Serene-Unblinking — Polymarket

Realized P&L (24h)

-$4

Unrealized P&L

+$1

Hit rate

70.6%

Resolved (24h)

175

Trades (24h)

191

7,462 lifetime

Volume (24h)

$239

$10.3K lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

1 position

First seen

2026-05-07

last 11-13 20:00

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 96 days

Categories

Crypto

85% 60% -$464

Other

13% 62% -$79

Sports

1% 74% +$9

Politics

0% 56% -$3

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

71 active days in 12wk • peak 438 trades/day

Open positions (1) Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Bitcoin Up or Down - November 13, 3:45PM-3:50PM ET	Up	—	+2	$1	98¢	$2	+$1	11-13 20:45

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Fed rate hike in 2026?	10	$40	102	102	+0	Yes	-$1	05-07 22:51
Will Predict.fun launch a token by September 30, 2026?	10	$38	38	38	+0	No	-$2	05-07 22:54
Bitcoin Up or Down on May 11?	5	$33	10,047	47	+10,000	Down	-$4	05-11 16:10
Lakers vs. Thunder	4	$32	32	32	+0	Thunder	$0	05-07 22:52
US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by May 31?	9	$32	226	226	+0	No	-$5	05-07 22:54
XRP Up or Down - May 7, 5:30PM-5:35PM ET	4	$21	14	14	+0	Up	+$7	05-07 21:35
Dogecoin Up or Down - May 7, 5:30PM-5:35PM ET	4	$19	12	12	+0	Up	+$6	05-07 21:35
Will Apple (AAPL) hit (LOW) $264 in May?	5	$16	43	43	+0	No	-$2	05-07 22:54
XRP Up or Down - May 7, 7:50PM-7:55PM ET	8	$15	63	5	+58	Down	-$4	05-07 23:54
Solana Up or Down - May 7, 8:25PM-8:30PM ET	6	$14	10	10	+0	Down	+$2	05-08 00:27
Thunder vs. Lakers	4	$13	9	9	+0	Thunder	$0	05-07 22:51
bitcoin up or down september 17 2026 2pm et	3	$13	10	10	+0	Down	+$7	09-17 19:01
SOL Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-03 14:10 UTC	2	$12	46	0	+46	Down	+$8	08-03 14:13
Londrina EC vs. São Bernardo FC: O/U 3.5	4	$12	29	29	+0	Over	-$1	05-07 22:52
Ethereum Up or Down - May 7, 5:30PM-5:35PM ET	4	$11	20	15	+5	Down	-$3	05-07 21:32
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 5:30PM-5:35PM ET	4	$11	17	17	+0	Down	-$3	05-07 21:32
SOL Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-05 09:00 UTC	2	$11	26	0	+26	Down	+$2	08-05 09:02
Will Jesus Christ return before GTA VI?	3	$10	10	10	+0	cancelled	$0	05-08 05:27
DOGE Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-03 13:00 UTC	2	$10	38	0	+38	Down	+$0	08-03 13:04
ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-03 12:40 UTC	2	$10	20	0	+20	Up	+$0	08-03 12:43
SOL Up/Down 15m · 2026-09-30 05:00 UTC	2	$9	8	8	+0	Down	+$7	09-30 05:14
Bitcoin Up or Down - November 6, 12:45PM-1:00PM ET	2	$9	6	6	+0	Up	+$3	11-06 17:58
DOGE Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-06 18:55 UTC	2	$9	20	0	+20	Up	+$1	08-06 18:57
Ethereum Up or Down - November 6, 1:45PM-2:00PM ET	3	$9	6	6	+0	Down	+$3	11-06 18:59
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-06 18:45 UTC	2	$9	30	0	+30	Down	+$0	08-06 18:49
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-07 04:35 UTC	2	$9	19	0	+19	Down	+$0	08-07 04:37
Will Flávio Bolsonaro finish in second place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	3	$9	7	5	+2	No	-$1	10-04 15:10
ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-05 08:55 UTC	2	$9	18	0	+18	Down	+$1	08-05 08:57
ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-03 13:45 UTC	2	$9	18	0	+18	Down	+$1	08-03 13:47
DOGE Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-07 04:40 UTC	2	$8	20	0	+20	Down	+$3	08-07 04:44

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
11-13 20:45:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 13, 3:45PM-3:50PM ET	Up	BUY	2	69¢	$1	0x302f1a…
11-13 20:35:04	Ethereum Up or Down - November 13, 3:30PM-3:45PM ET	Down	BUY	2	91¢	$2	0xeaf96c…
11-13 20:25:39	Dogecoin Up or Down - November 13, 3:25PM-3:30PM ET	Down	BUY	2	72¢	$1	0x75e708…
11-13 20:20:36	Dogecoin Up or Down - November 13, 3:20PM-3:25PM ET	Down	BUY	2	69¢	$1	0xf4a70a…
11-13 20:19:33	BNB Up or Down - November 13, 3:15PM-3:30PM ET	Up	BUY	1	90¢	$1	0xebe6e3…
11-13 20:15:33	Dogecoin Up or Down - November 13, 3:15PM-3:20PM ET	Up	BUY	1	75¢	$1	0x57c7d4…
11-13 20:10:31	XRP Up or Down - November 13, 3:10PM-3:15PM ET	Down	BUY	2	73¢	$1	0x273ac2…
11-13 20:05:43	XRP Up or Down - November 13, 3:05PM-3:10PM ET	Up	BUY	2	65¢	$1	0xf86376…
11-13 20:01:36	Ethereum Up or Down - November 13, 3:00PM-3:15PM ET	Down	BUY	2	74¢	$1	0xb62e04…
11-13 20:00:39	Solana Up or Down - November 13, 3:00PM-3:05PM ET	Down	BUY	2	69¢	$1	0xb80854…
11-13 19:47:13	XRP Up or Down - November 13, 2:45PM-3:00PM ET	Down	BUY	2	75¢	$2	0xeefe4f…
11-13 19:40:43	Dogecoin Up or Down - November 13, 2:40PM-2:45PM ET	Up	BUY	2	71¢	$1	0xde0e26…
11-13 19:35:34	Dogecoin Up or Down - November 13, 2:35PM-2:40PM ET	Down	BUY	2	62¢	$1	0x3eae77…
11-13 19:25:31	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 13, 2:25PM-2:30PM ET	Up	BUY	2	72¢	$1	0x50906b…
11-13 19:15:27	Ethereum Up or Down - November 13, 2:15PM-2:20PM ET	Up	BUY	2	79¢	$2	0xdb561c…
11-13 19:01:34	Ethereum Up or Down - November 13, 2:00PM-2:15PM ET	Down	BUY	2	77¢	$2	0x811580…
11-13 19:00:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 13, 2:00PM-2:05PM ET	Down	BUY	2	77¢	$2	0x2a1757…
11-13 18:50:27	Dogecoin Up or Down - November 13, 1:50PM-1:55PM ET	Down	BUY	2	65¢	$1	0xaaae4d…
11-13 18:48:54	Solana Up or Down - November 13, 1:45PM-2:00PM ET	Up	BUY	1	90¢	$1	0x793cb0…
11-13 18:45:36	Dogecoin Up or Down - November 13, 1:45PM-1:50PM ET	Up	BUY	2	68¢	$1	0x9a7cbf…
11-13 18:36:13	XRP Up or Down - November 13, 1:30PM-1:45PM ET	Up	BUY	1	90¢	$1	0xba05db…
11-13 18:35:22	XRP Up or Down - November 13, 1:35PM-1:40PM ET	Up	BUY	2	70¢	$1	0x3fcc65…
11-13 18:21:22	BNB Up or Down - November 13, 1:15PM-1:30PM ET	Up	BUY	1	90¢	$1	0x6b8597…
11-13 18:15:28	Hyperliquid Up or Down - November 13, 1:15PM-1:20PM ET	Up	BUY	2	69¢	$1	0x48b4de…
11-13 18:10:34	XRP Up or Down - November 13, 1:10PM-1:15PM ET	Up	BUY	1	74¢	$1	0x68ad51…
11-13 18:05:39	Ethereum Up or Down - November 13, 1:05PM-1:10PM ET	Up	BUY	2	66¢	$1	0x0097d4…
11-13 17:50:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 13, 12:50PM-12:55PM ET	Down	BUY	2	69¢	$1	0xe2f861…
11-13 17:35:22	XRP Up or Down - November 13, 12:35PM-12:40PM ET	Up	BUY	2	73¢	$1	0x797eb6…
11-13 17:17:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 13, 12:15PM-12:30PM ET	Down	BUY	2	70¢	$1	0x58968a…
11-13 17:15:34	Solana Up or Down - November 13, 12:15PM-12:20PM ET	Down	BUY	2	74¢	$1	0x255e1b…
11-13 17:10:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 13, 12:10PM-12:15PM ET	Up	BUY	2	66¢	$1	0xa39963…
11-13 17:00:22	Solana Up or Down - November 13, 12:00PM-12:05PM ET	Down	BUY	2	72¢	$1	0xab0bef…
11-13 16:30:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 13, 11:30AM-11:35AM ET	Down	BUY	2	68¢	$1	0x608e3b…
11-13 16:20:34	Ethereum Up or Down - November 13, 11:20AM-11:25AM ET	Down	BUY	2	65¢	$1	0xf36d36…
11-13 16:18:46	Ethereum Up or Down - November 13, 11:15AM-11:30AM ET	Down	BUY	2	91¢	$2	0x51b360…
11-13 16:18:31	Ethereum Up or Down - November 13, 11:15AM-11:30AM ET	Down	BUY	2	91¢	$2	0xf5c279…
11-13 16:10:40	Solana Up or Down - November 13, 11:10AM-11:15AM ET	Down	BUY	2	74¢	$1	0x1cf837…
11-13 16:04:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 13, 11:00AM-11:15AM ET	Down	BUY	2	91¢	$2	0x7241d0…
11-13 16:00:31	Solana Up or Down - November 13, 11:00AM-11:05AM ET	Down	BUY	2	64¢	$1	0x3bf353…
11-13 15:55:30	Ethereum Up or Down - November 13, 10:55AM-11:00AM ET	Down	BUY	2	67¢	$1	0xa2954a…
11-13 15:50:37	XRP Up or Down - November 13, 10:50AM-10:55AM ET	Up	BUY	2	70¢	$1	0x48ddf6…
11-13 15:48:43	Solana Up or Down - November 13, 10:45AM-11:00AM ET	Up	BUY	2	91¢	$2	0x1c37a5…
11-13 15:45:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 13, 10:45AM-10:50AM ET	Up	BUY	2	67¢	$1	0x91985d…
11-13 15:40:24	Solana Up or Down - November 13, 10:40AM-10:45AM ET	Down	BUY	2	67¢	$1	0x4c0b09…
11-13 15:35:58	XRP Up or Down - November 13, 10:30AM-10:45AM ET	Down	BUY	1	92¢	$1	0x608753…
11-13 15:35:34	Solana Up or Down - November 13, 10:35AM-10:40AM ET	Down	BUY	2	66¢	$1	0x1d8e87…
11-13 15:30:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 13, 10:30AM-10:35AM ET	Down	BUY	1	75¢	$1	0x91d5b2…
11-13 15:30:24	XRP Up or Down - November 13, 10:30AM-10:35AM ET	Down	BUY	2	76¢	$1	0x189a83…
11-13 15:25:42	XRP Up or Down - November 13, 10:25AM-10:30AM ET	Up	BUY	2	68¢	$1	0x221990…
11-13 15:20:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 13, 10:20AM-10:25AM ET	Down	BUY	2	69¢	$1	0x96bf2f…
11-13 15:17:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 13, 10:15AM-10:30AM ET	Up	BUY	2	70¢	$1	0xa2f22b…
11-13 15:10:46	Solana Up or Down - November 13, 10:10AM-10:15AM ET	Down	BUY	1	85¢	$1	0xbd2395…
11-13 15:03:36	Solana Up or Down - November 13, 10:00AM-10:15AM ET	Down	BUY	1	92¢	$1	0x6b62d1…
11-13 15:00:25	Solana Up or Down - November 13, 10:00AM-10:05AM ET	Down	BUY	2	66¢	$1	0x472a56…
11-13 14:50:43	Solana Up or Down - November 13, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET	Down	BUY	2	68¢	$1	0x7097d1…
11-13 14:50:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 13, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET	Down	BUY	2	70¢	$1	0x299be3…
11-13 14:50:12	Solana Up or Down - November 13, 9:45AM-10:00AM ET	Down	BUY	2	89¢	$2	0x558d26…
11-13 14:49:54	Solana Up or Down - November 13, 9:45AM-10:00AM ET	Down	BUY	1	90¢	$1	0xc95616…
11-13 14:45:43	Solana Up or Down - November 13, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET	Down	BUY	2	71¢	$1	0xcb72ef…
11-13 14:35:58	Ethereum Up or Down - November 13, 9:35AM-9:40AM ET	Down	BUY	1	90¢	$1	0xff92c9…
11-13 14:35:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 13, 9:35AM-9:40AM ET	Down	BUY	2	70¢	$1	0x7aaef7…
11-13 14:30:51	Ethereum Up or Down - November 13, 9:30AM-9:35AM ET	Up	BUY	1	78¢	$1	0xc73311…
11-13 14:30:36	Solana Up or Down - November 13, 9:30AM-9:35AM ET	Up	BUY	2	67¢	$1	0x771ea9…
11-13 14:25:33	XRP Up or Down - November 13, 9:25AM-9:30AM ET	Down	BUY	2	69¢	$1	0x56d44d…
11-13 14:25:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 13, 9:15AM-9:30AM ET	Down	BUY	2	73¢	$1	0x22fec1…
11-13 14:20:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 13, 9:20AM-9:25AM ET	Down	BUY	2	67¢	$1	0x86c89d…
11-13 14:10:55	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 13, 9:10AM-9:15AM ET	Up	BUY	2	67¢	$1	0xf00abb…
11-13 14:05:30	XRP Up or Down - November 13, 9:05AM-9:10AM ET	Down	BUY	2	68¢	$1	0xac4159…
11-13 13:51:21	Solana Up or Down - November 13, 8:45AM-9:00AM ET	Down	BUY	2	89¢	$2	0x5ce312…
11-13 13:50:46	Solana Up or Down - November 13, 8:50AM-8:55AM ET	Down	BUY	2	63¢	$1	0x2bfc16…
11-13 13:45:33	XRP Up or Down - November 13, 8:45AM-8:50AM ET	Down	BUY	2	69¢	$1	0x24644d…
11-13 13:33:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 13, 8:30AM-8:45AM ET	Up	BUY	1	92¢	$1	0xc23170…
11-13 13:25:36	Solana Up or Down - November 13, 8:25AM-8:30AM ET	Up	BUY	2	66¢	$1	0x92713d…
11-13 13:20:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 13, 8:20AM-8:25AM ET	Up	BUY	2	70¢	$1	0x008a54…
11-13 13:15:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 13, 8:15AM-8:20AM ET	Down	BUY	2	71¢	$1	0xf69d8a…
11-13 12:55:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 13, 7:55AM-8:00AM ET	Up	BUY	2	72¢	$1	0x3e8a32…
11-13 12:50:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 13, 7:50AM-7:55AM ET	Down	BUY	2	63¢	$1	0x081b9a…
11-13 12:45:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 13, 7:45AM-7:50AM ET	Down	BUY	2	64¢	$1	0xfb6a07…
11-13 12:35:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 13, 7:35AM-7:40AM ET	Up	BUY	2	68¢	$1	0x2899f5…
11-13 12:30:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 13, 7:30AM-7:35AM ET	Up	BUY	2	69¢	$1	0xeeaa55…
11-13 12:21:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 13, 7:15AM-7:30AM ET	Down	BUY	2	89¢	$2	0x37c9c4…
11-13 12:20:40	Ethereum Up or Down - November 13, 7:20AM-7:25AM ET	Down	BUY	2	71¢	$1	0xfa7603…
11-13 12:20:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 13, 7:20AM-7:25AM ET	Down	BUY	2	67¢	$1	0xf0969f…
11-13 12:15:22	Solana Up or Down - November 13, 7:15AM-7:20AM ET	Up	BUY	2	64¢	$1	0x728dd5…
11-13 12:10:40	Ethereum Up or Down - November 13, 7:10AM-7:15AM ET	Down	BUY	2	74¢	$1	0xb7497a…
11-13 12:05:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 13, 7:05AM-7:10AM ET	Down	BUY	2	72¢	$1	0xa65c03…
11-13 12:05:09	XRP Up or Down - November 13, 7:00AM-7:15AM ET	Up	BUY	2	91¢	$2	0x190e2a…
11-13 12:00:40	Ethereum Up or Down - November 13, 7:00AM-7:05AM ET	Up	BUY	2	72¢	$1	0xbd65e3…
11-13 12:00:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 13, 7:00AM-7:05AM ET	Up	BUY	2	77¢	$2	0x15e7ac…
11-13 11:45:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 13, 6:45AM-6:50AM ET	Up	BUY	2	68¢	$1	0xd6c605…
11-13 11:40:28	Ethereum Up or Down - November 13, 6:40AM-6:45AM ET	Up	BUY	2	69¢	$1	0xee1b86…
11-13 11:35:43	Ethereum Up or Down - November 13, 6:35AM-6:40AM ET	Up	BUY	2	71¢	$1	0x08eecc…
11-13 11:30:33	XRP Up or Down - November 13, 6:30AM-6:35AM ET	Up	BUY	2	69¢	$1	0xd5f53a…
11-13 11:25:19	Ethereum Up or Down - November 13, 6:25AM-6:30AM ET	Down	BUY	2	68¢	$1	0x1f4f3f…
11-13 11:20:42	XRP Up or Down - November 13, 6:20AM-6:25AM ET	Down	BUY	2	68¢	$1	0xce0da7…
11-13 11:05:37	XRP Up or Down - November 13, 6:00AM-6:15AM ET	Down	BUY	2	93¢	$2	0x270f98…
11-13 11:00:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 13, 6:00AM-6:05AM ET	Down	BUY	2	70¢	$1	0x4dabf8…
11-13 10:50:37	Solana Up or Down - November 13, 5:50AM-5:55AM ET	Up	BUY	2	73¢	$1	0xdbacad…
11-13 10:40:25	Solana Up or Down - November 13, 5:40AM-5:45AM ET	Down	BUY	2	69¢	$1	0x523e78…
11-13 10:35:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 13, 5:35AM-5:40AM ET	Down	BUY	2	67¢	$1	0x4d52a0…