Careless-Assistance — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$397

Unrealized P&L

+$11

Hit rate

68.5%

Resolved

Trades

lifetime

Volume

$5.72K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$124

Open exposure

$30

1 position

First seen

2026-01-18

last 08-28 12:30

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 10 days

Categories

Politics

40% 100% +$106

Sports

35% 60% +$44

Other

25% 67% +$247

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

1 active day in 12wk • peak 6 trades/day

Open positions (1) Resolved markets (11) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?	Yes		-173	-$42	18¢	$-30	+$11	05-08 06:40

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	2	$922	520	520	+0	No	+$0	05-19 22:36
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $150 in May?	2	$779	400	400	+0	No	+$7	05-16 18:26
Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	3	$554	350	350	+0	open	—	08-28 11:28
Will J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?	4	$434	397	397	+0	open	—	08-28 12:30
Will Kimi Antonelli be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?	2	$387	260	260	+0	open	—	08-28 11:30
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $115 in April?	10	$360	600	0	+600	No	+$240	04-12 05:42
Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	2	$345	210	210	+0	No	+$0	05-24 13:13
us forces enter iran by march 14 337	1	$290	300	0	+300	No	+$10	03-14 11:20
Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	1	$254	295	0	+295	No	+$41	06-24 05:03
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	2	$254	150	150	+0	open	—	08-28 11:29
Will Paloma Valencia win the 2026 Colombian presidential election?	3	$247	154	115	+38	No	+$22	06-21 16:55
Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	6	$243	190	190	+0	open	—	06-21 16:54
will antnio jos seguro win the 2026 portugal presidential election	1	$200	274	0	+274	Yes	+$74	01-18 14:18
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $130 in May?	2	$180	100	100	+0	No	+$0	05-16 18:27
Hantavirus pandemic in 2026?	2	$115	60	60	+0	open	—	08-28 11:28
Will Club Brugge win the 2025–26 Champions League?	1	$60	0	60	-60	No	$0	05-08 06:39
Will Germany win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	1	$57	60	0	+60	No	+$3	06-24 05:05
Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?	1	$42	0	173	-173	open	—	05-08 06:40

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
08-28 12:30:21	Will J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?	No	SELL	366	52¢	$190	0xefdac2…
08-28 11:36:21	Will J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?	No	SELL	31	52¢	$16	0x792c28…
08-28 11:30:51	Will Kimi Antonelli be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?	Yes	SELL	260	74¢	$193	0x6e4ea1…
08-28 11:29:00	Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	No	SELL	150	86¢	$129	0xbc2210…
08-28 11:28:24	Hantavirus pandemic in 2026?	No	SELL	60	96¢	$58	0x1d67a5…
08-28 11:28:09	Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	No	SELL	262	85¢	$223	0xc1d1b5…
07-23 06:59:12	Will Kimi Antonelli be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?	Yes	BUY	260	75¢	$194	0x686ad5…
07-23 06:41:03	Will J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?	No	BUY	390	57¢	$224	0xcf9203…
07-23 06:40:31	Will J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?	No	BUY	7	57¢	$4	0x2709ee…
06-24 05:05:41	Will Germany win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	No	BUY	60	95¢	$57	0xeca174…
06-24 05:03:13	Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	No	BUY	295	86¢	$254	0xb9d5f2…
06-21 16:55:20	Will Paloma Valencia win the 2026 Colombian presidential election?	No	SELL	115	100¢	$115	0x534252…
06-21 16:54:17	Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	No	SELL	190	66¢	$125	0x4ae3d6…
06-21 16:53:02	Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	No	SELL	88	77¢	$67	0xb15b18…
05-24 13:23:09	Hantavirus pandemic in 2026?	No	BUY	60	95¢	$57	0x3f4a91…
05-24 13:14:17	Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	No	BUY	150	83¢	$124	0x55bb70…
05-24 13:13:29	Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	No	SELL	210	82¢	$173	0x5a92d5…
05-20 14:47:55	Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	No	BUY	38	62¢	$24	0x58853f…
05-20 14:47:13	Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	No	BUY	0	62¢	$0	0x27b841…
05-20 14:42:11	Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	No	BUY	0	62¢	$0	0xae6b1a…
05-20 14:34:02	Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	No	BUY	0	62¢	$0	0xbce7a1…
05-20 14:29:40	Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	No	BUY	210	82¢	$172	0x89a3bc…
05-20 14:16:39	Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	No	BUY	151	62¢	$94	0x5f7196…
05-20 13:44:26	Will Paloma Valencia win the 2026 Colombian presidential election?	No	BUY	2	86¢	$2	0x10b1af…
05-20 13:09:06	Will Paloma Valencia win the 2026 Colombian presidential election?	No	BUY	152	86¢	$130	0xa149f6…
05-19 22:36:14	Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	No	SELL	520	89¢	$461	0x9b0afb…
05-16 18:28:28	Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	No	BUY	520	89¢	$461	0x5510e7…
05-16 18:27:10	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $130 in May?	No	SELL	100	90¢	$90	0x25b6a6…
05-16 18:26:57	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $150 in May?	No	SELL	400	98¢	$393	0xc9431a…
05-09 10:20:01	Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	No	BUY	350	75¢	$264	0xf72be3…
05-08 07:12:16	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $130 in May?	No	BUY	100	90¢	$90	0x361a4c…
05-08 07:11:41	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $150 in May?	No	BUY	400	96¢	$386	0x823332…
05-08 06:40:04	Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?	Yes	SELL	173	24¢	$42	0x56e23d…
05-08 06:39:41	Will Club Brugge win the 2025–26 Champions League?	No	SELL	60	100¢	$60	0xcc7c2a…
04-12 05:42:25	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $115 in April?	No	BUY	188	60¢	$113	0x605248…
04-12 05:22:19	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $115 in April?	No	BUY	0	60¢	$0	0x7eb86b…
04-12 04:24:49	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $115 in April?	No	BUY	11	60¢	$6	0xece725…
04-12 04:05:01	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $115 in April?	No	BUY	12	60¢	$8	0xfa78a9…
04-12 03:49:33	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $115 in April?	No	BUY	99	60¢	$59	0x333cb0…
04-12 03:41:29	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $115 in April?	No	BUY	125	60¢	$75	0x3b7cf6…
04-12 03:41:01	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $115 in April?	No	BUY	60	60¢	$36	0xbad413…
04-12 03:30:17	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $115 in April?	No	BUY	98	60¢	$59	0xd01473…
04-10 18:04:09	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $115 in April?	No	BUY	5	60¢	$3	0x7ba7c5…
04-10 17:51:31	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $115 in April?	No	BUY	2	60¢	$2	0xe8cfe4…
03-14 11:20:11	us forces enter iran by march 14 337	No	BUY	300	97¢	$290	0x7e4106…
01-18 14:18:44	will antnio jos seguro win the 2026 portugal presidential election	Yes	BUY	274	73¢	$200	0x4a57f7…