Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 40°C on May 14?
open
Total volume
$225
$1,609 in 24h
Trades
23
Unique wallets
19
Liquidity
$3,244
Latest YES mid
0¢
Latest NO mid
100¢
End date
2026-05-14
First seen
2026-05-12
last 05-14 09:04
YES price (mid)
last 60 days, hourly
YES holders
No active YES holders.
Cohort breakdown
who's buying — by wallet tier
By volume tier
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🐬 Dolphin | 2 | — | $29 | $29 |
| 🐟 Fish | 3 | — | $41 | $41 |
| 🦐 Shrimp | 14 | — | $95 | $95 |
By P&L percentile
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🏆 Top 5% | 3 | — | $29 | $29 |
| ✅ Top 10% | 3 | — | $5 | $5 |
| Median | 6 | — | $59 | $59 |
| Below median | 5 | — | $65 | $65 |
| 💀 Bottom 1% | 1 | — | $6 | $6 |
| unranked | 1 | — | — | +— |
SMI history (last 30d)
daily Smart-Money Index — top-1% YES-buy share minus crowd YES-buy share, in cents · positive = top-1% leans YES vs crowd
| Wallet | Side | Net shares | Cost basis | Volume | Trades | Last activity |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Broken-Idea 0x9f20…12c3 | No | +30 | $30 | $30 | 1 | 05-13 08:16 |
| Few-Pedal 0x6b46…dbc7 | No | +29 | $29 | $29 | 1 | 05-13 00:06 |
| Obvious-Artery 0xf329…7342 | No | +25 | $25 | $25 | 1 | 05-13 22:01 |
| Elastic-Pharmacopoeia 0x59e6…5743 | No | +21 | $21 | $21 | 1 | 05-13 21:57 |
| Blind-Leaf 0x2b59…9db6 | No | +18 | $18 | $18 | 1 | 05-12 09:12 |
| Blissful-Maestro 0xd1a6…1507 | No | +11 | $11 | $11 | 2 | 05-13 07:36 |
| Breakable-Deer 0xaa6a…0911 | No | +10 | $10 | $10 | 1 | 05-13 21:50 |
| Far-Off-Grid 0xae6e…b4be | No | +9 | $9 | $9 | 1 | 05-13 08:16 |
| Biodegradable-Belief 0x57c8…3d9b | No | +6 | $6 | $6 | 1 | 05-12 09:12 |
| Granular-Lamb-Item 0x0ba3…57bc | No | +5 | $5 | $5 | 1 | 05-13 07:29 |
| Absolute-Snake 0x3c68…daa6 | No | +1 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 05-13 00:40 |
| Time | Wallet | Outcome | Side | Size | Price | USD | Tx |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05-14 09:04:09 | Powerful-Proponent 0x2ff8…28e7 | No | SELL | 17 | 100¢ | $17 | 0xec7dbb… |
| 05-14 06:09:48 | Wan-Schedule 0x1077…2b94 | No | SELL | 11 | 100¢ | $11 | 0x731b63… |
| 05-14 03:58:50 | Blissful-Maestro 0xd1a6…1507 | Yes | SELL | 21 | 0¢ | $0 | 0xf6b3c7… |
| 05-14 01:30:38 | Active-Leeway 0x5189…39cb | No | SELL | 10 | 100¢ | $10 | 0x6a49d4… |
| 05-13 22:01:50 | Obvious-Artery 0xf329…7342 | No | BUY | 25 | 100¢ | $25 | 0xb923d9… |
| 05-13 21:57:45 | Elastic-Pharmacopoeia 0x59e6…5743 | No | BUY | 21 | 100¢ | $21 | 0xfbaca4… |
| 05-13 21:50:38 | Breakable-Deer 0xaa6a…0911 | No | BUY | 10 | 100¢ | $10 | 0xb19923… |
| 05-13 18:37:14 | Embarrassed-Dhow 0x5615…5e8c | No | SELL | 23 | 100¢ | $23 | 0xd6ff6e… |
| 05-13 08:34:25 | Blind-Leaf 0x2b59…9db6 | Yes | SELL | 9 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x8aff9d… |
| 05-13 08:34:14 | Troubled-Cloth 0x9009…1621 | Yes | SELL | 5 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x147354… |
| 05-13 08:34:14 | Impressionable-Ship 0x04dc…d572 | Yes | SELL | 5 | 0¢ | $0 | 0xa3d517… |
| 05-13 08:34:14 | Trained-Beanie 0xcb32…79aa | Yes | SELL | 5 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x373d3f… |
| 05-13 08:34:14 | Fine-Antecedent 0x23d1…353f | Yes | SELL | 5 | 0¢ | $0 | 0xd13295… |
| 05-13 08:16:27 | Far-Off-Grid 0xae6e…b4be | No | BUY | 9 | 100¢ | $9 | 0x02e259… |
| 05-13 08:16:25 | Broken-Idea 0x9f20…12c3 | No | BUY | 30 | 100¢ | $30 | 0x8a906d… |
| 05-13 07:59:49 | Blissful-Maestro 0xd1a6…1507 | Yes | SELL | 9 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x6b9708… |
| 05-13 07:36:21 | Blissful-Maestro 0xd1a6…1507 | No | BUY | 3 | 100¢ | $3 | 0x591d78… |
| 05-13 07:29:31 | Granular-Lamb-Item 0x0ba3…57bc | No | BUY | 5 | 100¢ | $5 | 0x4dc6e3… |
| 05-13 00:40:55 | Absolute-Snake 0x3c68…daa6 | No | BUY | 1 | 99¢ | $1 | 0x6609c1… |
| 05-13 00:06:22 | Few-Pedal 0x6b46…dbc7 | No | BUY | 29 | 100¢ | $29 | 0x85a217… |
| 05-12 09:12:35 | Blind-Leaf 0x2b59…9db6 | No | BUY | 18 | 99¢ | $18 | 0xc93bae… |
| 05-12 09:12:28 | Biodegradable-Belief 0x57c8…3d9b | No | BUY | 6 | 99¢ | $6 | 0xc25c8e… |
| 05-12 09:12:28 | Blissful-Maestro 0xd1a6…1507 | No | BUY | 8 | 99¢ | $8 | 0x319718… |