Small-Boundary — Polymarket

Realized P&L (30d)

+$55

Unrealized P&L

-$26

Hit rate

99.9%

Resolved (30d)

Trades (30d)

377 lifetime

Volume (30d)

$19.4K

$1.06M lifetime

Avg / trade

$2.81K

Open exposure

$309

3 positions

First seen

2026-01-01

last 10-29 00:33

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 239 days

Categories

Crypto

100% 91% +$1,411

Other

0% 43% -$26

Politics

0% 62% +$27

Sports

0% 100% +$1

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

66 active days in 12wk • peak 3 trades/day

Open positions (3) Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on October 29?	Yes	+315	$310	96¢	$304	-$6	10-29 00:33
Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026?	Yes	+94	$20	3¢	$3	-$17	09-15 11:05
Will Gadi Eizenkot be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	Yes	+9	$5	26¢	$2	-$3	10-27 05:30

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
bitcoin above 54k on june 30 2026	2	$14.0K	7,007	7,007	+0	Yes	+$0	06-30 14:06
bitcoin above 62k on march 6	2	$12.8K	6,406	6,406	+0	Yes	+$0	03-06 14:17
bitcoin above 72k on march 3	2	$12.7K	6,424	6,424	+0	No	+$118	03-03 15:08
bitcoin above 64k on july 2 2026	2	$12.0K	6,006	6,006	+0	No	-$18	07-02 14:30
bitcoin above 76k on march 4	3	$6.8K	3,403	3,403	+0	No	-$7	03-04 15:54
bitcoin above 86k on january 19	3	$6.6K	4,407	2,204	+2,202	Yes	+$2	01-19 05:12
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $72,000 on May 21?	1	$6.5K	6,507	0	+6,507	Yes	+$7	05-21 00:47
bitcoin above 64k on march 26	1	$6.5K	6,507	0	+6,507	Yes	+$7	03-26 00:35
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on May 13?	1	$6.5K	6,507	0	+6,507	Yes	+$7	05-13 06:16
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on May 12?	1	$6.5K	6,507	0	+6,507	Yes	+$7	05-12 03:48
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on May 4?	1	$6.5K	6,513	0	+6,513	Yes	+$13	05-04 01:36
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on May 5?	1	$6.5K	6,507	0	+6,507	Yes	+$7	05-05 00:43
bitcoin above 68k on april 20	1	$6.5K	6,507	0	+6,507	Yes	+$7	04-20 00:49
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $72,000 on May 2?	1	$6.5K	6,507	0	+6,507	Yes	+$7	05-01 23:46
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on May 7?	1	$6.5K	6,507	0	+6,507	Yes	+$7	05-07 01:39
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $84,000 on May 14?	1	$6.5K	6,507	0	+6,507	No	+$7	05-14 00:49
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $72,000 on May 1?	1	$6.5K	6,507	0	+6,507	Yes	+$7	05-01 01:59
bitcoin above 64k on march 5	1	$6.4K	6,406	0	+6,406	Yes	+$6	03-05 00:23
bitcoin above 76k on march 1	1	$6.2K	6,206	0	+6,206	No	+$6	03-01 00:17
bitcoin above 70k on february 25	1	$6.1K	6,106	0	+6,106	No	+$6	02-24 22:40
bitcoin above 72k on february 24	1	$6.1K	6,106	0	+6,106	No	+$6	02-23 22:43
bitcoin above 74k on february 28	1	$6.1K	6,106	0	+6,106	No	+$6	02-27 23:38
bitcoin above 62k on july 1 2026	2	$6.0K	3,016	3,016	+0	No	+$9	07-01 14:26
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $70,000 on April 29?	1	$6.0K	6,006	0	+6,006	Yes	+$6	04-28 22:26
bitcoin above 62k on march 20	1	$6.0K	6,006	0	+6,006	Yes	+$6	03-20 01:10
bitcoin above 68k on april 16	1	$6.0K	6,006	0	+6,006	Yes	+$6	04-16 00:18
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on June 3?	1	$6.0K	6,006	0	+6,006	No	+$6	06-02 22:58
bitcoin above 58k on july 7 2026	1	$6.0K	6,006	0	+6,006	Yes	+$6	07-06 22:40
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $68,000 on June 1?	1	$6.0K	6,006	0	+6,006	Yes	+$6	06-01 01:49
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on May 28?	1	$6.0K	6,006	0	+6,006	No	+$6	05-28 00:58

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-29 00:33:35	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on October 29?	Yes	BUY	315	98¢	$310	0xadf781…
10-28 01:54:20	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on October 28?	Yes	BUY	301	100¢	$300	0xef0948…
10-27 05:30:51	Will Gadi Eizenkot be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	Yes	BUY	9	56¢	$5	0x394846…
10-27 00:44:29	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on October 27?	Yes	BUY	312	99¢	$310	0xfa9563…
10-26 01:07:14	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on October 26?	Yes	BUY	304	99¢	$300	0x0d7aca…
10-25 02:11:59	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on October 25?	Yes	BUY	303	99¢	$300	0xa08e62…
10-24 01:22:18	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on October 24?	Yes	BUY	301	100¢	$300	0x4ad63d…
10-23 02:27:30	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on October 23?	Yes	BUY	302	99¢	$300	0x5150f9…
10-22 00:15:00	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on October 22?	Yes	BUY	303	99¢	$300	0x89f301…
10-21 06:10:27	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on October 21?	Yes	BUY	301	100¢	$300	0xcd0f99…
10-20 00:40:02	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $86,000 on October 20?	No	BUY	292	99¢	$290	0x83fcad…
10-19 00:45:51	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on October 19?	Yes	BUY	294	99¢	$290	0x306290…
10-18 02:08:44	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $84,000 on October 18?	No	BUY	291	99¢	$290	0xeab955…
10-16 23:54:59	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $86,000 on October 17?	No	BUY	280	100¢	$280	0x1b4293…
10-16 06:46:49	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on October 16?	Yes	BUY	282	99¢	$280	0x22379c…
10-15 00:40:31	bitcoin above 76k on october 15 2026	Yes	BUY	281	100¢	$280	0x18ac93…
10-13 00:40:54	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $86,000 on October 13?	No	BUY	281	100¢	$280	0x644968…
10-12 00:18:08	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on October 12?	Yes	BUY	282	99¢	$280	0x977312…
10-11 01:59:56	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on October 11?	Yes	BUY	291	100¢	$290	0xecc87d…
10-10 01:26:53	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on October 10?	Yes	BUY	280	100¢	$280	0x63e40f…
10-09 03:26:15	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on October 9?	Yes	BUY	282	99¢	$280	0xf01313…
10-09 03:25:35	Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting?	Yes	SELL	15	15¢	$2	0xfd7795…
10-08 00:21:25	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $88,000 on October 8?	No	BUY	283	99¢	$280	0xec8c78…
10-07 06:58:23	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on October 7?	Yes	BUY	273	99¢	$270	0x7d7dde…
10-06 00:23:55	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $82,000 on October 6?	Yes	BUY	272	99¢	$270	0x42d5b9…
10-05 02:57:16	bitcoin above 82k on october 5 2026	Yes	BUY	251	100¢	$250	0x18a2a6…
10-04 01:34:05	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $82,000 on October 4?	Yes	BUY	252	99¢	$250	0x964646…
10-03 07:23:23	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $82,000 on October 3?	Yes	BUY	250	100¢	$250	0x6e3b9e…
10-02 05:07:41	bitcoin above 78k on october 2 2026	Yes	BUY	5,005	100¢	$5,000	0x614301…
09-30 22:31:03	bitcoin above 78k on october 1 2026	Yes	BUY	5,005	100¢	$5,000	0xab1a1e…
09-29 22:38:26	bitcoin above 78k on september 30 2026	Yes	BUY	2,004	100¢	$2,000	0x52ceec…
09-29 00:17:09	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on September 29?	Yes	BUY	5,005	100¢	$5,000	0xf190d8…
09-28 01:37:48	bitcoin above 78k on september 28 2026	Yes	BUY	5,005	100¢	$5,000	0x635c15…
09-27 00:28:42	bitcoin above 80k on september 27 2026	Yes	BUY	5,012	100¢	$5,000	0x23e427…
09-25 01:48:48	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on September 25?	Yes	BUY	5,014	100¢	$5,000	0x0a13b4…
09-24 08:05:15	Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	15	65¢	$10	0xcc0fd4…
09-24 01:59:02	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on September 24?	Yes	BUY	5,005	100¢	$5,000	0x6df710…
09-23 03:37:04	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on September 23?	Yes	BUY	5,005	100¢	$5,000	0x81517e…
09-22 00:17:06	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on September 22?	Yes	BUY	5,010	100¢	$5,000	0xf4695e…
09-21 00:43:23	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on September 21?	Yes	BUY	5,017	100¢	$5,000	0xdfacc5…
09-19 07:27:40	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $86,000 on September 19?	No	BUY	5,005	100¢	$5,000	0xa15e4a…
09-18 01:30:00	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $70,000 on September 18?	Yes	BUY	5,005	100¢	$5,000	0x5387bf…
09-17 00:16:37	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $70,000 on September 17?	Yes	BUY	5,005	100¢	$5,000	0x5764a5…
09-15 11:06:03	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	91	11¢	$10	0x1a070f…
09-15 11:05:27	Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026?	Yes	BUY	56	18¢	$10	0xd7f70f…
09-15 02:10:37	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $70,000 on September 15?	Yes	BUY	5,005	100¢	$5,000	0x0cfc8c…
09-14 02:00:54	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $82,000 on September 14?	No	BUY	5,009	100¢	$5,000	0x17b33f…
09-12 00:34:52	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $72,000 on September 12?	Yes	BUY	5,005	100¢	$5,000	0xbf6f30…
09-11 01:25:43	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $70,000 on September 11?	Yes	BUY	5,005	100¢	$5,000	0xf5036c…
09-10 01:42:55	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $72,000 on September 10?	Yes	BUY	5,010	100¢	$5,000	0x788cbe…
09-08 23:54:45	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $84,000 on September 9?	No	BUY	5,008	100¢	$5,000	0x8709f0…
09-08 05:09:01	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $84,000 on September 8?	No	BUY	5,015	100¢	$5,000	0xc5ae91…
09-07 10:11:00	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on September 7?	Yes	BUY	5,005	100¢	$5,000	0x20af07…
09-04 00:22:36	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on September 4?	Yes	BUY	5,010	100¢	$5,000	0xab3456…
09-03 00:20:45	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $72,000 on September 3?	Yes	BUY	2,503	100¢	$2,500	0x98e919…
09-03 00:20:30	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $82,000 on September 3?	No	BUY	2,505	100¢	$2,500	0xb6a64a…
09-01 22:39:40	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $82,000 on September 2?	No	BUY	5,018	100¢	$5,000	0x91d5e6…
09-01 01:09:45	bitcoin above 84k on september 1 2026	No	BUY	2,505	100¢	$2,500	0x4ad3bc…
09-01 01:09:30	bitcoin above 74k on september 1 2026	Yes	BUY	2,510	100¢	$2,500	0xb1b586…
08-31 01:40:58	bitcoin above 84k on august 31 2026	No	BUY	5,011	100¢	$5,000	0xfbe04f…
08-30 01:47:25	bitcoin above 82k on august 30 2026	No	BUY	2,511	100¢	$2,500	0x423824…
08-30 01:47:03	bitcoin above 74k on august 30 2026	Yes	BUY	2,508	100¢	$2,500	0x3b2471…
08-29 00:41:58	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $72,000 on August 29?	Yes	BUY	2,505	100¢	$2,500	0xe276eb…
08-29 00:41:48	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $70,000 on August 29?	Yes	BUY	2,503	100¢	$2,500	0xfb9a5e…
08-28 01:05:25	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on August 28?	Yes	BUY	5,005	100¢	$5,000	0x821d99…
08-27 00:26:37	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $72,000 on August 27?	Yes	BUY	5,005	100¢	$5,000	0xe34ab3…
08-26 09:37:42	bitcoin above 84k on august 26 2026	No	BUY	5,005	100¢	$5,000	0xcd2be7…
08-25 02:49:39	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on August 25?	Yes	BUY	5,010	100¢	$5,000	0xd02b6e…
08-24 00:37:31	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $68,000 on August 24?	Yes	BUY	5,005	100¢	$5,000	0xbf55c7…
08-22 00:49:54	bitcoin above 70k on august 22 2026	Yes	BUY	5,005	100¢	$5,000	0xbdc735…
08-21 00:57:54	bitcoin above 68k on august 21 2026	Yes	BUY	5,014	100¢	$5,000	0x1eefc4…
08-19 22:31:04	bitcoin above 62k on august 20 2026	Yes	BUY	5,005	100¢	$5,000	0xc1b538…
08-18 01:38:19	bitcoin above 68k on august 18 2026	No	BUY	5,005	100¢	$5,000	0x5d8969…
08-16 22:45:16	bitcoin above 66k on august 17 2026	No	BUY	5,009	100¢	$5,000	0xa99f78…
08-16 03:48:45	bitcoin above 60k on august 16 2026	Yes	BUY	5,005	100¢	$5,000	0xaa4e01…
08-15 07:17:58	bitcoin above 60k on august 15 2026	Yes	BUY	5,005	100¢	$5,000	0x6fa42f…
08-13 22:20:49	bitcoin above 58k on august 14 2026	Yes	BUY	5,005	100¢	$5,000	0x349639…
08-13 00:36:06	bitcoin above 60k on august 13 2026	Yes	BUY	5,005	100¢	$5,000	0x8fcf44…
08-11 22:26:36	bitcoin above 60k on august 12 2026	Yes	BUY	3,006	100¢	$3,000	0x350238…
08-11 03:28:00	bitcoin above 60k on august 11 2026	Yes	BUY	5,005	100¢	$5,000	0x54c36c…
08-10 00:17:03	bitcoin above 62k on august 10 2026	Yes	BUY	3,013	100¢	$3,000	0x2f2674…
08-09 00:13:30	bitcoin above 62k on august 9 2026	Yes	BUY	5,014	100¢	$5,000	0x7fe820…
08-06 00:56:24	bitcoin above 60k on august 6 2026	Yes	BUY	5,005	100¢	$5,000	0xfa814e…
08-04 22:20:38	bitcoin above 70k on august 5 2026	No	BUY	5,005	100¢	$5,000	0xc51b96…
08-02 01:50:26	bitcoin above 68k on august 4 2026	No	BUY	5,023	100¢	$5,000	0x8ed74c…
08-01 00:27:47	Fed rate hike in 2026?	No	BUY	29	34¢	$10	0x978ea2…
08-01 00:27:06	Clarity Act signed into law in 2026?	Yes	BUY	38	26¢	$10	0x74c6b5…
08-01 00:25:56	bitcoin above 58k on august 1 2026	Yes	BUY	5,005	100¢	$5,000	0xfe14b3…
07-29 22:30:36	bitcoin above 56k on july 30 2026	Yes	BUY	5,005	100¢	$5,000	0x6434d9…
07-28 22:46:25	bitcoin above 60k on july 29 2026	Yes	BUY	5,005	100¢	$5,000	0xfd6642…
07-28 02:32:12	bitcoin above 66k on july 28 2026	No	BUY	2,012	99¢	$2,000	0x7efa27…
07-27 05:11:57	bitcoin above 62k on july 27 2026	Yes	BUY	5,014	100¢	$5,000	0x7646af…
07-26 00:13:15	bitcoin above 60k on july 26 2026	Yes	BUY	5,005	100¢	$5,000	0x4ccbd6…
07-24 23:36:06	bitcoin above 60k on july 25 2026	Yes	BUY	5,005	100¢	$5,000	0x7112b3…
07-23 22:34:07	bitcoin above 60k on july 24 2026	Yes	BUY	5,005	100¢	$5,000	0xbf86ea…
07-23 03:00:39	bitcoin above 62k on july 23 2026	Yes	BUY	5,005	100¢	$5,000	0x6de06a…
07-20 22:24:58	bitcoin above 60k on july 21 2026	Yes	BUY	5,005	100¢	$5,000	0x53f15f…
07-19 22:27:45	bitcoin above 68k on july 20 2026	No	BUY	5,016	100¢	$5,000	0xcd28ad…
07-16 22:26:10	bitcoin above 68k on july 17 2026	No	BUY	5,005	100¢	$5,000	0x85e97f…
07-15 23:49:28	bitcoin above 60k on july 16 2026	Yes	BUY	4,004	100¢	$4,000	0x17e6f6…