Wallet — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$6

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

21.0%

Resolved

155

Trades

480

lifetime

Volume

$7.11K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$15

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-08-11

last 10-27 23:52

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 19 days

Categories

Politics

55% 0% -$17

Other

34% 0% -$47

Crypto

10% 60% +$58

Tech

1% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

44 active days in 12wk • peak 89 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (10) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?	4	$767	525	525	+0	Yes	-$10	09-19 03:01
Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	7	$633	603	603	+0	open	—	10-14 23:37
Will the Republicans win the Texas Senate race in 2026?	4	$502	402	402	+0	open	—	10-26 21:05
US announces end of Iranian blockade by October 31, 2026?	2	$426	333	333	+0	No	-$7	09-16 11:22
us x iran ceasefire continues through october 31 20260917	4	$412	406	406	+0	open	—	09-30 19:27
Another Fed rate hike in 2026?	5	$376	251	251	+0	open	—	10-24 23:24
Will Mary Peltola win the Alaska Senate race in 2026?	4	$363	251	251	+0	open	—	10-26 20:04
Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026?	4	$310	420	420	+0	open	—	09-14 15:17
Will Édouard Philippe win the 2027 French presidential election?	2	$304	201	201	+0	open	—	10-11 18:03
2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, D House	2	$287	205	205	+0	open	—	09-24 11:47
Will the Democrats win the Texas governor race in 2026?	2	$273	201	201	+0	open	—	10-22 09:16
Will Gen.G win Worlds 2026?	2	$231	201	201	+0	open	—	10-26 19:44
Will the Democrats win the Nevada governor race in 2026?	2	$183	201	201	+0	open	—	10-05 12:43
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?	2	$180	200	200	+0	Yes	+$0	09-04 12:38
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?	2	$160	200	200	+0	No	+$0	09-04 11:20
Any of the Cornell 7 charged with a felony sex crime?	2	$151	201	201	+0	open	—	10-02 06:21
Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election by less than 5%?	2	$91	80	80	+0	No	-$6	09-25 18:09
Fed rate hike in 2026?	2	$81	58	58	+0	Yes	+$0	09-10 06:49
Will Anthropic's market cap be between $2.25T and $2.5T at market close on IPO day?	2	$71	50	50	+0	open	—	09-29 01:36
Gemini 4.0 released by October 15, 2026?	2	$66	100	100	+0	Yes	-$38	10-04 05:48
will bitcoin dip to 70000 by december 31 2026 from august 24	2	$65	50	50	+0	open	—	09-30 17:33
Will the Republican Party win the NC-13 House seat?	3	$62	50	50	+0	open	—	10-27 23:52
Will Vitality Win the ESL Pro League Season 24?	2	$56	50	50	+0	Yes	-$2	10-08 05:37
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of December 2026?	2	$55	50	50	+0	open	—	10-27 13:25
Friedrich Merz out as Chancellor of Germany before December 31, 2026?	2	$44	100	100	+0	open	—	09-20 22:46
US x Iran ceasefire continues through November 30?	4	$32	40	40	+0	open	—	09-26 00:39
Will Missouri enact a data center moratorium by December 31, 2028?	2	$30	50	50	+0	open	—	10-03 06:57
Will Alberto Núñez Feijóo be the next Prime Minister of Spain?	2	$29	80	80	+0	open	—	10-02 21:23
laptop fdv above 500m one day after launch	2	$29	20	20	+0	Yes	-$1	09-08 01:34
Saudi Oil Pipeline (East-West) restarts by October 15?	2	$26	20	20	+0	Yes	+$0	10-01 12:57

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-27 23:52:35	Will the Republican Party win the NC-13 House seat?	Yes	SELL	38	62¢	$24	0xd2550f…
10-27 22:15:45	Will the Republican Party win the NC-13 House seat?	Yes	SELL	12	62¢	$7	0x74b2f7…
10-27 19:29:53	Will the Republican Party win the NC-13 House seat?	Yes	BUY	50	62¢	$31	0x46acf5…
10-27 13:25:39	Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of December 2026?	Yes	SELL	50	55¢	$28	0x133aed…
10-27 09:06:21	Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of December 2026?	Yes	BUY	50	55¢	$28	0x82bb98…
10-26 21:05:18	Will the Republicans win the Texas Senate race in 2026?	No	SELL	201	63¢	$127	0x1643cf…
10-26 20:53:20	Will the Republicans win the Texas Senate race in 2026?	No	BUY	201	63¢	$127	0x7e6ee4…
10-26 20:04:14	Will Mary Peltola win the Alaska Senate race in 2026?	Yes	SELL	201	72¢	$145	0xac3464…
10-26 19:51:08	Will Mary Peltola win the Alaska Senate race in 2026?	Yes	BUY	201	72¢	$145	0x77b783…
10-26 19:44:35	Will Gen.G win Worlds 2026?	No	SELL	201	58¢	$117	0x836746…
10-26 16:22:29	Will Gen.G win Worlds 2026?	No	BUY	201	57¢	$115	0x42da68…
10-24 23:24:38	Another Fed rate hike in 2026?	Yes	SELL	51	75¢	$38	0x254f53…
10-24 12:18:27	Another Fed rate hike in 2026?	Yes	SELL	150	75¢	$112	0x775196…
10-24 02:12:05	Another Fed rate hike in 2026?	Yes	BUY	201	75¢	$151	0xf708cd…
10-22 09:16:38	Will the Democrats win the Texas governor race in 2026?	No	SELL	201	65¢	$131	0x826bfb…
10-21 15:24:11	Will the Democrats win the Texas governor race in 2026?	No	BUY	201	71¢	$143	0x9193de…
10-20 23:38:14	Will the Republicans win the Texas Senate race in 2026?	No	SELL	201	62¢	$125	0x6ba03d…
10-20 23:38:00	Will the Republicans win the Texas Senate race in 2026?	No	BUY	201	62¢	$125	0xd5f7ad…
10-20 05:49:44	Next White House Press Secretary announced by November 30, 2026?	Yes	SELL	20	52¢	$10	0x3feaa3…
10-19 10:25:41	Next White House Press Secretary announced by November 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	20	58¢	$12	0x541237…
10-14 23:37:04	Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	Yes	SELL	201	26¢	$52	0x0e8103…
10-14 21:30:55	Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	Yes	BUY	201	28¢	$56	0x2c6dfb…
10-11 18:03:58	Will Édouard Philippe win the 2027 French presidential election?	No	SELL	201	75¢	$151	0xa74714…
10-11 16:32:15	Will Édouard Philippe win the 2027 French presidential election?	No	BUY	201	76¢	$153	0x4b06a5…
10-11 14:07:00	Another Fed rate hike in 2026?	Yes	SELL	50	75¢	$38	0xc75af7…
10-11 13:34:27	Another Fed rate hike in 2026?	Yes	BUY	50	75¢	$38	0x2c1ca9…
10-08 05:37:13	Will Vitality Win the ESL Pro League Season 24?	No	SELL	50	54¢	$27	0xcd57c9…
10-08 04:26:01	Will Vitality Win the ESL Pro League Season 24?	No	BUY	50	58¢	$29	0x1e2acb…
10-05 12:43:56	Will the Democrats win the Nevada governor race in 2026?	No	SELL	201	45¢	$90	0x4d7bd1…
10-05 10:37:53	Will the Democrats win the Nevada governor race in 2026?	No	BUY	201	46¢	$92	0x1a8566…
10-04 22:58:44	Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	No	SELL	201	63¢	$127	0xaafe87…
10-04 22:48:50	Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	No	BUY	76	62¢	$47	0x453ffd…
10-04 22:48:49	Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	No	BUY	125	62¢	$77	0x337a78…
10-04 05:48:23	Gemini 4.0 released by October 15, 2026?	No	SELL	100	14¢	$14	0xd34c7f…
10-04 03:42:17	Gemini 4.0 released by October 15, 2026?	No	BUY	100	52¢	$52	0xab567a…
10-03 06:57:27	Will Missouri enact a data center moratorium by December 31, 2028?	Yes	SELL	50	25¢	$12	0xffb1e3…
10-03 04:51:23	Will Missouri enact a data center moratorium by December 31, 2028?	Yes	BUY	50	35¢	$18	0x41da9f…
10-02 21:23:32	Will Alberto Núñez Feijóo be the next Prime Minister of Spain?	No	SELL	80	11¢	$9	0x3549f7…
10-02 19:17:30	Will Alberto Núñez Feijóo be the next Prime Minister of Spain?	No	BUY	80	25¢	$20	0x107272…
10-02 06:21:02	any of the cornell 7 charged with a felony sex crime	Yes	SELL	201	36¢	$72	0x7e1c80…
10-02 04:14:59	Any of the Cornell 7 charged with a felony sex crime?	Yes	BUY	201	39¢	$78	0xbc6cb4…
10-01 17:32:27	Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $2.5T by December 31?	Yes	SELL	20	38¢	$8	0xb6a33c…
10-01 12:57:33	Saudi Oil Pipeline (East-West) restarts by October 15?	No	SELL	20	64¢	$13	0xfb4499…
10-01 12:46:33	Saudi Oil Pipeline (East-West) restarts by October 15?	No	BUY	20	64¢	$13	0xc908cd…
10-01 09:05:38	Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $2.5T by December 31?	Yes	BUY	20	50¢	$10	0x256442…
09-30 19:27:45	us x iran ceasefire continues through october 31 20260917	Yes	SELL	201	56¢	$113	0x693a68…
09-30 17:48:03	us x iran ceasefire continues through october 31 20260917	Yes	BUY	201	59¢	$119	0xda6b66…
09-30 17:33:26	will bitcoin dip to 70000 by december 31 2026 from august 24	No	SELL	50	65¢	$32	0x9d9cf7…
09-30 17:26:08	will bitcoin dip to 70000 by december 31 2026 from august 24	No	BUY	50	65¢	$32	0x51c261…
09-29 19:33:23	Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	No	SELL	201	68¢	$137	0x7c6b84…
09-29 19:12:32	Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	No	BUY	201	68¢	$137	0x263fb3…
09-29 01:36:21	Will Anthropic's market cap be between $2.25T and $2.5T at market close on IPO day?	No	SELL	50	68¢	$34	0x730a04…
09-29 00:00:17	Will Anthropic's market cap be between $2.25T and $2.5T at market close on IPO day?	No	BUY	50	74¢	$37	0x95f2d8…
09-28 06:32:08	Bank of England increases interest rates by 25 bps after November 2026 meeting?	No	SELL	20	18¢	$4	0x82a6b4…
09-28 06:32:03	Bank of England increases interest rates by 25 bps after November 2026 meeting?	No	BUY	20	18¢	$4	0xd3d246…
09-26 12:14:54	us x iran ceasefire continues through october 31 20260917	No	SELL	205	43¢	$88	0x89aecd…
09-26 12:04:23	US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31?	No	BUY	205	45¢	$92	0x0dee6d…
09-26 00:39:24	US x Iran ceasefire continues through November 30?	Yes	SELL	20	32¢	$6	0x54fc3f…
09-26 00:29:12	US x Iran ceasefire continues through November 30?	Yes	BUY	20	43¢	$9	0x3a195a…
09-25 18:09:08	Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election by less than 5%?	Yes	SELL	80	53¢	$42	0x151265…
09-25 18:08:50	Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election by less than 5%?	Yes	BUY	80	61¢	$49	0x42d579…
09-24 22:23:41	US x Iran ceasefire continues through November 30?	Yes	SELL	20	41¢	$8	0x5b88e0…
09-24 22:23:33	US x Iran ceasefire continues through November 30?	Yes	BUY	20	45¢	$9	0x842834…
09-24 11:47:48	2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, D House	No	SELL	205	70¢	$144	0x724a15…
09-24 11:47:28	2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, D House	No	BUY	205	70¢	$144	0x42d8c6…
09-23 15:14:20	Will Mary Peltola win the Alaska Senate race in 2026?	Yes	SELL	50	72¢	$36	0x0f9dd7…
09-23 15:14:11	Will Mary Peltola win the Alaska Senate race in 2026?	Yes	BUY	50	75¢	$38	0x90f1be…
09-23 11:39:59	Bank of England increases interest rates by 25 bps after November 2026 meeting?	No	SELL	20	28¢	$6	0x370b7f…
09-23 11:38:05	Bank of England increases interest rates by 25 bps after November 2026 meeting?	No	BUY	20	32¢	$6	0x6b8389…
09-22 22:53:56	US x Iran ceasefire continues through December 31?	Yes	SELL	2	51¢	$1	0x2effdd…
09-22 21:59:31	US x Iran ceasefire continues through December 31?	Yes	BUY	2	49¢	$1	0xf9d728…
09-22 21:52:52	Trump renames AI by September 30?	Yes	SELL	20	27¢	$5	0x9b6327…
09-22 21:52:46	Trump renames AI by September 30?	Yes	BUY	20	30¢	$6	0xbf5af9…
09-21 19:54:01	No change in Bank of England’s interest rates after November 2026 meeting?	No	SELL	20	61¢	$12	0x380ed0…
09-21 19:53:54	No change in Bank of England’s interest rates after November 2026 meeting?	No	BUY	20	66¢	$13	0x1063f9…
09-20 22:46:23	Friedrich Merz out as Chancellor of Germany before December 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	100	23¢	$23	0x5f58b6…
09-20 21:40:19	Friedrich Merz out as Chancellor of Germany before December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	100	21¢	$21	0xebbec4…
09-19 03:01:22	Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?	Yes	SELL	205	74¢	$152	0x3b338e…
09-19 02:46:19	Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?	Yes	BUY	205	74¢	$152	0x3920eb…
09-16 16:57:29	Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?	No	SELL	20	25¢	$5	0x18a52b…
09-16 16:57:18	Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?	No	BUY	20	29¢	$6	0x734125…
09-16 11:22:39	US announces end of Iranian blockade by October 31, 2026?	No	SELL	333	63¢	$210	0xed813c…
09-16 11:22:28	US announces end of Iranian blockade by October 31, 2026?	No	BUY	333	65¢	$216	0xc61a0c…
09-15 14:42:25	Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?	Yes	SELL	320	71¢	$227	0x88666e…
09-15 14:42:13	Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?	Yes	BUY	320	74¢	$237	0x5ffa80…
09-14 15:17:16	Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026?	Yes	SELL	320	25¢	$80	0x485760…
09-14 15:17:09	Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026?	Yes	BUY	320	26¢	$83	0x0f15b5…
09-13 12:48:57	Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026?	No	SELL	100	73¢	$73	0xd532c9…
09-13 12:48:46	Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026?	No	BUY	100	74¢	$74	0xea898f…
09-11 06:27:52	Will Linke win the most seats in the 2026 Berlin state elections?	No	SELL	20	37¢	$7	0x9be07a…
09-11 06:27:48	Will Linke win the most seats in the 2026 Berlin state elections?	No	BUY	20	39¢	$8	0x278019…
09-10 10:09:18	Will CMI declare a Millennium Prize Problem solved by December 31, 2027?	Yes	SELL	50	21¢	$10	0x5d7613…
09-10 10:09:13	Will CMI declare a Millennium Prize Problem solved by December 31, 2027?	Yes	BUY	50	24¢	$12	0xb62742…
09-10 06:49:37	Fed rate hike in 2026?	Yes	SELL	58	70¢	$41	0x596870…
09-10 06:49:27	Fed rate hike in 2026?	Yes	BUY	58	70¢	$41	0xdaf773…
09-08 01:34:52	laptop fdv above 500m one day after launch	No	SELL	20	70¢	$14	0x3be5c8…
09-08 01:34:45	laptop fdv above 500m one day after launch	No	BUY	20	73¢	$15	0x8e6175…
09-07 16:35:58	Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by March 31, 2027?	Yes	SELL	20	38¢	$8	0x20180e…
09-07 16:35:49	Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by March 31, 2027?	Yes	BUY	20	40¢	$8	0xf54ff8…
09-04 12:44:51	russia ukraine peace talks by december 31 2026 20260609012542189 588	No	SELL	20	43¢	$9	0x080192…