Wallet — Polymarket

Realized P&L (24h)

+$8

Unrealized P&L

-$2

Hit rate

72.3%

Resolved (24h)

Trades (24h)

18,165 lifetime

Volume (24h)

$18

$16.9K lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

$40

2 positions

First seen

2026-05-15

last 11-09 10:23

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 154 days

Categories

Crypto

62% 34% -$320

Other

21% 18% -$347

Politics

10% 22% -$63

Tech

4% 0% -$6

Sports

2% 56% -$16

Pop-Culture

1% 0% -$3

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

78 active days in 12wk • peak 542 trades/day

Open positions (2) Resolved markets (27) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will Swim – BTS be the top song for 2026?	No		+40	$24	100¢	$40	+$16	07-17 12:15
Will Swim – BTS be the top song for 2026?	Yes		+40	$18	0¢	$0	-$18	07-17 04:59

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will GPT-5.6 be released on July 9, 2026?	29	$557	844	197	+648	Yes	-$4	07-07 20:14
israel x iran ceasefire continues through july 31 20260716224448968	4	$455	400	400	+0	Yes	-$21	07-19 05:13
iran successfully targets shipping by july 31 20260707223722048 726	30	$370	448	232	+216	Yes	+$2	07-09 01:10
Clarity Act signed into law in 2026?	4	$200	200	200	+0	open	—	07-18 02:50
Will Zelenskyy post 80-99 posts from July 7 to July 14, 2026?	15	$141	130	120	+10	No	-$28	07-06 03:40
Will Ali Khamenei be the #1 searched passing on Google this year?	13	$134	139	129	+10	open	—	07-19 09:29
Will Core PCE MoM be 0.3% in June?	4	$131	240	0	+240	No	-$11	07-06 11:18
israel x iran ceasefire continues through august 31 20260716224448970	2	$128	100	100	+0	Yes	-$4	07-19 08:33
Will the next Google Gemini Pro model be released on July 17, 2026?	7	$122	157	57	+100	No	-$6	07-06 05:52
iran full airspace closure by august 31 20260625195254151 668	9	$120	165	165	+0	No	+$11	07-22 11:36
bfc quarterly earnings gaap eps 07 17 2026 2pt25	6	$114	177	41	+135	No	-$3	07-07 14:20
will the next grok model released by xai debut at a score of at least 1470 by december 31 2026 20260708011851341	4	$109	210	6	+203	No	+$1	07-08 17:02
Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 31°C on July 8?	16	$107	213	16	+198	No	$0	07-06 08:43
will trump post rigged on truth social this week 20260717143433887	10	$106	180	60	+120	Yes	-$14	07-20 09:11
Will Troy Jackson be the Maine Senate Democratic nominee on July 27?	10	$95	178	18	+160	Yes	-$4	07-07 15:44
Will "I Knew It, I Knew You - Taylor Swift" be the Billboard Hot 100 #2 song for the week of August 1?	11	$91	120	60	+60	Yes	-$2	07-18 23:20
Will "Moana" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 34m and 39m?	7	$89	101	101	+0	No	-$36	07-10 21:15
graham platner divorce by october 31 20260706220148808	10	$85	168	20	+148	No	-$9	07-09 01:25
will goldman sachs gs q2 investment banking fees be above 2pt35b	7	$78	160	160	+0	Yes	-$39	07-09 07:34
Will Norway win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	34	$73	1,644	1,645	-1	No	+$10	06-30 15:45
Will Shannon Taylor be the VA-01 Democratic nominee?	5	$71	42	42	+0	Yes	+$0	07-07 16:00
iran full airspace closure by july 24	10	$67	246	246	+0	No	-$3	07-20 11:48
Will Emily Hawryschuk record the fastest shot at the 2026 WLL All-Star Skills Competition?	5	$67	120	120	+0	Yes	-$42	07-06 07:06
Will Mohamed Salah play in Saudi Pro League next?	5	$65	150	150	+0	No	-$11	07-20 09:12
Will Chuck Norris be the #1 searched passing on Google this year?	6	$64	149	131	+17	open	—	07-20 04:25
Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 29°C on July 8?	6	$61	120	0	+120	Yes	-$1	07-06 09:38
Will Nigel Farage win at least 80% of votes in the Clacton parliamentary by-election?	4	$61	107	107	+0	No	-$1	07-09 04:35
moscow air traffic suspended by july 31 20260708134955088	2	$57	40	40	+0	Yes	-$3	07-10 04:49
will chevron cvx q2 oil equivalent barrels per day net production koebd be above 4pt0m 20260718020317331	4	$57	40	40	+0	Yes	-$5	07-19 23:00
Bitcoin Up or Down - August 23, 1:05PM-1:10PM ET	3	$56	99	50	+50	Up	-$44	08-23 17:08

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
11-09 10:23:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 9, 5:20AM-5:25AM ET	Up	SELL	1	86¢	$1	0x29a5d8…
11-09 10:20:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 9, 5:20AM-5:25AM ET	Up	BUY	2	47¢	$1	0x41d853…
11-09 10:19:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 9, 5:15AM-5:20AM ET	Down	SELL	1	91¢	$1	0x6b94f2…
11-09 10:19:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 9, 5:15AM-5:20AM ET	Down	BUY	1	67¢	$1	0xb0e0ba…
11-09 09:52:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 9, 4:50AM-4:55AM ET	Up	BUY	2	53¢	$1	0xfafe57…
11-09 09:41:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 9, 4:40AM-4:45AM ET	Up	BUY	2	60¢	$1	0x378a9d…
11-09 09:33:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 9, 4:30AM-4:35AM ET	Down	BUY	1	75¢	$1	0x534b3b…
11-09 09:32:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 9, 4:30AM-4:35AM ET	Up	BUY	2	60¢	$1	0xb2e88d…
11-09 09:28:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 9, 4:25AM-4:30AM ET	Up	BUY	2	41¢	$1	0x4ca551…
11-09 09:01:01	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 9, 4:00AM-4:05AM ET	Up	BUY	3	33¢	$1	0x067205…
11-09 06:57:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 9, 1:55AM-2:00AM ET	Down	BUY	1	72¢	$1	0x84287d…
11-09 06:57:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 9, 1:55AM-2:00AM ET	Up	BUY	1	69¢	$1	0x9e7936…
11-09 02:24:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 8, 9:20PM-9:25PM ET	Up	SELL	2	99¢	$2	0xfa304e…
11-09 02:23:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 8, 9:20PM-9:25PM ET	Up	SELL	2	94¢	$2	0xe2de4a…
11-09 02:22:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 8, 9:20PM-9:25PM ET	Up	BUY	3	31¢	$1	0x024a82…
11-08 16:42:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 8, 11:40AM-11:45AM ET	Up	SELL	2	80¢	$1	0x24c465…
11-08 16:41:43	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 8, 11:40AM-11:45AM ET	Up	BUY	3	29¢	$1	0xf2d90d…
11-08 04:16:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 7, 11:15PM-11:20PM ET	Up	BUY	2	59¢	$1	0x854ce9…
11-08 04:14:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 7, 11:10PM-11:15PM ET	Up	BUY	1	88¢	$1	0x3bdd02…
11-08 00:22:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 7, 7:20PM-7:25PM ET	Up	BUY	2	60¢	$1	0xaef3d3…
11-07 23:52:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 7, 6:50PM-6:55PM ET	Up	BUY	3	39¢	$1	0x4e16dd…
11-07 23:42:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 7, 6:40PM-6:45PM ET	Up	BUY	2	51¢	$1	0x5b6c10…
11-07 23:19:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 7, 6:15PM-6:20PM ET	Up	SELL	7	7¢	$0	0x4038d5…
11-07 23:17:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 7, 6:15PM-6:20PM ET	Up	BUY	7	15¢	$1	0xff7077…
11-07 22:44:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 7, 5:40PM-5:45PM ET	Up	SELL	3	99¢	$3	0x069e01…
11-07 22:43:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 7, 5:40PM-5:45PM ET	Up	BUY	1	85¢	$1	0x1ff7bc…
11-07 22:43:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 7, 5:40PM-5:45PM ET	Down	BUY	1	85¢	$1	0x4693bb…
11-07 22:43:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 7, 5:40PM-5:45PM ET	Down	BUY	1	76¢	$1	0x11976a…
11-07 22:41:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 7, 5:40PM-5:45PM ET	Up	BUY	2	60¢	$1	0xa1b97d…
11-07 22:40:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 7, 5:35PM-5:40PM ET	Down	SELL	2	99¢	$2	0x73c3a7…
11-07 22:39:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 7, 5:35PM-5:40PM ET	Down	SELL	2	99¢	$2	0xd3e3f5…
11-07 22:39:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 7, 5:35PM-5:40PM ET	Down	BUY	1	86¢	$1	0x6acebc…
11-07 22:38:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 7, 5:35PM-5:40PM ET	Down	BUY	1	76¢	$1	0x4699e7…
11-07 22:38:31	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 7, 5:35PM-5:40PM ET	Down	BUY	1	70¢	$1	0x6a5276…
11-07 22:38:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 7, 5:35PM-5:40PM ET	Up	BUY	1	88¢	$1	0x6bb9b2…
11-07 22:14:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 7, 5:10PM-5:15PM ET	Down	SELL	3	99¢	$3	0x9e50cc…
11-07 22:14:01	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 7, 5:10PM-5:15PM ET	Down	BUY	1	83¢	$1	0xa694a1…
11-07 22:13:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 7, 5:10PM-5:15PM ET	Down	BUY	2	60¢	$1	0xd53de7…
11-07 22:12:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 7, 5:10PM-5:15PM ET	Up	BUY	2	50¢	$1	0xaae4e4…
11-07 17:13:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 7, 12:10PM-12:15PM ET	Up	SELL	1	98¢	$1	0xc9de0b…
11-07 17:13:25	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 7, 12:10PM-12:15PM ET	Up	SELL	1	97¢	$1	0x2d4a8d…
11-07 17:10:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 7, 12:10PM-12:15PM ET	Up	BUY	2	56¢	$1	0xccd8c2…
11-07 17:07:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 7, 12:05PM-12:10PM ET	Up	SELL	4	22¢	$1	0x96217e…
11-07 17:06:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 7, 12:05PM-12:10PM ET	Up	BUY	7	14¢	$1	0x2ea16c…
11-07 17:00:55	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 7, 12:00PM-12:05PM ET	Up	SELL	2	89¢	$2	0x2cc514…
11-07 17:00:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 7, 12:00PM-12:05PM ET	Up	BUY	5	59¢	$3	0x9dadf8…
11-07 16:58:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 7, 11:55AM-12:00PM ET	Down	BUY	5	44¢	$2	0x9074ff…
11-07 16:57:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 7, 11:55AM-12:00PM ET	Down	BUY	1	72¢	$1	0x1de3ba…
11-07 16:55:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 7, 11:55AM-12:00PM ET	Up	BUY	1	74¢	$1	0x2e2d54…
11-07 16:51:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 7, 11:50AM-11:55AM ET	Up	SELL	1	53¢	$1	0x66f066…
11-07 16:50:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 7, 11:50AM-11:55AM ET	Up	BUY	2	45¢	$1	0x5bb7c0…
11-07 16:45:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 7, 11:45AM-11:50AM ET	Up	BUY	5	17¢	$1	0x393e54…
11-07 16:45:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 7, 11:45AM-11:50AM ET	Up	BUY	2	57¢	$1	0xb35471…
11-07 16:43:49	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 7, 11:40AM-11:45AM ET	Up	SELL	1	99¢	$1	0xac3f5c…
11-07 16:41:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 7, 11:40AM-11:45AM ET	Up	BUY	1	69¢	$1	0xf7c9d5…
11-07 14:09:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 7, 9:05AM-9:10AM ET	Up	SELL	3	99¢	$3	0x67b573…
11-07 14:07:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 7, 9:05AM-9:10AM ET	Up	BUY	1	71¢	$1	0x6f1f52…
11-07 14:06:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 7, 9:05AM-9:10AM ET	Up	BUY	1	80¢	$1	0x38fb6a…
11-07 14:05:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 7, 9:05AM-9:10AM ET	Down	BUY	1	70¢	$1	0xfacd20…
11-07 14:00:25	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 7, 9:00AM-9:05AM ET	Down	BUY	2	55¢	$1	0xd49e6f…
11-07 13:08:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 7, 8:05AM-8:10AM ET	Down	SELL	2	99¢	$2	0x9bc7e6…
11-07 13:05:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 7, 8:05AM-8:10AM ET	Down	BUY	2	55¢	$1	0x988433…
11-07 12:29:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 7, 7:25AM-7:30AM ET	Down	SELL	1	99¢	$1	0x843f89…
11-07 12:29:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 7, 7:25AM-7:30AM ET	Down	SELL	1	99¢	$1	0x6869aa…
11-07 12:25:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 7, 7:25AM-7:30AM ET	Down	BUY	2	51¢	$1	0x842e13…
11-07 12:24:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 7, 7:20AM-7:25AM ET	Down	BUY	2	41¢	$1	0x68aa06…
11-07 12:07:25	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 7, 7:05AM-7:10AM ET	Down	SELL	2	57¢	$1	0x541f78…
11-07 12:06:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 7, 7:05AM-7:10AM ET	Down	BUY	2	43¢	$1	0x18bb61…
11-07 12:06:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 7, 7:05AM-7:10AM ET	Down	BUY	1	77¢	$1	0x1aa49f…
11-07 12:00:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 7, 7:00AM-7:05AM ET	Down	BUY	3	36¢	$1	0xc4fcfd…
11-07 11:53:25	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 7, 6:50AM-6:55AM ET	Down	BUY	1	73¢	$1	0x8153ed…
11-07 11:41:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 7, 6:40AM-6:45AM ET	Down	BUY	2	42¢	$1	0x0e3be6…
11-07 11:37:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 7, 6:35AM-6:40AM ET	Down	BUY	2	41¢	$1	0xc866b7…
11-07 05:38:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 7, 12:35AM-12:40AM ET	Up	BUY	1	94¢	$1	0xe5c4cc…
11-07 05:38:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 7, 12:35AM-12:40AM ET	Up	BUY	1	87¢	$1	0x630cb0…
11-07 05:35:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 7, 12:35AM-12:40AM ET	Down	BUY	2	57¢	$1	0x5d26c2…
11-07 05:34:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 7, 12:30AM-12:35AM ET	Up	SELL	4	98¢	$4	0x7f1aed…
11-07 05:34:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 7, 12:30AM-12:35AM ET	Up	BUY	1	79¢	$1	0x4e2138…
11-07 05:34:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 7, 12:30AM-12:35AM ET	Up	BUY	1	97¢	$1	0x723e6d…
11-07 05:33:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 7, 12:30AM-12:35AM ET	Up	BUY	1	73¢	$1	0xf466f8…
11-07 05:32:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 7, 12:30AM-12:35AM ET	Down	BUY	1	78¢	$1	0x841c35…
11-07 05:11:49	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 7, 12:10AM-12:15AM ET	Up	BUY	2	62¢	$1	0xa7d6a6…
11-07 05:01:37	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 7, 12:00AM-12:05AM ET	Up	BUY	2	66¢	$1	0x1a4884…
11-07 04:58:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 6, 11:55PM-12:00AM ET	Up	SELL	3	30¢	$1	0x6076a0…
11-07 04:58:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 6, 11:55PM-12:00AM ET	Up	BUY	3	36¢	$1	0xdac450…
11-07 01:47:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 6, 8:45PM-8:50PM ET	Down	BUY	1	69¢	$1	0x28b6a7…
11-07 00:35:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 6, 7:35PM-7:40PM ET	Up	BUY	2	64¢	$1	0x6508fc…
11-07 00:30:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 6, 7:30PM-7:35PM ET	Down	BUY	2	41¢	$1	0x732a2c…
11-07 00:21:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 6, 7:20PM-7:25PM ET	Down	BUY	2	57¢	$1	0x097878…
11-07 00:17:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 6, 7:15PM-7:20PM ET	Down	BUY	2	57¢	$1	0x7d630e…
11-06 15:22:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 6, 10:20AM-10:25AM ET	Up	BUY	2	49¢	$1	0x12d812…
11-06 15:05:01	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 6, 10:00AM-10:05AM ET	Down	SELL	1	99¢	$1	0x91d0dc…
11-06 15:02:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 6, 10:00AM-10:05AM ET	Down	BUY	1	76¢	$1	0x2da320…
11-06 15:02:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 6, 10:00AM-10:05AM ET	Up	SELL	2	23¢	$0	0x8443b7…
11-06 15:01:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 6, 10:00AM-10:05AM ET	Up	BUY	2	49¢	$1	0x8a4771…
11-06 14:31:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 6, 9:30AM-9:35AM ET	Up	BUY	2	62¢	$1	0xaffddf…
11-06 14:31:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 6, 9:30AM-9:35AM ET	Up	BUY	1	72¢	$1	0xc4ec49…
11-06 14:19:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 6, 9:15AM-9:20AM ET	Up	SELL	2	34¢	$1	0x4f26f6…
11-06 14:17:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 6, 9:15AM-9:20AM ET	Up	BUY	2	45¢	$1	0xe0b2f4…
11-06 14:16:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 6, 9:15AM-9:20AM ET	Up	SELL	3	48¢	$1	0xbd3768…