x6fcc46…
07-11 06:26:52	Clarity Act signed into law in 2026?	Yes	BUY	97	43¢	$42	0xe5958a…
07-11 05:06:41	Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 11°C on July 12?	No	SELL	51	20¢	$10	0xac8836…
07-11 05:06:26	Clarity Act signed into law in 2026?	No	BUY	0	55¢	$0	0x5d96e9…
07-10 22:58:11	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?	Yes	SELL	198	63¢	$125	0x7bd5fc…
07-10 22:58:04	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?	Yes	BUY	198	64¢	$127	0xd7eae2…
07-10 22:24:32	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?	Yes	SELL	170	64¢	$109	0x7ef41e…
07-10 22:24:25	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?	Yes	BUY	170	65¢	$110	0xc8e27a…
07-10 22:20:14	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?	Yes	SELL	30	65¢	$19	0xd93ba3…
07-10 22:20:07	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?	Yes	BUY	30	65¢	$20	0x9950c4…
07-10 20:34:19	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?	Yes	SELL	200	64¢	$128	0x2752be…
07-10 20:34:11	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?	Yes	BUY	200	65¢	$130	0xaf6f1e…
07-10 19:22:37	Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 88-89°F on July 10?	No	SELL	41	95¢	$39	0xd06e62…
07-10 18:27:47	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?	No	SELL	153	35¢	$54	0x9d2579…
07-10 18:27:40	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?	No	BUY	153	36¢	$55	0x7bc85b…
07-10 18:27:34	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?	No	SELL	36	36¢	$13	0x914603…
07-10 18:27:25	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?	No	BUY	3	36¢	$1	0x8a8e2f…
07-10 18:27:23	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?	No	BUY	33	36¢	$12	0x1cfb58…
07-10 17:22:37	Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 31°C on July 11?	No	SELL	47	32¢	$15	0xc51032…
07-10 17:03:05	Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 90-91°F on July 10?	No	SELL	14	100¢	$14	0xe2f8b8…
07-10 16:08:19	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 34°C on July 11?	No	BUY	3	55¢	$1	0x50b75e…
07-10 12:17:59	Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 33°C on July 12?	No	SELL	16	55¢	$9	0xaab9ac…
07-10 12:17:52	Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 33°C on July 12?	No	BUY	16	56¢	$9	0x2369fd…
07-10 12:17:49	Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 33°C on July 12?	No	SELL	16	55¢	$9	0xca1037…
07-10 12:17:43	Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 33°C on July 12?	No	BUY	16	56¢	$9	0xb31c80…
07-10 12:17:38	Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 33°C on July 12?	No	SELL	16	55¢	$9	0xc55d76…
07-10 12:17:31	Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 33°C on July 12?	No	BUY	11	56¢	$6	0x681770…
07-10 12:06:50	Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 31°C on July 12?	No	SELL	6	55¢	$3	0x0ecfac…
07-10 12:06:38	Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 31°C on July 12?	No	BUY	6	56¢	$3	0x7bf1b9…
07-10 12:06:37	Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 31°C on July 12?	No	SELL	38	56¢	$22	0x94113c…
07-10 12:06:29	Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 31°C on July 12?	No	BUY	38	56¢	$22	0x55d525…
07-10 12:00:32	Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 28°C on July 11?	No	SELL	43	57¢	$25	0xafeb28…
07-10 12:00:25	Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 28°C on July 11?	No	BUY	43	57¢	$25	0x20b254…
07-10 11:27:22	Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 20°C on July 11?	No	BUY	37	57¢	$21	0x5c197a…