Self-Reliant-Line — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$0

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

100.0%

Resolved

Trades

lifetime

Volume

$545

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-01-06

last 06-02 11:08

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 2 days

Categories

Politics

34% — —

Crypto

32% 100% +$0

Other

30% 100% +$0

Tech

4% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

24 active days in 12wk • peak 6 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (1) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 3, 2026?	1	$129	130	+130	open	—	06-02 11:08
Solstice FDV above $100M one day after launch?	1	$46	47	+47	open	—	05-26 14:50
Will Israel be in the top 10 at Eurovision 2026?	1	$44	48	+48	open	—	05-16 14:13
Billions FDV above $100M one day after launch?	2	$35	35	+35	Yes	+$0	05-04 20:24
Will Bitcoin dip to $65,000 in May?	1	$21	21	+21	open	—	05-30 08:59
Genius FDV above $80M one day after launch?	1	$11	12	+12	open	—	04-14 00:26
Will Denmark advance through the second Eurovision Semi-Final?	1	$11	11	+11	open	—	05-10 23:12
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by May 15, 2026?	1	$11	11	+11	open	—	05-15 04:54
Will the Bank of Brazil increase the Selic rate after April 2026 meeting?	4	$9	9	+9	open	—	04-17 09:55
Will Bitcoin reach $80,000 in May?	1	$8	10	+10	open	—	05-03 18:25
nvda above 230 on february 27 2026	1	$8	8	+8	open	—	02-25 03:15
aapl above 210 on january 30 2026	1	$7	7	+7	open	—	01-06 18:36
gc hit 6000 high jan 2026	2	$7	7	+7	open	—	01-17 13:29
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $20 in May?	2	$7	7	+7	open	—	05-06 16:56
will tesla be the largest company in the world by market cap on january 31	1	$7	7	+7	open	—	01-07 12:32
will gold gc hit high 6400 by end of february 581 221 834 595 555	1	$6	6	+6	open	—	02-23 21:04
will anthropic have the third best ai model at the end of january 2026	1	$5	5	+5	open	—	01-09 12:41
Will Ethereum dip to $1,000 in May?	1	$5	5	+5	open	—	05-10 10:36
will silver si hit high 140 by end of february 384 774 953 735 356	1	$5	5	+5	open	—	02-20 15:18
gc settle below 4350 jan 2026	1	$4	4	+4	open	—	01-23 23:31
will nvidia be the second largest company in the world by market cap on february 28	1	$4	4	+4	open	—	02-22 00:32
will xrp dip to 0pt6 in january 2026	1	$4	4	+4	open	—	01-09 23:56
will deepseek have the second best ai model at the end of march 2026	2	$4	4	+4	open	—	03-25 08:14
will gold gc hit low 4000 by end of february 542 564 882 215 825 637 559 654 593 764 923	1	$4	4	+4	open	—	02-24 10:56
Will Bitcoin reach $115,000 in May?	1	$4	4	+4	open	—	05-03 22:06
Will Solana dip to $50 in May?	1	$4	4	+4	open	—	05-06 06:31
Will Microsoft be the third-largest company in the world by market cap on April 30?	1	$4	4	+4	open	—	04-17 00:01
amzn above 170 on january 30 2026	1	$4	4	+4	open	—	01-12 18:36
Will Mistral have the second best AI model at the end of April 2026?	1	$4	4	+4	open	—	04-05 08:52
tsla above 530 on january 30 2026	1	$3	4	+4	open	—	01-13 18:28

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
06-02 11:08:39	US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 3, 2026?	No	BUY	130	100¢	$129	0x899bc6…
05-30 08:59:37	Will Bitcoin dip to $65,000 in May?	No	BUY	21	100¢	$21	0x18611a…
05-26 14:50:51	Solstice FDV above $100M one day after launch?	Yes	BUY	47	99¢	$46	0x67bcde…
05-21 19:35:51	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $200 in May?	No	BUY	3	100¢	$3	0x16e122…
05-16 14:13:47	Will Israel be in the top 10 at Eurovision 2026?	Yes	BUY	48	92¢	$44	0x82e829…
05-15 04:54:18	US x Iran diplomatic meeting by May 15, 2026?	No	BUY	11	100¢	$11	0x1c51e3…
05-10 23:12:55	Will Denmark advance through the second Eurovision Semi-Final?	Yes	BUY	11	100¢	$11	0x4df9a6…
05-10 22:30:15	Will Solana reach $150 in May?	No	BUY	3	99¢	$3	0xa62c93…
05-10 10:36:34	Will Ethereum dip to $1,000 in May?	No	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0xc00c22…
05-10 09:18:21	Will Ethereum dip to $1,200 in May?	No	BUY	2	99¢	$2	0x73853f…
05-07 10:24:45	Will Alphabet Inc. (GOOGL) hit (HIGH) $400 in May?	Yes	BUY	3	100¢	$3	0xaf7ea5…
05-06 16:56:35	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $20 in May?	No	BUY	2	100¢	$2	0x5fe335…
05-06 06:31:46	Will Solana dip to $50 in May?	No	BUY	4	99¢	$4	0xdea3d7…
05-04 20:58:40	Will Bitcoin dip to $50,000 in May?	No	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0xd63825…
05-04 20:24:44	Billions FDV above $100M one day after launch?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x548d8d…
05-04 13:07:54	Billions FDV above $100M one day after launch?	Yes	BUY	27	99¢	$27	0x5ceb3d…
05-03 22:06:32	Will Bitcoin reach $115,000 in May?	No	BUY	4	100¢	$4	0xf4d616…
05-03 18:25:58	Will Bitcoin reach $80,000 in May?	Yes	BUY	10	88¢	$8	0xfb3c25…
05-03 04:31:50	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $20 in May?	No	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0xc9f28c…
04-30 20:57:34	MegaETH market cap (FDV) >$3B one day after launch?	No	BUY	3	99¢	$2	0x62afe7…
04-29 15:33:02	Will Solana dip to $70 in April?	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0xb4a21d…
04-17 09:55:30	Will the Bank of Brazil increase the Selic rate after April 2026 meeting?	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0x5b94cf…
04-17 00:01:10	Will Microsoft be the third-largest company in the world by market cap on April 30?	No	BUY	4	100¢	$4	0x59c1e7…
04-16 20:06:36	Will Hyperliquid dip to $16 in April?	No	BUY	3	100¢	$3	0x80d768…
04-16 10:04:28	Will Meituan have the second best AI model at the end of April 2026?	No	BUY	3	100¢	$3	0x27d2d2…
04-14 08:59:19	Will NVIDIA be the third-largest company in the world by market cap on April 30?	No	BUY	2	100¢	$2	0x10bc80…
04-14 00:26:05	Genius FDV above $80M one day after launch?	Yes	BUY	12	100¢	$11	0xbae17e…
04-11 21:00:47	Will Solana dip to $10 in April?	No	BUY	2	100¢	$2	0xdaa59e…
04-11 19:49:45	Bank of Japan decreases interest rates after the April 2026 meeting?	No	BUY	4	100¢	$3	0xeee4b6…
04-11 13:24:59	Will the Bank of Brazil increase the Selic rate after April 2026 meeting?	No	BUY	3	99¢	$2	0x462906…
04-11 13:20:29	Will Z.ai have the best AI model at the end of April 2026?	No	BUY	3	100¢	$3	0x84b833…
04-11 09:18:49	Will Bitcoin reach $95,000 in April?	No	BUY	3	99¢	$3	0x08cfc9…
04-11 06:16:59	Will Bitcoin dip to $40,000 in April?	No	BUY	2	99¢	$2	0xd59bea…
04-10 12:01:17	Will xAI have the best AI model at the end of April 2026?	No	BUY	3	100¢	$2	0xa09c1c…
04-08 22:58:15	Will NVIDIA (NVDA) close above $230 end of April?	No	BUY	2	100¢	$2	0xec7b9a…
04-08 17:58:03	Will the Bank of Brazil increase the Selic rate after April 2026 meeting?	No	BUY	3	99¢	$3	0xdf4b58…
04-07 13:45:29	Will Netflix (NFLX) close above $200 end of April?	No	BUY	3	100¢	$3	0x8e6503…
04-07 12:02:23	Will the Bank of Brazil increase the Selic rate after April 2026 meeting?	No	BUY	2	99¢	$2	0x5f0cba…
04-07 06:32:17	Will Google (GOOGL) close above $220 end of April?	Yes	BUY	3	100¢	$3	0x3f6b28…
04-06 11:56:41	Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the April 2026 meeting?	No	BUY	2	100¢	$2	0xef8a77…
04-05 12:36:49	Will XRP reach $2.40 in April?	No	BUY	2	99¢	$2	0x06af3b…
04-05 08:52:27	Will Mistral have the second best AI model at the end of April 2026?	No	BUY	4	100¢	$4	0xa2eaad…
03-29 16:08:48	googl above 330 on march 31 2026	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0xbd3091…
03-29 08:57:10	will dogecoin dip to 0pt05 in march 2026	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0xf97831…
03-28 17:21:31	will alphabet be the largest company in the world by market cap on march 31	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0x3edb82…
03-28 02:41:47	will ethereum reach 2800 in march 2026	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0xde21e7…
03-27 14:09:47	will nvidia be the largest company in the world by market cap on march 31 323	Yes	BUY	2	100¢	$1	0x7e9864…
03-26 10:42:11	will anthropic have the best ai model at the end of march 2026 437	Yes	BUY	2	99¢	$2	0x4a7197…
03-25 23:05:39	will solana dip to 30 in march 2026	No	BUY	2	100¢	$2	0xb5a2dd…
03-25 22:45:05	will nvidia be the third largest company in the world by market cap on march 31	No	BUY	3	100¢	$3	0xe7a8b2…
03-25 08:14:09	will deepseek have the second best ai model at the end of march 2026	No	BUY	2	100¢	$2	0x7cdfb4…
03-24 11:35:49	will ethereum reach 3600 in march 2026	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0xd5b930…
03-24 06:06:21	will deepseek have the second best ai model at the end of march 2026	No	BUY	2	100¢	$2	0x7e1f1e…
03-24 01:33:05	will xai have the best ai model at the end of march 2026 497	No	BUY	2	99¢	$2	0x70ed17…
03-23 16:39:57	will openai have the second best ai model at the end of march 2026	No	BUY	2	99¢	$2	0x5423b8…
03-23 11:43:01	will elon musks net worth be between 700b and 710b on march 31	No	BUY	2	100¢	$2	0x657982…
03-23 06:55:11	googl above 250 on march 31 2026	Yes	BUY	2	99¢	$2	0xa7b5ab…
03-21 06:44:41	aapl above 330 on march 31 2026	No	BUY	3	100¢	$3	0xce35ab…
03-12 13:28:49	will tesla be the third largest company in the world by market cap on march 31	No	BUY	2	100¢	$2	0xe43fce…
03-12 02:32:13	nvda above 230 on march 31 2026	No	BUY	2	99¢	$2	0x090cea…
03-11 15:58:49	will zai have the third best ai model at the end of march 2026	No	BUY	3	100¢	$3	0x4c553a…
03-10 13:07:49	will the ecb announce an increase at the march 2026 meeting	No	BUY	2	99¢	$1	0x8e4ad7…
03-10 09:30:05	will hyperliquid dip to 12 in march	No	BUY	2	100¢	$2	0x67798d…
03-08 07:09:43	will zai have the second best ai model at the end of march 2026	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0x5be7fa…
03-08 00:58:05	will hyperliquid dip to 12 in march	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0xb6d9a0…
03-07 23:13:09	will amazon be the second largest company in the world by market cap on march 31	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0x11cb93…
03-07 05:20:41	will solana reach 160 in march 2026	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0x39cfa0…
03-07 02:09:11	will amazon be the second largest company in the world by market cap on march 31	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0xec6a11…
03-06 16:38:29	will ethena dip to 0 in march	No	BUY	2	100¢	$1	0xc7913a…
03-06 08:35:23	amzn above 270 on march 31 2026	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0x58bd65…
03-06 07:33:55	will the bank of brazil increase the selic rate after march 2026 meeting	No	BUY	2	100¢	$2	0x375b83…
03-05 18:17:29	will tesla be the second largest company in the world by market cap on march 31	No	BUY	2	100¢	$2	0xa85fb2…
03-05 11:36:15	amzn above 270 on march 31 2026	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0x42652c…
03-05 03:26:35	will ethereum dip to 600 in march 2026	No	BUY	2	100¢	$2	0xfc08f2…
02-25 03:15:10	nvda above 230 on february 27 2026	No	BUY	8	99¢	$8	0x7c1ce3…
02-24 10:56:18	will gold gc hit low 4000 by end of february 542 564 882 215 825 637 559 654 593 764 923	No	BUY	4	100¢	$4	0x255d85…
02-23 21:04:06	will gold gc hit high 6400 by end of february 581 221 834 595 555	No	BUY	6	100¢	$6	0xa94167…
02-22 00:32:22	will nvidia be the second largest company in the world by market cap on february 28	No	BUY	4	100¢	$4	0x54fab5…
02-20 15:18:22	will silver si hit high 140 by end of february 384 774 953 735 356	No	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0x6645d6…
02-11 14:20:19	will saudi aramco be the largest company in the world by market cap on february 28	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0xee6d59…
02-10 13:23:03	meta above 840 on february 27 2026	No	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0x720635…
02-08 07:07:21	amzn above 290 on february 27 2026	No	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0x904d69…
02-03 20:05:24	will solana reach 180 in february 2026	No	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0x52330f…
02-01 22:53:26	will gold gc hit high 10000 by end of february	No	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0x8b5fd1…
01-23 23:31:14	gc settle below 4350 jan 2026	No	BUY	4	99¢	$4	0x9abf55…
01-22 20:05:44	pltr above 196 on january 30 2026	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0x103af8…
01-21 07:20:56	will openai have the third best ai model at the end of january 2026	No	BUY	2	100¢	$2	0x86c82b…
01-20 11:19:54	will chainlink dip to 6 in january	No	BUY	2	100¢	$2	0x79ad6e…
01-19 12:43:46	si hit 40 low jan 2026 159 697 786	No	BUY	3	100¢	$3	0x0d64db…
01-17 13:29:58	gc hit 6000 high jan 2026	No	BUY	4	100¢	$4	0xcadb16…
01-16 09:04:54	will bitcoin dip to 65k in january 2026	No	BUY	3	99¢	$3	0x43ce03…
01-14 22:01:44	gc hit 6000 high jan 2026	No	BUY	3	100¢	$3	0x1ad0e6…
01-13 18:28:33	tsla above 530 on january 30 2026	No	BUY	4	100¢	$3	0x2b453d…
01-12 18:36:13	amzn above 170 on january 30 2026	Yes	BUY	4	100¢	$4	0x1dd065…
01-09 23:56:16	will xrp dip to 0pt6 in january 2026	No	BUY	4	100¢	$4	0xc5b21e…
01-09 12:41:42	will anthropic have the third best ai model at the end of january 2026	No	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0x0406aa…
01-07 12:32:41	will tesla be the largest company in the world by market cap on january 31	No	BUY	7	100¢	$7	0x85a45c…
01-06 18:36:49	aapl above 210 on january 30 2026	Yes	BUY	7	100¢	$7	0x63b207…