Wallet — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$411

Unrealized P&L

-$1

Hit rate

82.4%

Resolved

Trades

lifetime

Volume

$853

lifetime

Avg / trade

$16

Open exposure

$66

4 positions

First seen

2026-01-08

last 09-22 08:22

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 24 days

Categories

Other

80% 72% +$425

Politics

17% 80% -$7

Tech

3% 100% +$1

Crypto

1% 0% -$5

Sports

0% 0% -$3

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

3 active days in 12wk • peak 1 trade/day

Open positions (4) Resolved markets (25) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will the US officially declare war on Iran by December 31, 2026?	No	+54	$51	98¢	$53	+$2	06-06 19:28
Will North Korea invade South Korea before 2027?	No	+12	$11	99¢	$12	+$1	05-23 20:38
Will China invade Taiwan by June 30, 2027?	Yes	+22	$3	3¢	$1	-$2	06-06 19:29
Jeffrey Epstein confirmed to be alive before 2027?	Yes	+100	$2	1¢	$1	-$1	09-22 08:22

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
another us government shutdown by february 14	9	$272	800	+800	No	+$528	02-06 20:34
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the April 2026 meeting?	1	$108	900	+900	Yes	-$108	03-08 10:06
will the fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the march 2026 meeting	1	$65	66	+66	No	+$0	02-19 08:37
Will the US officially declare war on Iran by December 31, 2026?	1	$51	54	+54	open	—	06-06 19:28
Will Google have the best AI model at the end of May 2026?	1	$35	35	+35	No	+$0	05-23 20:36
bank of japan increases interest rates by 50 bps after january 2026 meeting	1	$30	30	+30	No	+$0	01-08 18:50
will amazon be the largest company in the world by market cap on february 28	1	$29	29	+29	No	+$0	02-06 19:56
us x iran nuclear talks resume by march 31	1	$25	25	+25	Yes	+$0	02-06 19:54
Will SpaceX or OpenAI IPO first?	2	$24	25	+25	SpaceX	+$1	05-24 05:44
Will Choo Kyung-ho win the 2026 Daegu mayoral election?	3	$24	30	+30	Yes	+$6	05-24 00:02
Will Threads be #1 Free App in the US Apple App Store on May 29?	1	$24	24	+24	No	+$0	05-23 20:48
will the us invade venezuela by march 31 2026 255	1	$22	22	+22	No	+$0	03-07 20:45
Sam Altman in jail by June 30?	1	$20	20	+20	No	+$0	05-25 00:34
russian strike on a nato member by march 31	1	$18	19	+19	No	+$1	02-06 19:53
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?	1	$17	21	+21	No	+$4	04-16 14:43
Glory in Giza: Oleksandr Usyk vs. Rico Verhoeven	1	$14	15	+15	Usyk	+$1	05-23 20:42
US forces enter Iran by December 31?	1	$13	34	+34	Yes	-$13	03-07 20:44
Will North Korea invade South Korea before 2027?	1	$11	12	+12	open	—	05-23 20:38
will khamenei leave iran by friday	1	$10	10	+10	No	+$0	01-08 18:50
another us bank failure by february 28	1	$10	10	+10	No	+$0	02-19 20:45
Will OpenAI's public ticker be $OPAI?	1	$5	20	+20	open	—	05-24 05:05
Fabric FDV above $400M one day after launch?	1	$4	28	+28	No	-$4	02-19 08:38
will china invade taiwan by march 31 2026	1	$3	282	+282	No	-$3	03-07 20:48
Will China invade Taiwan by June 30, 2027?	1	$3	22	+22	open	—	06-06 19:29
ufc gil1 mik9 2026 04 18	3	$3	10	+10	Mike Malott	-$3	04-16 15:49
Nothing Ever Happens: May	1	$2	6	+6	Nothing	+$4	05-23 20:55
over 200m hyperliquid buybacks in q1	1	$2	5	+5	No	-$2	01-08 18:44
zuffa masse clark1 2026 06 06	1	$2	5	+5	Clarke	+$3	06-06 19:29
Will Hyperliquid dip to $32 in April?	8	$2	50	+50	No	-$2	04-20 20:36
Jeffrey Epstein confirmed to be alive before 2027?	3	$2	100	+100	open	—	09-22 08:22

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
09-22 08:22:37	Jeffrey Epstein confirmed to be alive before 2027?	Yes	BUY	1	2¢	$0	0xf82801…
09-17 06:48:43	Jeffrey Epstein confirmed to be alive before 2027?	Yes	BUY	91	2¢	$2	0x3a56b0…
09-16 13:09:00	Jeffrey Epstein confirmed to be alive before 2027?	Yes	BUY	8	2¢	$0	0x05f0e5…
06-06 19:29:49	Will China invade Taiwan by June 30, 2027?	Yes	BUY	22	13¢	$3	0x15d4ec…
06-06 19:29:21	zuffa masse clark1 2026 06 06	Clarke	BUY	5	44¢	$2	0xef1dcb…
06-06 19:28:16	Will the US officially declare war on Iran by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	54	95¢	$51	0x087c6b…
05-25 00:34:07	Sam Altman in jail by June 30?	No	BUY	20	99¢	$20	0xcd8a1f…
05-24 05:44:44	Will SpaceX or OpenAI IPO first?	SpaceX	BUY	13	98¢	$12	0x5f7665…
05-24 05:05:13	Will OpenAI's public ticker be $OPAI?	Yes	BUY	20	26¢	$5	0x23b6dd…
05-24 04:35:56	Will SpaceX or OpenAI IPO first?	SpaceX	BUY	12	98¢	$12	0x47328f…
05-24 00:02:36	Will Choo Kyung-ho win the 2026 Daegu mayoral election?	Yes	BUY	5	81¢	$4	0xd213f8…
05-23 22:23:56	Will Choo Kyung-ho win the 2026 Daegu mayoral election?	Yes	BUY	10	81¢	$8	0x873ce2…
05-23 22:23:40	Will Choo Kyung-ho win the 2026 Daegu mayoral election?	Yes	BUY	15	81¢	$12	0x173d59…
05-23 20:55:42	Nothing Ever Happens: May	Nothing	BUY	6	38¢	$2	0xed4e35…
05-23 20:49:49	Will the Iranian regime fall by May 31?	Yes	BUY	322	0¢	$1	0x3b8736…
05-23 20:48:53	Will Threads be #1 Free App in the US Apple App Store on May 29?	No	BUY	24	100¢	$24	0xf2a8a2…
05-23 20:42:17	Glory in Giza: Oleksandr Usyk vs. Rico Verhoeven	Usyk	BUY	15	93¢	$14	0xba12e2…
05-23 20:38:19	Will North Korea invade South Korea before 2027?	No	BUY	12	93¢	$11	0x5c9038…
05-23 20:36:20	Will Google have the best AI model at the end of May 2026?	No	BUY	35	99¢	$35	0x5543fe…
04-20 20:36:56	Will Hyperliquid dip to $32 in April?	Yes	BUY	43	4¢	$2	0x55d129…
04-18 14:05:42	Will Hyperliquid dip to $32 in April?	Yes	BUY	1	4¢	$0	0x0738ab…
04-18 14:03:56	Will Hyperliquid dip to $32 in April?	Yes	BUY	1	4¢	$0	0x4663f4…
04-18 14:03:14	Will Hyperliquid dip to $32 in April?	Yes	BUY	1	4¢	$0	0x4433ba…
04-18 12:19:04	Will Hyperliquid dip to $32 in April?	Yes	BUY	1	4¢	$0	0x01996d…
04-18 12:19:00	Will Hyperliquid dip to $32 in April?	Yes	BUY	1	4¢	$0	0x07e510…
04-18 12:15:28	Will Hyperliquid dip to $32 in April?	Yes	BUY	1	4¢	$0	0x4b7242…
04-18 12:15:26	Will Hyperliquid dip to $32 in April?	Yes	BUY	1	4¢	$0	0x3e0ba6…
04-16 15:49:26	ufc gil1 mik9 2026 04 18	Gilbert Burns	BUY	4	29¢	$1	0xe06dfa…
04-16 15:40:50	ufc gil1 mik9 2026 04 18	Gilbert Burns	BUY	4	29¢	$1	0xe639e8…
04-16 15:03:34	microstrategy announces 1000 btc purchase april 14 20	No	BUY	100	1¢	$1	0xfeeaa8…
04-16 14:53:56	ufc gil1 mik9 2026 04 18	Gilbert Burns	BUY	1	29¢	$0	0x6b5e26…
04-16 14:43:14	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?	No	BUY	21	80¢	$17	0xa5229d…
03-08 10:06:59	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the April 2026 meeting?	No	BUY	900	12¢	$108	0xd863d1…
03-07 20:48:33	will china invade taiwan by march 31 2026	Yes	BUY	282	1¢	$3	0xe96d6a…
03-07 20:45:31	will the us invade venezuela by march 31 2026 255	No	BUY	22	100¢	$22	0x2b0b32…
03-07 20:44:35	US forces enter Iran by December 31?	No	BUY	34	38¢	$13	0x02d673…
02-19 20:45:58	another us bank failure by february 28	No	BUY	10	95¢	$10	0x5a4cfe…
02-19 08:38:52	Fabric FDV above $400M one day after launch?	Yes	BUY	28	13¢	$4	0xa12d7f…
02-19 08:37:52	will the fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the march 2026 meeting	No	BUY	66	99¢	$65	0x512b49…
02-06 20:34:41	another us government shutdown by february 14	No	BUY	29	34¢	$10	0x545e45…
02-06 20:27:23	another us government shutdown by february 14	No	BUY	3	34¢	$1	0x9e847e…
02-06 20:24:07	another us government shutdown by february 14	No	BUY	600	34¢	$204	0xa1a40d…
02-06 20:22:39	another us government shutdown by february 14	No	BUY	2	34¢	$1	0x225cd2…
02-06 20:22:17	another us government shutdown by february 14	No	BUY	100	34¢	$34	0x9bcff3…
02-06 20:19:37	another us government shutdown by february 14	No	BUY	5	34¢	$2	0x531555…
02-06 20:17:03	another us government shutdown by february 14	No	BUY	5	34¢	$2	0x4ee494…
02-06 20:11:25	another us government shutdown by february 14	No	BUY	48	34¢	$16	0x9b3f45…
02-06 19:58:25	another us government shutdown by february 14	No	BUY	8	34¢	$3	0xc65041…
02-06 19:56:31	will amazon be the largest company in the world by market cap on february 28	No	BUY	29	100¢	$29	0xd48d95…
02-06 19:54:37	us x iran nuclear talks resume by march 31	Yes	BUY	25	100¢	$25	0xcd0488…
02-06 19:53:31	russian strike on a nato member by march 31	No	BUY	19	97¢	$18	0x751bae…
01-08 18:50:30	bank of japan increases interest rates by 50 bps after january 2026 meeting	No	BUY	30	100¢	$30	0x676421…
01-08 18:50:10	will khamenei leave iran by friday	No	BUY	10	99¢	$10	0x4288b6…
01-08 18:44:54	over 200m hyperliquid buybacks in q1	Yes	BUY	5	45¢	$2	0x9f59b3…