Wallet — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$4.12K

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

80.5%

Resolved

233

Trades

5,367

lifetime

Volume

$1.59M

lifetime

Avg / trade

$297

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-01-01

last 03-26 04:44

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 69 days

Categories

Politics

50% 54% -$14,923

Other

47% 54% +$10,215

Crypto

2% 67% +$70

Sports

1% 58% +$454

Pop-Culture

0% 100% +$69

Tech

0% 0% -$6

Activity

No trades in the last 84 days (last trade 2026-03-26).

Open positions Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will Trump nominate Judy Shelton as the next Fed chair?	501	$339.6K	243,962	246,508	-2,546	No	+$2,156	02-17 18:06
new stranger things episode released by wednesday	181	$205.2K	325,144	31,981	+293,163	No	+$981	01-08 03:15
will eleven die in stranger things season 5	42	$120.5K	72,046	56,500	+15,546	No	+$45	01-03 03:51
will gta 6 cost 100	122	$100.9K	32,653	69,974	-37,321	No	-$240	02-07 00:11
will there be another us government shutdown by january 31	129	$98.6K	84,819	48,662	+36,157	Yes	+$2,573	02-02 23:28
Will Trump nominate Kevin Warsh as the next Fed chair?	222	$81.2K	100,479	51,136	+49,343	Yes	+$3,251	02-17 18:05
new stranger things episode released by january 31 294	37	$63.0K	40,666	32,196	+8,470	No	+$427	01-24 16:15
Will Trump nominate Rick Rieder as the next Fed chair?	417	$61.8K	212,524	102,580	+109,944	No	+$5,333	02-07 16:37
khamenei out as supreme leader of iran by january 31	28	$48.1K	31,993	20,886	+11,107	No	-$14	01-31 20:07
lighter market cap fdv 1b one day after launch	13	$30.0K	30,000	0	+30,000	Yes	+$30	01-01 17:29
will donald trump announce a new nominee for chair of the federal reserve by january 31 2026 849 849 957 245	70	$28.9K	40,503	418	+40,085	Yes	-$6,849	01-30 02:47
us strikes iran by january 31 2026 165	204	$27.1K	23,039	18,954	+4,085	No	-$605	01-31 21:14
us strikes iran by january 15 2026 652 612	139	$27.1K	51,404	4,210	+47,194	No	+$3,841	01-15 02:03
us strikes iran by january 11 2026 946	52	$21.4K	15,883	9,270	+6,613	No	+$547	01-12 02:40
maduro in us custody by january 31	1	$20.0K	20,000	0	+20,000	Yes	+$20	01-06 06:55
us strikes iran by february 28 2026 227 967 547 688 589 491 592 418 452 924 384 915 464 672 196 157 993 596 269 535 381 391 471 256 988 997 296 225 762 973 292 827 345 182 558 215 794 879 189 761	47	$19.6K	21,420	11,740	+9,680	Yes	+$2,131	02-20 23:15
us x venezuela military engagement by december 31 391 819 722 945 174 285 817 971 353 859 836 598 255 382 192 983	5	$18.0K	7,832	10,322	-2,489	No	-$8	01-03 15:58
will donald trump not announce a new nominee for chair of the federal reserve before february 2026	30	$17.5K	19,451	0	+19,451	No	-$16,169	01-30 00:35
us strikes iran by january 16 2026 498	116	$12.6K	13,680	8,838	+4,842	No	-$780	01-15 13:54
us strikes iran by january 14 2026 913	84	$12.2K	18,753	6,313	+12,441	No	+$561	01-15 01:34
will solv energy incs market cap be less than 3pt8b at market close on ipo day	87	$11.4K	36,993	2,753	+34,239	No	+$447	02-13 11:59
US strikes Iran by March 31, 2026?	46	$10.8K	14,126	14,192	-66	Yes	+$864	02-24 03:06
khamenei out as supreme leader of iran by march 31	24	$10.4K	8,408	6,408	+2,000	Yes	-$530	02-19 03:58
fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after january 2026 meeting	3	$8.9K	3,599	5,599	-2,000	No	+$148	01-23 14:55
us strikes iran by february 21 2026	9	$8.2K	4,593	4,593	+0	No	+$99	02-19 04:09
tesla launches unsupervised full self driving fsd by march 31	99	$7.7K	14,099	1,788	+12,311	Yes	+$255	01-28 23:26
earnings mentions netflix 2026 01 20 warner bros 1 times	126	$7.1K	66,193	51,491	+14,702	Yes	+$710	01-22 16:28
will tariffs generate 250b in 2025	35	$6.4K	0	6,508	-6,508	No	-$81	01-09 21:03
will the iranian regime fall by march 31	12	$6.1K	2,434	5,200	-2,766	No	+$70	02-19 20:13
russia x ukraine ceasefire by march 31 2026	25	$5.9K	27,907	27,829	+78	No	-$1,314	02-20 23:06

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
03-26 04:44:49	will hamas agree to disarm by march 31 966	Yes	SELL	200	3¢	$6	0xd2e862…
03-26 04:29:15	will 20 ships transit the strait of hormuz on any day in march	No	SELL	290	84¢	$244	0xb61a52…
03-26 04:23:13	Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25+ bps after the April 2026 meeting?	Yes	SELL	2,894	3¢	$78	0x0d292f…
03-26 04:20:29	Will Trump visit China by April 30?	No	SELL	20	98¢	$20	0x6e3cac…
03-26 04:14:51	Jerome Powell out from Fed Board by May 30?	No	SELL	235	59¢	$138	0xdec78c…
03-26 04:13:57	will trump sue powell by march 31	No	SELL	108	98¢	$106	0x715249…
03-26 04:13:37	Will John Ternus be the next CEO of Apple?	No	SELL	107	61¢	$66	0x28ad04…
03-26 04:12:19	Will Pam Bondi leave the Trump administration before 2027?	No	SELL	233	57¢	$133	0xc6473b…
03-26 04:11:57	Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by June 30, 2026?	Yes	SELL	1,000	15¢	$150	0xf8b8a1…
03-26 04:11:13	will 20 ships transit the strait of hormuz on any day in march	No	SELL	10	85¢	$8	0xaf6d0e…
03-26 04:09:49	Jerome Powell out from Fed Board by May 30?	No	SELL	338	63¢	$213	0x5f566a…
03-18 18:55:15	Jerome Powell out from Fed Board by May 30?	No	BUY	400	52¢	$207	0x13a76f…
03-18 18:54:35	Jerome Powell out from Fed Board by May 30?	No	BUY	0	36¢	$0	0xf474d3…
03-18 18:54:35	Jerome Powell out from Fed Board by May 30?	No	BUY	0	36¢	$0	0x844dea…
03-18 18:54:25	Jerome Powell out from Fed Board by May 30?	No	BUY	173	48¢	$83	0xa0192e…
03-17 23:43:21	will 20 ships transit the strait of hormuz on any day in march	No	BUY	95	71¢	$67	0x40c950…
03-17 22:54:55	will 20 ships transit the strait of hormuz on any day in march	No	BUY	39	71¢	$28	0x795296…
03-17 22:54:41	will 20 ships transit the strait of hormuz on any day in march	No	BUY	103	71¢	$73	0xe6523c…
03-17 21:16:11	will 20 ships transit the strait of hormuz on any day in march	No	BUY	13	71¢	$9	0xd0df67…
03-17 21:12:13	will 20 ships transit the strait of hormuz on any day in march	No	BUY	50	71¢	$36	0x2ea6a0…
03-17 19:34:13	will asu frat leader varis be the 1 chad on march 20	Yes	BUY	33	97¢	$32	0xc769f4…
03-17 17:27:33	Will John Ternus be the next CEO of Apple?	No	BUY	50	53¢	$26	0x89568a…
03-17 17:27:23	Will John Ternus be the next CEO of Apple?	No	BUY	57	47¢	$27	0x9cf40f…
02-24 03:06:16	US strikes Iran by March 31, 2026?	No	SELL	1,931	37¢	$714	0xfd022e…
02-24 03:04:10	tim cook out as apple ceo by march 31	No	SELL	99	95¢	$95	0x6d3900…
02-24 03:03:32	Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by June 30?	No	SELL	284	66¢	$188	0x737941…
02-24 03:03:12	Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by June 30?	No	SELL	192	66¢	$127	0x26fa90…
02-24 02:58:56	will the fed cutpausepause in the next three decisions decjanmar	Yes	SELL	169	95¢	$161	0x9fd26c…
02-24 02:56:16	US strikes Iran by March 15, 2026?	No	SELL	1,000	47¢	$470	0x65d2c0…
02-20 23:15:32	Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by June 30?	No	SELL	5	61¢	$3	0x34d0ba…
02-20 23:15:20	us strikes iran by february 28 2026 227 967 547 688 589 491 592 418 452 924 384 915 464 672 196 157 993 596 269 535 381 391 471 256 988 997 296 225 762 973 292 827 345 182 558 215 794 879 189 761	Yes	SELL	5	25¢	$1	0xb5232e…
02-20 23:10:58	Will Donald Trump visit China in 2026?	Yes	SELL	110	97¢	$106	0xd88c71…
02-20 23:06:36	russia x ukraine ceasefire by march 31 2026	Yes	SELL	15,000	4¢	$570	0xe7a659…
02-20 23:02:54	susie wiles out as white house chief of staff by march 31	No	SELL	268	95¢	$255	0xc2e0c2…
02-20 22:55:40	Jerome Powell out from Fed Board by May 30?	Yes	SELL	502	61¢	$306	0x240029…
02-20 22:55:16	kristi noem out by march 31	No	SELL	492	81¢	$398	0x86f6df…
02-20 22:42:40	Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by end of 2026?	Yes	SELL	3,048	37¢	$1,128	0x175b64…
02-20 22:39:30	will the us collect less than 100b in revenue in 2025	Yes	SELL	680	96¢	$652	0x52300a…
02-20 22:38:58	Opinion FDV above $250M one day after launch?	Yes	SELL	1,000	81¢	$810	0x233821…
02-20 08:19:08	Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by end of 2026?	Yes	SELL	118	39¢	$46	0xfd4055…
02-20 08:05:34	Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by end of 2026?	Yes	SELL	5	39¢	$2	0x239cd5…
02-20 07:54:26	Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by end of 2026?	Yes	SELL	0	39¢	$0	0x6c702c…
02-20 07:27:32	Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by end of 2026?	Yes	SELL	0	39¢	$0	0xc27439…
02-20 06:55:50	Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by end of 2026?	Yes	SELL	40	39¢	$16	0xa50429…
02-20 06:40:06	Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by end of 2026?	Yes	SELL	1	39¢	$0	0x78f438…
02-20 06:05:14	Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by end of 2026?	Yes	SELL	32	39¢	$13	0xc60d58…
02-20 06:00:06	Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by end of 2026?	Yes	SELL	52	39¢	$20	0xc1ce6f…
02-20 05:57:24	Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by end of 2026?	Yes	SELL	48	39¢	$19	0x0283bf…
02-20 05:36:14	Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by end of 2026?	Yes	SELL	26	39¢	$10	0x933036…
02-20 05:15:04	Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by end of 2026?	Yes	SELL	3	39¢	$1	0x1ce942…
02-20 05:02:56	Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by end of 2026?	Yes	SELL	32	39¢	$12	0xad7557…
02-20 05:02:32	Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by end of 2026?	Yes	SELL	59	39¢	$23	0xf43057…
02-20 05:02:28	Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by end of 2026?	Yes	SELL	90	39¢	$35	0x6a91e4…
02-20 05:02:22	Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by end of 2026?	Yes	SELL	15	39¢	$6	0x379a9c…
02-20 05:02:18	Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by end of 2026?	Yes	SELL	24	39¢	$9	0x1b3285…
02-20 04:50:04	Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by end of 2026?	Yes	SELL	1	39¢	$0	0xa8f8ec…
02-20 04:46:50	Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by end of 2026?	Yes	SELL	3	39¢	$1	0x83b2fb…
02-20 03:56:48	Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by end of 2026?	Yes	SELL	48	39¢	$19	0x501fb0…
02-20 03:50:28	Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by end of 2026?	Yes	SELL	3	39¢	$1	0x1af3bd…
02-20 03:50:18	Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by end of 2026?	Yes	SELL	32	39¢	$13	0x1a5d13…
02-20 03:32:12	Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by end of 2026?	Yes	SELL	32	39¢	$13	0x8252ab…
02-20 03:26:22	Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by end of 2026?	Yes	SELL	3	39¢	$1	0x90c7a9…
02-20 03:20:30	Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by end of 2026?	Yes	SELL	89	39¢	$35	0x63398b…
02-20 03:01:16	Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by end of 2026?	Yes	SELL	97	39¢	$38	0xae28a1…
02-20 02:56:24	Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by end of 2026?	Yes	SELL	5	39¢	$2	0x09d4a4…
02-20 02:56:22	Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by end of 2026?	Yes	SELL	5	39¢	$2	0xc1325f…
02-20 02:52:58	Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by end of 2026?	Yes	SELL	5	39¢	$2	0xb33b9c…
02-20 02:52:48	Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by end of 2026?	Yes	SELL	3	39¢	$1	0x63f746…
02-20 01:32:02	Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by end of 2026?	Yes	SELL	25	39¢	$10	0x3e3fe5…
02-20 01:17:40	Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by end of 2026?	Yes	SELL	13	39¢	$5	0xc2d5e3…
02-20 01:04:10	Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by end of 2026?	Yes	SELL	5	39¢	$2	0x7d2271…
02-20 01:00:42	Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by end of 2026?	Yes	SELL	220	39¢	$86	0x50f813…
02-20 00:50:46	Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by end of 2026?	Yes	SELL	20	39¢	$8	0x8bbbd6…
02-20 00:15:14	Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by end of 2026?	Yes	SELL	64	39¢	$25	0x089058…
02-19 23:46:04	Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by end of 2026?	Yes	SELL	360	39¢	$141	0xbbecc0…
02-19 23:45:08	Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by end of 2026?	Yes	SELL	4	39¢	$2	0x8cee2b…
02-19 23:43:32	Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by end of 2026?	Yes	SELL	8	39¢	$3	0x15e589…
02-19 23:43:04	Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by end of 2026?	Yes	SELL	12	39¢	$5	0x15529a…
02-19 23:42:32	Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by end of 2026?	Yes	SELL	12	39¢	$5	0xa4add8…
02-19 23:42:30	Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by end of 2026?	Yes	SELL	2	39¢	$1	0xc21b08…
02-19 23:42:16	Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by end of 2026?	Yes	SELL	2	39¢	$1	0xa76d3b…
02-19 23:20:02	Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by end of 2026?	Yes	SELL	60	39¢	$24	0x7fb663…
02-19 23:18:18	Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by end of 2026?	Yes	SELL	35	39¢	$14	0x7d3401…
02-19 23:16:12	Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by end of 2026?	Yes	SELL	1	39¢	$0	0xc4cdb9…
02-19 23:16:02	Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by end of 2026?	Yes	SELL	1	39¢	$0	0x6f07ef…
02-19 23:15:46	Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by end of 2026?	Yes	SELL	42	39¢	$16	0x392e6d…
02-19 23:15:34	Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by end of 2026?	Yes	SELL	41	39¢	$16	0xddee73…
02-19 23:15:20	Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by end of 2026?	Yes	SELL	6	39¢	$2	0x4b52c5…
02-19 23:13:28	Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by end of 2026?	Yes	SELL	27	39¢	$10	0xac5e3b…
02-19 23:00:44	Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by end of 2026?	Yes	SELL	32	39¢	$12	0x6cca33…
02-19 23:00:42	Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by end of 2026?	Yes	SELL	44	39¢	$17	0xc861ba…
02-19 22:56:32	Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by end of 2026?	Yes	SELL	23	39¢	$9	0x0204c2…
02-19 22:55:58	Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by end of 2026?	Yes	SELL	43	39¢	$17	0x387072…
02-19 22:55:16	Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by end of 2026?	Yes	SELL	33	39¢	$13	0x3cf6ed…
02-19 22:53:20	Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by end of 2026?	Yes	SELL	60	39¢	$23	0xa86d28…
02-19 22:46:46	Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by end of 2026?	Yes	SELL	51	39¢	$20	0x28d9f4…
02-19 22:44:36	Will the US strike Somalia next?	Yes	BUY	20	100¢	$20	0x7c3052…
02-19 22:44:36	Will the US strike Somalia next?	Yes	BUY	17	100¢	$17	0x20859d…
02-19 22:41:52	Will the US strike Somalia next?	Yes	BUY	16	87¢	$14	0x0e49e1…
02-19 22:40:06	Will the US strike Somalia next?	Yes	BUY	20	99¢	$20	0x7acf56…