Third-Test — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$1

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

27.8%

Resolved

Trades

113

lifetime

Volume

$43.5K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$385

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-04-29

last 09-28 05:43

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 67 days

Categories

Politics

86% 0% -$1

Sports

9% 0% -$2

Crypto

5% 100% +$4

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

33 active days in 12wk • peak 1 trade/day

Open positions Resolved markets (12) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will Oprah Winfrey win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	4	$3.6K	1,829	1,829	+0	open	—	06-17 03:02
Will Nikki Haley win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	4	$2.6K	52,776	52,776	+0	open	—	06-09 04:58
Will Zohran Mamdani win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	2	$1.9K	965	965	+0	open	—	05-04 01:48
Will Matt Gaetz win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?	2	$1.9K	963	963	+0	open	—	05-06 06:36
Will Manuel Bompard win the 2027 French presidential election?	2	$1.9K	960	960	+0	open	—	05-10 05:21
Will François Asselineau win the 2027 French presidential election?	2	$1.9K	958	958	+0	open	—	05-14 06:22
Will Robert F. Kennedy Jr. win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?	2	$1.9K	957	957	+0	open	—	05-12 04:04
Will Steve Bannon win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?	2	$1.9K	956	956	+0	open	—	05-16 06:49
Will Kim Kardashian win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	2	$1.9K	955	955	+0	open	—	05-18 02:17
Will LeBron James win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	2	$1.9K	953	953	+0	open	—	05-20 05:19
Will Olivier Faure win the 2027 French presidential election?	2	$1.9K	952	952	+0	open	—	05-22 05:13
Will Sweden win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	2	$1.9K	951	951	+0	No	-$1	05-24 06:32
Will Scotland win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	2	$1.9K	946	946	+0	No	-$1	05-28 06:05
Will Aldo Rebelo win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	2	$1.9K	944	944	+0	No	-$1	05-31 05:36
Will John Fetterman win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	2	$1.9K	947	947	+0	open	—	05-26 05:21
Will Mathilde Panot win the 2027 French presidential election?	2	$1.9K	943	943	+0	open	—	06-02 06:13
Will MrBeast win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	2	$1.9K	942	942	+0	open	—	06-04 05:27
Will Laurent Wauquiez win the 2027 French presidential election?	2	$1.7K	864	864	+0	open	—	06-12 03:42
Will Gretchen Whitmer win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	2	$1.7K	863	863	+0	open	—	06-14 05:33
Will François Bayrou win the 2027 French presidential election?	2	$1.7K	860	860	+0	open	—	06-19 02:53
Will Eric Trump win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?	2	$1.6K	787	787	+0	open	—	05-02 02:03
bitcoin above 64k on june 26 2026	1	$46	46	0	+46	No	+$0	06-26 03:04
will solana dip to 50 in june 2026	1	$44	44	0	+44	No	+$0	06-30 05:18
bitcoin above 56k on june 25 2026	1	$41	41	0	+41	Yes	+$0	06-25 03:47
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on September 9?	1	$40	40	0	+40	Yes	+$0	09-09 05:26
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $72,000 on September 15?	1	$40	40	0	+40	Yes	+$0	09-15 03:50
ethereum above 1700 on august 5 2026	1	$39	39	0	+39	Yes	+$0	08-05 05:43
bitcoin above 60k on august 1 2026	1	$39	39	0	+39	Yes	+$0	08-01 06:04
Will the price of Solana be between $60 and $70 on August 16?	1	$39	39	0	+39	No	+$0	08-16 05:34
Will the price of Solana be between $80 and $90 on September 2?	1	$39	39	0	+39	No	+$0	09-02 05:33

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
09-28 05:43:11	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on September 28?	Yes	BUY	35	100¢	$35	0x028d4d…
09-26 06:13:35	bitcoin above 80k on september 26 2026	Yes	BUY	33	100¢	$33	0xb5974c…
09-25 04:43:59	Will the price of Ethereum be above $3,000 on September 25?	No	BUY	37	100¢	$37	0x868345…
09-23 05:27:43	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $82,000 on September 23?	Yes	BUY	33	100¢	$33	0x52e521…
09-22 05:15:57	Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,500 on September 22?	Yes	BUY	29	100¢	$29	0x2c36cb…
09-21 06:06:59	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on September 21?	Yes	BUY	27	100¢	$27	0x7901ab…
09-19 04:08:10	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $86,000 on September 19?	No	BUY	36	100¢	$36	0xedcedb…
09-18 06:15:54	Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,700 on September 18?	No	BUY	37	100¢	$37	0xaeeccd…
09-17 05:15:34	Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,600 on September 17?	No	BUY	27	100¢	$27	0xf7bf6f…
09-16 05:08:57	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $70,000 on September 16?	Yes	BUY	38	100¢	$38	0xe0bc4d…
09-15 03:50:45	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $72,000 on September 15?	Yes	BUY	40	100¢	$40	0x3f6cbd…
09-12 03:08:13	Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,300 on September 12?	Yes	BUY	32	100¢	$32	0xa8201d…
09-11 05:48:27	Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,700 on September 11?	No	BUY	37	100¢	$37	0x73ec5f…
09-09 05:26:46	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on September 9?	Yes	BUY	40	100¢	$40	0xc34f6d…
09-08 05:50:10	Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,300 on September 8?	Yes	BUY	31	100¢	$31	0x4e1a29…
09-05 05:37:06	bitcoin above 76k on september 5 2026	Yes	BUY	35	100¢	$35	0x259768…
09-04 05:33:43	Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,300 on September 4?	Yes	BUY	25	100¢	$25	0x978463…
09-02 05:33:04	Will the price of Solana be between $80 and $90 on September 2?	No	BUY	39	100¢	$39	0xaa051a…
09-01 06:50:24	bitcoin above 74k on september 1 2026	Yes	BUY	29	100¢	$29	0xb57f57…
08-31 03:32:27	ethereum above 2100 on august 31 2026	Yes	BUY	37	100¢	$37	0x713b7d…
08-29 03:44:04	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $82,000 on August 29?	No	BUY	28	100¢	$28	0xebdd0b…
08-28 05:35:33	Will the price of Solana be above $90 on August 28?	Yes	BUY	37	100¢	$37	0xcd70ed…
08-26 08:42:12	Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,200 on August 26?	Yes	BUY	37	100¢	$37	0x35bc12…
08-25 05:10:33	Will the price of Ethereum be between $2,100 and $2,200 on August 25?	No	BUY	37	100¢	$37	0xb8209b…
08-24 06:00:40	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $72,000 on August 24?	Yes	BUY	37	100¢	$37	0x1dff41…
08-22 05:59:22	bitcoin above 70k on august 22 2026	Yes	BUY	25	100¢	$25	0x000d04…
08-21 05:28:18	ethereum above 2100 on august 21 2026	Yes	BUY	30	100¢	$30	0x8faeb8…
08-20 05:36:28	ethereum above 2000 on august 20 2026	Yes	BUY	33	100¢	$33	0xe2e844…
08-17 03:59:13	bitcoin above 60k on august 17 2026	Yes	BUY	32	100¢	$32	0x4f32c8…
08-16 05:34:39	Will the price of Solana be between $60 and $70 on August 16?	No	BUY	39	100¢	$39	0x36f29d…
08-14 05:30:07	ethereum above 1700 on august 14 2026	Yes	BUY	32	100¢	$32	0x602b36…
08-13 06:17:36	bitcoin above 60k on august 13 2026	Yes	BUY	37	100¢	$37	0x1a52f1…
08-12 05:41:58	ethereum above 1700 on august 12 2026	Yes	BUY	38	100¢	$38	0x1217d9…
08-11 03:59:25	Will the price of Solana be between $60 and $70 on August 11?	No	BUY	29	100¢	$29	0x93e725…
08-08 06:20:58	will bitcoin dip to 60k august 3 9 2026	No	BUY	34	100¢	$34	0x9aaf3b…
08-07 05:28:21	ethereum above 1700 on august 7 2026	Yes	BUY	25	100¢	$25	0xd00aab…
08-06 06:12:59	Will the price of Solana be between $70 and $80 on August 6?	Yes	BUY	32	100¢	$32	0x2a6623…
08-05 05:43:36	ethereum above 1700 on august 5 2026	Yes	BUY	39	100¢	$39	0xe83e75…
08-03 06:34:02	bitcoin above 56k on august 4 2026	Yes	BUY	26	100¢	$26	0x15784d…
08-02 03:36:51	will ethereum dip to 1700 july 27 august 2 2026	No	BUY	21	100¢	$20	0x487ae5…
08-01 06:04:47	bitcoin above 60k on august 1 2026	Yes	BUY	39	100¢	$39	0xf66efb…
07-30 05:26:27	xrp above 1 on july 30 2026	Yes	BUY	33	100¢	$33	0x312118…
07-29 05:17:26	Will the price of Solana be between $80 and $90 on July 29?	No	BUY	30	100¢	$30	0x13fe16…
07-28 03:32:03	bitcoin above 60k on july 28 2026	Yes	BUY	35	100¢	$35	0xbd2512…
07-27 04:04:03	ethereum above 1800 on july 27 2026	Yes	BUY	28	100¢	$28	0x2c9639…
07-25 05:53:06	Will the price of Solana be between $60 and $70 on July 25?	No	BUY	34	100¢	$34	0xe3db93…
07-24 05:27:43	xrp above 1pt2 on july 24 2026	No	BUY	24	100¢	$24	0xe01c5a…
07-23 05:29:36	bitcoin above 62k on july 23 2026	Yes	BUY	32	100¢	$32	0x1392e8…
07-21 03:17:31	ethereum above 2100 on july 21 2026	No	BUY	23	100¢	$23	0x495588…
07-20 05:58:54	solana above 70 on july 20 2026	Yes	BUY	30	100¢	$30	0xc403ee…
07-19 03:23:52	will bitcoin reach 70k july 13 19 2026	No	BUY	28	100¢	$28	0x05bd96…
07-16 05:07:46	Will the price of Bitcoin be between $68,000 and $70,000 on July 16?	No	BUY	37	100¢	$37	0x232aa0…
07-15 05:33:19	ethereum above 1700 on july 15 2026	Yes	BUY	26	100¢	$26	0xc923d9…
07-14 03:27:01	xrp above 1 on july 14 2026	Yes	BUY	28	100¢	$28	0x4d7523…
07-13 02:34:10	bitcoin above 68k on july 13 2026	No	BUY	27	100¢	$27	0x983c54…
07-12 03:24:43	Will the price of Solana be between $60 and $70 on July 12?	No	BUY	28	100¢	$28	0x2dc4d0…
07-10 05:39:46	ethereum above 1900 on july 10 2026	No	BUY	28	100¢	$28	0xeaac5b…
07-09 05:41:02	bitcoin above 58k on july 9 2026	Yes	BUY	31	100¢	$31	0x4e0aeb…
07-08 05:12:34	ethereum above 1600 on july 8 2026	Yes	BUY	33	100¢	$33	0x5b60cd…
07-05 05:47:55	bitcoin above 60k on july 5 2026	Yes	BUY	34	100¢	$34	0xc8a882…
07-04 04:08:44	ethereum above 1700 on july 4 2026	Yes	BUY	36	100¢	$36	0x963c25…
07-03 05:07:50	bitcoin above 58k on july 3 2026	Yes	BUY	23	100¢	$23	0x398117…
07-01 03:45:56	solana above 80 on july 1 2026	No	BUY	38	100¢	$37	0xfe17f4…
06-30 05:18:38	will solana dip to 50 in june 2026	No	BUY	44	100¢	$44	0x219917…
06-26 03:04:19	bitcoin above 64k on june 26 2026	No	BUY	46	100¢	$46	0xb36642…
06-25 03:47:05	bitcoin above 56k on june 25 2026	Yes	BUY	41	100¢	$41	0xfc0881…
06-24 05:29:56	bitcoin above 58k on june 24 2026	Yes	BUY	25	100¢	$25	0x5f98b9…
06-19 02:53:07	Will François Bayrou win the 2027 French presidential election?	No	SELL	860	99¢	$854	0xb3c2b1…
06-18 05:24:04	Will François Bayrou win the 2027 French presidential election?	No	BUY	860	99¢	$855	0x34e216…
06-17 03:02:21	Will Oprah Winfrey win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	No	SELL	862	99¢	$855	0x766ca2…
06-15 05:19:21	Will Oprah Winfrey win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	No	BUY	862	99¢	$856	0xbbdd2b…
06-14 05:33:03	Will Gretchen Whitmer win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	No	SELL	863	99¢	$857	0xbb6b9a…
06-13 03:02:22	Will Gretchen Whitmer win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	No	BUY	863	99¢	$858	0x2f9817…
06-12 03:42:01	Will Laurent Wauquiez win the 2027 French presidential election?	No	SELL	864	99¢	$857	0x99cb85…
06-10 05:29:04	Will Laurent Wauquiez win the 2027 French presidential election?	No	BUY	864	99¢	$858	0x1048e8…
06-09 04:58:04	Will Nikki Haley win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	Yes	SELL	51,814	1¢	$311	0x5af798…
06-08 05:32:55	Will Nikki Haley win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	Yes	BUY	51,814	1¢	$363	0x0c29a4…
06-04 05:27:57	Will MrBeast win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	No	SELL	942	99¢	$934	0xffc385…
06-03 06:03:21	Will MrBeast win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	No	BUY	942	99¢	$935	0x784377…
06-02 06:13:43	Will Mathilde Panot win the 2027 French presidential election?	No	SELL	943	99¢	$936	0x9ea869…
06-01 05:53:01	Will Mathilde Panot win the 2027 French presidential election?	No	BUY	943	99¢	$937	0x88d909…
05-31 05:36:36	Will Aldo Rebelo win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	No	SELL	944	100¢	$942	0x49f155…
05-30 05:56:11	Will Aldo Rebelo win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	No	BUY	944	100¢	$943	0x2a2961…
05-28 06:05:38	Will Scotland win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	No	SELL	946	100¢	$943	0xd5cb32…
05-27 09:10:44	Will Scotland win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	No	BUY	946	100¢	$944	0x16ef44…
05-26 05:21:38	Will John Fetterman win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	No	SELL	947	99¢	$939	0xfb9390…
05-25 03:47:54	Will John Fetterman win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	No	BUY	947	99¢	$940	0x35c17f…
05-24 06:32:39	Will Sweden win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	No	SELL	951	99¢	$945	0xda5426…
05-23 07:35:14	Will Sweden win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	No	BUY	951	100¢	$946	0x240f98…
05-22 05:13:42	Will Olivier Faure win the 2027 French presidential election?	No	SELL	952	99¢	$945	0x58281d…
05-21 07:19:27	Will Olivier Faure win the 2027 French presidential election?	No	BUY	952	99¢	$946	0xc653e1…
05-20 05:19:12	Will LeBron James win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	No	SELL	953	99¢	$947	0x938d64…
05-19 10:03:49	Will LeBron James win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	No	BUY	953	99¢	$948	0xf89d6a…
05-18 02:17:52	Will Kim Kardashian win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	No	SELL	955	99¢	$948	0x08db7b…
05-17 06:47:11	Will Kim Kardashian win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	No	BUY	955	99¢	$949	0x1b2c43…
05-16 06:49:17	Will Steve Bannon win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?	No	SELL	956	99¢	$948	0xd9c4de…
05-15 07:01:05	Will Steve Bannon win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?	No	BUY	956	99¢	$949	0xb290d3…
05-14 06:22:27	Will François Asselineau win the 2027 French presidential election?	No	SELL	958	99¢	$951	0xe0fd6c…
05-13 06:07:42	Will François Asselineau win the 2027 French presidential election?	No	BUY	958	99¢	$952	0x9b6ab9…
05-12 04:04:22	Will Robert F. Kennedy Jr. win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?	No	SELL	957	99¢	$949	0xb937af…