Same-Ceremony — Polymarket

Realized P&L (7d)

-$53

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

47.7%

Resolved (7d)

Trades (7d)

144

144 lifetime

Volume (7d)

$980

$980 lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-05-04

last 05-06 00:07

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 2 days

Categories

Crypto

100% 50% $-53

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

3 active days in 12wk • peak 138 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (24) Recent trades Correlated wallets (8)

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 9:35PM-9:40PM ET	2	$16	16	16	+0	Up	$-4	05-05 01:35
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 12:00AM-12:05AM ET	3	$16	16	16	+0	Up	$-2	05-05 04:00
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 12:25AM-12:30AM ET	2	$15	13	13	+0	Down	$-3	05-05 04:25
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 5:20AM-5:25AM ET	2	$14	14	14	+0	open	—	05-05 09:21
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 7:50PM-7:55PM ET	2	$14	13	13	+0	open	—	05-05 23:50
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 7:00PM-7:05PM ET	2	$12	12	12	+0	open	—	05-05 23:00
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 8:00PM-8:05PM ET	1	$11	17	0	+17	Up	$-11	05-05 00:00
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 9:00PM-9:05PM ET	1	$10	20	0	+20	Down	$-10	05-05 01:00
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 10:30PM-10:35PM ET	1	$10	17	0	+17	Up	+$7	05-05 02:30
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 8:05PM-8:10PM ET	1	$10	20	0	+20	Down	$-10	05-05 00:05
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 9:55PM-10:00PM ET	1	$10	19	0	+19	Up	$-10	05-05 01:55
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 9:15PM-9:20PM ET	1	$10	15	0	+15	Up	+$5	05-05 01:15
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 7:30PM-7:35PM ET	1	$10	17	0	+17	Down	+$7	05-04 23:30
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 8:50PM-8:55PM ET	1	$10	16	0	+16	Up	+$6	05-05 00:50
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 9:10PM-9:15PM ET	1	$10	17	0	+17	Down	$-10	05-05 01:10
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 10:15PM-10:20PM ET	1	$10	16	0	+16	Down	+$6	05-05 02:15
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 8:35PM-8:40PM ET	1	$10	16	0	+16	Down	+$6	05-05 00:35
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 12:10AM-12:15AM ET	1	$10	17	0	+17	Down	+$7	05-05 04:10
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 8:15PM-8:20PM ET	1	$10	21	0	+21	Up	$-10	05-05 00:15
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 7:45PM-7:50PM ET	1	$10	17	0	+17	Up	$-10	05-04 23:45
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 10:35PM-10:40PM ET	1	$10	17	0	+17	Up	+$7	05-05 02:35
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 12:05AM-12:10AM ET	1	$10	18	0	+18	Down	$-10	05-05 04:05
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 10:20PM-10:25PM ET	1	$10	16	0	+16	Up	$-10	05-05 02:20
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 9:45PM-9:50PM ET	1	$10	14	0	+14	Up	+$4	05-05 01:45
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 1:40AM-1:45AM ET	2	$9	16	0	+16	Down	+$7	05-05 05:40
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 3:45AM-3:50AM ET	2	$9	18	0	+18	open	—	05-05 07:46
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 2:05AM-2:10AM ET	1	$9	15	0	+15	Down	+$6	05-05 06:05
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 3:30AM-3:35AM ET	1	$9	15	0	+15	open	—	05-05 07:30
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 11:15PM-11:20PM ET	1	$9	15	0	+15	Up	+$6	05-05 03:15
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 4:15AM-4:20AM ET	1	$9	14	0	+14	open	—	05-05 08:15

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
05-06 00:07:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 8:05PM-8:10PM ET	Down	SELL	13	36¢	$5	0xe2d0a1…
05-06 00:00:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 8:00PM-8:05PM ET	Down	SELL	0	28¢	$0	0x2fed92…
05-06 00:00:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 8:00PM-8:05PM ET	Down	SELL	13	38¢	$5	0x74d1a9…
05-05 23:55:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 7:55PM-8:00PM ET	Down	BUY	12	64¢	$8	0x46cf16…
05-05 23:50:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 7:50PM-7:55PM ET	Down	SELL	13	42¢	$6	0x89682c…
05-05 23:50:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 7:50PM-7:55PM ET	Down	BUY	13	60¢	$8	0xb62b76…
05-05 23:45:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 7:45PM-7:50PM ET	Up	BUY	12	65¢	$8	0xbbde43…
05-05 23:40:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 7:40PM-7:45PM ET	Up	BUY	11	61¢	$7	0x2489e5…
05-05 23:35:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 7:35PM-7:40PM ET	Down	BUY	16	49¢	$8	0xff218e…
05-05 23:25:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 7:25PM-7:30PM ET	Up	BUY	12	60¢	$7	0x6e76a4…
05-05 23:15:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 7:15PM-7:20PM ET	Down	BUY	11	63¢	$7	0xd4fc83…
05-05 23:10:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 7:10PM-7:15PM ET	Up	BUY	12	60¢	$7	0x73fbe7…
05-05 23:05:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 7:05PM-7:10PM ET	Up	BUY	12	60¢	$7	0x928ef1…
05-05 23:00:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 7:00PM-7:05PM ET	Down	SELL	12	46¢	$5	0x7db5be…
05-05 23:00:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 7:00PM-7:05PM ET	Down	BUY	12	60¢	$7	0x09f31b…
05-05 22:55:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 6:55PM-7:00PM ET	Down	BUY	15	55¢	$8	0xbc9525…
05-05 22:45:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 6:45PM-6:50PM ET	Down	BUY	15	55¢	$8	0x22b645…
05-05 22:40:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 6:40PM-6:45PM ET	Up	BUY	12	61¢	$7	0x0c9d60…
05-05 22:35:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 6:35PM-6:40PM ET	Up	BUY	12	60¢	$7	0x29de58…
05-05 22:25:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 6:25PM-6:30PM ET	Up	BUY	12	65¢	$8	0xe0e524…
05-05 22:15:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 6:15PM-6:20PM ET	Down	BUY	15	47¢	$7	0x165633…
05-05 22:10:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 6:10PM-6:15PM ET	Down	BUY	12	58¢	$7	0x2879bb…
05-05 22:05:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 6:05PM-6:10PM ET	Down	BUY	12	58¢	$7	0x5956f4…
05-05 22:00:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 6:00PM-6:05PM ET	Up	BUY	12	58¢	$7	0xb2ea42…
05-05 21:50:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 5:50PM-5:55PM ET	Up	BUY	11	61¢	$7	0x4ac51e…
05-05 21:45:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 5:45PM-5:50PM ET	Down	BUY	12	60¢	$7	0x3b4a9d…
05-05 21:40:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 5:40PM-5:45PM ET	Down	BUY	12	58¢	$7	0x88539e…
05-05 21:35:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 5:35PM-5:40PM ET	Down	BUY	15	48¢	$7	0x73e551…
05-05 21:30:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 5:30PM-5:35PM ET	Down	BUY	14	49¢	$7	0x57887d…
05-05 21:25:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 5:25PM-5:30PM ET	Up	BUY	11	61¢	$7	0xe438d1…
05-05 21:15:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 5:15PM-5:20PM ET	Up	BUY	12	61¢	$7	0x909ff0…
05-05 21:10:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 5:10PM-5:15PM ET	Up	BUY	12	67¢	$8	0x1fb0ad…
05-05 21:05:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 5:05PM-5:10PM ET	Up	BUY	13	60¢	$8	0x2b7c73…
05-05 20:40:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 4:40PM-4:45PM ET	Down	BUY	12	59¢	$7	0x637383…
05-05 20:08:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 4:05PM-4:10PM ET	Down	SELL	0	86¢	$0	0x8dd624…
05-05 19:36:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 3:35PM-3:40PM ET	Up	SELL	16	26¢	$4	0xdd16b0…
05-05 19:31:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 3:30PM-3:35PM ET	Down	SELL	0	25¢	$0	0x95ab4f…
05-05 19:27:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 3:25PM-3:30PM ET	Down	SELL	0	34¢	$0	0x673c01…
05-05 19:23:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 3:20PM-3:25PM ET	Down	SELL	0	57¢	$0	0x95c265…
05-05 19:17:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 3:15PM-3:20PM ET	Down	SELL	0	8¢	$0	0x061a24…
05-05 19:17:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 3:15PM-3:20PM ET	Down	SELL	13	25¢	$3	0x6b0bfc…
05-05 18:57:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 2:55PM-3:00PM ET	Down	SELL	0	41¢	$0	0x9c839e…
05-05 18:57:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 2:55PM-3:00PM ET	Down	SELL	13	38¢	$5	0x1062f3…
05-05 18:48:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 2:45PM-2:50PM ET	Down	SELL	13	27¢	$4	0x754284…
05-05 18:21:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 2:20PM-2:25PM ET	Up	BUY	13	63¢	$8	0xb09dc1…
05-05 18:15:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 2:15PM-2:20PM ET	Up	BUY	16	50¢	$8	0x23a000…
05-05 16:42:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 12:40PM-12:45PM ET	Down	SELL	0	47¢	$0	0x6dcf52…
05-05 15:32:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 11:30AM-11:35AM ET	Up	SELL	0	28¢	$0	0x3a0ee7…
05-05 14:52:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 10:50AM-10:55AM ET	Down	SELL	16	36¢	$6	0x2d00e5…
05-05 13:55:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 9:55AM-10:00AM ET	Up	SELL	0	43¢	$0	0x65f1dd…
05-05 13:20:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 9:20AM-9:25AM ET	Down	BUY	15	59¢	$9	0xeec06b…
05-05 13:15:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 9:15AM-9:20AM ET	Up	SELL	19	37¢	$7	0xb5177f…
05-05 12:50:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 8:50AM-8:55AM ET	Down	SELL	13	42¢	$6	0x9bfe51…
05-05 12:36:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 8:35AM-8:40AM ET	Down	SELL	0	33¢	$0	0x8240e6…
05-05 12:35:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 8:35AM-8:40AM ET	Down	BUY	13	62¢	$8	0xca4e23…
05-05 12:31:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 8:30AM-8:35AM ET	Up	SELL	0	38¢	$0	0xcf558a…
05-05 12:21:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 8:20AM-8:25AM ET	Down	SELL	0	27¢	$0	0x665f88…
05-05 12:15:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 8:15AM-8:20AM ET	Down	SELL	15	44¢	$6	0x8cbd9f…
05-05 12:06:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 8:05AM-8:10AM ET	Down	SELL	0	16¢	$0	0x971da6…
05-05 11:40:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 7:40AM-7:45AM ET	Up	BUY	15	55¢	$8	0x0f8efa…
05-05 11:35:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 7:35AM-7:40AM ET	Down	BUY	12	64¢	$8	0x2f4ccc…
05-05 11:31:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 7:30AM-7:35AM ET	Down	SELL	13	40¢	$5	0x503cd4…
05-05 11:25:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 7:25AM-7:30AM ET	Up	BUY	13	60¢	$8	0xa6b3f7…
05-05 11:16:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 7:15AM-7:20AM ET	Down	SELL	0	66¢	$0	0x54a87a…
05-05 10:55:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 6:55AM-7:00AM ET	Up	BUY	12	66¢	$8	0xbe3e2f…
05-05 10:10:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 6:10AM-6:15AM ET	Up	BUY	12	65¢	$8	0xb40fea…
05-05 10:00:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 6:00AM-6:05AM ET	Down	BUY	13	63¢	$8	0xbb786e…
05-05 09:45:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 5:45AM-5:50AM ET	Up	BUY	14	64¢	$9	0xc894f1…
05-05 09:21:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 5:20AM-5:25AM ET	Up	SELL	14	34¢	$5	0x0a7d47…
05-05 09:20:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 5:20AM-5:25AM ET	Up	BUY	14	64¢	$9	0x796e34…
05-05 09:15:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 5:15AM-5:20AM ET	Down	SELL	15	38¢	$6	0xc8b18e…
05-05 09:00:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 5:00AM-5:05AM ET	Down	BUY	15	60¢	$9	0xfe8e84…
05-05 08:55:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 4:55AM-5:00AM ET	Down	BUY	15	61¢	$9	0x47e2cd…
05-05 08:45:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 4:45AM-4:50AM ET	Up	BUY	15	60¢	$9	0xcb23d5…
05-05 08:30:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 4:30AM-4:35AM ET	Up	BUY	15	60¢	$9	0x27d395…
05-05 08:15:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 4:15AM-4:20AM ET	Up	BUY	14	64¢	$9	0x10a974…
05-05 08:10:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 4:10AM-4:15AM ET	Down	BUY	12	73¢	$9	0x568e3b…
05-05 08:05:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 4:05AM-4:10AM ET	Up	BUY	15	60¢	$9	0x6ab18c…
05-05 08:01:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 4:00AM-4:05AM ET	Down	SELL	0	59¢	$0	0x01f7a0…
05-05 07:46:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 3:45AM-3:50AM ET	Up	SELL	0	18¢	$0	0x8efcd6…
05-05 07:45:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 3:45AM-3:50AM ET	Up	BUY	18	51¢	$9	0x59f27d…
05-05 07:30:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 3:30AM-3:35AM ET	Down	BUY	15	60¢	$9	0x0df6df…
05-05 07:25:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 3:25AM-3:30AM ET	Down	BUY	15	60¢	$9	0xb92d76…
05-05 07:05:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 3:05AM-3:10AM ET	Down	BUY	15	60¢	$9	0x8f0ebe…
05-05 06:50:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 2:50AM-2:55AM ET	Down	BUY	20	44¢	$9	0x4f9363…
05-05 06:40:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 2:40AM-2:45AM ET	Down	BUY	14	64¢	$9	0xef82ee…
05-05 06:35:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 2:35AM-2:40AM ET	Up	BUY	14	66¢	$9	0x91cd8c…
05-05 06:30:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 2:30AM-2:35AM ET	Down	BUY	14	65¢	$9	0xd29c0f…
05-05 06:25:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 2:25AM-2:30AM ET	Up	BUY	15	60¢	$9	0x186f0f…
05-05 06:20:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 2:20AM-2:25AM ET	Down	BUY	15	60¢	$9	0xce70ac…
05-05 06:10:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 2:10AM-2:15AM ET	Down	BUY	16	55¢	$9	0xe12b27…
05-05 06:05:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 2:05AM-2:10AM ET	Down	BUY	15	60¢	$9	0xf2aa9d…
05-05 06:00:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 2:00AM-2:05AM ET	Up	BUY	15	60¢	$9	0xbc6229…
05-05 05:50:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 1:50AM-1:55AM ET	Up	BUY	16	56¢	$9	0xf87c9c…
05-05 05:40:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 1:40AM-1:45AM ET	Down	SELL	0	63¢	$0	0x9fbfa8…
05-05 05:40:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 1:40AM-1:45AM ET	Down	BUY	16	58¢	$9	0x7f1167…
05-05 05:30:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 1:30AM-1:35AM ET	Up	SELL	16	41¢	$6	0xc85d19…
05-05 05:25:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 1:25AM-1:30AM ET	Up	BUY	19	47¢	$9	0xad52da…
05-05 05:15:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 1:15AM-1:20AM ET	Up	BUY	18	51¢	$9	0x04955b…
05-05 05:10:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 1:10AM-1:15AM ET	Down	BUY	15	61¢	$9	0xcc9982…

Wallet	Shared markets	Overlap volume	Overlap trades	Last seen
Slight-Goodnight 0x6088…f361	125	$8.47K	469	05-06 00:08
Impartial-Sorrow 0x9433…ecf2	123	$668	138	05-06 00:07
Passionate-Airbag 0x6306…d101	121	$2.58K	136	05-06 00:07
(anonymous) 0xe907…cff6	120	$18.5K	604	05-06 00:10
Rash-Alternative 0xf353…6685	120	$8.39K	466	05-06 00:08
Popular-Insurrection 0xeebd…ba30	117	$19.1K	607	05-06 00:09
Babyish-Cribbage 0x2a6c…0b42	117	$1.31K	465	05-06 00:09
Hard-Counter 0x32e4…beed	115	$1.89K	231	05-06 00:08