Wallet — Polymarket

Realized P&L (30d)

-$22

Unrealized P&L

+$18

Hit rate

7.3%

Resolved (30d)

Trades (30d)

420 lifetime

Volume (30d)

$4.46K lifetime

Avg / trade

$11

Open exposure

$28

1 position

First seen

2026-07-01

last 08-24 22:43

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 43 days

Categories

Other

71% 35% +$13

Politics

17% 24% -$115

Sports

6% 43% +$80

Tech

3% 20% -$42

Crypto

3% 0% -$75

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

14 active days in 12wk • peak 43 trades/day

Open positions (1) Resolved markets (27) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will OpenAI launch a new consumer hardware product by December 31, 2026?	Yes		+77	$10	36¢	$28	+$18	08-10 05:12

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will any AI model reach 1550 Math Arena Score by December 31, 2026?	9	$447	253	253	+0	Yes	+$33	07-28 05:42
will edu aguirre attend cristiano ronaldos wedding 20260806200934310	16	$433	378	378	+0	No	+$11	08-10 05:01
Will there be at least 4000 measles cases in the U.S. in 2026?	11	$259	199	199	+0	Yes	-$15	08-07 16:39
uptspt anti cartel operation outside of the uptspt by july 31 20260616215440524	3	$127	109	109	+0	No	+$87	07-31 20:20
will trump speak to emmanuel macron in july 20260626154217431	4	$124	95	95	+0	No	+$65	08-03 18:42
will there be 5 missed penalties during the 2026 fifa world cup 20260610205750573	2	$124	98	98	+0	Yes	+$72	07-07 17:52
will donald trump publicly insult tucker carlson by july 31 2026 20260626210612710	12	$121	1,272	272	+1,000	Yes	+$28	08-04 16:39
will kai or speed be eliminated by the void 20260807142948643	3	$114	80	80	+0	No	+$44	08-12 23:10
will ethereum dip to 1800 in july 2026 from july 14	4	$113	125	42	+83	No	-$57	07-19 23:04
Will Venezuela recognize Israel by December 31?	7	$112	85	85	+0	open	—	08-13 20:29
Will Rodri join Real Madrid?	33	$94	1,528	0	+1,528	No	-$94	08-18 08:04
Will Alibaba be the third-best Code Arena \| WebDev AI lab at the end of August 2026?	6	$90	104	104	+0	Yes	+$14	08-09 19:25
will hamas agree to disarm by december 31	4	$88	126	126	+0	open	—	08-08 05:56
Will Kai and Speed have 90 or more total in-game deaths during their Minecraft marathon?	3	$80	60	60	+0	No	+$40	08-12 22:32
will kai or speed die to a zombie 20260811133404154	3	$79	70	70	+0	No	+$60	08-12 22:32
us announces end of iranian blockade by august 7 2026 20260727171523690	5	$77	58	58	+0	No	+$20	08-06 20:26
will ronaldo cry at the world cup 20260604013616610	3	$76	30,036	36	+30,000	Yes	-$4	07-09 20:26
Will Argentina win on 2026-07-15?	2	$71	67	67	+0	Yes	+$62	07-15 21:03
will russia enter orikhiv by september 30	17	$70	1,014	1,014	+0	Yes	+$17	08-05 23:24
will trump be in the wc champions photo 20260608152527021	9	$60	14,121	0	+14,121	Yes	-$60	07-23 02:08
will piers morgan attend cristiano ronaldos wedding 20260803185630255	4	$58	37	37	+0	No	+$7	08-08 15:18
will kai or speed die to an elder guardian 20260811135848392	2	$57	40	40	+0	No	+$12	08-12 17:34
will donald trump publicly insult vladimir putin by july 31 2026 20260626210612715	4	$56	41	41	+0	No	+$16	07-31 15:45
Will Claude go down 12+ times in July?	4	$56	43	43	+0	Yes	+$26	07-30 13:39
us x iran effective ceasfire by july 31 20260715194822045	14	$51	260	0	+260	Yes	-$51	08-09 20:55
Will Max Martin attend Taylor Swift's wedding?	3	$49	36	36	+0	open	—	08-08 11:00
will sir alex ferguson attend cristiano ronaldos wedding 20260803185630262	2	$48	30	30	+0	No	+$3	08-08 15:18
Will Mamdani freeze NYC rents before 2027?	4	$48	40	40	+0	Yes	-$11	08-08 06:59
fifwc esp bel 2026 07 10 team to advance	2	$46	26	26	+0	Spain	+$6	07-10 21:00
will there be houthi military action against saudi arabia by august 15 2026 20260807172323133	3	$45	108	0	+108	Yes	-$45	08-20 23:36

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
08-24 22:43:16	Will CDU win less than 8% of all valid second votes?	No	BUY	20	68¢	$14	0x70b698…
08-20 23:36:36	will there be houthi military action against saudi arabia by august 15 2026 20260807172323133	No	BUY	19	27¢	$5	0x846470…
08-20 23:04:52	nato downs another russian drone by august 31 20260726215001931	No	BUY	400	0¢	$2	0x2c7d34…
08-20 18:54:43	nato downs another russian drone by august 31 20260726215001931	No	BUY	356	1¢	$5	0x6152af…
08-20 17:53:33	will there be houthi military action against saudi arabia by august 15 2026 20260807172323133	No	BUY	45	45¢	$20	0x3d646e…
08-20 17:31:52	will there be houthi military action against saudi arabia by august 15 2026 20260807172323133	No	BUY	45	45¢	$20	0xdc2cfe…
08-20 16:41:07	will the starship for spacex starship flight test 14 achieve a successful splashdown 192	No	BUY	19	26¢	$5	0x716429…
08-20 07:16:28	will the starship for spacex starship flight test 14 achieve a successful splashdown 192	No	BUY	35	39¢	$14	0x3dc79e…
08-20 07:16:10	will the starship for spacex starship flight test 14 achieve a successful splashdown 192	No	BUY	20	39¢	$8	0xef0858…
08-19 03:48:39	will trump speak to kim jong un in august 20260731154203514	Yes	BUY	16	10¢	$2	0x7b5f9d…
08-19 02:00:48	will the chopsticks catch spacex starship flight test 14 superheavy booster 674	Yes	BUY	46	6¢	$3	0xc6f0fb…
08-18 14:39:39	Will Moonshot be the third-best Code Arena \| WebDev AI lab at the end of August 2026?	Yes	BUY	20	19¢	$4	0xbe8bce…
08-18 14:39:21	Will OpenAI be the third-best Code Arena \| WebDev AI lab at the end of August 2026?	Yes	BUY	30	4¢	$1	0x0db290…
08-18 14:26:16	0 ships transit hormuz on any date by august 31	Yes	SELL	36	23¢	$8	0x2513ff…
08-18 14:07:46	will trump speak to kim jong un in august 20260731154203514	Yes	BUY	34	10¢	$3	0xaa464d…
08-18 13:54:25	Will Apple be the third-largest company in the world by market cap on August 31?	Yes	BUY	40	9¢	$4	0xbf3884…
08-18 13:36:34	will trump speak to kim jong un in august 20260731154203514	Yes	BUY	30	11¢	$3	0x623155…
08-18 08:04:22	Will Rodri join Real Madrid?	Yes	BUY	19	0¢	$0	0x2806ae…
08-18 03:20:37	Will Rodri stay at Manchester City?	Yes	BUY	28	1¢	$0	0xc7c404…
08-18 03:16:21	Will Rodri join Real Madrid?	Yes	BUY	142	0¢	$1	0x732e61…
08-18 03:16:21	Will Rodri stay at Manchester City?	Yes	BUY	142	1¢	$1	0x1e6d9d…
08-18 01:56:12	Will Rodri join Real Madrid?	Yes	BUY	39	0¢	$0	0xb29330…
08-18 01:55:55	Will Rodri stay at Manchester City?	Yes	BUY	84	1¢	$1	0x8162fe…
08-18 01:55:54	Will Rodri stay at Manchester City?	Yes	BUY	166	1¢	$2	0x757785…
08-17 13:48:27	will the chopsticks catch spacex starship flight test 14 superheavy booster 674	Yes	BUY	44	6¢	$3	0x6b54fe…
08-17 13:46:33	will the starship for spacex starship flight test 14 achieve a successful splashdown 192	No	BUY	45	39¢	$17	0xd3fd2b…
08-17 06:07:19	0 ships transit hormuz on any date by august 31	Yes	BUY	36	55¢	$20	0xe0ff98…
08-16 21:47:58	trump declassifies new ufo files by august 31 20260810145949435	Yes	BUY	67	15¢	$10	0x760456…
08-16 14:04:10	will iran announce withdrawal from mou negotiations by august 15 881 867	Yes	BUY	455	1¢	$5	0x68718f…
08-15 00:02:34	Will Rodri join Real Madrid?	Yes	BUY	218	2¢	$5	0x3752ef…
08-14 17:31:09	will russia target kyiv by august 10 2026 20260809090428975	Yes	BUY	500	2¢	$10	0x58c257…
08-14 15:28:01	will russia target kyiv by august 10 2026 20260809090428975	Yes	BUY	525	4¢	$20	0x91b10f…
08-14 04:19:48	Will Rodri join Real Madrid?	Yes	BUY	362	2¢	$9	0x309d99…
08-14 03:52:39	Will Rodri join Real Madrid?	Yes	BUY	7	2¢	$0	0x3a7b7e…
08-14 03:52:09	Will Rodri join Real Madrid?	Yes	BUY	31	2¢	$1	0x8c8c3d…
08-14 03:30:34	Will Alibaba be the third-best Math AI lab at the end of August 2026?	No	BUY	50	21¢	$10	0x78802a…
08-13 20:29:27	Will Venezuela recognize Israel by December 31?	No	SELL	85	86¢	$73	0xc3faa1…
08-13 03:28:12	will kai or speed be eliminated by fire 20260807142948638	No	SELL	20	98¢	$20	0x6de253…
08-13 01:35:57	will kai or speed die to an enderman 20260806175301187	No	SELL	20	99¢	$20	0x664c39…
08-13 01:33:00	will kai or speed die to a pillager 20260808122745361	No	SELL	14	99¢	$14	0xdd469a…
08-12 23:10:07	will kai or speed be eliminated by the void 20260807142948643	No	SELL	80	99¢	$79	0x28c186…
08-12 22:34:00	will kai or speed die to an ender dragon 20260811135538798	No	SELL	20	100¢	$20	0x26fafb…
08-12 22:32:55	Will Kai and Speed have 90 or more total in-game deaths during their Minecraft marathon?	No	SELL	60	100¢	$60	0x54f1a8…
08-12 22:32:13	will kai or speed die to a zombie 20260811133404154	No	SELL	70	99¢	$69	0x3ebfee…
08-12 20:18:19	will venezuela recognize israel by december 31	No	BUY	15	46¢	$7	0x7ba8d6…
08-12 19:29:39	anthony fauci charged by december 31 20260729165802089	No	BUY	30	43¢	$13	0x3594d3…
08-12 17:34:37	will kai or speed die to an elder guardian 20260811135848392	No	SELL	40	85¢	$34	0x052e2b…
08-12 15:40:28	will venezuela recognize israel by december 31	No	BUY	8	46¢	$4	0xd46f54…
08-12 14:58:52	will venezuela recognize israel by december 31	No	BUY	7	46¢	$3	0xd441e1…
08-12 14:57:48	another gta vi trailer released by august 31 20260629164610050	Yes	SELL	30	40¢	$12	0x950353…
08-12 14:47:54	will venezuela recognize israel by december 31	No	BUY	25	47¢	$12	0x2eb276…
08-12 14:47:33	will venezuela recognize israel by december 31	No	BUY	5	46¢	$2	0xdd95b5…
08-12 14:47:03	will venezuela recognize israel by december 31	No	BUY	25	45¢	$11	0x4a494b…
08-12 14:41:15	will any ai model reach a chatbot arena score of at least 1520 by december 31	Yes	SELL	16	55¢	$9	0xa91116…
08-12 14:41:06	will any ai model reach a chatbot arena score of at least 1530 by december 31	Yes	SELL	30	32¢	$10	0xa1e55a…
08-12 03:33:34	Will Rodri join Real Madrid?	Yes	BUY	50	2¢	$1	0x84ee46…
08-11 20:02:36	will kai or speed die to an ender dragon 20260811135538798	No	BUY	15	49¢	$7	0x3c47f0…
08-11 20:00:33	will kai or speed die to an elder guardian 20260811135848392	No	BUY	40	56¢	$22	0xca6ac3…
08-11 19:59:36	will kai or speed die to an ender dragon 20260811135538798	No	BUY	5	49¢	$2	0x8ae87c…
08-11 17:44:04	will kai or speed die to a zombie 20260811133404154	No	BUY	50	9¢	$4	0xe757dc…
08-11 15:48:48	will kai or speed die to a spider 20260806175301186	No	BUY	1,619	0¢	$5	0x223d67…
08-11 15:34:42	will kai or speed die to a spider 20260806175301186	No	BUY	40	25¢	$10	0x834f60…
08-11 15:31:12	will kai or speed die to a ghast 20260806175301189	Yes	SELL	42	21¢	$9	0x1be5bd…
08-11 15:17:34	will kai or speed die to a spider 20260806175301186	No	BUY	10	41¢	$4	0x300899…
08-11 15:03:40	will kai or speed die to an enderman 20260806175301187	No	BUY	20	39¢	$8	0xff7b3d…
08-11 14:46:55	will donald trump publicly insult alex jones by august 31 2026 20260730161742246	Yes	BUY	5	30¢	$2	0xa016b5…
08-11 14:27:45	will kai or speed die to a zombie 20260811133404154	No	BUY	20	25¢	$5	0x1a5596…
08-11 12:11:13	will donald trump publicly insult benjamin netanyahu by august 31 2026 20260730161742253	Yes	BUY	14	27¢	$4	0xe64666…
08-11 12:09:12	will donald trump publicly insult pope leo xiv by august 31 2026 20260730161742247	Yes	BUY	82	6¢	$5	0xd4b754…
08-11 05:37:57	will donald trump publicly insult pope leo xiv by august 31 2026 20260730161742247	Yes	BUY	8	6¢	$0	0xd425d9…
08-11 05:36:16	will donald trump publicly insult alex jones by august 31 2026 20260730161742246	Yes	BUY	5	30¢	$2	0x1a6c6f…
08-11 05:34:42	will donald trump publicly insult benjamin netanyahu by august 31 2026 20260730161742253	Yes	BUY	6	27¢	$2	0x1aa92f…
08-11 05:34:28	will donald trump publicly insult marjorie taylor greene by august 31 2026 20260730161742251	Yes	BUY	5	46¢	$3	0x073f1c…
08-11 03:27:09	Will Kai and Speed have 90 or more total in-game deaths during their Minecraft marathon?	No	BUY	20	67¢	$13	0xb17cfb…
08-11 03:13:51	will kai or speed die to a pillager 20260808122745361	No	BUY	14	69¢	$10	0xdf20fc…
08-11 03:13:24	will kai or speed die to a spider 20260806175301186	No	BUY	19	54¢	$10	0x566449…
08-11 00:03:34	will kai or speed die to a zombified piglin 20260808122802239	Yes	SELL	20	99¢	$20	0x8be8d9…
08-10 05:30:07	will the gta 6 extended look be at least 30 minutes long 20260807064756494	No	BUY	7	67¢	$5	0x1d2a79…
08-10 05:25:39	will kai or speed die to a ghast 20260806175301189	Yes	BUY	42	24¢	$10	0x545ef5…
08-10 05:20:21	us announces end of iranian blockade by august 31 2026 20260713152715084 642 513 584 641 939 632 729	Yes	BUY	12	40¢	$5	0xb760b0…
08-10 05:20:09	us announces end of iranian blockade by august 15 2026 20260713152715083 347 987 697 628 574 676	Yes	BUY	36	14¢	$5	0x7d2e93…
08-10 05:12:34	Will OpenAI launch a new consumer hardware product by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	77	13¢	$10	0xa3aabc…
08-10 05:04:58	us iran 60 day negotiation period extended 20260624044855448	Yes	BUY	63	32¢	$20	0x017f42…
08-10 05:02:31	us iran hormuz agreement by august 31 20260804222025507	No	BUY	13	39¢	$5	0x79ca9b…
08-10 05:01:31	will edu aguirre attend cristiano ronaldos wedding 20260806200934310	No	SELL	240	69¢	$166	0x808f98…
08-10 04:59:57	us iran hormuz agreement by august 15 20260804222025506	No	BUY	7	74¢	$5	0x02c6b4…
08-09 21:12:04	will kai or speed be eliminated by the void 20260807142948643	No	BUY	20	27¢	$5	0x8a617f…
08-09 20:56:51	Will Kai and Speed have 90 or more total in-game deaths during their Minecraft marathon?	No	BUY	40	16¢	$6	0xabd90d…
08-09 20:55:55	us x iran effective ceasfire by july 31 20260715194822045	No	BUY	20	8¢	$2	0x80b108…
08-09 20:55:46	us x iran effective ceasfire by july 31 20260715194822045	No	BUY	1	8¢	$0	0x4e17e2…
08-09 20:55:43	us x iran effective ceasfire by july 31 20260715194822045	No	BUY	1	8¢	$0	0xb220a6…
08-09 20:55:43	us x iran effective ceasfire by july 31 20260715194822045	No	BUY	1	8¢	$0	0x20f8c2…
08-09 20:55:43	us x iran effective ceasfire by july 31 20260715194822045	No	BUY	18	8¢	$1	0x08a75e…
08-09 20:39:24	us x iran effective ceasfire by july 31 20260715194822045	No	BUY	1	8¢	$0	0x53cec5…
08-09 20:38:06	us x iran effective ceasfire by july 31 20260715194822045	No	BUY	8	8¢	$1	0xbafe2e…
08-09 20:35:55	will kai or speed be eliminated by fire 20260807142948638	No	BUY	20	11¢	$2	0x5e7f91…
08-09 19:51:12	will kai or speed die to a hoglin 20260808122751351	Yes	BUY	20	47¢	$9	0x2ea34d…
08-09 19:49:55	will kai or speed die to a blaze 20260806175301188	Yes	BUY	15	72¢	$11	0xc48a91…
08-09 19:48:01	will kai or speed die to a zombified piglin 20260808122802239	Yes	BUY	20	53¢	$11	0xa508e6…
08-09 19:25:28	Will Alibaba be the third-best Code Arena \| WebDev AI lab at the end of August 2026?	No	SELL	104	50¢	$52	0xde0362…