Realized P&L
-$55
Unrealized P&L
+$26
Hit rate
59.4%
Resolved
319
Trades
493
lifetime
Volume
$2.96K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$6
Open exposure
$39
6 positions
First seen
2026-04-03
last 10-28 00:06
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 59 days
Categories
Sports
52% 36% -$38
Other
22% 15% -$19
Tech
19% 40% +$9
Politics
7% 50% -$4
Crypto
0% 0% -$3
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
32 active days in 12wk • peak 19 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will Moonshot have the best Chinese AI model at the end of October 2026? Yes +123 $13 12¢ $15 +$2 10-27 17:37
Will Meta have the best AI model at the end of December 2026? Yes +761 $20 2¢ $12 -$8 10-27 14:50
Will Meta have the best AI model at the end of October 2026? Yes +1,513 -$29 0¢ $5 +$35 10-12 17:53
Will Microsoft have the best AI model at the end of December 2026? Yes +2,500 $5 0¢ $4 -$1 10-27 15:23
Will Moonshot have the best AI model at the end of October 2026? Yes +1,565 $3 0¢ $2 -$1 10-27 09:53
Will OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of October 2026? Yes +149 $1 0¢ $1 $0 10-02 11:07