Rundown-Algorithm — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$24

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

61.0%

Resolved

Trades

465

lifetime

Volume

$1.08K

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-01-27

last 05-15 19:46

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 8 days

Categories

Crypto

64% 37% $-28

Politics

24% 100% +$4

Other

12% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

24 active days in 12wk • peak 41 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (11) Recent trades Correlated wallets (8)

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
khamenei out as supreme leader of iran by march 31	8	$174	140	140	+0	open	—	03-02 09:33
will crude oil cl hit high 110 by end of march 732 945 787 552	1	$75	147	0	+147	open	—	03-16 18:08
US strikes Iran by March 31, 2026?	10	$38	69	0	+69	open	—	01-27 19:07
Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Viktor Orbán?	4	$20	54	54	+0	open	—	04-18 16:47
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 4PM ET	3	$19	17	17	+0	Down	+$7	05-06 20:33
will the price of bitcoin be between 74000 76000 on april 21	4	$17	12	12	+0	open	—	04-21 17:44
bitcoin up or down april 23 2026 4pm et	5	$16	15	20	-5	open	—	04-23 20:18
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 5AM ET	2	$15	12	12	+0	Down	+$5	05-10 09:38
bitcoin up or down april 19 2026 1pm et	3	$15	12	7	+5	open	—	04-19 18:11
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 2:45PM-3:00PM ET	5	$15	13	13	+0	open	—	05-14 18:57
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by June 30, 2026?	3	$14	17	17	+0	Yes	+$4	05-08 18:34
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 3:30PM-3:45PM ET	5	$13	16	10	+6	open	—	05-14 19:31
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 3:15PM-3:30PM ET	3	$11	10	10	+0	Down	+$5	05-08 19:28
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 3PM ET	3	$10	13	6	+8	Up	+$0	05-06 19:51
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 2:15PM-2:30PM ET	2	$10	9	9	+0	Down	+$8	05-06 18:30
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 3:15PM-3:30PM ET	4	$10	9	9	+0	open	—	05-14 19:26
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 25, 8AM ET	4	$10	9	9	+0	open	—	04-25 12:34
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 2:15PM-2:30PM ET	3	$10	7	7	+0	Down	+$4	05-12 18:29
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 3PM ET	4	$9	10	10	+0	Up	+$1	05-08 19:57
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 2:00PM-2:15PM ET	4	$9	10	10	+0	open	—	05-15 18:10
us strikes iran by february 28 2026 227 967 547 688 589 491 592 418 452 924 384 915 464 672 196 157 993 596 269 535 381 391 471 256 988 997 296 225 762 973 292 827 345 182 558 215 794 879 189 761	3	$9	20	0	+20	open	—	01-27 19:00
btc updown 15m 1776969000	3	$9	7	5	+2	open	—	04-23 18:38
btc updown 15m 1776623400	6	$9	10	10	+0	open	—	04-19 18:34
bitcoin above 78k on april 24	4	$9	10	5	+5	open	—	04-24 20:05
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 2PM ET	3	$9	9	6	+3	Down	+$3	05-06 19:07
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 3:00PM-3:15PM ET	3	$9	9	4	+6	Up	$-3	05-10 19:09
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 3:00PM-3:15PM ET	3	$9	9	6	+4	open	—	05-14 19:06
bnb updown 15m 1776621600	4	$8	10	10	+0	open	—	04-19 18:05
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 2:30PM-2:45PM ET	3	$8	8	8	+0	open	—	05-15 18:40
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 4:00AM-4:15AM ET	3	$7	5	5	+0	Up	+$3	05-10 08:10

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
05-15 19:46:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 3:45PM-4:00PM ET	Down	BUY	2	46¢	$1	0xdf2390…
05-15 19:29:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 3:30PM-3:45PM ET	Down	BUY	4	47¢	$2	0x4dee66…
05-15 19:11:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 3:15PM-3:30PM ET	Down	BUY	2	47¢	$1	0x2b8a8c…
05-15 19:06:01	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 3:05PM-3:10PM ET	Down	BUY	6	32¢	$2	0xf17b16…
05-15 19:02:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 3:00PM-3:15PM ET	Up	BUY	3	34¢	$1	0xe2c8f2…
05-15 18:46:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 2:45PM-3:00PM ET	Up	BUY	3	30¢	$1	0xea3cf7…
05-15 18:40:53	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 2:30PM-2:45PM ET	Up	SELL	8	58¢	$5	0xe5ea35…
05-15 18:32:25	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 2:30PM-2:45PM ET	Up	BUY	4	25¢	$1	0x9111a9…
05-15 18:29:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 2:30PM-2:45PM ET	Up	BUY	4	50¢	$2	0x835622…
05-15 18:18:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 2:15PM-2:30PM ET	Up	BUY	11	9¢	$1	0x6f2760…
05-15 18:16:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 2:15PM-2:30PM ET	Up	BUY	3	32¢	$1	0xae237f…
05-15 18:13:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 2:15PM-2:30PM ET	Up	BUY	4	49¢	$2	0x6ac42c…
05-15 18:10:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 2:00PM-2:15PM ET	Down	SELL	10	62¢	$6	0x948a8d…
05-15 18:02:37	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 2:00PM-2:15PM ET	Down	BUY	4	25¢	$1	0x758548…
05-15 18:01:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 2:00PM-2:15PM ET	Down	BUY	3	29¢	$1	0xe05a57…
05-15 18:00:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 2:00PM-2:15PM ET	Down	BUY	3	39¢	$1	0xfb93d5…
05-15 17:54:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 1:45PM-2:00PM ET	Down	BUY	2	41¢	$1	0x0f8145…
05-15 17:45:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 1:45PM-2:00PM ET	Down	BUY	2	49¢	$1	0x2b2ffd…
05-15 17:37:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 1:30PM-1:45PM ET	Down	BUY	7	14¢	$1	0x46efa7…
05-14 20:47:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 4:45PM-5:00PM ET	Down	BUY	12	16¢	$2	0x3a5ca2…
05-14 20:36:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 4:30PM-4:45PM ET	Up	BUY	4	27¢	$1	0x472b3b…
05-14 20:32:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 4:30PM-4:45PM ET	Down	BUY	4	53¢	$2	0xbb59c1…
05-14 20:31:16	Will Trump say "Taiwan" or "Tibet" during events with Xi Jinping?	Yes	BUY	6	17¢	$1	0x98080f…
05-14 20:10:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 4:10PM-4:15PM ET	Up	BUY	2	47¢	$1	0x0ff3e0…
05-14 20:08:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 4:15PM-4:30PM ET	Up	BUY	10	51¢	$5	0x614b0c…
05-14 19:46:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 3:45PM-4:00PM ET	Up	BUY	5	44¢	$2	0x14ac3c…
05-14 19:31:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 3:30PM-3:45PM ET	Down	BUY	6	34¢	$2	0xf645cc…
05-14 19:31:53	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 3:30PM-3:45PM ET	Up	SELL	10	66¢	$6	0xb429b6…
05-14 19:27:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 3:30PM-3:45PM ET	Up	BUY	4	52¢	$2	0x5f6a67…
05-14 19:27:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 3:30PM-3:45PM ET	Up	BUY	2	51¢	$1	0xfb152f…
05-14 19:27:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 3:30PM-3:45PM ET	Up	BUY	4	51¢	$2	0x50821e…
05-14 19:26:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 3:15PM-3:30PM ET	Down	SELL	3	92¢	$3	0x628cb1…
05-14 19:20:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 3:15PM-3:30PM ET	Down	BUY	3	30¢	$1	0xa7a264…
05-14 19:19:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 3:15PM-3:30PM ET	Up	SELL	5	67¢	$4	0xe569e7…
05-14 19:16:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 3:15PM-3:30PM ET	Up	BUY	5	37¢	$2	0x624df0…
05-14 19:06:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 3:00PM-3:15PM ET	Up	SELL	6	77¢	$5	0x082f35…
05-14 19:03:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 3:00PM-3:15PM ET	Down	BUY	4	28¢	$1	0x80d9e5…
05-14 18:59:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 3:00PM-3:15PM ET	Up	BUY	6	51¢	$3	0x0ab565…
05-14 18:57:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 2:45PM-3:00PM ET	Up	SELL	7	71¢	$5	0xa0fe16…
05-14 18:55:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 2:45PM-3:00PM ET	Up	BUY	3	36¢	$1	0xfd7d7d…
05-14 18:55:01	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 2:45PM-3:00PM ET	Up	BUY	5	22¢	$1	0xc4ab77…
05-14 18:54:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 2:45PM-3:00PM ET	Down	SELL	6	72¢	$4	0x3ab317…
05-14 18:43:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 2:45PM-3:00PM ET	Down	BUY	6	50¢	$3	0xccb8ac…
05-12 20:01:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 4PM ET	Up	BUY	2	49¢	$1	0x16d0d8…
05-12 20:01:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 4:00PM-4:05PM ET	Down	BUY	3	39¢	$1	0x72990d…
05-12 19:56:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 3:55PM-4:00PM ET	Down	BUY	2	44¢	$1	0xba3f40…
05-12 19:50:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 3:50PM-3:55PM ET	Down	BUY	4	48¢	$2	0x79b525…
05-12 19:45:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 3:45PM-3:50PM ET	Down	BUY	3	37¢	$1	0x7d3ffa…
05-12 19:38:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 3:30PM-3:45PM ET	Down	BUY	4	27¢	$1	0x44b0a0…
05-12 19:34:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 3:30PM-3:45PM ET	Up	SELL	1	70¢	$1	0x270c1c…
05-12 19:31:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 3:30PM-3:45PM ET	Down	BUY	3	38¢	$1	0x06b6df…
05-12 19:30:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 3:30PM-3:45PM ET	Up	BUY	1	67¢	$1	0xafedd9…
05-12 19:23:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 3:15PM-3:30PM ET	Down	SELL	2	91¢	$2	0x1db23a…
05-12 19:18:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 3:15PM-3:30PM ET	Up	BUY	4	28¢	$1	0x0f594e…
05-12 19:15:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 3:15PM-3:30PM ET	Down	BUY	2	41¢	$1	0x1cebc6…
05-12 19:03:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 3:00PM-3:15PM ET	Down	BUY	3	37¢	$1	0x5b62c0…
05-12 18:55:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 2:45PM-3:00PM ET	Down	BUY	17	12¢	$2	0xb99a97…
05-12 18:49:37	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 2:45PM-3:00PM ET	Up	BUY	3	36¢	$1	0xb7fec9…
05-12 18:47:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 2:45PM-3:00PM ET	Up	BUY	3	37¢	$1	0x7db19d…
05-12 18:34:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 2:30PM-2:45PM ET	Down	BUY	4	23¢	$1	0x73abbc…
05-12 18:30:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 2:30PM-2:45PM ET	Down	BUY	3	36¢	$1	0xd494c6…
05-12 18:29:29	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 2:15PM-2:30PM ET	Down	SELL	7	99¢	$7	0x50283b…
05-12 18:15:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 2:15PM-2:30PM ET	Down	BUY	4	45¢	$2	0x58e6be…
05-12 18:15:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 2:15PM-2:30PM ET	Down	BUY	2	45¢	$1	0x2a4887…
05-12 18:01:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 2:00PM-2:15PM ET	Down	BUY	2	56¢	$1	0xd1a1bd…
05-12 18:01:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 2:00PM-2:15PM ET	Down	BUY	2	56¢	$1	0xa3f0b3…
05-12 18:01:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 2:00PM-2:15PM ET	Down	BUY	2	56¢	$1	0x460f56…
05-11 20:47:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 4:45PM-5:00PM ET	Down	BUY	2	40¢	$1	0x5f0e45…
05-11 20:36:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 4:30PM-4:45PM ET	Down	BUY	2	51¢	$1	0x0d8db1…
05-11 20:32:49	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 4:30PM-4:45PM ET	Up	BUY	3	31¢	$1	0xfaa401…
05-11 20:15:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 4:15PM-4:30PM ET	Down	BUY	2	52¢	$1	0x763eed…
05-11 20:01:01	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 4:00PM-4:15PM ET	Down	BUY	3	39¢	$1	0xe4edbf…
05-11 13:33:41	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 9:30AM-9:45AM ET	Up	BUY	3	31¢	$1	0x3cf2b9…
05-11 13:16:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 9:15AM-9:30AM ET	Down	BUY	2	47¢	$1	0xb35b51…
05-11 13:11:49	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 9:10AM-9:15AM ET	Down	BUY	4	57¢	$2	0xdd4e60…
05-11 13:08:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 9:05AM-9:10AM ET	Down	BUY	8	13¢	$1	0xe64af6…
05-11 13:00:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 9:00AM-9:15AM ET	Down	BUY	2	42¢	$1	0xae6388…
05-11 12:45:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 8:45AM-9:00AM ET	Up	BUY	2	53¢	$1	0x35ac12…
05-11 12:42:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 8:30AM-8:45AM ET	Down	SELL	4	97¢	$4	0xcac594…
05-11 12:27:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 8:30AM-8:45AM ET	Down	BUY	4	53¢	$2	0x5413ff…
05-11 12:21:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 8:15AM-8:30AM ET	Down	BUY	3	33¢	$1	0x005027…
05-11 12:19:43	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 8:15AM-8:30AM ET	Down	BUY	2	41¢	$1	0x380f7e…
05-10 20:39:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 4:30PM-4:45PM ET	Up	BUY	5	21¢	$1	0x8fbd41…
05-10 20:30:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 4:30PM-4:45PM ET	Up	BUY	3	31¢	$1	0x655e72…
05-10 20:18:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 4:15PM-4:30PM ET	Down	SELL	3	82¢	$2	0x21e004…
05-10 20:15:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 4:15PM-4:30PM ET	Down	BUY	3	38¢	$1	0x981248…
05-10 20:00:43	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 4:00PM-4:15PM ET	Down	BUY	2	43¢	$1	0x3c20a3…
05-10 19:17:31	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 3PM ET	Down	BUY	6	16¢	$1	0xd7722b…
05-10 19:15:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 3PM ET	Down	BUY	5	22¢	$1	0x3b7f72…
05-10 19:09:49	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 3:00PM-3:15PM ET	Up	SELL	4	73¢	$3	0xf88c3b…
05-10 19:05:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 3:00PM-3:15PM ET	Up	BUY	4	29¢	$1	0x260251…
05-10 19:02:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 3:00PM-3:15PM ET	Down	BUY	6	87¢	$5	0xffed8d…
05-10 18:49:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 2:45PM-3:00PM ET	Down	BUY	3	30¢	$1	0xa102dc…
05-10 18:47:53	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 2:45PM-3:00PM ET	Down	BUY	2	45¢	$1	0x60ff7d…
05-10 18:31:37	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 2:30PM-2:45PM ET	Down	BUY	4	24¢	$1	0xda398b…
05-10 18:30:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 2:30PM-2:45PM ET	Down	BUY	2	55¢	$1	0x78ce04…
05-10 18:17:49	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 2:15PM-2:30PM ET	Up	BUY	4	26¢	$1	0xefeeeb…
05-10 18:15:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 2:15PM-2:30PM ET	Up	BUY	2	45¢	$1	0x7d55c5…
05-10 18:09:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 2:00PM-2:15PM ET	Up	BUY	9	11¢	$1	0x38e72a…
05-10 18:04:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 2:00PM-2:15PM ET	Up	BUY	2	40¢	$1	0x6584c0…

Wallet	Shared markets	Overlap volume	Overlap trades	Last seen
(anonymous) 0x424e…263b	208	$46.3K	7,994	05-15 19:59
(anonymous) 0x89b5…8beb	201	$98.0K	6,380	05-15 19:59
All-Peasant-Drug 0xe907…cff6	192	$58.1K	2,049	05-15 19:55
Popular-Insurrection 0xeebd…ba30	179	$396.6K	20,358	05-15 19:59
(anonymous) 0x48ac…4a7e	176	$56.5K	16,330	05-15 19:59
(anonymous) 0xba67…4727	176	$40.8K	6,537	05-15 19:59
(anonymous) 0x76d4…c512	175	$103.5K	14,539	05-15 19:59
Tangible-Friendship 0x21d0…e8d7	175	$25.5K	2,860	05-15 19:53