Considerate-Bin — Polymarket

Realized P&L (7d)

—

Unrealized P&L

-$21

Hit rate

—

Resolved (7d)

Trades (7d)

74 lifetime

Volume (7d)

$25

$43.2K lifetime

Avg / trade

$584

Open exposure

1 position

First seen

2026-01-02

last 11-07 03:05

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 36 days

Categories

Other

78% 95% +$23,783

Crypto

22% 100% +$7,778

Tech

0% — —

Politics

0% 100% +$2

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

3 active days in 12wk • peak 10 trades/day

Open positions (1) Resolved markets (28) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will Anthropic IPO by November 30, 2026?	No		+125	$25	4¢	$4	-$21	11-07 03:05

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Shipping targeted in Hormuz on September 25, 2026?	2	$12.6K	10,493	10,384	+109	No	+$6,719	09-24 11:39
sc2 clem lambo 2026 02 01 game1	2	$9.6K	9,222	9,222	+0	Clem	+$8,300	02-01 10:38
Will the Ethereum Volatility Index dip to 70 by April 30?	2	$6.7K	6,730	6,730	+0	Yes	+$6,461	03-21 11:03
abiy ahmed out as prime minister of ethiopia in 2026	2	$3.5K	6,000	6,000	+0	open	—	09-24 11:36
lol axl eko 2026 01 14	2	$2.4K	2,390	2,390	+0	Axolotl	+$2,055	01-10 16:28
Immunefi FDV above $400M one day after launch?	2	$2.3K	3,777	3,777	+0	No	+$1,058	01-10 15:30
zelenskyy of tweets march 24 march 31 2026 80 99	2	$2.1K	2,440	2,440	+0	No	+$1,464	03-21 10:56
Will Google have the #1 AI model at the end of April 2026 (Style Control On)?	2	$1.0K	7,218	7,218	+0	No	+$144	03-21 11:01
over 80m committed to the ranger public sale 675 826 682 419	1	$1000	5,263	0	+5,263	Yes	+$4,263	01-10 15:49
lol hwl tpx 2026 01 15	2	$675	668	668	+0	HOWL Esports	+$568	01-10 15:10
lol jdg tes 2026 02 05 game handicap away 1pt5	2	$258	255	255	+0	Top Esports	+$217	02-01 10:30
Will the Bitcoin Volatility Index dip to 40 by April 30?	2	$149	146	146	+0	No	+$140	03-21 03:48
Will the Ethereum Volatility Index dip to 50 by April 30?	2	$124	125	125	+0	No	+$119	03-21 03:42
over 40m committed to the ranger public sale 819 688	3	$109	66	61	+5	Yes	+$4	01-10 15:31
over 70m committed to the ranger public sale rwrn 523	1	$100	106	0	+106	Yes	+$6	01-10 15:53
will the total number of tsa passengers for march 23 march 29 be between 17500000 and 18000000	2	$74	81	81	+0	Yes	+$66	03-21 03:47
elon musk of tweets december 26 january 2 580plus	1	$50	50	0	+50	No	+$0	01-02 04:51
ethereum above 2800 on january 5	1	$34	34	0	+34	Yes	+$0	01-05 07:24
bitcoin above 68k on february 24	1	$33	33	0	+33	No	+$0	02-24 06:55
bitcoin above 60k on february 20	1	$33	33	0	+33	Yes	+$0	02-20 02:12
spx opens up or down on february 18 2026	1	$27	30	0	+30	Up	+$2	02-18 12:42
Will Anthropic IPO by November 30, 2026?	1	$25	125	0	+125	open	—	11-07 03:05
Will the Republican Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?	1	$24	26	0	+26	No	+$2	10-31 04:19
ethereum above 1700 on february 19	1	$23	23	0	+23	Yes	+$0	02-19 07:42
will ethereum dip to 2900 january 12 18	1	$21	21	0	+21	No	+$0	01-18 15:04
bitcoin above 86k on january 11	1	$21	21	0	+21	Yes	+$0	01-11 07:23
Over $10M committed to the P2P Protocol public sale?	1	$19	46	0	+46	No	-$19	03-29 15:42
ethereum above 3400 on january 5	1	$16	16	0	+16	No	+$0	01-05 07:24
will the government shutdown last 3 days or more	1	$15	15	0	+15	Yes	+$0	02-01 10:47
elon musk of tweets march 6 march 13 420 439	1	$11	11	0	+11	No	+$0	03-13 14:01

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
11-07 03:05:04	Will Anthropic IPO by November 30, 2026?	No	BUY	125	20¢	$25	0x40d925…
10-31 04:19:15	Will the Republican Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?	No	BUY	26	94¢	$24	0x354bab…
09-24 11:40:48	Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 21°C or below on September 25?	No	BUY	3	100¢	$3	0x86c30a…
09-24 11:40:48	Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 29°C on September 25?	No	BUY	7	100¢	$7	0x5ea9ed…
09-24 11:40:47	Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 74-75°F on September 25?	No	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x7e2f77…
09-24 11:40:41	Will the highest temperature in Chicago be 57°F or below on September 25?	No	BUY	4	100¢	$4	0xf0bc5d…
09-24 11:40:27	Will the highest temperature in Paris be 24°C on September 25?	No	BUY	3	100¢	$3	0x416309…
09-24 11:40:24	Will the highest temperature in Paris be 23°C on September 25?	No	BUY	3	100¢	$3	0x28a53f…
09-24 11:39:30	Shipping targeted in Hormuz on September 25, 2026?	Yes	SELL	10,384	93¢	$9,657	0xf33f0c…
09-24 11:39:09	Shipping targeted in Hormuz on September 25, 2026?	Yes	BUY	10,493	28¢	$2,938	0x6ce1e7…
09-24 11:36:39	abiy ahmed out as prime minister of ethiopia in 2026	Yes	SELL	6,000	49¢	$2,940	0x0b230c…
09-24 11:35:50	abiy ahmed out as prime minister of ethiopia in 2026	Yes	BUY	6,000	10¢	$600	0x07869e…
07-12 13:17:23	fifwc fra esp 2026 07 14 team to advance	France	BUY	11	60¢	$6	0x55dde0…
06-14 13:12:24	Exact Score: Netherlands 3 - 3 Japan?	No	BUY	6	100¢	$6	0x5782c6…
05-20 14:46:09	Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,200 on May 20?	No	BUY	7	100¢	$7	0xdb7d98…
05-19 15:35:22	Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,000 on May 19?	Yes	BUY	7	100¢	$7	0x1b2375…
05-10 13:21:15	Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 29°C on May 12?	No	BUY	7	98¢	$6	0x831856…
04-28 14:21:06	Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 29°C on April 29?	No	BUY	6	100¢	$6	0x2f31a6…
04-21 12:54:30	highest temperature in singapore on april 23 2026 27c	No	BUY	6	100¢	$6	0xbd84dc…
04-17 11:14:10	highest temperature in singapore on april 19 2026 27c	No	BUY	3	100¢	$3	0x1f9ff4…
04-17 11:14:08	highest temperature in singapore on april 19 2026 26c	No	BUY	3	100¢	$3	0xa609e5…
04-09 13:13:55	elon musk of tweets april 3 april 10 200 219	No	BUY	6	100¢	$6	0xb276eb…
03-29 15:42:14	Over $10M committed to the P2P Protocol public sale?	Yes	BUY	46	42¢	$19	0x089825…
03-21 12:03:53	Backpack FDV above $1B one day after launch?	No	BUY	9	98¢	$8	0xe6f37b…
03-21 11:03:25	Will the Ethereum Volatility Index dip to 70 by April 30?	Yes	SELL	6,730	98¢	$6,595	0xfbe19d…
03-21 11:02:41	Will the Ethereum Volatility Index dip to 70 by April 30?	Yes	BUY	6,730	2¢	$135	0x986615…
03-21 11:01:41	Will Google have the #1 AI model at the end of April 2026 (Style Control On)?	Yes	SELL	7,218	8¢	$577	0xb95f91…
03-21 10:57:47	Will Google have the #1 AI model at the end of April 2026 (Style Control On)?	Yes	BUY	7,218	6¢	$433	0x0f9800…
03-21 10:56:57	zelenskyy of tweets march 24 march 31 2026 80 99	Yes	SELL	2,440	73¢	$1,781	0x3b77a7…
03-21 10:56:01	zelenskyy of tweets march 24 march 31 2026 80 99	Yes	BUY	2,440	13¢	$317	0xab095d…
03-21 03:50:11	Backpack FDV above $200M one day after launch?	Yes	BUY	5	92¢	$5	0xab6db1…
03-21 03:50:05	Backpack FDV above $100M one day after launch?	Yes	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0xfa9835…
03-21 03:49:51	Will EdgeX launch a token by March 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	1	91¢	$1	0x169754…
03-21 03:49:49	Will EdgeX launch a token by June 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	2	100¢	$2	0x3511bf…
03-21 03:49:45	Will EdgeX launch a token by September 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	2	100¢	$2	0x33dec9…
03-21 03:49:41	Will EdgeX launch a token by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0xe084fd…
03-21 03:48:07	Will the Bitcoin Volatility Index dip to 40 by April 30?	Yes	SELL	146	99¢	$145	0xf846bf…
03-21 03:47:35	will the total number of tsa passengers for march 23 march 29 be between 17500000 and 18000000	Yes	SELL	81	86¢	$70	0x04be98…
03-21 03:47:13	Will the Bitcoin Volatility Index dip to 40 by April 30?	Yes	BUY	146	3¢	$4	0x16bcc4…
03-21 03:43:39	will the total number of tsa passengers for march 23 march 29 be between 17500000 and 18000000	Yes	BUY	81	5¢	$4	0x4d1ccb…
03-21 03:42:01	Will the Ethereum Volatility Index dip to 50 by April 30?	Yes	SELL	125	97¢	$121	0xc9d608…
03-21 03:41:41	Will the Ethereum Volatility Index dip to 50 by April 30?	Yes	BUY	125	2¢	$2	0xff9f60…
03-13 14:01:59	elon musk of tweets march 6 march 13 420 439	No	BUY	11	100¢	$11	0x9997b1…
02-24 06:55:22	bitcoin above 68k on february 24	No	BUY	33	100¢	$33	0x60fb27…
02-20 02:12:06	bitcoin above 60k on february 20	Yes	BUY	33	100¢	$33	0x71fe59…
02-19 07:42:56	ethereum above 1700 on february 19	Yes	BUY	23	100¢	$23	0xc8b4a6…
02-18 12:42:12	spx opens up or down on february 18 2026	Up	BUY	30	92¢	$27	0xf6a0d4…
02-01 10:47:46	will the government shutdown last 60 days or more 286 461 927 735 666	No	BUY	3	99¢	$3	0x100d82…
02-01 10:47:44	will the government shutdown last 4 days or more 831	Yes	BUY	3	96¢	$3	0xaa0a02…
02-01 10:47:40	will the government shutdown last 3 days or more	Yes	BUY	15	100¢	$15	0x00d51d…
02-01 10:47:30	Over $7M committed to the Fabric public sale?	No	BUY	2	100¢	$2	0xe054d0…
02-01 10:46:48	Over $10M committed to the Fabric public sale?	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0xd64315…
02-01 10:46:46	Over $15M committed to the Fabric public sale?	No	BUY	2	100¢	$2	0x3674b0…
02-01 10:46:40	Over $20M committed to the Fabric public sale?	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0xfdb105…
02-01 10:38:56	sc2 clem lambo 2026 02 01 game1	Clem	SELL	9,222	97¢	$8,945	0x30c50c…
02-01 10:38:12	sc2 clem lambo 2026 02 01 game1	Clem	BUY	9,222	7¢	$646	0x0992fa…
02-01 10:30:42	lol jdg tes 2026 02 05 game handicap away 1pt5	JD Gaming	SELL	255	93¢	$237	0xcc96c7…
02-01 10:30:04	lol jdg tes 2026 02 05 game handicap away 1pt5	JD Gaming	BUY	255	8¢	$20	0x6a31eb…
01-18 15:04:48	will ethereum dip to 2900 january 12 18	No	BUY	21	100¢	$21	0x0992c8…
01-11 07:23:40	bitcoin above 86k on january 11	Yes	BUY	21	100¢	$21	0xc3c863…
01-10 16:28:16	lol axl eko 2026 01 14	Axolotl	SELL	2,390	93¢	$2,223	0xd82dde…
01-10 16:26:14	lol axl eko 2026 01 14	Axolotl	BUY	2,390	7¢	$167	0xdf2f2d…
01-10 15:53:08	over 70m committed to the ranger public sale rwrn 523	Yes	BUY	106	95¢	$100	0x68bf4d…
01-10 15:49:56	over 80m committed to the ranger public sale 675 826 682 419	Yes	BUY	5,263	19¢	$1,000	0x8c26fd…
01-10 15:31:26	over 40m committed to the ranger public sale 819 688	Yes	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0xc579ba…
01-10 15:30:02	Immunefi FDV above $400M one day after launch?	Yes	SELL	3,777	44¢	$1,662	0x7a2873…
01-10 15:28:54	Immunefi FDV above $400M one day after launch?	Yes	BUY	3,777	16¢	$604	0xf95b4f…
01-10 15:10:46	lol hwl tpx 2026 01 15	HOWL Esports	SELL	668	93¢	$621	0x9c1df7…
01-10 14:48:18	lol hwl tpx 2026 01 15	HOWL Esports	BUY	668	8¢	$53	0x8d5cd5…
01-10 14:41:16	over 40m committed to the ranger public sale 819 688	Yes	SELL	61	88¢	$54	0x75fee7…
01-06 07:18:59	over 40m committed to the ranger public sale 819 688	Yes	BUY	61	81¢	$50	0xc016bc…
01-05 07:24:57	ethereum above 3400 on january 5	No	BUY	16	100¢	$16	0x7e1cd4…
01-05 07:24:47	ethereum above 2800 on january 5	Yes	BUY	34	100¢	$34	0x016e56…
01-02 04:51:47	elon musk of tweets december 26 january 2 580plus	No	BUY	50	100¢	$50	0xf11154…