Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 38°C or higher on May 11?
open
Total volume
$429
$2,249 in 24h
Trades
34
Unique wallets
23
Liquidity
$2,539
Latest YES mid
0¢
Latest NO mid
100¢
End date
2026-05-11
First seen
2026-05-09
last 05-11 03:47
YES price (mid)
last 60 days, hourly
Cohort breakdown
who's buying — by wallet tier
By volume tier
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🐟 Fish | 4 | $0 | $156 | $156 |
| 🦐 Shrimp | 19 | $0 | $231 | $230 |
By P&L percentile
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🏆 Top 5% | 1 | $0 | — | +$0 |
| ✅ Top 10% | 2 | — | — | +— |
| Median | 14 | — | $276 | $276 |
| Below median | 1 | $0 | — | +$0 |
| ⚠️ Bottom 10% | 2 | $0 | $16 | $16 |
| unranked | 3 | — | $95 | $95 |
SMI history (last 30d)
daily Smart-Money Index — top-1% YES-buy share minus crowd YES-buy share, in cents · positive = top-1% leans YES vs crowd
| Wallet | Side | Net shares | Cost basis | Volume | Trades | Last activity |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Peppery-Plunger 0x58aa…3112 | Yes | +167 | $0 | $0 | 1 | 05-11 01:19 |
| Charming-Metabolite 0x880d…adb6 | No | +142 | $140 | $140 | 1 | 05-09 17:50 |
| Content-Privilege 0x6405…7d19 | No | +40 | $40 | $40 | 1 | 05-10 21:16 |
| Flashy-Buckle 0xf22f…ea7d | No | +38 | $38 | $38 | 1 | 05-10 03:35 |
| Well-Groomed-Mozzarella 0xf785…cd1f | No | +29 | $29 | $29 | 1 | 05-10 02:36 |
| Incredible-Locket 0xcfdd…5624 | No | +28 | $28 | $28 | 1 | 05-10 06:13 |
| Imperturbable-Lily 0xb809…f9a5 | No | +27 | $27 | $27 | 1 | 05-10 07:51 |
| Jumpy-Literate 0x8215…1279 | Yes | +22 | $0 | $0 | 1 | 05-10 10:02 |
| Elastic-Pharmacopoeia 0x59e6…5743 | No | +20 | $20 | $20 | 1 | 05-10 05:56 |
| Sweltering-Delivery 0x375d…9a6c | No | +16 | $16 | $16 | 1 | 05-10 01:44 |
| Glossy-Believer 0x764b…6bad | No | +16 | $16 | $16 | 1 | 05-10 07:57 |
| International-Towel 0xcc95…538f | No | +9 | $9 | $9 | 1 | 05-10 05:57 |
| Formal-Percentage 0x23a8…843c | No | +8 | $8 | $8 | 1 | 05-10 06:23 |
| Obvious-Artery 0xf329…7342 | No | +7 | $7 | $7 | 1 | 05-10 22:01 |
| Elaborate-Aim 0x2d24…8383 | No | +1 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 05-10 13:16 |
| Time | Wallet | Outcome | Side | Size | Price | USD | Tx |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05-11 03:47:04 | Fluffy-String 0xd35c…78d5 | No | SELL | 8 | 100¢ | $8 | 0x54edc6… |
| 05-11 01:54:37 | Husky-Golf 0x1041…f452 | Yes | SELL | 68 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x2aeeed… |
| 05-11 01:24:51 | Blind-Leaf 0x2b59…9db6 | Yes | SELL | 12 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x38512d… |
| 05-11 01:19:34 | Peppery-Plunger 0x58aa…3112 | Yes | BUY | 167 | 0¢ | $0 | 0xcc8735… |
| 05-10 23:02:59 | Responsible-Newsletter 0x3e56…5510 | No | SELL | 12 | 100¢ | $12 | 0x36f0aa… |
| 05-10 22:01:05 | Obvious-Artery 0xf329…7342 | No | BUY | 7 | 100¢ | $7 | 0x821bc3… |
| 05-10 21:16:21 | Content-Privilege 0x6405…7d19 | No | BUY | 40 | 100¢ | $40 | 0x0c1d99… |
| 05-10 21:01:56 | Blind-Leaf 0x2b59…9db6 | Yes | SELL | 44 | 0¢ | $0 | 0xfee493… |
| 05-10 19:33:27 | Valid-Acorn 0x8a0d…36f7 | No | SELL | 11 | 100¢ | $11 | 0x542654… |
| 05-10 15:37:43 | Fluffy-String 0xd35c…78d5 | No | BUY | 8 | 100¢ | $8 | 0xe00850… |
| 05-10 13:16:10 | Elaborate-Aim 0x2d24…8383 | No | BUY | 1 | 100¢ | $1 | 0xb1f96b… |
| 05-10 12:06:33 | Scrawny-Codepage 0xecbc…0a20 | No | SELL | 6 | 100¢ | $6 | 0x37a51b… |
| 05-10 10:05:22 | Blind-Leaf 0x2b59…9db6 | Yes | BUY | 3 | 0¢ | $0 | 0xc26a1f… |
| 05-10 10:05:13 | Blind-Leaf 0x2b59…9db6 | Yes | BUY | 6 | 0¢ | $0 | 0xa09033… |
| 05-10 10:02:29 | Blind-Leaf 0x2b59…9db6 | Yes | BUY | 1 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x51f184… |
| 05-10 10:02:22 | Jumpy-Literate 0x8215…1279 | Yes | BUY | 22 | 0¢ | $0 | 0xa86e14… |
| 05-10 09:34:58 | Broken-Idea 0x9f20…12c3 | Yes | SELL | 0 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x261efb… |
| 05-10 09:34:51 | Blind-Leaf 0x2b59…9db6 | Yes | BUY | 1 | 0¢ | $0 | 0xf539a9… |
| 05-10 09:34:37 | Blind-Leaf 0x2b59…9db6 | Yes | BUY | 4 | 0¢ | $0 | 0xb71623… |
| 05-10 09:23:32 | Blind-Leaf 0x2b59…9db6 | Yes | BUY | 11 | 0¢ | $0 | 0xc72df1… |
| 05-10 09:23:22 | Blind-Leaf 0x2b59…9db6 | Yes | BUY | 2 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x28a8a0… |
| 05-10 09:19:15 | Blind-Leaf 0x2b59…9db6 | Yes | BUY | 1 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x2ca924… |
| 05-10 09:19:03 | Blind-Leaf 0x2b59…9db6 | Yes | BUY | 5 | 0¢ | $0 | 0xe07a67… |
| 05-10 07:57:39 | Glossy-Believer 0x764b…6bad | No | BUY | 16 | 100¢ | $16 | 0xaf64be… |
| 05-10 07:51:35 | Imperturbable-Lily 0xb809…f9a5 | No | BUY | 27 | 100¢ | $27 | 0xddb412… |
| 05-10 06:23:45 | Formal-Percentage 0x23a8…843c | No | BUY | 8 | 100¢ | $8 | 0xb7303a… |
| 05-10 06:13:28 | Incredible-Locket 0xcfdd…5624 | No | BUY | 28 | 100¢ | $28 | 0xe67aed… |
| 05-10 05:57:02 | International-Towel 0xcc95…538f | No | BUY | 9 | 100¢ | $9 | 0xefd2ab… |
| 05-10 05:56:59 | Elastic-Pharmacopoeia 0x59e6…5743 | No | BUY | 20 | 100¢ | $20 | 0x0b6d93… |
| 05-10 05:37:39 | Murky-Mushroom 0x7097…3064 | No | SELL | 5 | 100¢ | $5 | 0xa56e08… |
| 05-10 03:35:21 | Flashy-Buckle 0xf22f…ea7d | No | BUY | 38 | 100¢ | $38 | 0xf510d8… |
| 05-10 02:36:40 | Well-Groomed-Mozzarella 0xf785…cd1f | No | BUY | 29 | 100¢ | $29 | 0x39b3ef… |
| 05-10 01:44:26 | Sweltering-Delivery 0x375d…9a6c | No | BUY | 16 | 100¢ | $16 | 0xf67081… |
| 05-09 17:50:00 | Charming-Metabolite 0x880d…adb6 | No | BUY | 142 | 99¢ | $140 | 0x049f02… |