Wallet — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$745

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

33.6%

Resolved

8,418

Trades

17,877

lifetime

Volume

$16.6K

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-05-15

last 10-29 14:58

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 144 days

Categories

Crypto

61% 34% -$319

Other

22% 18% -$338

Politics

10% 22% -$63

Tech

4% 0% -$6

Sports

2% 56% -$16

Pop-Culture

1% 0% -$3

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

79 active days in 12wk • peak 542 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (26) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will GPT-5.6 be released on July 9, 2026?	29	$557	844	197	+648	Yes	-$4	07-07 20:14
israel x iran ceasefire continues through july 31 20260716224448968	4	$455	400	400	+0	Yes	-$21	07-19 05:13
iran successfully targets shipping by july 31 20260707223722048 726	30	$370	448	232	+216	Yes	+$2	07-09 01:10
Clarity Act signed into law in 2026?	4	$200	200	200	+0	open	—	07-18 02:50
Will Zelenskyy post 80-99 posts from July 7 to July 14, 2026?	15	$141	130	120	+10	No	-$28	07-06 03:40
Will Ali Khamenei be the #1 searched passing on Google this year?	13	$134	139	129	+10	open	—	07-19 09:29
Will Core PCE MoM be 0.3% in June?	4	$131	240	0	+240	No	-$11	07-06 11:18
israel x iran ceasefire continues through august 31 20260716224448970	2	$128	100	100	+0	Yes	-$4	07-19 08:33
Will the next Google Gemini Pro model be released on July 17, 2026?	7	$122	157	57	+100	No	-$6	07-06 05:52
iran full airspace closure by august 31 20260625195254151 668	9	$120	165	165	+0	No	+$11	07-22 11:36
bfc quarterly earnings gaap eps 07 17 2026 2pt25	6	$114	177	41	+135	No	-$3	07-07 14:20
will the next grok model released by xai debut at a score of at least 1470 by december 31 2026 20260708011851341	4	$109	210	6	+203	No	+$1	07-08 17:02
Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 31°C on July 8?	16	$107	213	16	+198	No	$0	07-06 08:43
will trump post rigged on truth social this week 20260717143433887	10	$106	180	60	+120	Yes	-$14	07-20 09:11
Will Troy Jackson be the Maine Senate Democratic nominee on July 27?	10	$95	178	18	+160	Yes	-$4	07-07 15:44
Will "I Knew It, I Knew You - Taylor Swift" be the Billboard Hot 100 #2 song for the week of August 1?	11	$91	120	60	+60	Yes	-$2	07-18 23:20
Will "Moana" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 34m and 39m?	7	$89	101	101	+0	No	-$36	07-10 21:15
graham platner divorce by october 31 20260706220148808	10	$85	168	20	+148	open	—	07-09 01:25
will goldman sachs gs q2 investment banking fees be above 2pt35b	7	$78	160	160	+0	Yes	-$39	07-09 07:34
Will Norway win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	34	$73	1,644	1,645	-1	No	+$10	06-30 15:45
Will Shannon Taylor be the VA-01 Democratic nominee?	5	$71	42	42	+0	Yes	+$0	07-07 16:00
iran full airspace closure by july 24	10	$67	246	246	+0	No	-$3	07-20 11:48
Will Emily Hawryschuk record the fastest shot at the 2026 WLL All-Star Skills Competition?	5	$67	120	120	+0	Yes	-$42	07-06 07:06
Will Mohamed Salah play in Saudi Pro League next?	5	$65	150	150	+0	No	-$11	07-20 09:12
Will Chuck Norris be the #1 searched passing on Google this year?	6	$64	149	131	+17	open	—	07-20 04:25
Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 29°C on July 8?	6	$61	120	0	+120	Yes	-$1	07-06 09:38
Will Nigel Farage win at least 80% of votes in the Clacton parliamentary by-election?	4	$61	107	107	+0	No	-$1	07-09 04:35
moscow air traffic suspended by july 31 20260708134955088	2	$57	40	40	+0	Yes	-$3	07-10 04:49
will chevron cvx q2 oil equivalent barrels per day net production koebd be above 4pt0m 20260718020317331	4	$57	40	40	+0	Yes	-$5	07-19 23:00
Bitcoin Up or Down - August 23, 1:05PM-1:10PM ET	3	$56	99	50	+50	Up	-$44	08-23 17:08

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-29 14:58:47	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 10:55AM-11:00AM ET	Down	BUY	5	22¢	$1	0xee1ee3…
10-29 14:26:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 10:25AM-10:30AM ET	Up	BUY	2	64¢	$1	0x64b428…
10-29 14:08:55	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 10:05AM-10:10AM ET	Down	BUY	1	79¢	$1	0x5dabfa…
10-29 14:08:01	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 10:05AM-10:10AM ET	Up	BUY	2	58¢	$1	0x6bc8c0…
10-29 09:33:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 5:30AM-5:35AM ET	Down	BUY	2	57¢	$1	0x28e076…
10-29 08:39:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 4:35AM-4:40AM ET	Down	BUY	2	61¢	$1	0x68d5fb…
10-29 08:35:25	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 4:35AM-4:40AM ET	Up	BUY	2	42¢	$1	0xa67bb9…
10-29 08:33:59	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 4:30AM-4:35AM ET	Up	BUY	2	40¢	$1	0x51c117…
10-29 07:22:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 3:20AM-3:25AM ET	Down	BUY	2	48¢	$1	0x7dc21f…
10-29 06:46:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 2:45AM-2:50AM ET	Down	BUY	2	63¢	$1	0x5d76b9…
10-29 06:42:49	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 2:40AM-2:45AM ET	Down	BUY	2	47¢	$1	0xc669a2…
10-29 06:09:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 2:05AM-2:10AM ET	Down	BUY	2	60¢	$1	0xe379e4…
10-28 01:46:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 9:45PM-9:50PM ET	Down	BUY	2	52¢	$1	0x799173…
10-28 01:31:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 9:30PM-9:35PM ET	Down	BUY	1	67¢	$1	0x1b5d74…
10-28 01:26:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 9:25PM-9:30PM ET	Down	BUY	2	56¢	$1	0xc9a77b…
10-28 01:20:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 9:20PM-9:25PM ET	Down	BUY	2	45¢	$1	0xe04720…
10-28 01:15:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 9:15PM-9:20PM ET	Down	BUY	3	32¢	$1	0xe44716…
10-28 01:10:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 9:10PM-9:15PM ET	Down	BUY	1	72¢	$1	0x176a26…
10-28 00:57:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 8:55PM-9:00PM ET	Down	BUY	3	37¢	$1	0x4005da…
10-28 00:17:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 8:15PM-8:20PM ET	Down	BUY	2	63¢	$1	0xbfa887…
10-27 16:01:59	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 12:00PM-12:05PM ET	Down	BUY	2	42¢	$1	0x8daa87…
10-27 15:59:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 11:55AM-12:00PM ET	Down	SELL	1	100¢	$1	0xff6499…
10-27 15:57:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 11:55AM-12:00PM ET	Down	BUY	1	81¢	$1	0x7ca429…
10-27 15:10:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 11:10AM-11:15AM ET	Up	BUY	2	46¢	$1	0x4aff80…
10-27 14:55:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 10:55AM-11:00AM ET	Up	BUY	2	57¢	$1	0xbb7f01…
10-27 14:51:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 10:50AM-10:55AM ET	Up	BUY	1	76¢	$1	0x3bbaa8…
10-27 14:51:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 10:50AM-10:55AM ET	Up	BUY	1	76¢	$1	0xd86708…
10-27 14:45:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 10:45AM-10:50AM ET	Up	BUY	4	28¢	$1	0xb186d3…
10-27 14:42:59	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 10:40AM-10:45AM ET	Up	BUY	2	66¢	$1	0x11d3b6…
10-27 06:42:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 2:40AM-2:45AM ET	Down	BUY	2	50¢	$1	0x8b4c59…
10-27 06:37:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 2:35AM-2:40AM ET	Down	BUY	2	43¢	$1	0xeec519…
10-27 04:22:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 12:20AM-12:25AM ET	Up	BUY	1	78¢	$1	0x1e57d8…
10-27 04:07:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 12:05AM-12:10AM ET	Up	BUY	1	77¢	$1	0x1041e0…
10-27 03:52:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 11:50PM-11:55PM ET	Up	BUY	2	50¢	$1	0xda5647…
10-27 03:45:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 11:45PM-11:50PM ET	Up	BUY	2	47¢	$1	0x7844f5…
10-27 03:42:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 11:40PM-11:45PM ET	Up	BUY	2	59¢	$1	0x0c4ddc…
10-26 23:33:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 7:30PM-7:35PM ET	Down	BUY	1	70¢	$1	0xf57571…
10-26 16:07:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 12:05PM-12:10PM ET	Up	SELL	2	34¢	$1	0xadaf9a…
10-26 16:06:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 12:05PM-12:10PM ET	Up	SELL	4	24¢	$1	0xedb9d4…
10-26 16:05:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 12:05PM-12:10PM ET	Up	BUY	5	21¢	$1	0x45203c…
10-26 16:05:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 12:05PM-12:10PM ET	Up	BUY	3	29¢	$1	0x199477…
10-26 16:01:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 12:00PM-12:05PM ET	Up	BUY	2	45¢	$1	0x464b8d…
10-26 15:50:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 11:50AM-11:55AM ET	Up	BUY	4	26¢	$1	0xfc3f48…
10-26 15:48:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 11:45AM-11:50AM ET	Up	BUY	1	72¢	$1	0xb2107d…
10-26 15:30:29	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 11:30AM-11:35AM ET	Up	BUY	2	42¢	$1	0x063f8b…
10-26 15:25:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 11:25AM-11:30AM ET	Up	BUY	2	42¢	$1	0xce4792…
10-26 15:16:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 11:15AM-11:20AM ET	Up	BUY	2	43¢	$1	0x442feb…
10-26 14:51:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 10:50AM-10:55AM ET	Up	BUY	4	24¢	$1	0xa227a8…
10-26 14:50:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 10:50AM-10:55AM ET	Up	BUY	2	42¢	$1	0x930ab7…
10-26 14:48:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 10:45AM-10:50AM ET	Down	BUY	2	52¢	$1	0x62cf76…
10-26 14:40:47	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 10:40AM-10:45AM ET	Up	BUY	2	52¢	$1	0x273d06…
10-26 07:38:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 3:35AM-3:40AM ET	Down	BUY	2	66¢	$1	0xc39855…
10-26 07:31:47	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 3:30AM-3:35AM ET	Down	BUY	1	67¢	$1	0xe431f7…
10-26 07:22:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 3:20AM-3:25AM ET	Up	BUY	3	30¢	$1	0x77693c…
10-26 07:16:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 3:15AM-3:20AM ET	Up	BUY	2	42¢	$1	0x07aa36…
10-26 07:12:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 3:10AM-3:15AM ET	Up	BUY	4	25¢	$1	0xfa837b…
10-26 06:55:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 2:55AM-3:00AM ET	Down	BUY	2	59¢	$1	0xeb190b…
10-26 06:50:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 2:50AM-2:55AM ET	Down	BUY	1	68¢	$1	0x61aee7…
10-26 06:45:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 2:45AM-2:50AM ET	Down	BUY	1	72¢	$1	0x69cc13…
10-26 06:40:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 2:40AM-2:45AM ET	Down	BUY	2	47¢	$1	0x79cb60…
10-26 05:44:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 1:40AM-1:45AM ET	Up	BUY	6	16¢	$1	0xa1ae4c…
10-26 03:08:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 11:05PM-11:10PM ET	Down	BUY	1	71¢	$1	0xf61583…
10-26 03:00:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 11:00PM-11:05PM ET	Up	BUY	2	64¢	$1	0x46abce…
10-26 02:56:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 10:55PM-11:00PM ET	Down	BUY	3	39¢	$1	0xea008d…
10-26 02:46:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 10:45PM-10:50PM ET	Down	BUY	2	65¢	$1	0xd79a66…
10-26 02:40:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 10:40PM-10:45PM ET	Down	BUY	2	50¢	$1	0x807725…
10-26 02:35:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 10:35PM-10:40PM ET	Down	BUY	2	50¢	$1	0xe8c2db…
10-26 02:30:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 10:30PM-10:35PM ET	Down	BUY	2	61¢	$1	0xf505e5…
10-26 02:25:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 10:25PM-10:30PM ET	Down	BUY	2	48¢	$1	0xff637e…
10-26 02:20:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 10:20PM-10:25PM ET	Down	BUY	1	74¢	$1	0xb23b38…
10-26 02:15:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 10:15PM-10:20PM ET	Down	BUY	2	56¢	$1	0x6535d5…
10-26 02:10:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 10:10PM-10:15PM ET	Down	BUY	1	67¢	$1	0xbbbef8…
10-26 02:00:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 10:00PM-10:05PM ET	Down	BUY	2	53¢	$1	0x2902e7…
10-25 16:45:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 12:45PM-12:50PM ET	Down	BUY	2	56¢	$1	0x0e8e88…
10-25 16:35:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 12:35PM-12:40PM ET	Down	BUY	1	71¢	$1	0x4cab3f…
10-25 16:30:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 12:25PM-12:30PM ET	Up	SELL	3	99¢	$3	0x668903…
10-25 16:29:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 12:25PM-12:30PM ET	Up	BUY	1	76¢	$1	0xcdec94…
10-25 16:29:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 12:25PM-12:30PM ET	Up	BUY	1	75¢	$1	0x00e697…
10-25 16:21:47	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 12:20PM-12:25PM ET	Down	BUY	2	55¢	$1	0xfb36b2…
10-25 16:15:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 12:15PM-12:20PM ET	Down	BUY	2	59¢	$1	0x62f41b…
10-25 16:10:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 12:10PM-12:15PM ET	Down	BUY	2	54¢	$1	0x213367…
10-25 15:21:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 11:20AM-11:25AM ET	Down	BUY	1	75¢	$1	0xc5d35a…
10-25 15:20:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 11:20AM-11:25AM ET	Up	BUY	2	58¢	$1	0x615c4b…
10-25 06:14:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 2:10AM-2:15AM ET	Down	BUY	5	20¢	$1	0xf053d7…
10-25 06:13:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 2:10AM-2:15AM ET	Down	BUY	1	78¢	$1	0xa3890f…
10-25 06:06:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 2:05AM-2:10AM ET	Down	BUY	3	33¢	$1	0x5a9cd6…
10-25 05:57:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 1:55AM-2:00AM ET	Down	SELL	5	17¢	$1	0xea4890…
10-25 05:56:53	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 1:55AM-2:00AM ET	Down	BUY	9	11¢	$1	0x91e9e3…
10-24 16:18:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 24, 12:15PM-12:20PM ET	Down	BUY	2	48¢	$1	0xb7acaa…
10-24 16:15:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 24, 12:15PM-12:20PM ET	Down	BUY	1	70¢	$1	0x95c535…
10-24 16:10:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 24, 12:10PM-12:15PM ET	Down	BUY	2	64¢	$1	0x101c28…
10-24 16:01:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 24, 12:00PM-12:05PM ET	Down	BUY	3	39¢	$1	0xb2c761…
10-24 15:55:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 24, 11:55AM-12:00PM ET	Down	BUY	2	48¢	$1	0xb16a4c…
10-24 15:43:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 24, 11:40AM-11:45AM ET	Up	BUY	1	67¢	$1	0x427011…
10-24 15:26:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 24, 11:25AM-11:30AM ET	Up	BUY	2	40¢	$1	0xcd25e4…
10-24 15:21:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 24, 11:20AM-11:25AM ET	Up	BUY	2	43¢	$1	0xd7129d…
10-24 14:40:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 24, 10:40AM-10:45AM ET	Down	BUY	1	76¢	$1	0x4eb212…
10-24 14:38:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 24, 10:35AM-10:40AM ET	Down	BUY	2	54¢	$1	0xbfc48d…
10-24 12:23:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 24, 8:20AM-8:25AM ET	Down	BUY	4	27¢	$1	0xb00b79…
10-24 00:30:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 23, 8:30PM-8:35PM ET	Down	BUY	2	55¢	$1	0x6ce444…