Will the highest temperature in Paris be 9°C or below on May 15?
open
Total volume
$379
$1,438 in 24h
Trades
32
Unique wallets
27
Liquidity
$7,879
Latest YES mid
0¢
Latest NO mid
100¢
End date
2026-05-15
First seen
2026-05-13
last 05-14 23:40
YES price (mid)
last 60 days, hourly
YES holders
No active YES holders.
Cohort breakdown
who's buying — by wallet tier
By volume tier
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🐬 Dolphin | 1 | — | — | +— |
| 🐟 Fish | 4 | — | $160 | $160 |
| 🦐 Shrimp | 22 | — | $157 | $157 |
By P&L percentile
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🏆 Top 5% | 4 | — | $30 | $30 |
| ✅ Top 10% | 2 | — | $5 | $5 |
| Median | 17 | — | $264 | $264 |
| Below median | 2 | — | $14 | $14 |
| 🔻 Bottom 5% | 1 | — | $5 | $5 |
| unranked | 1 | — | — | +— |
SMI history (last 30d)
daily Smart-Money Index — top-1% YES-buy share minus crowd YES-buy share, in cents · positive = top-1% leans YES vs crowd
| Wallet | Side | Net shares | Cost basis | Volume | Trades | Last activity |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Delectable-Firewall 0x38d7…a061 | No | +126 | $126 | $126 | 1 | 05-14 23:02 |
| Joint-Lard 0x942e…be27 | No | +30 | $30 | $30 | 1 | 05-14 12:00 |
| Detailed-Outrigger 0xe160…fb2a | No | +18 | $18 | $18 | 1 | 05-14 05:20 |
| Mushy-Understatement 0x6ba3…bbc4 | No | +15 | $15 | $15 | 1 | 05-14 14:56 |
| Hard-To-Find-Dig 0xb928…2d13 | No | +15 | $15 | $15 | 1 | 05-14 18:52 |
| Immense-Fang 0x1e1f…9fd6 | No | +15 | $15 | $15 | 1 | 05-13 04:38 |
| Negligible-Symptom 0x2f5a…5827 | No | +14 | $14 | $14 | 1 | 05-14 14:36 |
| Bold-Carry 0x7682…f299 | No | +14 | $14 | $14 | 1 | 05-14 17:52 |
| Right-Airport 0x35dc…eb98 | No | +12 | $12 | $12 | 1 | 05-14 12:19 |
| Actual-Glockenspiel 0x0db2…8213 | No | +12 | $12 | $12 | 1 | 05-14 15:56 |
| Even-Seabass 0x8ab2…4250 | No | +7 | $7 | $7 | 1 | 05-14 09:09 |
| Testy-Sweater 0xc44e…fa52 | No | +6 | $6 | $6 | 1 | 05-14 13:22 |
| Granular-Lamb-Item 0x0ba3…57bc | No | +5 | $5 | $5 | 1 | 05-14 10:04 |
| Buzzing-Vertigo 0x3cd4…ea0e | No | +5 | $5 | $5 | 1 | 05-14 13:34 |
| Drab-Cheque 0x9656…9813 | No | +5 | $5 | $5 | 1 | 05-14 03:30 |
| Time | Wallet | Outcome | Side | Size | Price | USD | Tx |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05-14 23:40:35 | Ideal-Coverall 0xffc9…1676 | No | SELL | 19 | 100¢ | $19 | 0x35f8f7… |
| 05-14 23:02:28 | Delectable-Firewall 0x38d7…a061 | No | BUY | 126 | 100¢ | $126 | 0xf76eed… |
| 05-14 22:54:54 | Quick-Transport 0x1294…35bb | Yes | SELL | 80 | 0¢ | $0 | 0xe57f42… |
| 05-14 22:50:32 | Vacant-Reconsideration 0x730b…d3bd | No | SELL | 8 | 100¢ | $8 | 0xa292fe… |
| 05-14 22:17:05 | Lone-Boon 0x4c04…7dca | No | SELL | 12 | 100¢ | $12 | 0xc684a0… |
| 05-14 19:24:53 | Blissful-Maestro 0xd1a6…1507 | Yes | SELL | 8 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x12a99f… |
| 05-14 18:52:06 | (anonymous) 0xb7e8…6820 | No | SELL | 0 | 100¢ | $0 | 0xd9dc75… |
| 05-14 18:52:00 | Hard-To-Find-Dig 0xb928…2d13 | No | BUY | 15 | 100¢ | $15 | 0xb9534d… |
| 05-14 17:52:01 | Bold-Carry 0x7682…f299 | No | BUY | 14 | 100¢ | $14 | 0x93bcda… |
| 05-14 15:56:31 | Actual-Glockenspiel 0x0db2…8213 | No | BUY | 12 | 100¢ | $12 | 0x1f1cde… |
| 05-14 15:49:06 | Blissful-Maestro 0xd1a6…1507 | Yes | SELL | 2 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x74e530… |
| 05-14 14:56:34 | Mushy-Understatement 0x6ba3…bbc4 | No | BUY | 15 | 100¢ | $15 | 0x707463… |
| 05-14 14:36:15 | Negligible-Symptom 0x2f5a…5827 | No | BUY | 14 | 100¢ | $14 | 0x8e91ad… |
| 05-14 14:16:00 | Ideal-Coverall 0xffc9…1676 | No | BUY | 19 | 100¢ | $19 | 0x3f4b82… |
| 05-14 13:34:25 | Buzzing-Vertigo 0x3cd4…ea0e | No | BUY | 5 | 100¢ | $5 | 0x3a64de… |
| 05-14 13:22:38 | Testy-Sweater 0xc44e…fa52 | No | BUY | 6 | 100¢ | $6 | 0x2e51bd… |
| 05-14 12:19:13 | Right-Airport 0x35dc…eb98 | No | BUY | 12 | 100¢ | $12 | 0x4d4783… |
| 05-14 12:00:45 | Joint-Lard 0x942e…be27 | No | BUY | 30 | 100¢ | $30 | 0xbdca47… |
| 05-14 10:49:21 | Grim-Try 0x8f48…c2d1 | No | SELL | 21 | 100¢ | $21 | 0xfb4c24… |
| 05-14 10:04:39 | Outlying-Member 0xd003…caba | Yes | SELL | 3 | 0¢ | $0 | 0xf92417… |
| 05-14 10:04:30 | Granular-Lamb-Item 0x0ba3…57bc | No | BUY | 5 | 100¢ | $5 | 0xb7ee6d… |
| 05-14 09:09:01 | Even-Seabass 0x8ab2…4250 | No | BUY | 7 | 100¢ | $7 | 0x402424… |
| 05-14 06:48:58 | Blissful-Maestro 0xd1a6…1507 | Yes | SELL | 11 | 0¢ | $0 | 0xa64983… |
| 05-14 05:20:41 | Detailed-Outrigger 0xe160…fb2a | No | BUY | 18 | 100¢ | $18 | 0x3cbdbc… |
| 05-14 04:34:39 | Blissful-Maestro 0xd1a6…1507 | Yes | SELL | 2 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x44403c… |
| 05-14 03:30:57 | Drab-Cheque 0x9656…9813 | No | BUY | 5 | 100¢ | $5 | 0xe78a83… |
| 05-13 17:37:46 | Impressionable-Ship 0x04dc…d572 | Yes | SELL | 1 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x6f6715… |
| 05-13 17:37:44 | Fine-Antecedent 0x23d1…353f | Yes | SELL | 5 | 0¢ | $0 | 0xefbfe6… |
| 05-13 11:08:11 | Sandy-Driver 0x2dc3…19e0 | Yes | SELL | 5 | 0¢ | $0 | 0xe0c7c9… |
| 05-13 06:34:08 | Blind-Leaf 0x2b59…9db6 | Yes | SELL | 9 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x98f8b6… |
| 05-13 05:08:37 | Fine-Antecedent 0x23d1…353f | Yes | SELL | 5 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x4c567b… |
| 05-13 04:38:15 | Immense-Fang 0x1e1f…9fd6 | No | BUY | 15 | 99¢ | $15 | 0x276c0a… |