Comfortable-Spelling — Polymarket

Realized P&L (7d)

+$7

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

73.6%

Resolved (7d)

Trades (7d)

458 lifetime

Volume (7d)

$252

$1.73K lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-01-14

last 11-07 08:14

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 26 days

Categories

Other

48% 59% -$411

Crypto

38% 48% -$24

Politics

14% 67% -$89

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

9 active days in 12wk • peak 78 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (29) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
will jannik sinner win the 2026 australian open	1	$231	437	0	+437	No	-$231	01-29 15:42
2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, R House	1	$120	126	0	+126	No	+$6	11-03 20:08
us strikes iran by january 23 2026 494 711 798 734 155	1	$100	159	0	+159	No	-$100	01-14 13:47
Bitcoin Up or Down - November 2, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET	6	$92	59	59	+0	Up	+$3	11-02 14:49
Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-05-05?	2	$75	102	100	+1	Yes	-$31	05-05 20:00
Will Moldova win Eurovision 2026?	4	$42	5,012	2,269	+2,743	No	-$18	05-06 08:15
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-07 22:30 UTC	4	$39	65	31	+34	Down	+$17	03-07 22:34
Will the lowest temperature in Miami be between 74-75°F on May 7?	3	$34	56	56	+0	Yes	+$6	05-06 07:26
Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 23°C on May 7?	2	$30	429	0	+429	No	-$30	05-05 16:20
Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 6°C on April 26?	2	$29	99	0	+99	No	-$29	04-25 09:10
Bitcoin Up or Down - November 2, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET	8	$26	58	47	+11	Up	+$8	11-02 14:53
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-04 14:50 UTC	2	$26	22	22	+0	Up	+$4	03-04 14:53
Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 34°C on April 26?	1	$25	66	0	+66	No	-$25	04-24 12:31
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-04 14:25 UTC	5	$25	219	9	+210	Up	-$18	03-04 14:28
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-04 14:40 UTC	2	$23	16	16	+0	Down	+$3	03-04 14:43
Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 10°C on April 26?	2	$22	79	0	+79	No	-$22	04-24 12:46
Will the highest temperature in Manila be 36°C on April 26?	1	$20	57	0	+57	Yes	+$37	04-24 13:02
Will Finland win Eurovision 2026?	1	$19	39	0	+39	No	-$19	05-16 21:57
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 21, 3:55AM-4:00AM ET	10	$19	29	29	+0	Down	+$7	10-21 07:58
Bitcoin Up or Down - November 4, 7:45AM-7:50AM ET	6	$18	19	13	+7	Up	-$2	11-04 12:47
Bitcoin Up or Down - November 5, 5:50AM-5:55AM ET	10	$16	19	19	+0	Down	+$4	11-05 10:53
Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 14°C on April 26?	3	$16	24	23	+1	Yes	+$5	04-24 12:19
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-04 14:45 UTC	3	$16	20	10	+10	Up	-$4	03-04 14:47
Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 25°C on April 26?	3	$15	61	0	+61	No	-$15	04-24 12:34
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by May 31, 2027?	2	$15	15	15	+0	open	—	10-20 06:02
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-08 06:40 UTC	3	$15	47	0	+47	Down	-$15	03-08 06:44
Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 17°C on April 25?	6	$15	100	95	+5	No	+$7	04-25 13:20
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-08 06:45 UTC	2	$15	14	13	+0	Down	+$5	03-08 06:50
Will the highest temperature in Karachi be 36°C on April 26?	2	$15	39	0	+39	No	-$15	04-24 12:47
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 24°C on May 6?	2	$14	8	8	+0	Yes	+$1	05-06 14:13

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
11-07 08:14:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 7, 3:10AM-3:15AM ET	Down	BUY	3	37¢	$1	0xb0fec8…
11-06 16:29:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 6, 11:25AM-11:30AM ET	Down	BUY	20	5¢	$1	0xb78229…
11-06 14:52:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 6, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET	Down	SELL	6	23¢	$1	0x243d1d…
11-06 14:51:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 6, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET	Down	BUY	6	18¢	$1	0xae902f…
11-06 10:48:37	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 6, 5:45AM-5:50AM ET	Up	BUY	50	2¢	$1	0xa903f3…
11-06 10:43:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 6, 5:40AM-5:45AM ET	Up	BUY	17	6¢	$1	0x0bdf60…
11-06 10:39:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 6, 5:35AM-5:40AM ET	Down	BUY	200	1¢	$2	0x046fb8…
11-06 10:36:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 6, 5:35AM-5:40AM ET	Down	BUY	9	23¢	$2	0xacdbc2…
11-06 10:32:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 6, 5:30AM-5:35AM ET	Down	BUY	12	16¢	$2	0x751c60…
11-06 10:31:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 6, 5:30AM-5:35AM ET	Down	BUY	5	43¢	$2	0x955f1f…
11-06 10:31:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 6, 5:30AM-5:35AM ET	Down	SELL	4	63¢	$3	0xaa0c7b…
11-06 10:30:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 6, 5:30AM-5:35AM ET	Down	BUY	4	49¢	$2	0xe74673…
11-06 10:28:25	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 6, 5:25AM-5:30AM ET	Up	SELL	6	90¢	$6	0x37693a…
11-06 10:26:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 6, 5:25AM-5:30AM ET	Up	BUY	6	32¢	$2	0x0621aa…
11-05 14:51:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 5, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET	Down	SELL	2	92¢	$2	0x883a96…
11-05 14:50:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 5, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET	Down	BUY	2	58¢	$1	0x2606ed…
11-05 14:48:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 5, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET	Up	BUY	25	4¢	$1	0x82a244…
11-05 14:46:43	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 5, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET	Up	SELL	3	37¢	$1	0xec9b3f…
11-05 14:45:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 5, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET	Up	BUY	3	35¢	$1	0x1e2236…
11-05 14:45:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 5, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET	Down	SELL	2	75¢	$1	0xa7a519…
11-05 14:44:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 5, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET	Down	BUY	2	55¢	$1	0x161d60…
11-05 14:43:31	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 5, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET	Down	SELL	3	85¢	$3	0x51930b…
11-05 14:43:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 5, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET	Down	BUY	2	57¢	$1	0xa19f6a…
11-05 14:42:43	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 5, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET	Down	BUY	1	78¢	$1	0x44eff4…
11-05 14:41:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 5, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET	Up	SELL	2	16¢	$0	0xa63cad…
11-05 14:39:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 5, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET	Up	BUY	2	53¢	$1	0xfa838f…
11-05 11:36:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 5, 6:35AM-6:40AM ET	Down	SELL	2	74¢	$2	0x90e2cf…
11-05 11:34:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 5, 6:35AM-6:40AM ET	Down	BUY	2	42¢	$1	0x646779…
11-05 11:32:37	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 5, 6:30AM-6:35AM ET	Down	BUY	17	6¢	$1	0xd04d03…
11-05 11:32:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 5, 6:30AM-6:35AM ET	Up	SELL	2	85¢	$1	0x7183d6…
11-05 11:31:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 5, 6:30AM-6:35AM ET	Down	BUY	6	17¢	$1	0x811817…
11-05 11:31:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 5, 6:30AM-6:35AM ET	Down	BUY	4	27¢	$1	0x21320d…
11-05 11:30:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 5, 6:30AM-6:35AM ET	Up	BUY	2	60¢	$1	0x4ab3c7…
11-05 11:27:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 5, 6:25AM-6:30AM ET	Up	BUY	17	6¢	$1	0xfedf2f…
11-05 11:26:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 5, 6:25AM-6:30AM ET	Up	BUY	6	18¢	$1	0x102481…
11-05 11:26:01	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 5, 6:25AM-6:30AM ET	Up	BUY	2	40¢	$1	0xf751c7…
11-05 11:23:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 5, 6:20AM-6:25AM ET	Down	BUY	25	4¢	$1	0x9ec6a0…
11-05 11:23:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 5, 6:20AM-6:25AM ET	Down	BUY	25	4¢	$1	0x5ca9c3…
11-05 11:21:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 5, 6:20AM-6:25AM ET	Down	SELL	11	27¢	$3	0x47b28e…
11-05 11:20:49	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 5, 6:20AM-6:25AM ET	Down	BUY	11	9¢	$1	0xdd8492…
11-05 11:19:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 5, 6:15AM-6:20AM ET	Up	SELL	8	47¢	$4	0x558eae…
11-05 11:19:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 5, 6:15AM-6:20AM ET	Up	BUY	8	13¢	$1	0xd58888…
11-05 11:18:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 5, 6:15AM-6:20AM ET	Up	SELL	11	22¢	$2	0x4616c9…
11-05 11:18:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 5, 6:15AM-6:20AM ET	Up	BUY	11	9¢	$1	0x39465b…
11-05 11:16:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 5, 6:15AM-6:20AM ET	Down	SELL	2	58¢	$1	0x24add6…
11-05 11:14:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 5, 6:15AM-6:20AM ET	Down	BUY	2	44¢	$1	0x22df30…
11-05 11:13:55	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 5, 6:10AM-6:15AM ET	Down	BUY	6	18¢	$1	0x085428…
11-05 11:13:43	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 5, 6:10AM-6:15AM ET	Down	BUY	3	32¢	$1	0x256cfd…
11-05 11:12:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 5, 6:10AM-6:15AM ET	Down	SELL	4	40¢	$1	0xb86ac0…
11-05 11:12:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 5, 6:10AM-6:15AM ET	Down	BUY	4	28¢	$1	0xe7a6cb…
11-05 11:10:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 5, 6:10AM-6:15AM ET	Down	SELL	2	67¢	$1	0x17f72a…
11-05 11:10:01	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 5, 6:10AM-6:15AM ET	Down	BUY	2	56¢	$1	0x69a948…
11-05 11:08:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 5, 6:05AM-6:10AM ET	Up	SELL	27	32¢	$9	0x65360f…
11-05 11:07:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 5, 6:05AM-6:10AM ET	Up	BUY	17	6¢	$1	0x30652c…
11-05 11:07:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 5, 6:05AM-6:10AM ET	Up	BUY	10	10¢	$1	0xbb7a1f…
11-05 10:53:55	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 5, 5:50AM-5:55AM ET	Down	SELL	6	83¢	$5	0x82f8de…
11-05 10:53:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 5, 5:50AM-5:55AM ET	Down	BUY	4	26¢	$1	0xedef7b…
11-05 10:53:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 5, 5:50AM-5:55AM ET	Down	BUY	2	48¢	$1	0x269896…
11-05 10:52:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 5, 5:50AM-5:55AM ET	Down	SELL	3	47¢	$2	0xf7f7d9…
11-05 10:52:31	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 5, 5:50AM-5:55AM ET	Down	BUY	3	29¢	$1	0x85e5ae…
11-05 10:51:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 5, 5:50AM-5:55AM ET	Up	SELL	8	30¢	$2	0x554a94…
11-05 10:51:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 5, 5:50AM-5:55AM ET	Up	BUY	6	17¢	$1	0xf69c63…
11-05 10:50:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 5, 5:50AM-5:55AM ET	Up	BUY	2	52¢	$1	0x10df2a…
11-05 10:50:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 5, 5:50AM-5:55AM ET	Up	SELL	2	72¢	$1	0x39ac81…
11-05 10:49:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 5, 5:50AM-5:55AM ET	Up	BUY	2	53¢	$1	0xff7b8a…
11-04 12:47:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 4, 7:45AM-7:50AM ET	Down	BUY	2	55¢	$1	0x960449…
11-04 12:47:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 4, 7:45AM-7:50AM ET	Down	BUY	5	59¢	$3	0x5f9e1a…
11-04 12:47:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 4, 7:45AM-7:50AM ET	Down	SELL	7	61¢	$4	0xce6f04…
11-04 12:46:55	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 4, 7:45AM-7:50AM ET	Down	BUY	7	44¢	$3	0x9d415a…
11-04 12:46:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 4, 7:45AM-7:50AM ET	Down	SELL	6	63¢	$4	0x7cfb3d…
11-04 12:44:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 4, 7:45AM-7:50AM ET	Down	BUY	6	52¢	$3	0xcd1a40…
11-04 12:42:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 4, 7:40AM-7:45AM ET	Up	SELL	3	75¢	$2	0x4dd905…
11-04 12:42:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 4, 7:40AM-7:45AM ET	Up	BUY	3	69¢	$2	0x036271…
11-04 12:41:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 4, 7:40AM-7:45AM ET	Up	SELL	4	70¢	$3	0x49671c…
11-04 12:38:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 4, 7:40AM-7:45AM ET	Up	BUY	4	51¢	$2	0x8f16ea…
11-04 12:37:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 4, 7:35AM-7:40AM ET	Up	SELL	2	69¢	$1	0x9b7630…
11-04 12:36:49	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 4, 7:35AM-7:40AM ET	Up	BUY	2	54¢	$1	0xc143c4…
11-04 12:36:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 4, 7:35AM-7:40AM ET	Up	SELL	2	61¢	$1	0x9baad0…
11-04 12:36:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 4, 7:35AM-7:40AM ET	Up	BUY	2	54¢	$1	0x6c1ba9…
11-03 20:08:57	2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, R House	No	BUY	126	95¢	$120	0xb691aa…
11-02 15:03:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 2, 10:00AM-10:05AM ET	Down	SELL	14	51¢	$7	0xa99a91…
11-02 15:03:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 2, 10:00AM-10:05AM ET	Down	BUY	6	17¢	$1	0xd8607e…
11-02 15:00:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 2, 10:00AM-10:05AM ET	Down	BUY	3	32¢	$1	0x4d9256…
11-02 15:00:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 2, 10:00AM-10:05AM ET	Down	BUY	5	42¢	$2	0xb87fa1…
11-02 14:57:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 2, 9:55AM-10:00AM ET	Up	BUY	25	4¢	$1	0x4ff93a…
11-02 14:57:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 2, 9:55AM-10:00AM ET	Up	BUY	14	7¢	$1	0x8db2ad…
11-02 14:56:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 2, 9:55AM-10:00AM ET	Up	BUY	9	11¢	$1	0x64be7d…
11-02 14:55:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 2, 9:55AM-10:00AM ET	Up	BUY	4	27¢	$1	0x6f447f…
11-02 14:53:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 2, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET	Down	BUY	11	9¢	$1	0xdef27b…
11-02 14:52:43	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 2, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET	Up	SELL	31	29¢	$9	0xacceb3…
11-02 14:52:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 2, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET	Up	BUY	20	5¢	$1	0x18e5ad…
11-02 14:52:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 2, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET	Up	BUY	11	9¢	$1	0xc9309c…
11-02 14:51:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 2, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET	Up	SELL	6	20¢	$1	0x5ee72c…
11-02 14:51:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 2, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET	Up	BUY	6	17¢	$1	0xac0588…
11-02 14:50:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 2, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET	Down	SELL	10	71¢	$7	0x33d5d2…
11-02 14:49:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 2, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET	Down	BUY	10	49¢	$5	0x21a993…
11-02 14:49:01	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 2, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET	Up	SELL	33	82¢	$27	0xe57dab…
11-02 14:48:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 2, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET	Up	BUY	11	89¢	$10	0xc467d0…
11-02 14:48:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 2, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET	Up	BUY	22	91¢	$20	0xd6174d…
11-02 14:46:31	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 2, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET	Up	SELL	25	78¢	$20	0xb3d737…