Serene-Unblinking — Polymarket

Realized P&L (90d)

-$220

Unrealized P&L

-$1

Hit rate

68.3%

Resolved (90d)

4,734

Trades (90d)

4,948

6,205 lifetime

Volume (90d)

$6.88K

$8.60K lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

3 positions

First seen

2026-05-07

last 10-29 17:30

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 81 days

Categories

Crypto

83% 60% -$465

Other

16% 62% -$83

Sports

1% 74% +$9

Politics

0% 62% -$2

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

60 active days in 12wk • peak 438 trades/day

Open positions (3) Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will Iliana Iotova win the next Bulgarian presidential election?	Yes	+2	$1	74¢	$1	+$0	10-25 18:40
Will Gadi Eizenkot receive the first mandate to form a government after the 2026 Israeli election?	Yes	+2	$1	58¢	$1	$0	10-27 17:44
Will Gadi Eizenkot be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	Yes	+2	$1	29¢	$1	-$1	10-27 13:53

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Fed rate hike in 2026?	10	$40	102	102	+0	Yes	-$1	05-07 22:51
Will Predict.fun launch a token by September 30, 2026?	10	$38	38	38	+0	No	-$2	05-07 22:54
Bitcoin Up or Down on May 11?	5	$33	10,047	47	+10,000	Down	-$4	05-11 16:10
Lakers vs. Thunder	4	$32	32	32	+0	Thunder	$0	05-07 22:52
US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by May 31?	9	$32	226	226	+0	No	-$5	05-07 22:54
XRP Up or Down - May 7, 5:30PM-5:35PM ET	4	$21	14	14	+0	Up	+$7	05-07 21:35
Dogecoin Up or Down - May 7, 5:30PM-5:35PM ET	4	$19	12	12	+0	Up	+$6	05-07 21:35
Will Apple (AAPL) hit (LOW) $264 in May?	5	$16	43	43	+0	No	-$2	05-07 22:54
XRP Up or Down - May 7, 7:50PM-7:55PM ET	8	$15	63	5	+58	Down	-$4	05-07 23:54
Solana Up or Down - May 7, 8:25PM-8:30PM ET	6	$14	10	10	+0	Down	+$2	05-08 00:27
Thunder vs. Lakers	4	$13	9	9	+0	Thunder	$0	05-07 22:51
bitcoin up or down september 17 2026 2pm et	3	$13	10	10	+0	Down	+$7	09-17 19:01
SOL Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-03 14:10 UTC	2	$12	46	0	+46	Down	+$8	08-03 14:13
Londrina EC vs. São Bernardo FC: O/U 3.5	4	$12	29	29	+0	Over	-$1	05-07 22:52
Ethereum Up or Down - May 7, 5:30PM-5:35PM ET	4	$11	20	15	+5	Down	-$3	05-07 21:32
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 5:30PM-5:35PM ET	4	$11	17	17	+0	Down	-$3	05-07 21:32
SOL Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-05 09:00 UTC	2	$11	26	0	+26	Down	+$2	08-05 09:02
Will Jesus Christ return before GTA VI?	3	$10	10	10	+0	cancelled	$0	05-08 05:27
DOGE Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-03 13:00 UTC	2	$10	38	0	+38	Down	+$0	08-03 13:04
ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-03 12:40 UTC	2	$10	20	0	+20	Up	+$0	08-03 12:43
SOL Up/Down 15m · 2026-09-30 05:00 UTC	2	$9	8	8	+0	Down	+$7	09-30 05:14
DOGE Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-06 18:55 UTC	2	$9	20	0	+20	Up	+$1	08-06 18:57
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-06 18:45 UTC	2	$9	30	0	+30	Down	+$0	08-06 18:49
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-07 04:35 UTC	2	$9	19	0	+19	Down	+$0	08-07 04:37
Will Flávio Bolsonaro finish in second place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	3	$9	7	5	+2	No	-$1	10-04 15:10
ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-05 08:55 UTC	2	$9	18	0	+18	Down	+$1	08-05 08:57
ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-03 13:45 UTC	2	$9	18	0	+18	Down	+$1	08-03 13:47
DOGE Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-07 04:40 UTC	2	$8	20	0	+20	Down	+$3	08-07 04:44
ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-05 13:45 UTC	2	$8	20	0	+20	Up	+$1	08-05 13:47
XRP Up or Down - May 7, 8:35PM-8:40PM ET	2	$8	5	5	+0	Down	+$1	05-08 00:38

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-29 17:30:23	Dogecoin Up or Down - October 29, 1:30PM-1:45PM ET	Down	BUY	2	54¢	$1	0xc41d23…
10-29 17:30:10	BNB Up or Down - October 29, 1:30PM-1:45PM ET	Down	BUY	2	51¢	$1	0x4cfd7d…
10-29 17:00:10	Hyperliquid Up or Down - October 29, 1:00PM-1:15PM ET	Up	BUY	2	49¢	$1	0x62c2ab…
10-29 16:45:25	Hyperliquid Up or Down - October 29, 12:45PM-1:00PM ET	Down	BUY	2	49¢	$1	0x24eb24…
10-29 16:45:13	Dogecoin Up or Down - October 29, 12:45PM-1:00PM ET	Down	BUY	2	47¢	$1	0x31a253…
10-29 15:30:13	BNB Up or Down - October 29, 11:30AM-11:45AM ET	Down	BUY	2	48¢	$1	0xf4f510…
10-29 14:45:11	BNB Up or Down - October 29, 10:45AM-11:00AM ET	Up	BUY	2	51¢	$1	0x639964…
10-29 14:30:10	Hyperliquid Up or Down - October 29, 10:30AM-10:45AM ET	Up	BUY	2	54¢	$1	0xb40201…
10-29 13:00:11	Hyperliquid Up or Down - October 29, 9:00AM-9:15AM ET	Up	BUY	2	51¢	$1	0xf736bc…
10-29 12:30:10	BNB Up or Down - October 29, 8:30AM-8:45AM ET	Up	BUY	3	43¢	$1	0x9d515c…
10-29 12:15:10	Hyperliquid Up or Down - October 29, 8:15AM-8:30AM ET	Up	BUY	2	50¢	$1	0x7b92ff…
10-29 10:00:11	Ethereum Up or Down - October 29, 6:00AM-6:15AM ET	Down	BUY	2	49¢	$1	0x7bcee5…
10-29 10:00:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 6:00AM-6:15AM ET	Down	BUY	2	50¢	$1	0x065403…
10-29 08:45:10	Ethereum Up or Down - October 29, 4:45AM-5:00AM ET	Up	BUY	2	51¢	$1	0xe8afc8…
10-29 08:30:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 4:30AM-4:45AM ET	Up	BUY	2	47¢	$1	0x1d9829…
10-29 08:00:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 4:00AM-4:15AM ET	Down	BUY	2	51¢	$1	0x221b3d…
10-29 07:30:14	Ethereum Up or Down - October 29, 3:30AM-3:35AM ET	Down	BUY	2	49¢	$1	0xed9ce8…
10-29 07:30:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 3:30AM-3:35AM ET	Down	BUY	2	50¢	$1	0xb9252d…
10-29 07:20:11	Ethereum Up or Down - October 29, 3:20AM-3:25AM ET	Up	BUY	2	57¢	$1	0x0000f2…
10-29 07:20:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 3:20AM-3:25AM ET	Up	BUY	2	56¢	$1	0x56b121…
10-29 06:00:28	Solana Up or Down - October 29, 2:00AM-2:15AM ET	Down	BUY	2	56¢	$1	0x8669e7…
10-29 06:00:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 2:00AM-2:15AM ET	Down	BUY	2	51¢	$1	0x97e3b9…
10-29 06:00:14	Ethereum Up or Down - October 29, 2:00AM-2:15AM ET	Down	BUY	2	49¢	$1	0x43e0ba…
10-29 06:00:10	BNB Up or Down - October 29, 2:00AM-2:15AM ET	Down	BUY	2	58¢	$1	0x0b2046…
10-29 05:55:19	Solana Up or Down - October 29, 1:55AM-2:00AM ET	Down	BUY	2	66¢	$1	0x0f4460…
10-29 05:55:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 1:55AM-2:00AM ET	Down	BUY	2	59¢	$1	0x11da1a…
10-29 00:45:29	XRP Up or Down - October 28, 8:45PM-9:00PM ET	Down	BUY	2	60¢	$1	0xb6e46d…
10-29 00:45:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 8:45PM-9:00PM ET	Down	BUY	2	55¢	$1	0x459e1a…
10-28 21:45:07	Counter-Strike: Vitality vs Natus Vincere (BO3) - PGL Masters Bucharest Playoffs	Vitality	BUY	2	73¢	$1	0x43c6a5…
10-28 21:38:55	Counter-Strike: FUT Esports vs Nemiga (BO3) - PGL Masters Bucharest Playoffs	FUT Esports	BUY	2	71¢	$1	0x94dc6a…
10-28 09:51:41	Knicks vs. Bulls	Knicks	BUY	2	71¢	$1	0x169528…
10-27 19:43:56	Counter-Strike: Envy vs GamerLegion (BO3) - Tesla Cup Group B	Envy	BUY	2	68¢	$1	0x804638…
10-27 17:44:33	Will FC Internazionale Milano win on 2026-10-28?	Yes	BUY	2	73¢	$1	0xc0b3fc…
10-27 17:44:11	Will Gadi Eizenkot receive the first mandate to form a government after the 2026 Israeli election?	Yes	BUY	2	69¢	$1	0xc9c26c…
10-27 17:43:50	Counter-Strike: Vitality vs Natus Vincere - Map 2 Winner	Vitality	BUY	2	68¢	$1	0xd28285…
10-27 13:55:50	Dota 2: BetBoom Team vs LEGION (BO1) - PARI Universe Group B	BetBoom Team	BUY	2	66¢	$1	0x195da6…
10-27 13:53:00	Will Gadi Eizenkot be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	Yes	BUY	2	67¢	$1	0x5873db…
10-27 13:52:45	Counter-Strike: TheMongolz vs Legacy (BO3) - PGL Masters Bucharest Group Stage	TheMongolz	BUY	2	74¢	$1	0xebed52…
10-27 12:58:18	Map Handicap: FURIA (-1.5) vs TYLOO (+1.5)	FURIA	BUY	2	68¢	$1	0x15b4bb…
10-27 09:37:17	Counter-Strike: MIBR vs Eternal Fire (BO3) - Stake Ranked Episode 5 Playoffs	MIBR	BUY	2	67¢	$1	0x321bb5…
10-27 08:49:45	Counter-Strike: Team Nemesis vs Brute (BO3) - NODWIN Clutch Series Playoffs	Team Nemesis	BUY	2	73¢	$1	0x293a4b…
10-27 06:48:48	Dota 2: Astra Invicta vs LEGION (BO1) - PARI Universe Group B	Astra Invicta	BUY	2	68¢	$1	0x942525…
10-27 05:08:14	Valorant: Wolves Esports vs World Sports Invictus Gaming (BO3) - VCT Threshold China Week 2	Wolves Esports	BUY	2	67¢	$1	0x787a1b…
10-27 04:49:08	Will Al Hilal SFC win on 2026-10-27?	Yes	BUY	2	70¢	$1	0x0fed3c…
10-27 04:07:42	Counter-Strike: Vitality vs Natus Vincere (BO3) - PGL Masters Bucharest Group Stage	Vitality	BUY	2	72¢	$1	0x0fb8aa…
10-27 03:59:18	Will Yashar win the most seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?	Yes	BUY	2	71¢	$1	0x1d7699…
10-26 19:45:47	Will AS Roma win on 2026-10-27?	Yes	BUY	2	74¢	$1	0xed9497…
10-26 19:30:26	Counter-Strike: Inner Circle Esports vs Team Nemesis (BO3) - Stake Ranked Episode 5 Playoffs	Inner Circle Esports	BUY	2	71¢	$1	0xa6b3a1…
10-26 14:50:23	Counter-Strike: Metizport vs Brute (BO3) - NODWIN Clutch Series Playoffs	Metizport	BUY	2	66¢	$1	0x9eaa6f…
10-26 13:55:30	Counter-Strike: Spirit vs FURIA (BO3) - PGL Masters Bucharest Group Stage	Spirit	BUY	2	68¢	$1	0x302795…
10-26 11:34:41	Counter-Strike: Nuclear TigeRES vs UNiTY esports (BO3) - NODWIN Clutch Series Playoffs	Nuclear TigeRES	BUY	2	69¢	$1	0x52ad7f…
10-26 10:27:20	Cowboys vs. Eagles	Cowboys	BUY	2	67¢	$1	0xa18f78…
10-26 10:13:59	Map Handicap: 9z (-1.5) vs TYLOO (+1.5)	9z	BUY	2	68¢	$1	0xb77540…
10-26 10:07:35	Dota 2: BetBoom Team vs LEGION (BO3) - PARI Universe Group B	BetBoom Team	BUY	2	73¢	$1	0x07ac6f…
10-26 05:55:29	Will Harry Kane win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	Yes	BUY	2	67¢	$1	0xdae552…
10-26 05:41:42	Paris Saint-Germain FC vs. Olympique Lyonnais: O/U 2.5	Over	BUY	2	71¢	$1	0x0a1ecf…
10-26 04:52:48	Will Sport Lisboa e Benfica win on 2026-10-26?	Yes	BUY	2	71¢	$1	0x6a59bd…
10-26 04:00:20	Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-10-25?	Yes	BUY	2	73¢	$1	0x71e8e6…
10-25 21:54:02	Counter-Strike: Vitality vs FUT Esports (BO3) - PGL Masters Bucharest Group Stage	Vitality	BUY	2	74¢	$1	0x47ce4b…
10-25 18:40:53	Will Iliana Iotova win the next Bulgarian presidential election?	Yes	BUY	2	73¢	$1	0xc23789…
10-25 13:20:50	Counter-Strike: MOUZ vs 9z (BO3) - PGL Masters Bucharest Group Stage	MOUZ	BUY	2	73¢	$1	0xdc6485…
10-25 10:03:59	LoL: Dplus KIA vs Movistar KOI - Game 1 Winner	Dplus KIA	BUY	2	72¢	$1	0x9eee67…
10-25 10:03:48	LoL: Dplus KIA vs Movistar KOI - Game 2 Winner	Dplus KIA	BUY	2	72¢	$1	0x003aa9…
10-25 09:09:29	Game Handicap: GEN (-1.5) vs LYON (+1.5)	Gen.G	BUY	2	71¢	$1	0x34bfd2…
10-25 08:22:48	Will Lula win the most votes in the second round of the Brazil presidential election from Amazonas?	Yes	BUY	2	73¢	$1	0x348b04…
10-25 08:16:41	FC Barcelona vs. Real Madrid CF: Both Teams to Score	Yes	BUY	2	74¢	$1	0x65865a…
10-25 04:48:09	LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs Invictus Gaming (BO1) - Worlds Group Stage	Hanwha Life Esports	BUY	2	73¢	$1	0x540472…
10-25 03:35:35	Pacers vs. Nets	Pacers	BUY	2	71¢	$1	0x9466c9…
10-25 03:01:30	Counter-Strike: Legacy vs DENDELE CS (BO3) - PGL Masters Bucharest Group Stage	Legacy	BUY	2	73¢	$1	0x1f4965…
10-24 23:59:35	Will Aleksandar Vučić – United Serbia win the most seats in the 2026 Serbian parliamentary election?	Yes	BUY	2	72¢	$1	0xb94a96…
10-24 22:06:57	Counter-Strike: FUT Esports vs Liquid (BO3) - PGL Masters Bucharest Group Stage	FUT Esports	BUY	2	71¢	$1	0x270ea4…
10-24 11:30:47	Will FC Internazionale Milano win on 2026-10-25?	Yes	BUY	2	73¢	$1	0x7d84a4…
10-24 05:39:30	LoL: Invictus Gaming vs Team Secret Whales (BO1) - Worlds Group Stage	Invictus Gaming	BUY	2	71¢	$1	0xa176f1…
10-24 05:32:38	LSU vs. Auburn	LSU	BUY	2	73¢	$1	0xb34f76…
10-24 02:27:14	Indiana vs. Michigan	Indiana	BUY	2	73¢	$1	0x478f4b…
10-24 02:27:00	Will Como 1907 win on 2026-10-24?	Yes	BUY	2	66¢	$1	0x76fb5e…
10-23 23:44:23	Will RB Leipzig win on 2026-10-24?	Yes	BUY	2	68¢	$1	0x356180…
10-23 23:09:17	Will SS Lazio win on 2026-10-24?	Yes	BUY	2	69¢	$1	0x96e2ae…
10-23 19:00:30	Counter-Strike: Legacy vs Nemiga (BO3) - PGL Masters Bucharest Group Stage	Legacy	BUY	2	69¢	$1	0x877989…
10-23 15:02:54	NC State vs. Stanford	NC State	BUY	2	73¢	$1	0xeed58b…
10-23 14:10:18	Spread: Warriors (-1.5)	Warriors	BUY	2	61¢	$1	0xe75ad4…
10-23 13:34:08	Spread: Trail Blazers (-6.5)	Trail Blazers	BUY	2	62¢	$1	0x521f84…
10-23 13:07:51	Valorant: KRÜ Blaze vs Gen.G GC (BO3) - VCT Game Changers Championship Playoffs	KRÜ Blaze	BUY	2	70¢	$1	0x989a83…
10-23 13:00:51	Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs TheMongolz (BO3) - PGL Masters Bucharest Group Stage	Aurora Gaming	BUY	2	72¢	$1	0x1d5629…
10-23 13:00:36	Counter-Strike: FUT Esports vs TYLOO (BO3) - PGL Masters Bucharest Group Stage	FUT Esports	BUY	2	79¢	$2	0x89959b…
10-23 12:54:02	Spread: Raptors (-5.5)	Raptors	BUY	2	62¢	$1	0x5ce771…
10-23 12:34:02	Spread: Raptors (-4.5)	Raptors	BUY	2	61¢	$1	0xee3145…
10-23 12:14:06	Spread: Trail Blazers (-4.5)	Trail Blazers	BUY	2	66¢	$1	0x24e660…
10-23 11:30:50	Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-10-24?	Yes	BUY	2	61¢	$1	0xb7ef0c…
10-23 10:44:59	Valorant: Team Liquid Brazil vs Gentle Mates GC (BO3) - VCT Game Changers Championship Playoffs	Team Liquid Brazil	BUY	2	64¢	$1	0x336aff…
10-23 10:44:51	Spread: Raptors (-3.5)	Raptors	BUY	2	62¢	$1	0x6b7164…
10-23 10:44:36	Spread: Raptors (-2.5)	Raptors	BUY	2	64¢	$1	0x2054a0…
10-23 10:44:24	Valorant: Eternal Fire vs Eintracht Frankfurt (BO3) - Project Blender Phase 2 Playoffs	Eternal Fire	BUY	2	64¢	$1	0x8d5c17…
10-23 10:44:08	Will Deportivo Alavés win on 2026-10-23?	Yes	BUY	2	61¢	$1	0x71301b…
10-23 10:00:57	Counter-Strike: Isurus vs Hacha Esports (BO3) - CCT South America Series 7 Playoffs	Isurus	BUY	2	68¢	$1	0xfbb0ad…
10-23 06:00:41	LoL: Team Liquid vs CTBC Flying Oyster (BO1) - Worlds Group Stage	Team Liquid	BUY	2	72¢	$1	0xa69390…
10-23 04:41:33	Will VfB Stuttgart win on 2026-10-23?	Yes	BUY	2	72¢	$1	0xcdce6e…
10-23 02:00:33	Trail Blazers vs. Kings	Trail Blazers	BUY	2	73¢	$1	0xc304fb…
10-23 01:00:47	LoL: Anyone's Legend vs Karmine Corp (BO1) - Worlds Group Stage	Anyone's Legend	BUY	2	66¢	$1	0x371741…
10-23 00:00:14	LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs Top Esports (BO1) - Worlds Group Stage	Hanwha Life Esports	BUY	2	79¢	$2	0x002f16…