Incredible-Blocker — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$20

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

36.0%

Resolved

Trades

lifetime

Volume

$2.71K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$38

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-01-08

last 05-13 07:09

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 3 days

Categories

Politics

43% — —

Other

36% — —

Crypto

20% 38% $-10

Sports

2% 0% $-10

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

4 active days in 12wk • peak 34 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (15) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
US forces enter Iran by April 30?	5	$609	575	575	+0	open	—	03-28 05:08
will crude oil cl hit low 90 by end of march 217 921	2	$437	337	337	+0	open	—	03-23 19:31
us forces enter iran by march 31 222 191 243 517 878 439 519	2	$300	1,484	0	+1,484	open	—	03-25 06:32
Nuclear weapon detonation by December 31?	2	$200	493	493	+0	open	—	03-02 05:10
crude oil all time high by march 31	3	$196	6,238	4,616	+1,622	open	—	03-27 22:28
Will US or Israel strike Iran by February 28, 2026?	2	$119	105	105	+0	open	—	02-28 08:54
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 12:55AM-1:00AM ET	4	$118	210	86	+123	Up	$-32	05-09 04:59
will crude oil cl hit high 130 by end of march 366 294	1	$96	2,732	0	+2,732	open	—	03-27 22:29
Will US or Israel strike Iran by February 15, 2026?	3	$89	1,071	1,071	+0	open	—	02-14 19:43
btc updown 5m 1774769100	1	$83	137	0	+137	open	—	03-29 07:30
btc updown 5m 1774673700	1	$83	97	0	+97	open	—	03-28 04:58
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 12:50AM-12:55AM ET	3	$38	40	14	+26	Down	+$4	05-09 04:54
will ufo or alien be said on the first joe rogan experience episode of the week march 29	2	$35	25	25	+0	open	—	03-24 18:30
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 12:15AM-12:20AM ET	4	$32	208	208	+0	Down	+$12	05-09 04:19
mlb nyy chc 2026 03 23	2	$32	125	111	+14	open	—	03-23 20:09
us strikes iran by february 12 2026 525	1	$30	2,143	0	+2,143	open	—	02-11 04:18
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 12:30AM-12:35AM ET	4	$28	34	34	+0	Down	+$8	05-09 04:34
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 1:15AM-1:20AM ET	1	$25	56	0	+56	Up	$-25	05-09 05:16
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 12:40AM-12:45AM ET	5	$25	38	0	+38	Down	+$13	05-09 04:44
Athletics vs. Philadelphia Phillies	2	$22	30	30	+0	Athletics	$-10	05-07 22:59
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 3:05AM-3:10AM ET	3	$22	21	21	+0	Up	$-8	05-13 07:09
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 12:20AM-12:25AM ET	4	$21	137	11	+127	Up	$-9	05-09 04:25
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 12:25AM-12:30AM ET	3	$15	206	0	+206	Down	$-15	05-09 04:29
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 1:25AM-1:30AM ET	2	$10	63	0	+63	Up	+$53	05-09 05:27
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 12:35AM-12:40AM ET	2	$10	11	11	+0	Down	$-0	05-09 04:38
will israel strike lebanon on january 9 2026	1	$7	16	0	+16	open	—	01-08 20:52
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 2:55AM-3:00AM ET	1	$5	10	0	+10	Down	$-5	05-13 06:55
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 8:50PM-8:55PM ET	1	$5	119	0	+119	open	—	05-04 00:53
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 10:50PM-10:55PM ET	1	$5	11	0	+11	Up	$-5	05-09 02:51
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 11:35PM-11:40PM ET	1	$5	5	0	+5	Down	+$0	05-09 03:39

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
05-13 07:09:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 3:05AM-3:10AM ET	Down	SELL	21	34¢	$7	0xe69e5b…
05-13 07:07:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 3:05AM-3:10AM ET	Down	BUY	12	81¢	$10	0xbd11dc…
05-13 07:06:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 3:05AM-3:10AM ET	Down	BUY	9	57¢	$5	0xc1e9c6…
05-13 06:55:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 2:55AM-3:00AM ET	Up	BUY	10	50¢	$5	0x2cc03e…
05-13 06:51:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 2:50AM-2:55AM ET	Up	BUY	5	22¢	$1	0x1f5f0a…
05-13 06:48:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 2:45AM-2:50AM ET	Up	BUY	3	39¢	$1	0xae2e0a…
05-09 05:27:37	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 1:25AM-1:30AM ET	Up	BUY	36	14¢	$5	0xc327c6…
05-09 05:27:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 1:25AM-1:30AM ET	Up	BUY	28	18¢	$5	0x8991ee…
05-09 05:16:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 1:15AM-1:20AM ET	Down	BUY	56	45¢	$25	0xeadb54…
05-09 04:59:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 12:55AM-1:00AM ET	Down	BUY	61	41¢	$25	0xf04807…
05-09 04:58:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 12:55AM-1:00AM ET	Down	BUY	62	40¢	$25	0x931c8c…
05-09 04:57:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 12:55AM-1:00AM ET	Down	SELL	86	50¢	$43	0x053cfe…
05-09 04:56:37	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 12:55AM-1:00AM ET	Down	BUY	86	29¢	$25	0x434004…
05-09 04:54:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 12:50AM-12:55AM ET	Down	BUY	26	97¢	$25	0x88bc1f…
05-09 04:52:53	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 12:50AM-12:55AM ET	Down	SELL	14	58¢	$8	0xe30a56…
05-09 04:51:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 12:50AM-12:55AM ET	Down	BUY	14	35¢	$5	0x949908…
05-09 04:44:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 12:40AM-12:45AM ET	Down	BUY	10	51¢	$5	0x0e78ba…
05-09 04:44:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 12:40AM-12:45AM ET	Down	BUY	7	67¢	$5	0x431b16…
05-09 04:44:29	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 12:40AM-12:45AM ET	Down	BUY	7	69¢	$5	0x9714c7…
05-09 04:44:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 12:40AM-12:45AM ET	Down	BUY	7	72¢	$5	0x4c9c85…
05-09 04:44:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 12:40AM-12:45AM ET	Down	BUY	7	71¢	$5	0x0746a8…
05-09 04:38:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 12:35AM-12:40AM ET	Up	SELL	11	47¢	$5	0x5e6068…
05-09 04:36:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 12:35AM-12:40AM ET	Up	BUY	11	47¢	$5	0x98a615…
05-09 04:34:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 12:30AM-12:35AM ET	Up	SELL	22	39¢	$8	0xab8a22…
05-09 04:32:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 12:30AM-12:35AM ET	Up	BUY	22	23¢	$5	0xbde01e…
05-09 04:31:41	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 12:30AM-12:35AM ET	Down	SELL	12	76¢	$9	0x6dd4df…
05-09 04:30:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 12:30AM-12:35AM ET	Down	BUY	12	42¢	$5	0x67ab18…
05-09 04:29:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 12:25AM-12:30AM ET	Up	BUY	167	3¢	$5	0x6e3fdf…
05-09 04:26:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 12:25AM-12:30AM ET	Up	BUY	23	22¢	$5	0xcd530f…
05-09 04:26:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 12:25AM-12:30AM ET	Up	BUY	16	31¢	$5	0x4d8f94…
05-09 04:25:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 12:20AM-12:25AM ET	Down	BUY	110	5¢	$5	0xd4cdaa…
05-09 04:24:29	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 12:20AM-12:25AM ET	Down	BUY	17	30¢	$5	0xff2c62…
05-09 04:23:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 12:20AM-12:25AM ET	Up	SELL	11	55¢	$6	0x0d279e…
05-09 04:22:59	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 12:20AM-12:25AM ET	Up	BUY	11	47¢	$5	0x55b933…
05-09 04:19:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 12:15AM-12:20AM ET	Up	SELL	167	2¢	$3	0x93436b…
05-09 04:18:47	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 12:15AM-12:20AM ET	Up	BUY	167	3¢	$5	0x1a5699…
05-09 04:17:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 12:15AM-12:20AM ET	Up	SELL	42	46¢	$19	0x3df603…
05-09 04:17:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 12:15AM-12:20AM ET	Up	BUY	42	12¢	$5	0xd11f11…
05-09 03:39:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 11:35PM-11:40PM ET	Down	BUY	5	96¢	$5	0x67c7dd…
05-09 02:51:31	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 10:50PM-10:55PM ET	Down	BUY	11	46¢	$5	0x788a08…
05-07 22:59:23	Athletics vs. Philadelphia Phillies	Philadelphia Phillies	SELL	30	20¢	$6	0x323290…
05-07 19:23:21	Athletics vs. Philadelphia Phillies	Philadelphia Phillies	BUY	30	55¢	$16	0x4829a5…
05-04 00:53:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 8:50PM-8:55PM ET	Up	BUY	119	4¢	$5	0x31ae65…
03-29 07:30:02	btc updown 5m 1774769100	Down	BUY	137	61¢	$83	0xdb66c6…
03-28 05:08:25	US forces enter Iran by April 30?	Yes	SELL	146	57¢	$83	0x3dd626…
03-28 04:58:45	btc updown 5m 1774673700	Down	BUY	97	86¢	$83	0x024c1d…
03-28 04:55:21	US forces enter Iran by April 30?	Yes	SELL	146	57¢	$83	0x7284e0…
03-27 22:29:07	will crude oil cl hit high 130 by end of march 366 294	Yes	BUY	2,732	4¢	$96	0x323613…
03-27 22:28:17	crude oil all time high by march 31	Yes	SELL	4,616	1¢	$46	0xde4cdb…
03-27 22:27:55	US forces enter Iran by April 30?	Yes	SELL	87	57¢	$50	0xcc8f3c…
03-25 06:36:11	crude oil all time high by march 31	Yes	BUY	5,292	2¢	$100	0x5ba0c9…
03-25 06:35:55	US forces enter Iran by April 30?	Yes	SELL	196	51¢	$100	0x9d5259…
03-25 06:32:53	US forces enter Iran by April 30?	Yes	BUY	575	51¢	$293	0x6ee4e9…
03-25 06:32:41	us forces enter iran by march 31 222 191 243 517 878 439 519	Yes	BUY	714	14¢	$100	0x519b25…
03-24 18:30:09	will ufo or alien be said on the first joe rogan experience episode of the week march 29	Yes	SELL	25	100¢	$25	0x5596de…
03-23 20:09:17	mlb nyy chc 2026 03 23	New York Yankees	SELL	111	11¢	$12	0x37cf55…
03-23 20:07:49	mlb nyy chc 2026 03 23	New York Yankees	BUY	125	16¢	$20	0xe6952e…
03-23 19:31:31	will crude oil cl hit low 90 by end of march 217 921	Yes	SELL	337	100¢	$337	0xbd5a38…
03-22 21:51:03	crude oil all time high by march 31	Yes	BUY	947	5¢	$50	0x9f288d…
03-22 00:13:43	will ufo or alien be said on the first joe rogan experience episode of the week march 29	Yes	BUY	25	40¢	$10	0xd7fc69…
03-21 06:40:27	will crude oil cl hit low 90 by end of march 217 921	Yes	BUY	337	30¢	$100	0xa902f6…
03-21 06:35:53	us forces enter iran by march 31 222 191 243 517 878 439 519	Yes	BUY	769	26¢	$200	0x76b5f6…
03-02 05:10:55	Nuclear weapon detonation by December 31?	Yes	SELL	493	20¢	$100	0x54a707…
02-28 09:04:05	Nuclear weapon detonation by December 31?	Yes	BUY	493	20¢	$100	0x263782…
02-28 08:54:37	Will US or Israel strike Iran by February 28, 2026?	Yes	SELL	105	100¢	$105	0x89e798…
02-14 19:45:17	Will US or Israel strike Iran by February 28, 2026?	Yes	BUY	105	14¢	$15	0xd931e6…
02-14 19:43:57	Will US or Israel strike Iran by February 15, 2026?	Yes	SELL	1,071	1¢	$14	0x63cf52…
02-11 04:57:17	us strikes iran by february 11 2026 664	Yes	BUY	444	1¢	$4	0xe1111f…
02-11 04:49:39	Will US or Israel strike Iran by February 15, 2026?	Yes	BUY	714	7¢	$50	0x313d40…
02-11 04:33:17	Will US or Israel strike Iran by February 15, 2026?	Yes	BUY	357	7¢	$25	0x8b0629…
02-11 04:18:15	us strikes iran by february 12 2026 525	Yes	BUY	2,143	1¢	$30	0x151adc…
01-08 20:52:24	will israel strike lebanon on january 9 2026	No	BUY	16	44¢	$7	0x6f5e56…