Serene-Unblinking — Polymarket

Realized P&L (24h)

-$5

Unrealized P&L

-$1

Hit rate

71.4%

Resolved (24h)

185

Trades (24h)

200

7,538 lifetime

Volume (24h)

$251

$10.4K lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

1 position

First seen

2026-05-07

last 11-14 03:55

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 97 days

Categories

Crypto

85% 60% -$466

Other

13% 62% -$79

Sports

1% 74% +$9

Politics

0% 56% -$3

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

72 active days in 12wk • peak 438 trades/day

Open positions (1) Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
BNB Up or Down - November 13, 11:45PM-11:50PM ET	Down	—	+2	$1	2¢	$0	-$1	11-14 04:45

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Fed rate hike in 2026?	10	$40	102	102	+0	Yes	-$1	05-07 22:51
Will Predict.fun launch a token by September 30, 2026?	10	$38	38	38	+0	No	-$2	05-07 22:54
Bitcoin Up or Down on May 11?	5	$33	10,047	47	+10,000	Down	-$4	05-11 16:10
Lakers vs. Thunder	4	$32	32	32	+0	Thunder	$0	05-07 22:52
US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by May 31?	9	$32	226	226	+0	No	-$5	05-07 22:54
XRP Up or Down - May 7, 5:30PM-5:35PM ET	4	$21	14	14	+0	Up	+$7	05-07 21:35
Dogecoin Up or Down - May 7, 5:30PM-5:35PM ET	4	$19	12	12	+0	Up	+$6	05-07 21:35
Will Apple (AAPL) hit (LOW) $264 in May?	5	$16	43	43	+0	No	-$2	05-07 22:54
XRP Up or Down - May 7, 7:50PM-7:55PM ET	8	$15	63	5	+58	Down	-$4	05-07 23:54
Solana Up or Down - May 7, 8:25PM-8:30PM ET	6	$14	10	10	+0	Down	+$2	05-08 00:27
Thunder vs. Lakers	4	$13	9	9	+0	Thunder	$0	05-07 22:51
bitcoin up or down september 17 2026 2pm et	3	$13	10	10	+0	Down	+$7	09-17 19:01
SOL Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-03 14:10 UTC	2	$12	46	0	+46	Down	+$8	08-03 14:13
Londrina EC vs. São Bernardo FC: O/U 3.5	4	$12	29	29	+0	Over	-$1	05-07 22:52
Ethereum Up or Down - May 7, 5:30PM-5:35PM ET	4	$11	20	15	+5	Down	-$3	05-07 21:32
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 5:30PM-5:35PM ET	4	$11	17	17	+0	Down	-$3	05-07 21:32
SOL Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-05 09:00 UTC	2	$11	26	0	+26	Down	+$2	08-05 09:02
Will Jesus Christ return before GTA VI?	3	$10	10	10	+0	cancelled	$0	05-08 05:27
DOGE Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-03 13:00 UTC	2	$10	38	0	+38	Down	+$0	08-03 13:04
ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-03 12:40 UTC	2	$10	20	0	+20	Up	+$0	08-03 12:43
SOL Up/Down 15m · 2026-09-30 05:00 UTC	2	$9	8	8	+0	Down	+$7	09-30 05:14
Bitcoin Up or Down - November 6, 12:45PM-1:00PM ET	2	$9	6	6	+0	Up	+$3	11-06 17:58
DOGE Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-06 18:55 UTC	2	$9	20	0	+20	Up	+$1	08-06 18:57
Ethereum Up or Down - November 6, 1:45PM-2:00PM ET	3	$9	6	6	+0	Down	+$3	11-06 18:59
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-06 18:45 UTC	2	$9	30	0	+30	Down	+$0	08-06 18:49
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-07 04:35 UTC	2	$9	19	0	+19	Down	+$0	08-07 04:37
Will Flávio Bolsonaro finish in second place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	3	$9	7	5	+2	No	-$1	10-04 15:10
ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-05 08:55 UTC	2	$9	18	0	+18	Down	+$1	08-05 08:57
ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-03 13:45 UTC	2	$9	18	0	+18	Down	+$1	08-03 13:47
DOGE Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-07 04:40 UTC	2	$8	20	0	+20	Down	+$3	08-07 04:44

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
11-14 04:45:22	BNB Up or Down - November 13, 11:45PM-11:50PM ET	Down	BUY	2	66¢	$1	0x1161f6…
11-14 04:35:37	Solana Up or Down - November 13, 11:35PM-11:40PM ET	Up	BUY	2	70¢	$1	0x88a31b…
11-14 04:35:22	BNB Up or Down - November 13, 11:35PM-11:40PM ET	Up	BUY	2	69¢	$1	0xd4345d…
11-14 04:20:28	XRP Up or Down - November 13, 11:20PM-11:25PM ET	Down	BUY	2	70¢	$1	0x183ff7…
11-14 04:15:31	BNB Up or Down - November 13, 11:15PM-11:20PM ET	Down	BUY	2	73¢	$1	0x129e91…
11-14 04:05:31	Ethereum Up or Down - November 13, 11:05PM-11:10PM ET	Up	BUY	2	72¢	$1	0xcb93ed…
11-14 04:00:34	Solana Up or Down - November 13, 11:00PM-11:05PM ET	Down	BUY	2	69¢	$1	0x98b7fd…
11-14 04:00:22	Dogecoin Up or Down - November 13, 11:00PM-11:05PM ET	Down	BUY	2	70¢	$1	0x734236…
11-14 03:55:43	Dogecoin Up or Down - November 13, 10:55PM-11:00PM ET	Down	BUY	2	70¢	$1	0x97eee3…
11-14 03:55:32	XRP Up or Down - November 13, 10:55PM-11:00PM ET	Down	BUY	2	77¢	$2	0xb6f20e…
11-14 03:50:40	Hyperliquid Up or Down - November 13, 10:50PM-10:55PM ET	Down	BUY	2	65¢	$1	0x021ac4…
11-14 03:47:04	Solana Up or Down - November 13, 10:45PM-11:00PM ET	Up	BUY	2	71¢	$1	0xc3099b…
11-14 03:45:22	Dogecoin Up or Down - November 13, 10:45PM-10:50PM ET	Down	BUY	2	67¢	$1	0xc6f477…
11-14 03:30:34	Hyperliquid Up or Down - November 13, 10:30PM-10:35PM ET	Down	BUY	2	86¢	$2	0xa6be31…
11-14 03:25:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 13, 10:25PM-10:30PM ET	Up	BUY	2	71¢	$1	0x4e5e1e…
11-14 03:20:40	BNB Up or Down - November 13, 10:20PM-10:25PM ET	Down	BUY	2	68¢	$1	0x400640…
11-14 03:20:22	Hyperliquid Up or Down - November 13, 10:20PM-10:25PM ET	Up	BUY	2	68¢	$1	0xa1c8e8…
11-14 03:15:26	Hyperliquid Up or Down - November 13, 10:15PM-10:20PM ET	Down	BUY	2	70¢	$1	0x38fabb…
11-14 02:55:28	Solana Up or Down - November 13, 9:55PM-10:00PM ET	Down	BUY	2	68¢	$1	0xd35438…
11-14 02:45:34	BNB Up or Down - November 13, 9:45PM-9:50PM ET	Up	BUY	1	71¢	$0	0xd87ac5…
11-14 02:35:43	BNB Up or Down - November 13, 9:35PM-9:40PM ET	Down	BUY	2	63¢	$1	0x5253d4…
11-14 02:30:31	Solana Up or Down - November 13, 9:30PM-9:35PM ET	Up	BUY	2	65¢	$1	0xb17822…
11-14 02:25:29	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 13, 9:25PM-9:30PM ET	Up	BUY	2	73¢	$1	0x3880e3…
11-14 02:00:35	BNB Up or Down - November 13, 9:00PM-9:05PM ET	Up	BUY	2	74¢	$1	0x1bd08a…
11-14 02:00:25	XRP Up or Down - November 13, 9:00PM-9:05PM ET	Up	BUY	2	71¢	$1	0xc873a5…
11-14 01:55:26	BNB Up or Down - November 13, 8:55PM-9:00PM ET	Down	BUY	2	72¢	$1	0xe64ee8…
11-14 01:50:23	Hyperliquid Up or Down - November 13, 8:50PM-8:55PM ET	Down	BUY	2	70¢	$1	0x361280…
11-14 01:40:43	Hyperliquid Up or Down - November 13, 8:40PM-8:45PM ET	Up	BUY	2	72¢	$1	0xae1d1f…
11-14 01:40:26	BNB Up or Down - November 13, 8:40PM-8:45PM ET	Down	BUY	2	72¢	$1	0x8f6d62…
11-14 01:25:20	Solana Up or Down - November 13, 8:25PM-8:30PM ET	Up	BUY	2	76¢	$1	0x26b66c…
11-14 01:20:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 13, 8:20PM-8:25PM ET	Down	BUY	2	68¢	$1	0x6c44ca…
11-14 01:20:22	Hyperliquid Up or Down - November 13, 8:20PM-8:25PM ET	Down	BUY	2	65¢	$1	0xeb248e…
11-14 01:15:34	BNB Up or Down - November 13, 8:15PM-8:20PM ET	Up	BUY	2	69¢	$1	0xcacca6…
11-14 01:10:21	Solana Up or Down - November 13, 8:10PM-8:15PM ET	Up	BUY	2	69¢	$1	0x36f994…
11-14 01:05:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 13, 8:05PM-8:10PM ET	Up	BUY	2	71¢	$1	0xd2285c…
11-14 01:01:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 13, 8:00PM-8:15PM ET	Down	BUY	2	74¢	$1	0xcb5df4…
11-14 01:00:22	Dogecoin Up or Down - November 13, 8:00PM-8:05PM ET	Down	BUY	2	73¢	$1	0x998a71…
11-14 01:00:21	Ethereum Up or Down - November 13, 8:00PM-8:05PM ET	Down	BUY	2	77¢	$2	0xd8d61f…
11-14 00:50:22	BNB Up or Down - November 13, 7:50PM-7:55PM ET	Down	BUY	2	65¢	$1	0xb201ef…
11-14 00:47:04	Ethereum Up or Down - November 13, 7:45PM-8:00PM ET	Up	BUY	2	71¢	$1	0x10d0d2…
11-14 00:45:27	BNB Up or Down - November 13, 7:45PM-7:50PM ET	Down	BUY	2	68¢	$1	0xd319c6…
11-14 00:35:25	Ethereum Up or Down - November 13, 7:35PM-7:40PM ET	Up	BUY	2	66¢	$1	0xf07d21…
11-14 00:30:30	XRP Up or Down - November 13, 7:30PM-7:35PM ET	Up	BUY	2	69¢	$1	0x7c7eb2…
11-14 00:20:42	Dogecoin Up or Down - November 13, 7:20PM-7:25PM ET	Up	BUY	2	67¢	$1	0x0fe6ad…
11-14 00:20:22	Ethereum Up or Down - November 13, 7:20PM-7:25PM ET	Up	BUY	2	69¢	$1	0xa973f6…
11-14 00:17:04	XRP Up or Down - November 13, 7:15PM-7:30PM ET	Down	BUY	2	68¢	$1	0x307e6a…
11-14 00:15:36	BNB Up or Down - November 13, 7:15PM-7:20PM ET	Up	BUY	2	68¢	$1	0xcd8569…
11-14 00:10:34	Ethereum Up or Down - November 13, 7:10PM-7:15PM ET	Down	BUY	2	68¢	$1	0xafe5cb…
11-14 00:10:21	Dogecoin Up or Down - November 13, 7:10PM-7:15PM ET	Down	BUY	2	69¢	$1	0xc8d1ea…
11-14 00:05:34	BNB Up or Down - November 13, 7:05PM-7:10PM ET	Up	BUY	2	75¢	$2	0xea7991…
11-14 00:00:33	XRP Up or Down - November 13, 7:00PM-7:05PM ET	Up	BUY	2	71¢	$1	0x55a679…
11-13 23:55:22	Dogecoin Up or Down - November 13, 6:55PM-7:00PM ET	Up	BUY	2	68¢	$1	0xd623ca…
11-13 23:35:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 13, 6:35PM-6:40PM ET	Down	BUY	2	77¢	$2	0x8fce29…
11-13 23:30:22	XRP Up or Down - November 13, 6:30PM-6:35PM ET	Up	BUY	2	70¢	$1	0x54b465…
11-13 23:25:45	Ethereum Up or Down - November 13, 6:25PM-6:30PM ET	Down	BUY	2	69¢	$1	0xc1b24d…
11-13 23:20:30	Ethereum Up or Down - November 13, 6:20PM-6:25PM ET	Up	BUY	2	66¢	$1	0x7b3a72…
11-13 23:15:27	BNB Up or Down - November 13, 6:15PM-6:20PM ET	Up	BUY	2	71¢	$1	0xfbc6fa…
11-13 23:10:42	Solana Up or Down - November 13, 6:10PM-6:15PM ET	Down	BUY	2	66¢	$1	0xa1874d…
11-13 22:45:28	Hyperliquid Up or Down - November 13, 5:45PM-5:50PM ET	Down	BUY	2	68¢	$1	0xfad66e…
11-13 22:40:30	Hyperliquid Up or Down - November 13, 5:40PM-5:45PM ET	Down	BUY	2	71¢	$1	0x2575ed…
11-13 22:35:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 13, 5:35PM-5:40PM ET	Up	BUY	2	70¢	$1	0x19fca7…
11-13 22:30:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 13, 5:30PM-5:35PM ET	Down	BUY	2	61¢	$1	0xd540bd…
11-13 22:25:42	Dogecoin Up or Down - November 13, 5:25PM-5:30PM ET	Down	BUY	2	70¢	$1	0xff5bc4…
11-13 22:00:30	XRP Up or Down - November 13, 5:00PM-5:05PM ET	Up	BUY	2	68¢	$1	0xe4ef07…
11-13 21:50:42	Ethereum Up or Down - November 13, 4:50PM-4:55PM ET	Up	BUY	2	73¢	$1	0xe9c6c8…
11-13 21:48:37	Ethereum Up or Down - November 13, 4:45PM-5:00PM ET	Up	BUY	2	91¢	$2	0x95166b…
11-13 21:35:22	BNB Up or Down - November 13, 4:35PM-4:40PM ET	Down	BUY	2	70¢	$1	0xeebe15…
11-13 21:30:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 13, 4:30PM-4:35PM ET	Down	BUY	2	69¢	$1	0x04a200…
11-13 21:20:22	XRP Up or Down - November 13, 4:20PM-4:25PM ET	Up	BUY	2	65¢	$1	0x424e4c…
11-13 21:15:22	Dogecoin Up or Down - November 13, 4:15PM-4:20PM ET	Down	BUY	2	70¢	$1	0xac6326…
11-13 21:03:25	Solana Up or Down - November 13, 4:00PM-4:15PM ET	Down	BUY	2	93¢	$2	0x80ee49…
11-13 21:00:39	Hyperliquid Up or Down - November 13, 4:00PM-4:05PM ET	Down	BUY	2	68¢	$1	0x360109…
11-13 21:00:24	BNB Up or Down - November 13, 4:00PM-4:05PM ET	Down	BUY	2	56¢	$1	0x4a9f77…
11-13 20:55:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 13, 3:55PM-4:00PM ET	Down	BUY	2	73¢	$1	0x00bd11…
11-13 20:50:21	XRP Up or Down - November 13, 3:50PM-3:55PM ET	Up	BUY	2	74¢	$1	0xc569a9…
11-13 20:45:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 13, 3:45PM-3:50PM ET	Up	BUY	2	69¢	$1	0x302f1a…
11-13 20:35:04	Ethereum Up or Down - November 13, 3:30PM-3:45PM ET	Down	BUY	2	91¢	$2	0xeaf96c…
11-13 20:25:39	Dogecoin Up or Down - November 13, 3:25PM-3:30PM ET	Down	BUY	2	72¢	$1	0x75e708…
11-13 20:20:36	Dogecoin Up or Down - November 13, 3:20PM-3:25PM ET	Down	BUY	2	69¢	$1	0xf4a70a…
11-13 20:19:33	BNB Up or Down - November 13, 3:15PM-3:30PM ET	Up	BUY	1	90¢	$1	0xebe6e3…
11-13 20:15:33	Dogecoin Up or Down - November 13, 3:15PM-3:20PM ET	Up	BUY	1	75¢	$1	0x57c7d4…
11-13 20:10:31	XRP Up or Down - November 13, 3:10PM-3:15PM ET	Down	BUY	2	73¢	$1	0x273ac2…
11-13 20:05:43	XRP Up or Down - November 13, 3:05PM-3:10PM ET	Up	BUY	2	65¢	$1	0xf86376…
11-13 20:01:36	Ethereum Up or Down - November 13, 3:00PM-3:15PM ET	Down	BUY	2	74¢	$1	0xb62e04…
11-13 20:00:39	Solana Up or Down - November 13, 3:00PM-3:05PM ET	Down	BUY	2	69¢	$1	0xb80854…
11-13 19:47:13	XRP Up or Down - November 13, 2:45PM-3:00PM ET	Down	BUY	2	75¢	$2	0xeefe4f…
11-13 19:40:43	Dogecoin Up or Down - November 13, 2:40PM-2:45PM ET	Up	BUY	2	71¢	$1	0xde0e26…
11-13 19:35:34	Dogecoin Up or Down - November 13, 2:35PM-2:40PM ET	Down	BUY	2	62¢	$1	0x3eae77…
11-13 19:25:31	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 13, 2:25PM-2:30PM ET	Up	BUY	2	72¢	$1	0x50906b…
11-13 19:15:27	Ethereum Up or Down - November 13, 2:15PM-2:20PM ET	Up	BUY	2	79¢	$2	0xdb561c…
11-13 19:01:34	Ethereum Up or Down - November 13, 2:00PM-2:15PM ET	Down	BUY	2	77¢	$2	0x811580…
11-13 19:00:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 13, 2:00PM-2:05PM ET	Down	BUY	2	77¢	$2	0x2a1757…
11-13 18:50:27	Dogecoin Up or Down - November 13, 1:50PM-1:55PM ET	Down	BUY	2	65¢	$1	0xaaae4d…
11-13 18:48:54	Solana Up or Down - November 13, 1:45PM-2:00PM ET	Up	BUY	1	90¢	$1	0x793cb0…
11-13 18:45:36	Dogecoin Up or Down - November 13, 1:45PM-1:50PM ET	Up	BUY	2	68¢	$1	0x9a7cbf…
11-13 18:36:13	XRP Up or Down - November 13, 1:30PM-1:45PM ET	Up	BUY	1	90¢	$1	0xba05db…
11-13 18:35:22	XRP Up or Down - November 13, 1:35PM-1:40PM ET	Up	BUY	2	70¢	$1	0x3fcc65…
11-13 18:21:22	BNB Up or Down - November 13, 1:15PM-1:30PM ET	Up	BUY	1	90¢	$1	0x6b8597…
11-13 18:15:28	Hyperliquid Up or Down - November 13, 1:15PM-1:20PM ET	Up	BUY	2	69¢	$1	0x48b4de…
11-13 18:10:34	XRP Up or Down - November 13, 1:10PM-1:15PM ET	Up	BUY	1	74¢	$1	0x68ad51…