Elastic-Pharmacopoeia — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$4

Unrealized P&L

+$0

Hit rate

81.0%

Resolved

338

Trades

630

lifetime

Volume

$8.23K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$13

Open exposure

$10

3 positions

First seen

2026-01-13

last 10-16 17:55

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 65 days

Categories

Other

82% 85% -$4

Crypto

11% 90% +$0

Politics

3% 60% +$0

Sports

2% 62% $0

Tech

1% 100% +$0

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

5 active days in 12wk • peak 1 trade/day

Open positions (3) Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will Yair Golan be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	No	+4	$4	100¢	$4	$0	07-26 01:52
Will Itamar Ben Gvir be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	No	+3	$3	100¢	$3	+$0	10-16 17:55
Will Toronto FC win the 2026 MLS Cup?	No	+3	$3	100¢	$3	+$0	08-06 16:45

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
will the total number of tsa passengers for april 6 april 12 be between 16500000 and 17000000	6	$98	49	49	+0	No	$0	04-13 09:12
Will the highest temperature in Houston be between 76-77°F on May 5?	3	$89	44	44	+0	No	+$0	05-05 14:53
highest temperature in lucknow on april 22 2026 45c	7	$81	40	40	+0	No	+$0	04-21 23:33
will hoppers 4th weekend box office be less than 10m	2	$66	66	0	+66	No	+$0	03-29 13:19
highest temperature in london on april 1 2026 17c	1	$63	64	0	+64	No	+$0	04-01 11:19
highest temperature in austin on april 11 2026 66forhigher	1	$60	60	0	+60	Yes	+$0	04-11 02:32
Will the highest temperature in Austin be between 72-73°F on May 10?	2	$59	29	29	+0	No	+$0	05-10 07:44
Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 26°C on May 11?	2	$59	29	29	+0	No	+$0	05-11 14:34
Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 16°C on May 4?	4	$58	29	29	+0	No	+$0	05-04 02:44
nvda above 190 on march 31 2026	1	$56	56	0	+56	No	+$0	03-31 04:53
Will the highest temperature in Mexico City be 17°C on May 12?	3	$55	28	28	+0	No	$0	05-11 14:36
Will the highest temperature in Denver be between 78-79°F on May 17?	2	$54	27	27	+0	No	+$0	05-17 06:12
Will the chopsticks catch SpaceX Starship Flight Test 12 Superheavy booster?	2	$53	26	26	+0	No	+$0	05-22 22:37
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $72,000 and $74,000 on May 12?	2	$53	26	26	+0	No	+$0	05-12 04:09
Will the highest temperature in Milan be 13°C on May 5?	2	$52	26	26	+0	No	+$0	05-04 22:25
Will the highest temperature in London be 13°C or below on May 8?	2	$51	26	26	+0	No	+$0	05-07 10:58
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $72,000 on May 17?	2	$51	25	25	+0	Yes	+$0	05-17 03:58
Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 84-85°F on May 7?	2	$50	25	25	+0	No	+$0	05-07 18:53
Will the highest temperature in Munich be 21°C or higher on May 17?	4	$50	25	25	+0	No	+$0	05-16 20:44
Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 30°C or higher on May 1?	2	$50	25	25	+0	No	+$0	04-30 19:52
Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 19°C on May 2?	2	$49	25	25	+0	No	+$0	05-01 23:10
highest temperature in moscow on april 5 2026 15c	1	$49	49	0	+49	No	+$0	04-05 06:48
Will the highest temperature in Munich be 14°C on April 26?	2	$49	24	24	+0	No	$0	04-26 00:33
Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 9°C or below on May 5?	4	$49	24	24	+0	No	+$0	05-04 22:00
Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 19°C on May 4?	3	$49	24	24	+0	No	+$0	05-04 21:54
Will Elon Musk post 140-164 tweets from May 2 to May 4, 2026?	2	$49	24	24	+0	No	+$0	05-03 07:05
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $84,000 on May 15?	2	$48	24	24	+0	No	+$0	05-15 18:31
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 9°C or below on May 15?	2	$48	24	24	+0	No	$0	05-15 02:58
highest temperature in madrid on april 24 2026 28corhigher	2	$48	24	24	+0	No	$0	04-23 21:30
Will the highest temperature in New York City be 74°F or higher on May 7?	7	$48	24	24	+0	No	+$0	05-07 12:01

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-16 17:55:39	Will Itamar Ben Gvir be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	No	BUY	3	100¢	$3	0x55cb06…
09-07 12:55:39	Will Romeu Zema win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0x684096…
08-28 12:38:24	Will Tom Cotton win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0x5241fa…
08-24 23:10:42	Will Mohammed bin Salman win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0x826c1f…
08-12 18:04:15	Will Jude Bellingham win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	No	BUY	2	100¢	$1	0x948a56…
08-06 16:45:09	Will Toronto FC win the 2026 MLS Cup?	No	BUY	3	100¢	$3	0x341ec8…
07-26 01:52:13	Will Yair Golan be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	No	BUY	4	100¢	$4	0x0ba6ef…
07-22 22:35:31	Will Chad Bianco win the California Governor Election in 2026?	No	BUY	6	100¢	$6	0x4b92f6…
07-16 21:11:26	Will Bruno Fernandes win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	No	BUY	9	100¢	$9	0xc83c75…
07-15 05:47:49	Will Meta have the best AI model at the end of July 2026?	No	SELL	8	100¢	$8	0xf6ab76…
07-15 05:46:52	Will Tom Steyer win the California Governor Election in 2026?	No	SELL	12	100¢	$12	0xa4b4d4…
07-14 10:54:22	Will Elena Lasconi be the next Prime Minister of Romania?	No	BUY	4	100¢	$3	0x3fe5d1…
07-03 19:33:52	Will Meta have the best AI model at the end of July 2026?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xd3f847…
06-28 21:36:19	Will Isack Hadjar be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?	No	BUY	6	100¢	$6	0x07411a…
06-25 06:44:58	Will Tom Steyer win the California Governor Election in 2026?	No	BUY	12	100¢	$12	0x3dedc0…
06-24 05:01:13	Will Cole Palmer win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	No	SELL	8	100¢	$8	0xbeb9d5…
06-23 02:53:07	Will Cole Palmer win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x8a8d16…
06-18 16:41:55	Will Franco Colapinto be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?	No	SELL	10	100¢	$10	0xc0ec33…
06-18 13:34:22	Will Franco Colapinto be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?	No	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x5136bc…
05-22 22:37:03	Will the chopsticks catch SpaceX Starship Flight Test 12 Superheavy booster?	No	SELL	26	100¢	$26	0x172f80…
05-17 16:15:15	Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 31°C on May 18?	No	BUY	27	100¢	$27	0x63276c…
05-17 15:22:03	Will Gregg Kirkpatrick win the 2026 Georgia Governor Republican primary election?	No	SELL	10	100¢	$10	0xf73c54…
05-17 14:24:18	Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 62-63°F on May 18?	No	BUY	22	100¢	$21	0x781113…
05-17 13:34:12	Will the highest temperature in Munich be 12°C on May 17?	No	SELL	13	100¢	$13	0x4e9f3f…
05-17 13:32:41	Will Patrick Cantlay win the 2026 PGA Championship?	No	SELL	24	100¢	$23	0x9a401a…
05-17 12:40:00	Will Gregg Kirkpatrick win the 2026 Georgia Governor Republican primary election?	No	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x687a24…
05-17 06:12:47	Will the highest temperature in Denver be between 78-79°F on May 17?	No	SELL	27	100¢	$27	0xae3111…
05-17 05:58:02	Will the highest temperature in Munich be 12°C on May 17?	No	BUY	13	100¢	$13	0x0cec8c…
05-17 05:08:15	Will Patrick Cantlay win the 2026 PGA Championship?	No	BUY	24	100¢	$23	0x0ef4cc…
05-17 03:59:58	Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 28°C on May 17?	No	SELL	22	100¢	$22	0x33e620…
05-17 03:58:34	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $72,000 on May 17?	Yes	SELL	25	100¢	$25	0x0a8065…
05-17 01:19:24	Will the highest temperature in Denver be between 78-79°F on May 17?	No	BUY	27	100¢	$27	0x4c6ca0…
05-17 00:04:04	Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 28°C on May 17?	No	BUY	22	100¢	$22	0x6ca976…
05-16 23:57:16	Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 20°C on May 17?	No	SELL	4	100¢	$4	0x2c2965…
05-16 23:53:48	Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 20°C on May 17?	No	SELL	5	100¢	$5	0xd5a9c5…
05-16 22:42:17	Will Italy be the Jury Winner in the Eurovision 2026 Grand Final?	No	SELL	10	100¢	$10	0xaf70e7…
05-16 21:38:17	Will Sweden win the televote for Eurovision 2026?	No	SELL	19	100¢	$19	0x00bd5e…
05-16 21:04:03	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $72,000 on May 17?	Yes	BUY	25	100¢	$25	0x790741…
05-16 20:44:44	Will the highest temperature in Munich be 21°C or higher on May 17?	No	SELL	11	100¢	$11	0xb67366…
05-16 20:43:17	Will the highest temperature in Munich be 21°C or higher on May 17?	No	SELL	7	100¢	$7	0xf06c87…
05-16 20:38:33	Will the highest temperature in Munich be 21°C or higher on May 17?	No	SELL	7	100¢	$7	0x5a5cce…
05-16 20:00:14	Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 20°C on May 17?	No	BUY	9	100¢	$9	0x84fb0b…
05-16 15:07:47	Will Serbia win Eurovision 2026?	No	SELL	7	100¢	$7	0x1bd5bc…
05-16 15:07:45	Will Serbia win Eurovision 2026?	No	SELL	15	100¢	$15	0x7812a3…
05-16 14:04:24	Will the highest temperature in Munich be 21°C or higher on May 17?	No	BUY	25	100¢	$25	0xd78260…
05-16 12:49:56	Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 20°C or higher on May 16?	No	SELL	22	100¢	$22	0xc23a73…
05-15 23:13:07	Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 20°C or higher on May 16?	No	BUY	22	100¢	$22	0x1f464e…
05-15 22:02:50	Will Austria be in the top 3 at Eurovision 2026?	No	SELL	4	100¢	$4	0xd92214…
05-15 22:01:10	Will the highest temperature in Munich be 8°C on May 16?	No	SELL	2	100¢	$2	0xc57344…
05-15 21:45:32	Will Austria be in the top 3 at Eurovision 2026?	No	SELL	2	100¢	$2	0x258100…
05-15 19:19:12	Will Sweden win the televote for Eurovision 2026?	No	BUY	19	100¢	$19	0x3d4e3a…
05-15 18:37:30	Will the highest temperature in Munich be 8°C on May 16?	No	SELL	5	100¢	$5	0xb5f294…
05-15 18:31:59	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $84,000 on May 15?	No	SELL	24	100¢	$24	0xa61fa8…
05-15 18:18:48	Will the highest temperature in Munich be 8°C on May 16?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xb5e997…
05-15 14:19:28	Will Austria be in the top 3 at Eurovision 2026?	No	BUY	7	100¢	$7	0x222191…
05-15 11:15:57	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $84,000 on May 15?	No	BUY	24	100¢	$24	0xe88f08…
05-15 10:53:38	Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 21°C on May 16?	No	SELL	7	100¢	$7	0x61a896…
05-15 10:33:44	Will Australia come in last place at Eurovision 2026?	No	SELL	22	100¢	$22	0xf70433…
05-15 09:16:08	Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 21°C on May 16?	No	BUY	7	100¢	$7	0xf23a5c…
05-15 08:04:52	Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 56-57°F on May 15?	No	SELL	7	100¢	$7	0x42e4b8…
05-15 07:57:16	Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 56-57°F on May 15?	No	SELL	2	100¢	$2	0xf80d96…
05-15 05:05:44	Will Serbia win Eurovision 2026?	No	BUY	22	100¢	$22	0xb90c49…
05-15 03:59:19	Will Australia come in last place at Eurovision 2026?	No	BUY	22	100¢	$22	0x097de7…
05-15 03:18:31	Will the highest temperature in London be 9°C on May 15?	No	SELL	15	100¢	$15	0x2b293f…
05-15 03:03:03	Will Bitcoin dip to $77,000 on May 14?	No	SELL	7	100¢	$7	0xc2ec04…
05-15 02:58:11	Will the highest temperature in Paris be 9°C or below on May 15?	No	SELL	24	100¢	$24	0x5c0016…
05-14 22:30:12	Will Bitcoin dip to $77,000 on May 14?	No	BUY	7	100¢	$7	0xea8d11…
05-14 20:02:20	Will the highest temperature in London be 9°C on May 15?	No	BUY	15	100¢	$15	0xa8e08b…
05-14 17:39:39	Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 56-57°F on May 15?	No	BUY	9	100¢	$9	0x810b88…
05-14 15:39:48	Will the highest temperature in Paris be 9°C or below on May 15?	No	BUY	24	100¢	$24	0x4b2c3d…
05-14 14:33:27	Will Italy be the Jury Winner in the Eurovision 2026 Grand Final?	No	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xe8847d…
05-14 13:17:10	Will Luxembourg win Eurovision 2026?	No	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x3a7ee8…
05-14 10:37:43	Will the highest temperature in Denver be between 76-77°F on May 14?	No	BUY	7	100¢	$7	0x50e24e…
05-14 07:31:45	Will the highest temperature in Dallas be 80°F or higher on May 14?	Yes	SELL	7	100¢	$7	0x714dc8…
05-14 07:11:06	Will the highest temperature in Denver be between 76-77°F on May 14?	No	BUY	13	100¢	$13	0x37dc86…
05-14 05:19:43	Will the chopsticks catch SpaceX Starship Flight Test 12 Superheavy booster?	No	BUY	26	100¢	$26	0x071111…
05-14 04:25:37	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $84,000 on May 14?	No	SELL	9	100¢	$9	0xb6e247…
05-14 04:10:11	Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 32°C on May 14?	No	SELL	0	100¢	$0	0xf19373…
05-14 04:06:36	Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 32°C on May 14?	No	SELL	6	100¢	$6	0x0f1cc4…
05-14 03:58:50	Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 40°C on May 14?	No	SELL	21	100¢	$21	0xf6b3c7…
05-14 00:52:40	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $84,000 on May 14?	No	BUY	9	100¢	$9	0x8869d1…
05-13 23:28:54	Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 28°C on May 14?	No	SELL	5	100¢	$5	0xc09d37…
05-13 22:57:22	Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 32°C on May 14?	No	BUY	6	100¢	$6	0xf205f1…
05-13 21:57:45	Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 40°C on May 14?	No	BUY	21	100¢	$21	0xfbaca4…
05-13 20:23:43	Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 32°C on May 14?	No	SELL	3	100¢	$3	0xf3cde0…
05-13 20:22:21	Will the highest temperature in Dallas be 80°F or higher on May 14?	Yes	BUY	7	100¢	$7	0x6d195e…
05-13 19:49:04	Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 32°C on May 14?	No	SELL	7	100¢	$7	0xaaca24…
05-13 19:43:56	Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 32°C on May 14?	No	SELL	5	100¢	$5	0x5b829b…
05-13 18:49:24	Will the highest temperature in Denver be between 60-61°F on May 14?	No	SELL	7	100¢	$7	0xe71d51…
05-13 18:46:41	Will the price of Bitcoin be less than $70,000 on May 14?	No	SELL	19	100¢	$19	0x87a597…
05-13 18:45:22	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 26°C on May 14?	No	SELL	24	100¢	$24	0x45cd61…
05-13 18:15:23	Will the price of Bitcoin be less than $70,000 on May 14?	No	BUY	19	100¢	$19	0x959231…
05-13 16:31:30	Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 32°C on May 14?	No	BUY	15	100¢	$15	0x206263…
05-13 16:28:54	Will the highest temperature in Denver be between 60-61°F on May 14?	No	BUY	7	100¢	$7	0x16cbaa…
05-13 15:39:24	Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 28°C on May 14?	No	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x7851d2…
05-13 14:06:20	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 26°C on May 14?	No	BUY	24	100¢	$24	0x897d03…
05-13 10:13:12	Will the highest temperature in Mexico City be 16°C on May 13?	No	SELL	6	100¢	$6	0x245ad7…
05-13 01:15:55	Will Nasheedah Singleton win the Newark mayoral election?	No	SELL	11	100¢	$11	0x4028dc…
05-12 10:24:32	Will the highest temperature in Mexico City be 16°C on May 13?	No	BUY	6	100¢	$5	0x0114ee…
05-12 09:38:41	Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 27°C on May 12?	No	BUY	18	100¢	$18	0x6b9a76…