Nimble-Decade — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$15

Unrealized P&L

+$0

Hit rate

99.5%

Resolved

Trades

lifetime

Volume

$4.22K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$67

Open exposure

1 position

First seen

2026-01-08

last 10-06 06:51

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 45 days

Categories

Other

65% 100% +$3

Crypto

30% 79% -$15

Politics

5% 80% -$2

Tech

0% 50% -$1

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

3 active days in 12wk • peak 2 trades/day

Open positions (1) Resolved markets (29) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will Ofer Winter be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	No		+9	$9	100¢	$9	+$0	10-06 06:51

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
elon musk of tweets february 2 february 4 0 39	1	$169	169	+169	No	+$0	02-03 07:16
will alphabet be the largest company in the world by market cap on january 31	1	$169	169	+169	No	+$0	01-30 08:26
bitcoin above 94k on january 26	1	$168	169	+169	No	+$0	01-26 06:46
elon musk of tweets january 16 january 23 300 319	1	$168	168	+168	No	+$0	01-21 08:34
elon musk of tweets january 2026 1280 1319	1	$168	168	+168	No	+$0	01-17 02:32
elon musk of tweets january 6 january 13 220 239	1	$167	167	+167	No	+$0	01-08 02:47
us strikes iran by february 14 2026	1	$167	167	+167	No	+$0	02-15 02:24
elon musk of tweets february 10 february 17 100 119	1	$167	167	+167	No	+$0	02-11 02:27
ethereum above 1700 on march 7	1	$166	166	+166	Yes	+$0	03-07 03:33
elon musk of tweets march 20 march 27 180 199	1	$160	160	+160	No	+$0	03-23 02:20
elon musk of tweets march 24 march 31 280 299	1	$160	160	+160	No	+$0	03-31 07:24
bitcoin above 68k on march 17	1	$160	160	+160	Yes	+$0	03-17 01:38
elon musk of tweets march 6 march 13 440 459	1	$160	160	+160	No	+$0	03-13 02:33
Will Elon Musk post 340-359 tweets from May 1 to May 8, 2026?	1	$159	159	+159	No	+$0	05-05 02:18
bitcoin above 78k on march 28	1	$159	159	+159	No	+$0	03-27 01:51
bitcoin above 72k on april 23	1	$154	154	+154	Yes	+$0	04-23 01:21
Will Elon Musk post 360-379 tweets from May 12 to May 19, 2026?	1	$154	154	+154	No	+$0	05-17 02:24
bitcoin above 70k on june 5 2026	1	$152	152	+152	No	+$0	06-05 01:51
Will Elon Musk post 115-139 tweets from May 28 to May 30, 2026?	1	$151	151	+151	No	+$0	05-30 01:48
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $60 in April?	1	$150	150	+150	No	+$0	04-30 08:46
Will Bitcoin dip to $70,000 May 4-10?	1	$150	150	+150	No	+$0	05-09 08:13
bitcoin above 70k on april 17	1	$150	150	+150	Yes	+$0	04-17 01:49
Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from May 22 to May 29, 2026?	1	$150	150	+150	No	+$0	05-28 02:54
elon musk of tweets april 7 april 14 360 379	1	$150	150	+150	No	+$0	04-12 01:15
elon musk of tweets april 3 april 10 440 459	1	$150	150	+150	No	+$0	04-07 02:24
Will Elon Musk post 380-399 tweets from May 19 to May 26, 2026?	1	$140	140	+140	No	+$0	05-25 01:14
US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by August 31?	1	$13	13	+13	No	+$0	08-28 08:55
Fed rate cut by July 2026 meeting?	1	$13	13	+13	No	+$0	07-23 08:59
Will voter turnout be less than 47% in the 2026 Russian parliamentary election?	1	$12	12	+12	No	+$0	09-20 13:40
Will Ofer Winter be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	1	$9	9	+9	open	—	10-06 06:51

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-06 06:51:30	Will Ofer Winter be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	No	BUY	9	100¢	$9	0xd8c143…
10-06 06:49:01	Saudi troops enter Marib Governorate by October 31, 2026?	No	BUY	3	90¢	$3	0xac5cd7…
09-20 13:40:36	Will voter turnout be less than 47% in the 2026 Russian parliamentary election?	No	BUY	12	100¢	$12	0x8d2873…
09-20 13:33:25	Will Anthropic IPO by September 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	525	0¢	$1	0xc6832e…
08-28 08:55:55	US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by August 31?	No	BUY	13	100¢	$13	0xf69398…
07-23 08:59:10	Fed rate cut by July 2026 meeting?	No	BUY	13	100¢	$13	0xfe9487…
06-12 06:38:18	Will the US confirm that aliens exist by June 30?	No	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0x8c219a…
06-12 06:38:04	Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by June 30, 2026?	No	BUY	1	96¢	$1	0xfab2fd…
06-12 06:37:54	Will Elon Musk buy Ryanair?	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0x8d2c91…
06-12 06:37:45	Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by June 30, 2026?	No	BUY	1	95¢	$1	0xe823d3…
06-12 06:33:52	Will SpaceX IPO by June 15, 2026?	Yes	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0x5eea88…
06-12 06:33:42	will ethereum reach 2300 june 8 14 2026	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0x5983e0…
06-12 06:33:36	will ethereum reach 2400 june 8 14 2026	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0x0bbf38…
06-12 06:33:22	will bitcoin reach 92pt5k in june 2026	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0x2d8c5a…
06-12 06:33:16	will bitcoin reach 100k in june 2026	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0x3ea555…
06-05 01:51:37	bitcoin above 70k on june 5 2026	No	BUY	152	100¢	$152	0x39b1c4…
05-30 01:48:25	Will Elon Musk post 115-139 tweets from May 28 to May 30, 2026?	No	BUY	151	100¢	$151	0x28e662…
05-28 02:54:20	Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from May 22 to May 29, 2026?	No	BUY	150	100¢	$150	0x21643c…
05-25 01:14:36	Will Elon Musk post 380-399 tweets from May 19 to May 26, 2026?	No	BUY	140	100¢	$140	0xdfe76a…
05-25 01:11:34	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $84,000 on May 26?	Yes	BUY	1,935	0¢	$4	0x19d7ee…
05-17 02:24:58	Will Elon Musk post 360-379 tweets from May 12 to May 19, 2026?	No	BUY	154	100¢	$154	0xb97369…
05-17 02:24:46	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on May 17?	No	BUY	1,615	0¢	$3	0x4a60aa…
05-09 08:13:28	Will Bitcoin dip to $70,000 May 4-10?	No	BUY	150	100¢	$150	0x35385d…
05-09 08:13:16	Will "Mortal Kombat II" Opening Weekend Box Office be greater than 50m?	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0xd3a50b…
05-09 08:13:03	Will the highest temperature in Qingdao be 31°C or higher on May 10?	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0xb31c46…
05-09 08:12:51	Will Meituan have the #1 AI model at the end of May 2026 (Style Control On)?	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0x4648d5…
05-05 02:18:58	Will Elon Musk post 340-359 tweets from May 1 to May 8, 2026?	No	BUY	159	100¢	$159	0x1b30e0…
04-30 08:46:50	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $60 in April?	No	BUY	150	100¢	$150	0x9635a0…
04-23 01:21:52	bitcoin above 72k on april 23	Yes	BUY	154	100¢	$154	0x8acb81…
04-23 01:21:42	Will Meta have the best AI model at the end of April 2026?	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0xe008bd…
04-23 01:21:32	Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25+ bps after the April 2026 meeting?	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0x329292…
04-17 01:49:42	bitcoin above 70k on april 17	Yes	BUY	150	100¢	$150	0x5e22bf…
04-17 01:49:28	will meta ai assistant glasses be 1 free app in the us apple app store on april 17	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0xb06fa9…
04-17 01:49:12	will the super mario galaxy movie 3rd weekend box office be greater than 52m	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0x2b611a…
04-12 01:15:13	elon musk of tweets april 7 april 14 360 379	No	BUY	150	100¢	$150	0x0732db…
04-12 01:14:57	Will ByteDance have the best AI model at the end of April 2026?	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0x22cbbe…
04-12 01:14:47	will threads be 1 free app in the us apple app store on april 14	No	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0x34d82d…
04-12 01:13:45	bitcoin above 78k on april 12	Yes	BUY	2,265	0¢	$5	0x7a89ad…
04-07 02:25:25	will a dozen eggs cost 4pt00 in march	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0x6a4b92…
04-07 02:25:09	Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the April 2026 meeting?	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0x58b795…
04-07 02:24:59	will threads be 2 free app in the us apple app store on april 7	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0x76c1b5…
04-07 02:24:13	elon musk of tweets april 3 april 10 440 459	No	BUY	150	100¢	$150	0xeece3b…
04-07 02:24:05	will the price of bitcoin be between 60000 62000 on april 7	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0x3d2e93…
03-31 07:24:17	elon musk of tweets march 24 march 31 280 299	No	BUY	160	100¢	$160	0xa5ed55…
03-27 01:51:37	bitcoin above 78k on march 28	No	BUY	159	100¢	$159	0x66fa37…
03-27 01:51:25	elon musk of tweets march 2026 1160 1199	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0x5590aa…
03-27 01:51:03	will ethereum dip to 400 in march 2026	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0x56f27a…
03-27 01:50:57	will ethereum reach 4000 in march 2026	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0x8c7d8c…
03-23 02:20:49	elon musk of tweets march 20 march 27 180 199	No	BUY	160	100¢	$160	0x1759a3…
03-23 02:20:39	bitcoin above 78k on march 24	Yes	BUY	2,500	0¢	$5	0xf4a649…
03-17 01:38:57	will hotschedules be 1 paid app in the us apple app store on march 17	No	BUY	1	96¢	$1	0x350d71…
03-17 01:38:17	bitcoin above 68k on march 17	Yes	BUY	160	100¢	$160	0x56af9b…
03-13 02:33:55	elon musk of tweets march 6 march 13 440 459	No	BUY	160	100¢	$160	0x084ca4…
03-07 03:33:57	ethereum above 1700 on march 7	Yes	BUY	166	100¢	$166	0x3bb145…
02-15 02:24:49	us strikes iran by february 14 2026	No	BUY	167	100¢	$167	0x020c2d…
02-11 02:27:43	elon musk of tweets february 10 february 17 100 119	No	BUY	167	100¢	$167	0x278b3d…
02-11 02:26:57	us strikes iran by february 10 2026	Yes	BUY	1,290	0¢	$3	0xa40233…
02-03 07:16:14	elon musk of tweets february 2 february 4 0 39	No	BUY	169	100¢	$169	0x6d8b13…
01-30 08:26:00	will alphabet be the largest company in the world by market cap on january 31	No	BUY	169	100¢	$169	0x1b2176…
01-26 06:46:38	bitcoin above 94k on january 26	No	BUY	169	100¢	$168	0x9ca37f…
01-21 08:34:08	elon musk of tweets january 16 january 23 300 319	No	BUY	168	100¢	$168	0xdbda90…
01-17 02:32:22	elon musk of tweets january 2026 1280 1319	No	BUY	168	100¢	$168	0xaca7a9…
01-08 02:47:09	elon musk of tweets january 6 january 13 220 239	No	BUY	167	100¢	$167	0xae6d55…