Sleepy-Centurion — Polymarket

Realized P&L (90d)

-$470

Unrealized P&L

+$16

Hit rate

53.7%

Resolved (90d)

378

Trades (90d)

980

1,950 lifetime

Volume (90d)

$39.6K

$153.5K lifetime

Avg / trade

$79

Open exposure

$223

1 position

First seen

2026-03-19

last 11-13 15:24

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 181 days

Categories

Crypto

100% 30% -$10,022

Other

0% 33% -$546

Sports

0% 0% -$52

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

77 active days in 12wk • peak 40 trades/day

Open positions (1) Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $66,000 on November 15?	No		+2,698	$207	8¢	$223	+$16	11-13 15:24

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
will bitcoin reach 70k on august 19 2026	6	$5.5K	4,589	4,589	+0	Yes	+$3,705	08-19 21:59
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on May 13?	6	$4.2K	6,733	6,733	+0	No	+$3,554	05-13 15:13
bitcoin up or down march 31 2026 5pm et	3	$3.6K	3,730	3,497	+233	Up	+$2,818	03-31 21:54
bitcoin above 68k on august 20 2026	5	$3.0K	6,633	4,141	+2,492	Yes	+$2,761	08-20 07:18
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-03-27 15:15 UTC	4	$2.8K	3,848	3,837	+11	Up	+$2,033	03-27 15:29
bitcoin up or down march 25 2026 8am et	2	$2.2K	2,113	2,112	+1	Up	+$2,011	03-25 13:00
bitcoin up or down march 31 2026 1pm et	3	$2.0K	1,935	1,817	+118	Down	+$1,553	03-31 17:56
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on November 6?	4	$2.0K	3,620	3,620	+0	Yes	+$1,858	11-05 16:06
bitcoin up or down march 25 2026 11am et	4	$1.8K	1,286	1,266	+20	Down	+$598	03-25 15:43
bitcoin up or down on august 13 2026	6	$1.7K	3,035	3,035	+0	Down	+$1,469	08-13 16:01
bitcoin up or down march 22 2026 8pm et	6	$1.7K	4,392	1,300	+3,092	Down	+$50	03-23 00:56
bitcoin above 76k on april 17	2	$1.5K	1,612	1,515	+97	Yes	+$1,099	04-17 13:25
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-03-31 15:45 UTC	4	$1.3K	990	946	+45	Down	+$611	03-31 15:59
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 12PM ET	3	$1.3K	965	965	+0	Down	+$644	05-17 19:59
bitcoin up or down march 27 2026 1pm et	2	$1.3K	1,029	1,017	+12	Down	+$633	03-27 17:46
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-03-27 09:45 UTC	3	$1.2K	1,411	1,407	+3	Down	+$952	03-27 09:58
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on May 16?	2	$1.2K	1,574	1,574	+0	Yes	+$595	05-16 10:42
bitcoin up or down march 21 2026 10am et	6	$1.2K	2,886	2,877	+9	Down	+$515	03-21 14:49
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on October 30?	19	$1.2K	4,272	4,272	+0	No	+$837	10-30 01:03
bitcoin up or down march 31 2026 3pm et	2	$1.2K	772	748	+24	Down	+$331	03-31 20:05
bitcoin above 64k on june 4 2026	3	$1.2K	1,961	1,961	+0	No	+$599	06-04 12:55
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on September 3?	2	$1.1K	1,534	1,534	+0	Yes	+$968	09-03 14:49
will bitcoin reach 80k april 13 19	6	$1.0K	11,397	0	+11,397	No	-$1,007	04-18 08:20
bitcoin up or down march 22 2026 9pm et	4	$998	4,303	688	+3,616	Up	+$72	03-23 01:52
bitcoin up or down march 31 2026 12pm et	5	$958	11,707	0	+11,707	Up	-$958	03-31 16:50
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-03-25 17:00 UTC	2	$909	625	615	+10	Down	+$319	03-25 17:11
bitcoin up or down march 29 2026 6am et	5	$907	3,447	0	+3,447	Down	-$907	03-29 10:33
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-03-24 09:30 UTC	3	$900	636	627	+10	Up	+$350	03-24 09:42
bitcoin up or down august 14 2026 1pm et	3	$861	692	692	+0	Down	+$361	08-14 17:52
bitcoin up or down march 27 2026 10am et	2	$859	714	709	+5	Up	+$564	03-27 15:15

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
11-13 15:24:51	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $66,000 on November 15?	No	BUY	44	8¢	$4	0x91302e…
11-13 15:24:36	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $66,000 on November 15?	No	BUY	2,654	8¢	$203	0x9bdff1…
11-13 15:20:18	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $68,000 on November 13?	No	SELL	2,091	11¢	$235	0xd7f1f5…
11-13 14:43:43	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $70,000 on November 13?	Yes	BUY	90	20¢	$18	0x546e18…
11-13 14:43:07	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $70,000 on November 13?	Yes	BUY	137	22¢	$30	0x73505b…
11-13 14:41:03	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $70,000 on November 13?	Yes	BUY	120	19¢	$23	0x2844a7…
11-13 13:39:09	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $68,000 on November 13?	No	BUY	542	5¢	$26	0xb00132…
11-13 12:59:37	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 13, 7AM ET	Down	SELL	103	100¢	$103	0x41c1e9…
11-13 12:03:37	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 13, 7AM ET	Down	BUY	103	39¢	$40	0x49e613…
11-13 12:01:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 13, 6AM ET	Down	SELL	28	100¢	$28	0x943fa6…
11-13 11:54:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 13, 6AM ET	Down	BUY	12	40¢	$5	0x8fbc13…
11-13 11:51:24	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $68,000 on November 13?	No	BUY	133	11¢	$15	0x592d1e…
11-13 11:49:43	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 13, 6AM ET	Down	BUY	11	19¢	$2	0xec1fa5…
11-13 11:44:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 13, 6AM ET	Down	BUY	5	59¢	$3	0x696ccd…
11-13 11:32:58	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $68,000 on November 13?	No	BUY	29	14¢	$4	0x68b4fd…
11-13 11:32:33	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $68,000 on November 13?	No	BUY	434	14¢	$60	0x169934…
11-13 11:32:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 13, 6AM ET	Down	SELL	156	71¢	$110	0x6868dc…
11-13 11:28:28	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $68,000 on November 13?	No	BUY	10	13¢	$1	0xd2f41e…
11-13 11:26:01	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $68,000 on November 13?	No	BUY	714	12¢	$85	0x71daa2…
11-13 11:24:52	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $68,000 on November 13?	No	BUY	229	11¢	$25	0x3ec3a5…
11-13 11:23:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 13, 6AM ET	Down	BUY	156	32¢	$50	0xbee4d4…
11-13 10:42:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 13, 5AM ET	Down	BUY	242	8¢	$19	0x9a79c2…
11-13 10:26:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 13, 5AM ET	Down	BUY	27	25¢	$7	0x0b1b60…
11-13 10:25:55	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $68,000 on November 13?	No	SELL	56	13¢	$7	0xadd203…
11-13 09:33:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 13, 4AM ET	Down	BUY	120	7¢	$8	0x572198…
11-13 09:32:37	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $70,000 on November 13?	Yes	SELL	46	21¢	$10	0x0586d0…
11-13 09:18:30	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $70,000 on November 13?	Yes	BUY	46	19¢	$9	0x8f218c…
11-13 09:17:03	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $68,000 on November 13?	No	BUY	56	25¢	$14	0x639529…
11-13 09:14:01	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 13, 4AM ET	Down	BUY	36	33¢	$12	0xec3872…
11-13 09:12:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 13, 4AM ET	Down	BUY	15	40¢	$6	0x2ecee2…
11-13 09:11:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 13, 4AM ET	Down	BUY	26	38¢	$10	0x1e7413…
11-13 09:10:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 13, 4AM ET	Down	BUY	23	43¢	$10	0x9934a6…
11-12 12:44:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 12, 7AM ET	Up	BUY	39	39¢	$15	0xd90ddf…
11-12 10:44:12	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $70,000 on November 12?	No	SELL	2,704	1¢	$17	0x493d35…
11-11 15:52:55	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on November 11?	No	BUY	12	51¢	$6	0x00b5c6…
11-11 15:52:33	Bitcoin Up or Down on November 11?	Down	SELL	377	2¢	$7	0xe57347…
11-11 13:04:42	Bitcoin Up or Down on November 11?	Down	BUY	33	14¢	$5	0x7e13ba…
11-11 13:04:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 11, 7AM ET	Down	SELL	5	100¢	$5	0xbb9ec3…
11-11 11:58:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 11, 7AM ET	Down	BUY	5	52¢	$3	0x99bb0b…
11-11 11:58:25	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 11, 6AM ET	Down	SELL	2	99¢	$2	0x7304e6…
11-11 11:47:16	Bitcoin Up or Down on November 11?	Down	BUY	127	11¢	$14	0x9eaf0d…
11-11 11:46:57	Gold (XAUUSD) Up or Down on November 11?	Down	SELL	57	27¢	$15	0x4f247c…
11-11 11:31:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 11, 6AM ET	Down	BUY	2	52¢	$1	0x7b1594…
11-11 11:28:03	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $70,000 on November 12?	No	BUY	2,704	2¢	$66	0x5a7474…
11-11 11:22:34	Gold (XAUUSD) Up or Down on November 11?	Down	BUY	19	27¢	$5	0x4c61f6…
11-11 11:19:31	Gold (XAUUSD) Up or Down on November 11?	Down	BUY	38	26¢	$10	0x9d54ee…
11-11 11:11:42	Bitcoin Up or Down on November 11?	Down	BUY	208	12¢	$25	0x965066…
11-11 11:09:43	Bitcoin Up or Down on November 11?	Down	BUY	10	12¢	$1	0xdab40b…
11-10 17:20:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 10, 12PM ET	Down	BUY	81	23¢	$19	0x550163…
11-10 17:16:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 10, 12PM ET	Down	BUY	58	38¢	$22	0x4dc3a6…
11-10 15:38:21	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on November 10?	Yes	BUY	57	18¢	$10	0x56782b…
11-10 15:32:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 10, 10AM ET	Up	BUY	46	13¢	$6	0xff76a1…
11-10 14:52:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 10, 10AM ET	Up	BUY	42	50¢	$21	0x48ae48…
11-10 14:40:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 10, 9AM ET	Up	SELL	27	92¢	$25	0x367b88…
11-10 14:27:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 10, 9AM ET	Up	BUY	9	54¢	$5	0x6bb24a…
11-10 14:25:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 10, 9AM ET	Up	BUY	18	55¢	$10	0x676db4…
11-10 14:25:24	Bitcoin Up or Down on November 10?	Up	BUY	112	9¢	$10	0x9a80d1…
11-10 14:20:07	Bitcoin Up or Down on November 10?	Up	BUY	200	10¢	$20	0x2702a6…
11-10 14:18:27	Bitcoin Up or Down on November 10?	Up	BUY	222	10¢	$22	0xd765fe…
11-10 14:09:27	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $72,000 on November 10?	No	SELL	3,720	2¢	$90	0x23e934…
11-09 15:40:21	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $72,000 on November 10?	No	BUY	663	5¢	$34	0x3bc0f6…
11-09 15:34:58	Will Bitcoin dip to $73,000 on November 9?	Yes	SELL	245	9¢	$22	0x1a5330…
11-09 15:34:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 9, 10AM ET	Down	SELL	109	14¢	$15	0xcf05ed…
11-09 15:33:13	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $72,000 on November 10?	No	BUY	1,515	5¢	$75	0xcc7687…
11-09 15:32:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 9, 10AM ET	Down	BUY	109	23¢	$25	0x0ed1f0…
11-09 11:24:42	Will Bitcoin dip to $73,000 on November 9?	Yes	BUY	245	31¢	$76	0xc35e0a…
11-09 10:19:25	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on November 9?	No	SELL	207	40¢	$83	0x2c37b6…
11-08 17:10:27	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $72,000 on November 10?	No	BUY	696	6¢	$42	0xdca7eb…
11-08 17:10:06	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on November 9?	No	BUY	207	15¢	$30	0x63acfc…
11-08 17:09:45	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $72,000 on November 10?	No	BUY	846	6¢	$50	0x2a2436…
11-08 16:55:10	Bitcoin Up or Down on November 8?	Down	SELL	202	66¢	$133	0xb7e637…
11-08 15:45:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 8, 10AM ET	Down	BUY	103	22¢	$23	0x90c47d…
11-08 15:34:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 8, 10AM ET	Down	BUY	52	48¢	$25	0x142c08…
11-08 13:47:18	Bitcoin Up or Down on November 8?	Down	BUY	81	31¢	$25	0x490b41…
11-08 13:44:51	Bitcoin Up or Down on November 8?	Down	BUY	121	33¢	$40	0x33dd9d…
11-08 13:43:43	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 8, 8AM ET	Down	BUY	1	76¢	$1	0x1798fc…
11-08 12:05:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 8, 7AM ET	Down	BUY	23	44¢	$10	0x5a9406…
11-08 12:05:04	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on November 8?	No	BUY	1,359	1¢	$10	0x668f3f…
11-08 12:01:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 8, 7AM ET	Down	BUY	60	50¢	$30	0xc2157f…
11-08 11:03:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 8, 5AM ET	Down	SELL	49	100¢	$49	0xb83f90…
11-08 10:00:55	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 8, 5AM ET	Down	BUY	49	51¢	$25	0x67d733…
11-07 14:02:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 7, 9AM ET	Down	BUY	78	47¢	$36	0xdf5532…
11-07 12:43:10	Will Bitcoin dip to $75,000 on November 7?	Yes	BUY	29	17¢	$5	0x59ca9b…
11-07 12:42:06	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on November 8?	No	BUY	1,053	4¢	$40	0x23f709…
11-07 12:41:22	Will Bitcoin dip to $75,000 on November 7?	Yes	BUY	558	20¢	$110	0x86d229…
11-07 12:41:01	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 7, 7AM ET	Down	SELL	210	96¢	$202	0xcdabf8…
11-07 11:59:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 7, 7AM ET	Down	BUY	210	50¢	$105	0x03f386…
11-07 11:59:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 7, 6AM ET	Down	SELL	113	97¢	$109	0x1031f8…
11-07 11:11:24	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on November 8?	No	BUY	1,611	3¢	$42	0x66ea39…
11-07 11:08:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 7, 6AM ET	Down	BUY	14	36¢	$5	0x58533e…
11-07 11:07:09	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on November 8?	No	BUY	1,316	2¢	$33	0x8683d6…
11-07 11:04:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 7, 6AM ET	Down	BUY	99	50¢	$50	0x0efd2f…
11-07 11:04:07	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on November 8?	No	BUY	184	2¢	$4	0x420645…
11-06 09:22:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 6, 4AM ET	Down	BUY	1,000	5¢	$49	0x4bc403…
11-06 07:38:21	Will Bitcoin dip to $72,000 on November 6?	Yes	BUY	23	11¢	$2	0xa73df3…
11-06 07:37:34	Will Bitcoin dip to $72,000 on November 6?	Yes	BUY	1,310	12¢	$151	0x4361af…
11-06 07:13:36	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on November 6?	No	BUY	22	17¢	$4	0xdb9d12…
11-06 07:13:07	Will Bitcoin dip to $72,000 on November 6?	Yes	BUY	2,074	11¢	$223	0x8a3765…
11-06 06:51:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 6, 1AM ET	Down	BUY	9	30¢	$3	0xcf45f2…
11-05 19:56:49	Will Bitcoin dip to $75,000 on November 5?	Yes	BUY	6	21¢	$1	0x233d5a…