Juvenile-Variable — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$55

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

34.9%

Resolved

Trades

lifetime

Volume

$863

lifetime

Avg / trade

$24

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-04-10

last 11-01 14:29

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 16 days

Categories

Other

50% 52% +$232

Sports

36% 20% -$288

Politics

14% 33% +$0

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

3 active days in 12wk • peak 2 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (29) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will Austria win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	2	$150	30,000	0	+30,000	No	-$150	06-15 19:58
Will Croatia win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	1	$100	11,111	0	+11,111	No	-$100	06-15 20:03
will tisza win the national list vote in the 2026 hungarian parliamentary election by 9	1	$50	88	0	+88	Yes	-$50	04-10 11:24
Will Student List – Students Win win the most seats in the 2026 Serbian parliamentary election?	1	$40	120	0	+120	Yes	+$80	10-21 18:07
Will Kimi Antonelli get pole position at the 2026 F1 Hungarian Grand Prix?	1	$35	135	0	+135	No	-$35	07-25 13:51
Will Finland win Eurovision 2026?	1	$30	56	0	+56	No	+$26	05-16 18:47
Croatia leading at halftime?	1	$30	77	0	+77	Yes	+$47	06-27 21:01
Will Bulgaria be in the top 5 at Eurovision 2026?	1	$30	49	0	+49	Yes	+$19	05-16 20:16
Will Аndrey Gyurov win the next Bulgarian presidential election?	2	$30	143	0	+143	No	-$30	11-01 14:29
Will Norway win on 2026-07-05?	1	$29	144	0	+144	Yes	+$115	07-05 19:46
Will Norway win on 2026-06-30?	1	$25	54	0	+54	Yes	+$29	06-30 15:11
Spain leading at halftime?	1	$25	89	0	+89	No	-$25	07-06 19:23
Will Greece be in the top 5 at Eurovision 2026?	1	$25	44	0	+44	No	+$19	05-16 21:31
Will Canada win on 2026-06-28?	1	$22	48	0	+48	Yes	+$26	06-28 19:11
Will Max Verstappen get pole position at the 2026 F1 Spanish Grand Prix?	2	$21	203	0	+203	No	-$21	09-12 14:09
Will Denmark be in the top 10 at Eurovision 2026?	2	$20	57	57	+0	Yes	-$20	05-16 23:02
Will Albania be in the top 10 at Eurovision 2026?	2	$20	54	54	+0	No	-$20	05-16 23:02
Will France be in the top 10 at Eurovision 2026?	2	$20	31	31	+0	No	-$20	05-16 23:02
Will Moldova be in the top 10 at Eurovision 2026?	1	$20	34	0	+34	Yes	+$14	05-16 19:13
Will Romania be in the top 5 at Eurovision 2026?	1	$20	44	0	+44	Yes	+$24	05-16 21:17
fifwc ger civ 2026 06 20 spread home 2pt5	1	$20	87	0	+87	Côte d'Ivoire	-$20	06-20 18:33
Norway leading at halftime?	1	$18	83	0	+83	No	-$18	07-11 21:02
Germany leading at halftime?	1	$18	31	0	+31	No	-$18	06-29 19:41
Will Panama vs. England end in a draw?	1	$16	65	0	+65	No	-$16	06-27 22:07
Will Denmark be in the top 5 at Eurovision 2026?	1	$15	21	0	+21	No	+$6	05-16 21:33
Will Bulgaria win Eurovision 2026?	1	$11	93	0	+93	Yes	+$82	05-16 21:35
Will Moldova be in the top 5 at Eurovision 2026?	2	$10	42	42	+0	No	-$10	05-16 23:02
fifwc prt uzb 2026 06 23 first half team total away 0pt5	1	$10	50	0	+50	Under	-$10	06-23 16:53
Will Lando Norris get pole position at the 2026 F1 Hungarian Grand Prix?	1	$4	22	0	+22	Yes	+$18	07-25 14:10

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
11-01 14:29:00	Will Аndrey Gyurov win the next Bulgarian presidential election?	Yes	BUY	48	21¢	$10	0xdf3b7f…
11-01 14:22:15	Will Аndrey Gyurov win the next Bulgarian presidential election?	Yes	BUY	95	21¢	$20	0xbc2c81…
10-21 18:07:18	Will Student List – Students Win win the most seats in the 2026 Serbian parliamentary election?	Yes	BUY	120	33¢	$40	0x3444b8…
09-12 14:09:55	Will Max Verstappen get pole position at the 2026 F1 Spanish Grand Prix?	Yes	BUY	79	12¢	$9	0x26e3bd…
09-12 14:06:49	Will Max Verstappen get pole position at the 2026 F1 Spanish Grand Prix?	Yes	BUY	124	9¢	$11	0x936230…
07-25 14:10:39	Will Lando Norris get pole position at the 2026 F1 Hungarian Grand Prix?	Yes	BUY	22	20¢	$4	0xa4b47b…
07-25 13:51:57	Will Kimi Antonelli get pole position at the 2026 F1 Hungarian Grand Prix?	Yes	BUY	135	26¢	$35	0xe1e607…
07-11 21:02:04	Norway leading at halftime?	Yes	BUY	83	21¢	$18	0x3ba632…
07-06 19:23:25	Spain leading at halftime?	Yes	BUY	89	28¢	$25	0xddffad…
07-05 19:46:50	Will Norway win on 2026-07-05?	Yes	BUY	144	20¢	$29	0xd467fa…
06-30 15:11:34	Will Norway win on 2026-06-30?	Yes	BUY	54	46¢	$25	0x3c9e6a…
06-29 19:41:23	Germany leading at halftime?	Yes	BUY	31	57¢	$18	0x8336aa…
06-28 19:11:41	Will Canada win on 2026-06-28?	Yes	BUY	48	46¢	$22	0xa8362c…
06-27 22:07:35	Will Panama vs. England end in a draw?	Yes	BUY	65	24¢	$16	0xfc6671…
06-27 21:01:20	Croatia leading at halftime?	Yes	BUY	77	39¢	$30	0x15d4d1…
06-23 16:53:08	fifwc prt uzb 2026 06 23 first half team total away 0pt5	Over	BUY	50	20¢	$10	0x4ed1af…
06-20 18:33:19	fifwc ger civ 2026 06 20 spread home 2pt5	Germany	BUY	87	23¢	$20	0x7596d1…
06-15 20:03:19	Will Croatia win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	BUY	11,111	1¢	$100	0x66b779…
06-15 19:58:06	Will Austria win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	BUY	10,000	0¢	$50	0x0a1f91…
06-15 19:51:06	Will Austria win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	BUY	20,000	0¢	$100	0x7734b5…
05-16 23:02:51	Will Denmark be in the top 10 at Eurovision 2026?	No	SELL	57	0¢	$0	0x333f6b…
05-16 23:02:47	Will France be in the top 10 at Eurovision 2026?	Yes	SELL	31	0¢	$0	0x10c760…
05-16 23:02:44	Will Albania be in the top 10 at Eurovision 2026?	Yes	SELL	54	0¢	$0	0xfd3c07…
05-16 23:02:40	Will Moldova be in the top 5 at Eurovision 2026?	Yes	SELL	42	0¢	$0	0x082538…
05-16 21:35:28	Will Bulgaria win Eurovision 2026?	Yes	BUY	93	12¢	$11	0x3650fc…
05-16 21:33:04	Will Denmark be in the top 5 at Eurovision 2026?	No	BUY	21	71¢	$15	0x43c2ad…
05-16 21:31:45	Will Greece be in the top 5 at Eurovision 2026?	No	BUY	44	57¢	$25	0x203008…
05-16 21:17:12	Will Romania be in the top 5 at Eurovision 2026?	Yes	BUY	44	45¢	$20	0x3d05b4…
05-16 20:29:27	Will France be in the top 10 at Eurovision 2026?	Yes	BUY	31	64¢	$20	0xf00d53…
05-16 20:17:28	Will Denmark be in the top 10 at Eurovision 2026?	No	BUY	57	35¢	$20	0x33a78b…
05-16 20:16:18	Will Bulgaria be in the top 5 at Eurovision 2026?	Yes	BUY	49	61¢	$30	0x724ca4…
05-16 20:11:15	Will Albania be in the top 10 at Eurovision 2026?	Yes	BUY	54	37¢	$20	0xeb2c83…
05-16 19:14:21	Will Moldova be in the top 5 at Eurovision 2026?	Yes	BUY	42	24¢	$10	0xc4e364…
05-16 19:13:34	Will Moldova be in the top 10 at Eurovision 2026?	Yes	BUY	34	59¢	$20	0x4c30c5…
05-16 18:47:07	Will Finland win Eurovision 2026?	No	BUY	56	54¢	$30	0x0ef6ee…
04-10 11:24:37	will tisza win the national list vote in the 2026 hungarian parliamentary election by 9	No	BUY	88	57¢	$50	0xf9337f…