Jumbo-Estimate — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$0

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

100.0%

Resolved

Trades

lifetime

Volume

$2.60K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$79

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-01-03

last 07-30 07:39

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 2 days

Categories

Crypto

66% 100% +$0

Other

33% — —

Politics

1% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

2 active days in 12wk • peak 1 trade/day

Open positions Resolved markets (2) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
elon musk of tweets january 2 january 9 120 139	1	$100	100	+100	open	—	01-03 06:44
bitcoin above 98k on january 6	1	$100	100	+100	open	—	01-06 09:45
elon musk of tweets february 24 march 3 320 339	1	$97	97	+97	open	—	03-02 11:54
bitcoin above 74k on february 14	1	$97	97	+97	open	—	02-14 11:13
ethereum above 2900 on january 11	1	$97	97	+97	open	—	01-11 03:34
elon musk of tweets january 27 february 3 400 419	1	$97	97	+97	open	—	02-03 10:33
will the price of bitcoin be between 100000 102000 on january 20	1	$96	96	+96	open	—	01-19 13:57
elon musk of tweets january 13 january 20 420 439	1	$96	96	+96	open	—	01-17 11:58
Will the highest temperature in London be 25°C or higher on April 25?	1	$96	96	+96	open	—	04-25 11:18
elon musk of tweets january 27 february 3 240 259	1	$96	96	+96	open	—	01-31 10:43
bitcoin above 92k on january 29	1	$96	96	+96	open	—	01-29 07:39
bitcoin above 68k on april 20	1	$95	95	+95	open	—	04-20 08:50
ethereum above 1800 on march 16	1	$95	95	+95	open	—	03-15 11:16
will the price of bitcoin be between 74000 76000 on march 29	1	$95	95	+95	open	—	03-28 07:57
bitcoin above 68k on april 12	1	$95	95	+95	open	—	04-12 08:27
will the price of bitcoin be greater than 80000 on march 22	1	$95	95	+95	open	—	03-21 09:57
elon musk of tweets april 10 april 17 400 419	1	$95	95	+95	open	—	04-16 10:53
bitcoin above 68k on march 18	1	$95	95	+95	open	—	03-18 11:09
elon musk of tweets march 31 april 7 220 239	1	$95	95	+95	open	—	04-06 09:37
netanyahu out by march 31 854	1	$95	95	+95	open	—	04-01 09:15
bitcoin above 76k on march 24	1	$95	95	+95	open	—	03-24 11:10
ethereum above 2200 on march 9	1	$94	94	+94	open	—	03-09 09:24
bitcoin above 64k on march 12	1	$94	94	+94	open	—	03-12 10:43
will the price of ethereum be less than 1500 on march 6	1	$94	94	+94	open	—	03-05 08:53
bitcoin above 66k on june 6 2026	1	$93	93	+93	open	—	06-06 03:24
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $86,000 on May 6?	1	$92	92	+92	No	+$0	05-06 09:30
Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,100 on May 11?	1	$88	88	+88	Yes	+$0	05-10 12:54
iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by july 31 2026	1	$15	15	+15	open	—	07-30 07:39
bitcoin above 60k on march 6	1	$3	950	+950	open	—	03-05 08:52
bitcoin above 86k on january 11	1	$2	1,000	+1,000	open	—	01-11 03:34

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
07-30 07:39:27	iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by july 31 2026	No	BUY	15	100¢	$15	0x334eeb…
06-06 03:24:42	bitcoin above 66k on june 6 2026	No	BUY	93	100¢	$93	0x43fd6c…
05-10 12:54:13	Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,100 on May 11?	Yes	BUY	88	100¢	$88	0xa3c7a3…
05-06 09:30:38	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $86,000 on May 6?	No	BUY	92	100¢	$92	0xea7c37…
04-30 13:03:36	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $72,000 on April 30?	No	BUY	1,000	0¢	$1	0x8aa0e4…
04-25 11:18:26	Will the highest temperature in London be 25°C or higher on April 25?	No	BUY	96	100¢	$96	0xceb896…
04-20 08:50:22	bitcoin above 68k on april 20	Yes	BUY	95	100¢	$95	0x72836f…
04-16 10:53:18	elon musk of tweets april 10 april 17 400 419	No	BUY	95	100¢	$95	0xda424a…
04-12 08:27:33	bitcoin above 68k on april 12	Yes	BUY	95	100¢	$95	0x1d0d90…
04-06 09:37:57	elon musk of tweets march 31 april 7 220 239	No	BUY	95	100¢	$95	0x0396e7…
04-01 09:15:11	netanyahu out by march 31 854	No	BUY	95	100¢	$95	0xfc1a31…
03-28 07:57:53	will the price of bitcoin be between 74000 76000 on march 29	No	BUY	95	100¢	$95	0x9e0554…
03-24 11:10:11	bitcoin above 76k on march 24	No	BUY	95	100¢	$95	0xb5e8e1…
03-21 09:57:27	will the price of bitcoin be greater than 80000 on march 22	No	BUY	95	100¢	$95	0x6a6671…
03-18 11:09:29	bitcoin above 68k on march 18	Yes	BUY	95	100¢	$95	0x91bbb4…
03-15 11:16:27	ethereum above 1800 on march 16	Yes	BUY	95	100¢	$95	0x0767bd…
03-12 10:43:23	bitcoin above 64k on march 12	Yes	BUY	94	100¢	$94	0x69e881…
03-09 09:24:11	ethereum above 2200 on march 9	No	BUY	94	100¢	$94	0x4b976b…
03-05 08:53:53	will the price of ethereum be less than 1500 on march 6	No	BUY	94	100¢	$94	0x9fb4f9…
03-05 08:52:43	bitcoin above 60k on march 6	No	BUY	950	0¢	$3	0x6000d9…
03-02 11:54:55	elon musk of tweets february 24 march 3 320 339	No	BUY	97	100¢	$97	0x5480cc…
02-14 11:13:21	bitcoin above 74k on february 14	No	BUY	97	100¢	$97	0x1212be…
02-03 10:33:02	elon musk of tweets january 27 february 3 400 419	No	BUY	97	100¢	$97	0xf3e45e…
01-31 10:43:56	elon musk of tweets january 27 february 3 240 259	No	BUY	96	100¢	$96	0x2fb114…
01-29 07:39:48	bitcoin above 92k on january 29	No	BUY	96	100¢	$96	0x26e63f…
01-19 13:57:22	will the price of bitcoin be between 100000 102000 on january 20	No	BUY	96	100¢	$96	0x9c2d72…
01-17 11:58:36	elon musk of tweets january 13 january 20 420 439	No	BUY	96	100¢	$96	0xc1617a…
01-17 11:58:12	ethereum above 3600 on january 18	Yes	BUY	750	0¢	$2	0xf42618…
01-11 03:34:34	ethereum above 2900 on january 11	Yes	BUY	97	100¢	$97	0x56e2fc…
01-11 03:34:04	bitcoin above 86k on january 11	No	BUY	1,000	0¢	$2	0x4b8462…
01-06 09:45:51	bitcoin above 98k on january 6	No	BUY	100	100¢	$100	0xbd254c…
01-06 09:45:15	ethereum above 3000 on january 6	No	BUY	125	1¢	$1	0x36d0c4…
01-03 06:44:25	elon musk of tweets january 2 january 9 120 139	No	BUY	100	100¢	$100	0xd3b4fb…