Frosty-Granola — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$22

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

97.5%

Resolved

Trades

lifetime

Volume

$965

lifetime

Avg / trade

$57

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-01-22

last 10-08 08:18

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 16 days

Categories

Other

49% 91% -$23

Politics

24% 100% +$1

Tech

16% 100% +$0

Crypto

10% 100% +$0

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

3 active days in 12wk • peak 1 trade/day

Open positions Resolved markets (17) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will SpaceX IPO by March 31, 2026?	1	$155	156	+156	No	+$0	03-24 02:36
us strikes iran by february 21 2026	1	$124	124	+124	No	+$0	02-22 03:24
bitcoin above 64k on march 6	1	$101	101	+101	Yes	+$0	03-06 08:41
Will Amazon have the best AI model at the end of May 2026?	1	$79	79	+79	No	+$0	05-05 01:05
Will Elon Musk buy Ryanair?	1	$63	63	+63	No	+$0	06-14 03:30
will the us next strike iran on february 3 2026 et	1	$60	60	+60	No	+$0	02-04 03:23
will there be more than 5 earthquakes of magnitude 6pt5 or higher worldwide by january 25	1	$50	50	+50	No	+$0	01-22 02:51
strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by july 15	1	$47	47	+47	No	+$0	07-15 02:47
Will there be at least 4000 measles cases in the U.S. in 2026?	1	$42	42	+42	Yes	+$0	10-08 08:18
Will S&P 500 (SPY) hit (HIGH) $810 in June?	1	$42	42	+42	No	+$0	06-14 03:41
Will Tencent have the best Chinese AI model at the end of June 2026?	1	$38	38	+38	No	+$0	06-14 03:30
Will Tencent have the best Chinese AI model at the end of July 2026?	1	$37	37	+37	No	+$0	07-15 02:48
Will Trump visit China by May 31?	1	$36	36	+36	Yes	+$0	05-12 23:26
Will Xiaomi have the best Chinese AI model at the end of August 2026?	1	$27	28	+28	No	+$0	08-17 07:58
meta above 570 on april 17 2026	1	$25	25	+25	Yes	+$0	04-17 02:22
Will Xiaomi have the best Chinese AI model at the end of September 2026?	1	$24	24	+24	Yes	-$24	09-11 02:30
will antnio jos seguro win the 2026 portugal presidential election	1	$15	15	+15	Yes	+$0	01-22 02:51

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-08 08:18:11	Will there be at least 4000 measles cases in the U.S. in 2026?	Yes	BUY	42	100¢	$42	0x35f6b1…
09-11 02:30:24	Will Xiaomi have the best Chinese AI model at the end of September 2026?	No	BUY	24	100¢	$24	0x3baad7…
08-17 07:58:03	Will Xiaomi have the best Chinese AI model at the end of August 2026?	No	BUY	28	100¢	$27	0x75e239…
07-15 02:48:16	Will Tencent have the best Chinese AI model at the end of July 2026?	No	BUY	37	100¢	$37	0x8a2efe…
07-15 02:47:50	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by july 15	No	BUY	47	100¢	$47	0x320f6b…
06-14 03:41:55	Will S&P 500 (SPY) hit (HIGH) $810 in June?	No	BUY	42	99¢	$42	0x073eba…
06-14 03:30:55	Will Elon Musk buy Ryanair?	No	BUY	63	100¢	$63	0xf19627…
06-14 03:30:34	Will Tencent have the best Chinese AI model at the end of June 2026?	No	BUY	38	100¢	$38	0x91493a…
05-12 23:26:07	Will Trump visit China by May 31?	Yes	BUY	36	100¢	$36	0xbfeb81…
05-05 01:05:32	Will Amazon have the best AI model at the end of May 2026?	No	BUY	79	100¢	$79	0x1ba424…
04-17 02:22:46	meta above 570 on april 17 2026	Yes	BUY	25	100¢	$25	0x1f9132…
03-24 02:36:03	Will SpaceX IPO by March 31, 2026?	No	BUY	156	100¢	$155	0x70d1f5…
03-06 08:41:43	bitcoin above 64k on march 6	Yes	BUY	101	100¢	$101	0xabe08d…
02-22 03:24:44	us strikes iran by february 21 2026	No	BUY	124	100¢	$124	0x658457…
02-04 03:23:34	will the us next strike iran on february 3 2026 et	No	BUY	60	100¢	$60	0xcf6268…
01-22 02:51:48	will antnio jos seguro win the 2026 portugal presidential election	Yes	BUY	15	97¢	$15	0xa9d65a…
01-22 02:51:06	will there be more than 5 earthquakes of magnitude 6pt5 or higher worldwide by january 25	No	BUY	50	99¢	$50	0x6f510f…