Wallet — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$276

Unrealized P&L

-$13

Hit rate

82.3%

Resolved

408

Trades

781

lifetime

Volume

$12.9K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$17

Open exposure

$39

6 positions

First seen

2026-07-03

last 09-15 05:51

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 63 days

Categories

Other

67% 77% -$328

Crypto

14% 82% -$51

Politics

12% 68% +$16

Sports

7% 88% +$75

Tech

1% 50% +$11

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

14 active days in 12wk • peak 50 trades/day

Open positions (6) Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Extended FDV above $150M one day after launch?	Yes	+20	$15	76¢	$15	+$0	07-09 18:39
Will no one leave the Trump Cabinet before 2027?	No	+20	$7	60¢	$12	+$5	09-14 07:21
Will no one leave the Trump Cabinet before 2027?	Yes	+20	$14	40¢	$8	-$6	09-14 07:23
will israeli forces withdraw from beyond the litani river by december 31	Yes	+35	$15	9¢	$3	-$12	07-08 07:20
nigel farage out as reform uk leader in 2026 20260622233131512	Yes	+5	$1	8¢	$0	-$1	07-12 08:39
Will Pete Buttigieg win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	No	+0	$0	98¢	$0	$0	07-07 21:37

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will the 10-year Treasury yield hit 5.0% before 2027?	11	$194	450	150	+300	Yes	-$14	09-12 23:30
trump declassifies new ufo files by july 15	8	$151	199	70	+129	Yes	-$12	07-10 13:00
Will Jordan Bardella be the National Rally’s candidate for the 2027 French Presidential election?	3	$110	70	70	+0	No	+$22	07-07 18:50
will the us announce a blockade on iran by july 31 20260622191116912	9	$99	188	93	+95	Yes	+$18	07-12 08:40
lol fox1 bro2 2026 08 07 game2	2	$95	50	50	+0	HANJIN BRION	+$5	08-07 11:53
us x iran effective ceasfire by august 31 20260715194822047	2	$95	50	50	+0	Yes	+$5	08-12 16:08
us x iran diplomatic meeting by august 15 2026	2	$95	50	50	+0	No	+$5	08-13 15:13
will ishowspeed attend cristiano ronaldos wedding 20260803185630256	2	$95	50	50	+0	No	+$5	08-12 03:43
israel x iran ceasefire continues through august 15 20260716224448969 246 815 987 693	2	$95	50	50	+0	Yes	+$5	08-15 00:23
Exact Score: SC Cambuur-Leeuwarden 1 - 2 SBV Excelsior?	2	$94	49	49	+0	No	+$4	08-07 18:48
israel x iran ceasefire continues through august 9 20260727170733638	2	$92	48	48	+0	Yes	+$3	08-09 13:08
atp giustin kym 2026 08 07	2	$92	48	48	+0	Jerome Kym	+$4	08-07 13:53
lol edg tes 2026 08 05 game1	2	$91	47	47	+0	Top Esports	+$3	08-05 13:38
wta sabalen zhang 2026 08 06	2	$91	47	47	+0	Aryna Sabalenka	+$3	08-07 00:43
Will an AI lab announce another Millennium Prize solution by September 30, 2026?	2	$75	100	100	+0	No	-$15	09-13 05:24
iran full airspace closure by august 31 20260625195254151 668	4	$65	43	43	+0	No	+$7	08-17 12:30
mlb tb oak 2026 08 11	2	$63	33	33	+0	Tampa Bay Rays	+$3	08-12 03:33
atp purtsel dodig 2026 08 14	2	$63	33	33	+0	Matej Dodig	+$3	08-14 14:03
cs2 lg6 ts7 2026 08 13 game2	2	$63	33	33	+0	Spirit	+$3	08-13 13:13
cs2 lg6 ts7 2026 08 13	2	$63	33	33	+0	Spirit	+$3	08-13 13:13
Will TSG Hoffenheim win on 2026-08-16?	2	$63	33	33	+0	No	+$3	08-16 12:53
mlb tor phi 2026 08 09	2	$63	33	33	+0	Philadelphia Phillies	+$3	08-09 21:08
israel closes its airspace by august 15	2	$63	33	33	+0	No	+$3	08-15 05:13
bitcoin above 64k on august 14 2026	2	$63	33	33	+0	No	+$3	08-14 13:43
lib ros cor 2026 08 13 total 3pt5	2	$63	33	33	+0	Under	+$3	08-14 02:08
will solana dip to 80 on july 7	3	$62	52	23	+29	Yes	-$17	07-08 01:31
mlb bal min 2026 08 12	2	$62	32	32	+0	Minnesota Twins	+$2	08-12 20:28
mlb cle det 2026 08 12	2	$62	32	32	+0	Cleveland Guardians	+$2	08-13 01:48
wta sonmez anisimo 2026 08 15	2	$62	32	32	+0	Amanda Anisimova	+$2	08-15 17:53
cs2 fal2 ast10 2026 08 13	2	$62	32	32	+0	Team Falcons	+$2	08-13 18:38

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
09-15 05:51:19	Will FC Altai be relegated from the 2026 Kazakhstan Premier League?	Yes	SELL	20	11¢	$2	0xbfde89…
09-15 05:51:16	Will NYC have between 2 and 3 inches of precipitation in September?	Yes	SELL	21	14¢	$3	0x04b800…
09-15 05:51:13	Will ISM Services PMI be between 57.0 and 57.9 in September?	Yes	SELL	20	16¢	$3	0xb854cf…
09-15 05:51:10	Will the US economy be overheating at the end of 2026?	No	SELL	11	35¢	$4	0x009a1f…
09-15 05:51:07	Will Deportivo Moquegua be relegated from the 2026 Peru Liga 1?	Yes	SELL	20	20¢	$4	0xb23bd6…
09-15 05:51:04	Will SC Austria Lustenau be relegated from the 2026-27 Austrian Bundesliga?	Yes	SELL	23	19¢	$4	0x3dcf54…
09-15 05:51:01	Will MFK Ružomberok be relegated from the 2026-27 Slovak Niké Liga?	Yes	SELL	20	24¢	$5	0x0efde2…
09-15 05:50:58	No change in Reserve Bank of Australia's interest rates at the November 2026 meeting?	No	SELL	20	26¢	$5	0xf208ab…
09-15 05:50:55	Will NK Radomlje be relegated from the 2026-27 Slovenian PrvaLiga?	Yes	SELL	20	28¢	$6	0x78885e…
09-15 05:50:52	Will HNK Gorica be relegated from the 2026-27 Croatian HNL?	Yes	SELL	20	29¢	$6	0x3ac92f…
09-15 05:50:49	Will Lyngby be relegated from the 2026-27 Denmark Superliga?	Yes	SELL	20	32¢	$6	0x643b2b…
09-15 05:50:46	Will Chornomorets Odesa be relegated from the 2026-27 Ukrainian Premier League?	Yes	SELL	20	35¢	$7	0x890794…
09-15 05:50:43	Will Ghazl El Mahalla be relegated from the 2026-27 Egypt Premier League?	Yes	SELL	20	39¢	$8	0x47669d…
09-15 05:50:39	Will OpenAI’s valuation be between $900B and $1.00T at the end of September 2026?	No	SELL	20	42¢	$8	0x62e1fd…
09-15 05:50:36	US-Canada diplomatic agreement to lower tariffs by October 31?	No	SELL	20	56¢	$11	0xcb7788…
09-14 20:31:49	Will the Reserve Bank of India make no change to the policy repo rate at the October meeting?	No	SELL	20	44¢	$9	0xbef36b…
09-14 20:06:40	Will the median home value in NYC be between $636,000 and $663,000 on September 30?	Yes	SELL	20	15¢	$3	0x5f6d52…
09-14 18:04:54	Will Silkeborg be relegated from the 2026-27 Denmark Superliga?	Yes	SELL	20	19¢	$4	0x320792…
09-14 17:50:01	Will Sønderjyske be relegated from the 2026-27 Denmark Superliga?	No	SELL	20	12¢	$2	0x1b2bfe…
09-14 17:33:01	Will Meta’s market capitalization be between $1.50T and $1.75T at the end of September 2026?	No	SELL	20	37¢	$7	0xedf7be…
09-14 16:24:46	Will OpenAI’s valuation be between $900B and $1.00T at the end of September 2026?	No	BUY	20	52¢	$10	0x56420b…
09-14 15:57:49	Will Aalesund be relegated from the 2026 Norway Eliteserien?	Yes	SELL	20	29¢	$6	0x72233b…
09-14 15:39:55	Will Jaguares be relegated from the 2026 Colombia Primera A?	Yes	SELL	1	40¢	$0	0xe3f965…
09-14 14:13:37	US-Canada diplomatic agreement to lower tariffs by October 31?	No	BUY	20	60¢	$12	0x93ade5…
09-14 12:48:28	Will Ján Danko win the 2026 Martin mayoral election?	Yes	SELL	20	15¢	$3	0x6e3087…
09-14 12:00:00	Will Japan's core-core CPI increase by between 2.0 and 2.4% in 2026?	No	SELL	1	43¢	$0	0xbd1066…
09-14 11:52:27	Will ISM Services PMI be between 57.0 and 57.9 in September?	Yes	BUY	20	27¢	$5	0x881ad6…
09-14 11:04:45	Will HNK Gorica be relegated from the 2026-27 Croatian HNL?	Yes	BUY	20	61¢	$12	0xeb09f2…
09-14 10:46:00	Will SB Energy's market cap be between $40B and $50B at market close on IPO day?	Yes	SELL	20	26¢	$5	0x48ec39…
09-14 08:58:04	Will SB Energy's market cap be between $40B and $50B at market close on IPO day?	Yes	BUY	20	54¢	$11	0x827cc4…
09-14 08:57:48	Will Grand Theft Auto VI win Best Game Direction at the 2026 Game Awards?	Yes	SELL	20	44¢	$9	0x3d9d47…
09-14 08:54:43	Will FC Irtysh Pavlodar be relegated from the 2026 Kazakhstan Premier League?	Yes	SELL	20	52¢	$10	0xd9eda7…
09-14 08:34:27	Will Sønderjyske be relegated from the 2026-27 Denmark Superliga?	No	BUY	20	34¢	$7	0xc4e3f5…
09-14 07:24:34	Will the Reserve Bank of India make no change to the policy repo rate at the October meeting?	No	BUY	20	46¢	$9	0xae5f35…
09-14 07:23:54	Will no one leave the Trump Cabinet before 2027?	Yes	BUY	20	71¢	$14	0x10276c…
09-14 07:21:52	Will no one leave the Trump Cabinet before 2027?	No	BUY	8	29¢	$2	0x05efdc…
09-14 07:21:49	Will no one leave the Trump Cabinet before 2027?	No	BUY	12	29¢	$4	0xe33ff4…
09-14 07:21:40	Jack Lowden announced as next James Bond?	Yes	SELL	6	46¢	$3	0x59b943…
09-14 07:13:43	Will no one leave the Trump Cabinet before 2027?	No	SELL	20	35¢	$7	0xda5e5e…
09-14 07:11:22	Will the Left Party (V) be in the next Swedish government?	No	SELL	10	63¢	$7	0xaa3392…
09-14 07:11:21	Will the Left Party (V) be in the next Swedish government?	No	SELL	10	63¢	$6	0xf6e72f…
09-14 06:48:18	Will Lyngby be relegated from the 2026-27 Denmark Superliga?	Yes	BUY	20	40¢	$8	0x6e66cb…
09-14 06:23:55	Will Japan's core-core CPI increase by between 2.0 and 2.4% in 2026?	No	SELL	15	43¢	$6	0x0f42f5…
09-14 06:00:37	Will Shimizu S-Pulse be relegated from the 2026-27 Japan J. League?	Yes	SELL	24	19¢	$5	0xdece15…
09-14 05:56:09	Will China’s CPI increase by between 0.7% and 0.8% over the 12 month period ending in September 2026?	No	SELL	20	47¢	$9	0x328249…
09-14 05:29:18	Will Meta’s market capitalization be between $1.50T and $1.75T at the end of September 2026?	No	BUY	20	42¢	$8	0x35e46f…
09-14 05:20:22	Will Japan's core-core CPI increase by between 2.0 and 2.4% in 2026?	No	SELL	2	43¢	$1	0xaba062…
09-14 05:18:42	Will China’s CPI increase by between 0.7% and 0.8% over the 12 month period ending in September 2026?	No	BUY	20	71¢	$14	0x8f2fd0…
09-14 05:15:03	Will Shimizu S-Pulse be relegated from the 2026-27 Japan J. League?	Yes	BUY	24	21¢	$5	0xbce951…
09-14 05:03:31	Will Lyngby be relegated from the 2026-27 Denmark Superliga?	No	SELL	20	55¢	$11	0xa809fb…
09-14 04:36:34	Will the Left Party (V) be in the next Swedish government?	No	BUY	20	73¢	$15	0x00e9e4…
09-14 03:40:00	Will SC Austria Lustenau be relegated from the 2026-27 Austrian Bundesliga?	Yes	BUY	23	22¢	$5	0x010570…
09-14 02:55:51	Will no one leave the Trump Cabinet before 2027?	No	BUY	20	42¢	$8	0x6094fa…
09-14 02:16:00	Jack Lowden announced as next James Bond?	Yes	BUY	6	44¢	$3	0xda2021…
09-14 01:24:06	Will the US economy be overheating at the end of 2026?	No	BUY	11	39¢	$4	0x244a17…
09-14 01:00:34	Will Lyngby be relegated from the 2026-27 Denmark Superliga?	No	BUY	20	57¢	$11	0x447b3b…
09-14 00:30:19	Will MiniMax have the best Image-to-Video AI at the end of October 2026?	No	SELL	20	54¢	$11	0xc3a042…
09-14 00:30:19	Will Casa Pia be relegated from the 2026-27 Primeira Liga?	Yes	SELL	20	58¢	$12	0x99a99d…
09-14 00:30:19	US-Canada diplomatic agreement to lower tariffs by October 31?	Yes	SELL	20	39¢	$8	0x231fe2…
09-14 00:30:18	Will JEF United Chiba be relegated from the 2026-27 Japan J. League?	Yes	SELL	20	58¢	$12	0xb6358d…
09-14 00:30:18	Will the Rhine River return to normal levels between October 1 and October 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	34	52¢	$17	0x8515e4…
09-14 00:30:10	Will Deportivo Moquegua be relegated from the 2026 Peru Liga 1?	Yes	BUY	20	27¢	$5	0x4386f9…
09-13 22:03:07	Will UMich Consumer Sentiment be between 46.0 and 48.9 in September?	No	SELL	20	30¢	$6	0x8c304d…
09-13 21:03:42	Will Ghazl El Mahalla be relegated from the 2026-27 Egypt Premier League?	Yes	BUY	20	45¢	$9	0xe3eb03…
09-13 18:09:58	Will Chornomorets Odesa be relegated from the 2026-27 Ukrainian Premier League?	Yes	BUY	20	43¢	$9	0x418a70…
09-13 17:35:21	Will NK Radomlje be relegated from the 2026-27 Slovenian PrvaLiga?	Yes	BUY	20	34¢	$7	0x5da841…
09-13 17:35:21	Will NK Radomlje be relegated from the 2026-27 Slovenian PrvaLiga?	No	SELL	20	65¢	$13	0x5da841…
09-13 17:12:48	Will MFK Ružomberok be relegated from the 2026-27 Slovak Niké Liga?	Yes	BUY	20	44¢	$9	0x1b0629…
09-13 16:38:00	Will JEF United Chiba be relegated from the 2026-27 Japan J. League?	Yes	BUY	20	62¢	$12	0x674768…
09-13 16:26:51	Will FC Irtysh Pavlodar be relegated from the 2026 Kazakhstan Premier League?	Yes	BUY	20	49¢	$10	0x9fad63…
09-13 16:25:46	Will FC Altai be relegated from the 2026 Kazakhstan Premier League?	Yes	BUY	20	53¢	$11	0xd9715d…
09-13 16:21:57	Will Silkeborg be relegated from the 2026-27 Denmark Superliga?	Yes	BUY	20	32¢	$6	0x113855…
09-13 16:03:54	Will Aalesund be relegated from the 2026 Norway Eliteserien?	Yes	BUY	20	55¢	$11	0x8302ad…
09-13 16:02:13	Will UMich Consumer Sentiment be between 46.0 and 48.9 in September?	No	BUY	20	36¢	$7	0xaa907e…
09-13 13:55:18	Will UMich Consumer Sentiment be between 46.0 and 48.9 in September?	Yes	SELL	20	38¢	$8	0x351bb6…
09-13 13:23:18	Will the median home value in NYC be between $636,000 and $663,000 on September 30?	Yes	BUY	20	40¢	$8	0x04b45c…
09-13 13:08:06	Will UMich Consumer Sentiment be between 46.0 and 48.9 in September?	Yes	BUY	20	67¢	$13	0x1acaa3…
09-13 12:30:40	Will NK Radomlje be relegated from the 2026-27 Slovenian PrvaLiga?	No	BUY	20	65¢	$13	0x39c7ac…
09-13 12:21:45	Will One Nation win the third-most seats in the next Victorian state election?	Yes	SELL	20	56¢	$11	0xc1b65a…
09-13 11:43:34	Will Japan's core-core CPI increase by less than or equal to 1.9% in 2026?	No	SELL	10	51¢	$5	0x397004…
09-13 10:35:09	Will Craig Hodge win the 2026 Coquitlam mayoral election?	No	SELL	20	27¢	$5	0x46689e…
09-13 10:21:58	Will Partizan be relegated from the 2026-27 Serbian SuperLiga?	Yes	SELL	21	11¢	$2	0x001c7c…
09-13 09:47:15	Will Grand Theft Auto VI win Best Game Direction at the 2026 Game Awards?	Yes	BUY	20	51¢	$10	0x1a521a…
09-13 09:00:36	Will Brazil's Q3 2026 GDP growth rate (QoQ) be between 0.0% and 0.2%?	No	SELL	20	63¢	$13	0x8ae6e9…
09-13 06:49:58	Will Partizan be relegated from the 2026-27 Serbian SuperLiga?	Yes	BUY	21	24¢	$5	0xd45210…
09-13 06:40:04	Will Jaguares be relegated from the 2026 Colombia Primera A?	Yes	SELL	15	40¢	$6	0x0d8e39…
09-13 06:33:12	No change in Reserve Bank of Australia's interest rates at the November 2026 meeting?	No	BUY	20	51¢	$10	0x229628…
09-13 06:00:36	Will Jaguares be relegated from the 2026 Colombia Primera A?	Yes	BUY	16	39¢	$6	0xb7f2ae…
09-13 05:49:52	Will Patrick Paquet win the next Vanier-Les Rivières Quebec National Assembly election?	Yes	SELL	20	21¢	$4	0x23fdbd…
09-13 05:38:22	Will Erzurumspor be relegated from the 2026-27 Süper Lig?	Yes	SELL	20	33¢	$7	0xcc96f9…
09-13 05:24:43	Will an AI lab announce another Millennium Prize solution by September 30, 2026?	Yes	SELL	100	30¢	$30	0xd922b5…
09-13 04:54:43	Will Brazil's Q3 2026 GDP growth rate (QoQ) be between 0.0% and 0.2%?	No	BUY	20	47¢	$9	0x13c17a…
09-13 04:49:27	Will Brazil's Q3 2026 GDP growth rate (QoQ) be between 0.0% and 0.2%?	Yes	SELL	40	30¢	$12	0x123216…
09-13 04:34:16	Will NYC have between 2 and 3 inches of precipitation in September?	Yes	BUY	20	24¢	$5	0x658ec0…
09-13 04:34:07	Will NYC have between 2 and 3 inches of precipitation in September?	Yes	BUY	1	24¢	$0	0xe277be…
09-13 04:33:15	Will Casa Pia be relegated from the 2026-27 Primeira Liga?	Yes	BUY	20	58¢	$12	0xb9e495…
09-13 03:45:22	Will US GDP growth in 2026 be between 2.0% and 2.5%?	No	BUY	20	34¢	$7	0x42152d…
09-13 03:44:12	Will US GDP growth in 2026 be between 2.0% and 2.5%?	Yes	BUY	20	63¢	$13	0xe5b165…
09-13 03:41:33	Will US GDP growth in 2026 be between 2.0% and 2.5%?	Yes	BUY	20	62¢	$12	0x58a5bc…
09-13 03:40:39	Will US GDP growth in 2026 be between 2.0% and 2.5%?	No	BUY	20	36¢	$7	0x116f33…