Wallet — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$7.77K

Unrealized P&L

+$20

Hit rate

68.0%

Resolved

Trades

410

lifetime

Volume

$180.9K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$441

Open exposure

$548

1 position

First seen

2026-01-02

last 10-26 23:08

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 38 days

Categories

Other

49% 75% -$3,614

Politics

48% 58% -$6,106

Sports

3% 100% +$1,950

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

19 active days in 12wk • peak 9 trades/day

Open positions (1) Resolved markets (29) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will a team from LEC (Europe / EMEA) win LoL Worlds 2026?	No		+556	$527	99¢	$548	+$20	10-26 23:08

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
russia x ukraine ceasefire by february 28 2026	21	$17.6K	9,145	9,145	+0	No	+$96	02-10 14:26
russia x ukraine ceasefire by january 31 2026	11	$11.4K	6,957	4,661	+2,296	No	+$121	01-30 18:51
strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by june 15	19	$10.1K	5,090	5,090	+0	No	+$15	06-11 04:23
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	11	$9.4K	5,615	5,615	+0	No	-$993	06-13 20:35
khamenei out as supreme leader of iran by february 28	11	$7.4K	3,839	3,839	+0	Yes	-$16	02-24 16:43
will the iranian regime fall by march 31	16	$7.2K	4,022	4,022	+0	No	-$178	02-19 16:20
us strikes iran by february 26 2026 368	1	$6.7K	0	7,344	-7,344	No	-$661	02-22 08:14
us strikes iran by february 22 2026	1	$5.9K	6,874	0	+6,874	No	+$962	02-19 16:20
will logan pauls psa 10 pokmon illustrator sale price be over 5 million	3	$4.9K	2,555	2,555	+0	Yes	+$39	01-30 16:15
US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31?	10	$4.5K	2,912	2,912	+0	open	—	10-17 09:15
will logan pauls psa 10 pokmon illustrator sale price be over 6 million	9	$4.4K	2,297	2,297	+0	Yes	+$9	02-10 14:10
another us strike on venezuela on january 11	1	$4.1K	4,114	0	+4,114	No	+$4	01-11 09:25
another us strike on venezuela on january 8	1	$4.1K	4,110	0	+4,110	No	+$14	01-08 09:58
new stranger things episode released by wednesday	1	$4.0K	4,096	0	+4,096	No	+$82	01-07 00:14
sea ata par 2026 01 25 ata	3	$4.0K	2,001	2,001	+0	Yes	+$0	01-25 19:15
us anti cartel ground operation in mexico by march 31	25	$3.9K	2,199	2,199	+0	No	+$239	02-28 13:29
us x iran ceasefire continues through october 15	6	$3.8K	2,072	2,072	+0	Yes	+$114	10-14 10:44
us evacuates guadalajara consulate by feb 28	10	$3.7K	1,902	1,902	+0	No	+$26	02-28 13:29
US strikes Iran by December 31, 2026?	2	$3.7K	6,884	6,884	+0	Yes	$0	02-25 18:50
iran strike on israel by february 28	5	$3.4K	9,312	9,312	+0	Yes	-$1,768	02-28 09:53
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?	6	$3.4K	3,381	2,433	+947	Yes	-$76	06-15 11:42
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?	7	$3.2K	2,451	2,451	+0	Yes	-$169	06-17 10:37
honus wagner card sale 5 million	10	$3.0K	1,509	1,509	+0	Yes	+$5	02-22 17:00
honus wagner card sale 4 million	7	$3.0K	3,012	0	+3,012	Yes	+$5	02-22 17:03
Will Switzerland win on 2026-06-13?	3	$3.0K	3,147	0	+3,147	No	-$3,000	06-13 20:53
sea ata par 2026 01 25 par	2	$2.9K	1,451	1,451	+0	No	+$0	01-25 19:16
Will Kimi Antonelli win the 2026 F1 Monaco Grand Prix?	4	$2.8K	4,754	0	+4,754	Yes	+$1,917	06-07 12:46
US strikes Iran by June 30, 2026?	9	$2.8K	8,674	8,674	+0	Yes	-$2,749	02-28 07:01
us strikes iran by february 23 2026 678 563	2	$2.6K	2,677	0	+2,677	No	+$32	02-23 08:57
honus wagner card sale 3 million	11	$2.4K	2,431	0	+2,431	Yes	+$5	02-22 13:35

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-26 23:08:27	Will a team from LEC (Europe / EMEA) win LoL Worlds 2026?	No	BUY	140	98¢	$137	0xdde6ac…
10-26 20:14:11	Will Harry Kane win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	Yes	SELL	190	75¢	$143	0xa7bbb5…
10-25 14:35:59	Will Harry Kane win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	Yes	BUY	120	70¢	$84	0xa1cc0a…
10-25 14:34:42	Will a team from LCS (North America) win LoL Worlds 2026?	No	SELL	87	99¢	$86	0x27e83a…
10-25 14:32:48	Will Harry Kane win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	Yes	BUY	70	70¢	$49	0x30903b…
10-25 14:32:23	Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through October 24?	Yes	SELL	50	99¢	$49	0xaff36f…
10-23 05:56:27	Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through October 24?	Yes	BUY	50	94¢	$47	0x6092cf…
10-17 09:37:18	Will a Western team win Worlds 2026?	No	BUY	660	93¢	$614	0xc17638…
10-17 09:24:45	Will a team from LEC (Europe / EMEA) win LoL Worlds 2026?	No	BUY	101	94¢	$95	0x2b0061…
10-17 09:24:17	Will a team from LCS (North America) win LoL Worlds 2026?	No	BUY	60	98¢	$58	0x542774…
10-17 09:24:03	Will a team from LCS (North America) win LoL Worlds 2026?	No	BUY	28	98¢	$27	0x7d4864…
10-17 09:22:45	Will a team from LEC (Europe / EMEA) win LoL Worlds 2026?	No	BUY	157	94¢	$148	0xed6118…
10-17 09:22:09	Will a team from LEC (Europe / EMEA) win LoL Worlds 2026?	No	BUY	157	94¢	$148	0xab1991…
10-17 09:15:12	US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31?	Yes	SELL	1,460	78¢	$1,139	0x3e9f0c…
10-14 12:09:53	us x iran ceasefire continues through october 31 20260917	Yes	BUY	370	81¢	$300	0xa80dd0…
10-14 10:44:53	us x iran ceasefire continues through october 15	Yes	SELL	302	98¢	$297	0xb69afa…
10-14 10:41:50	us x iran ceasefire continues through october 31 20260917	Yes	BUY	1,090	81¢	$883	0xfaa7a7…
10-14 10:33:20	us x iran ceasefire continues through october 15	Yes	SELL	1	98¢	$1	0xa5af3b…
10-14 10:29:46	us x iran ceasefire continues through october 15	Yes	SELL	899	98¢	$885	0xb04494…
10-12 06:49:49	LoL: Cloud9 vs Karmine Corp (BO5) - Worlds Play-In	Cloud9	BUY	15	34¢	$5	0xd2cebd…
10-12 04:28:05	US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 15?	Yes	BUY	1,202	94¢	$1,130	0x604409…
10-12 04:27:38	US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31?	Yes	SELL	1,451	78¢	$1,132	0xf0ccb8…
10-07 10:29:33	US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31?	Yes	SELL	1	76¢	$1	0x661d88…
10-05 17:44:52	US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31?	Yes	BUY	1,048	73¢	$765	0xde966b…
10-05 17:44:26	US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 15?	Yes	SELL	870	88¢	$766	0x326601…
10-05 17:43:16	US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31?	Yes	BUY	8	73¢	$6	0x2e3daf…
10-05 17:43:01	US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 12?	Yes	SELL	5	89¢	$4	0x1b5201…
10-05 17:41:50	US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31?	Yes	BUY	267	73¢	$195	0xb7044c…
10-05 17:41:29	US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 7?	Yes	SELL	200	96¢	$193	0xbe5c79…
10-05 17:40:26	US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31?	Yes	BUY	110	73¢	$80	0xfcf3d5…
10-05 17:39:26	Will Kimi Antonelli win the 2026 Action of the Year?	Yes	SELL	362	24¢	$86	0x570bd5…
10-05 17:38:29	US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31?	Yes	BUY	19	73¢	$14	0x5034dd…
10-04 06:30:58	us x iran ceasefire continues through october 12	Yes	BUY	5	87¢	$4	0x1598f2…
10-03 05:28:50	US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 15?	Yes	BUY	870	81¢	$705	0xec5c33…
10-03 05:26:14	US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 7?	Yes	BUY	200	90¢	$180	0xa97180…
10-03 00:59:59	Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?	Yes	SELL	945	94¢	$889	0xe35f7b…
10-01 08:28:11	Will Renan Santos win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	No	BUY	14	100¢	$14	0xc0a1a3…
09-27 19:13:26	Friedrich Merz out as Chancellor of Germany before September 30, 2026	No	BUY	9	99¢	$9	0x2e4253…
09-27 10:39:42	Will Kimi Antonelli win the 2026 Action of the Year?	Yes	SELL	29	45¢	$13	0x35b95c…
09-18 18:51:00	Will Kimi Antonelli win the 2026 Action of the Year?	Yes	BUY	16	35¢	$6	0x3f7867…
09-10 11:03:31	Will Kimi Antonelli win the 2026 Action of the Year?	Yes	BUY	375	45¢	$169	0xad8f4d…
09-09 18:49:13	Will Kimi Antonelli win the 2026 Action of the Year?	Yes	BUY	0	45¢	$0	0x8520aa…
09-08 19:02:28	Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?	Yes	SELL	200	86¢	$172	0xca9736…
09-01 10:45:51	Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?	Yes	BUY	1,145	89¢	$1,019	0x204c01…
08-29 07:54:10	US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 31, 2026?	No	BUY	19	99¢	$19	0xa75814…
08-29 06:53:10	US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 31, 2026?	No	BUY	1,005	99¢	$1,000	0x55161d…
08-28 11:03:36	No one announced as next James Bond?	Yes	SELL	4,737	21¢	$995	0x109ea5…
07-27 03:39:40	No one announced as next James Bond?	Yes	BUY	614	17¢	$104	0x0dc25b…
07-20 06:02:48	No one announced as next James Bond?	Yes	BUY	77	21¢	$16	0x996ca0…
07-20 06:02:22	No one announced as next James Bond?	Yes	BUY	1,773	22¢	$387	0x2b216d…
07-19 09:21:51	No one announced as next James Bond?	Yes	BUY	10	25¢	$3	0x72435b…
07-19 09:12:06	No one announced as next James Bond?	Yes	BUY	10	19¢	$2	0x09d4c5…
07-19 09:11:28	No one announced as next James Bond?	Yes	BUY	664	19¢	$126	0x596045…
07-19 08:44:22	No one announced as next James Bond?	Yes	BUY	1,590	19¢	$302	0x48d4d3…
07-18 18:15:36	israel withdraws from lebanon by december 31 2026	No	SELL	1,111	88¢	$978	0xab9a26…
07-16 05:56:05	israel withdraws from lebanon by december 31 2026	No	BUY	1,111	89¢	$989	0x0b3b9b…
06-20 09:59:55	Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by June 30, 2026?	No	BUY	19	99¢	$19	0xa95ba0…
06-18 13:37:37	Israel withdraws from Lebanon by June 30, 2026?	No	BUY	970	98¢	$947	0x097fd8…
06-17 10:37:55	will the text of the us iran agreement be released by june 16 20260615224555000	No	BUY	13	76¢	$10	0x705934…
06-17 10:37:38	us x iran permanent peace deal by june 15 2026 734 856 129	Yes	SELL	10	100¢	$10	0x0f8ca7…
06-17 10:36:37	will the text of the us iran agreement be released by june 16 20260615224555000	No	BUY	5	78¢	$4	0x8de757…
06-15 13:59:34	us x iran permanent peace deal by june 15 2026 734 856 129	Yes	BUY	10	94¢	$9	0xebe223…
06-15 11:42:15	US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	947	95¢	$900	0x0c36cb…
06-15 11:41:21	us x iran permanent peace deal by june 15 2026 734 856 129	Yes	SELL	1,035	88¢	$908	0x184a2f…
06-14 21:26:18	us x iran permanent peace deal by june 15 2026 734 856 129	Yes	BUY	1,035	57¢	$590	0xbdd22a…
06-14 21:25:39	us x iran permanent peace deal by june 15 2026 734 856 129	No	SELL	1,406	42¢	$592	0x33ae0a…
06-14 20:54:39	US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?	No	BUY	103	78¢	$80	0x862d17…
06-14 20:54:19	US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?	No	SELL	163	49¢	$80	0x21a503…
06-13 23:46:25	US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?	No	BUY	67	52¢	$35	0xa2b8d6…
06-13 23:46:07	US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?	No	BUY	96	52¢	$50	0x4f2867…
06-13 23:29:19	us x iran permanent peace deal by june 15 2026 734 856 129	No	BUY	1,303	77¢	$1,000	0xb4c0ed…
06-13 23:28:42	US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?	Yes	SELL	2,270	48¢	$1,084	0xbe411c…
06-13 21:22:28	US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	2,270	53¢	$1,203	0xfd9585…
06-13 20:53:24	Will Switzerland win on 2026-06-13?	Yes	BUY	1,042	96¢	$1,000	0xab2574…
06-13 20:47:25	Will Switzerland win on 2026-06-13?	Yes	BUY	1,053	95¢	$1,000	0xc8166d…
06-13 20:43:04	Will Switzerland win on 2026-06-13?	Yes	BUY	1,053	95¢	$1,000	0xcf9a05…
06-13 20:35:12	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	No	SELL	5,615	75¢	$4,211	0x098402…
06-12 06:32:06	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	No	BUY	5	82¢	$4	0xef24af…
06-11 19:07:42	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	No	BUY	24	83¢	$20	0xad8fbe…
06-11 19:06:45	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	No	BUY	6	83¢	$5	0x6f0506…
06-11 19:05:18	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	No	BUY	6	83¢	$5	0xbe7849…
06-11 19:04:57	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	No	BUY	6	83¢	$5	0x6d9109…
06-11 19:04:55	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	No	BUY	6	83¢	$5	0x844894…
06-11 19:04:55	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	No	BUY	6	83¢	$5	0x324f94…
06-11 19:03:57	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	No	BUY	115	83¢	$95	0x8c0da7…
06-11 19:02:18	Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	SELL	874	17¢	$148	0x3f725f…
06-11 04:25:36	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	No	BUY	40	93¢	$37	0xcad960…
06-11 04:24:45	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	No	BUY	5,400	93¢	$5,022	0x306994…
06-11 04:23:33	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by june 15	No	SELL	5,090	99¢	$5,059	0x1572e8…
06-10 07:23:12	Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	BUY	40	16¢	$6	0x842f5a…
06-10 07:22:36	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by june 15	No	BUY	390	99¢	$386	0x106129…
06-10 05:17:07	Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	BUY	196	16¢	$32	0x35f92a…
06-09 21:43:18	Will Lewis Hamilton be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?	Yes	SELL	765	3¢	$25	0xd544a7…
06-09 21:41:01	Will Lewis Hamilton be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?	Yes	SELL	64	3¢	$2	0xae04bc…
06-09 21:40:28	Will Lewis Hamilton be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?	Yes	SELL	63	3¢	$2	0x30574a…
06-09 21:25:06	Will Lewis Hamilton be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?	Yes	SELL	59	3¢	$2	0x9d8683…
06-09 20:46:21	Will Lewis Hamilton be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?	Yes	SELL	13	3¢	$0	0x67b1c2…
06-09 20:09:15	Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	BUY	20	16¢	$3	0xf5ecaa…
06-08 07:47:19	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by june 15	No	BUY	564	99¢	$559	0x6fce5c…
06-08 07:44:16	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by june 15	No	BUY	21	99¢	$21	0x69170d…