Wobbly-Hourglass — Polymarket

Realized P&L (90d)

+$1.42K

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

98.5%

Resolved (90d)

3,476

Trades (90d)

13,739

29,572 lifetime

Volume (90d)

$1.27M

$3.04M lifetime

Avg / trade

$103

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-03-29

last 11-01 11:37

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 214 days

Categories

Other

99% 97% -$1,367

Sports

0% 71% +$20

Crypto

0% 86% +$213

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

83 active days in 12wk • peak 322 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
nbasl lal lac 2026 07 14	53	$20.9K	14,877	7,012	+7,865	LA Lakers	-$290	07-15 03:52
nbasl chi was 2026 07 14	8	$13.8K	12,241	1,605	+10,636	Chicago Bulls	+$15	07-15 01:53
nbasl hou bkn 2026 07 16	3	$11.7K	11,768	0	+11,768	Houston Rockets	+$26	07-16 22:32
nbasl phi orl 2026 07 15	11	$11.4K	11,470	0	+11,470	Orlando Magic	+$35	07-15 21:39
Will Jordan win on 2026-06-27?	19	$10.1K	5,308	4,800	+508	No	+$26	06-28 03:41
wnba chi la 2026 07 10	37	$9.3K	9,302	0	+9,302	Los Angeles Sparks	+$10	07-11 04:38
nbasl sas uta 2026 07 15	6	$8.8K	8,828	0	+8,828	San Antonio Spurs	+$18	07-16 03:09
nbasl lac sac 2026 07 09	24	$8.7K	8,762	0	+8,762	Sacramento Kings	+$18	07-10 05:18
Will Switzerland win on 2026-06-18?	2	$8.6K	4,314	4,314	+0	Yes	+$35	06-18 20:46
chi ton zhe 2026 07 18 total 3pt5	4	$8.4K	4,327	4,327	+0	Under	+$202	07-18 12:54
Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 27°C or higher on August 31?	28	$8.3K	4,493	3,828	+665	Yes	+$13	08-31 15:23
nbasl mem chi 2026 07 10	5	$7.8K	3,939	3,939	+0	Memphis Grizzlies	+$20	07-11 02:12
Will Morocco win on 2026-07-04?	2	$7.2K	4,832	2,416	+2,416	Yes	+$36	07-04 18:57
wnba ind las 2026 07 12	8	$7.1K	7,225	0	+7,225	Indiana Fever	+$80	07-13 02:45
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 78-79°F on July 5?	3	$6.9K	6,955	0	+6,955	Yes	+$10	07-06 03:32
Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 19°C on June 25?	3	$6.7K	3,359	3,359	+0	No	+$20	06-25 06:12
Will the highest temperature in Munich be 27°C on July 12?	7	$6.5K	6,484	0	+6,484	No	+$31	07-12 14:55
nbasl mia mil 2026 07 10	16	$6.3K	6,358	0	+6,358	Miami Heat	+$19	07-10 22:11
wnba ind la 2026 07 08	17	$6.2K	6,285	0	+6,285	Los Angeles Sparks	+$24	07-09 04:00
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 26°C on June 4?	18	$6.0K	4,011	2,026	+1,986	No	+$24	06-04 08:09
fifwc tur usa 2026 06 25 total 8pt5	14	$5.9K	4,264	1,685	+2,578	Under	+$22	06-26 03:14
fifwc prt esp 2026 07 06 spread away 2pt5	3	$5.8K	5,792	0	+5,792	Portugal	+$12	07-06 20:52
Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 34°C on June 12?	2	$5.6K	5,656	0	+5,656	Yes	+$23	06-12 20:36
fifwc fra eng 2026 07 18 total 8pt5	19	$5.6K	5,662	0	+5,662	Over	-$3,127	07-18 22:58
Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 20°C or below on September 17?	4	$5.6K	5,603	0	+5,603	No	+$12	09-17 04:18
atp fery zverev 2026 07 10	16	$5.4K	3,450	1,976	+1,473	Alexander Zverev	+$17	07-10 14:51
highest temperature in los angeles on april 8 2026 76forhigher	18	$5.2K	2,618	2,617	+1	No	+$22	04-09 02:08
fifwc usa bel 2026 07 06 total 8pt5	6	$5.0K	5,006	0	+5,006	Under	+$40	07-07 00:34
nbasl tor hou 2026 07 11	7	$5.0K	4,968	0	+4,968	Toronto Raptors	+$8	07-12 03:48
nbasl por min 2026 07 13	8	$4.9K	4,875	0	+4,875	Portland Trail Blazers	+$10	07-14 05:17

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
11-01 11:37:51	Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 60-61°F on November 1?	Yes	BUY	30	65¢	$20	0x33ebe3…
11-01 11:17:31	Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 33°C on November 1?	Yes	BUY	17	100¢	$17	0x5e7ffe…
11-01 10:02:03	Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 33°C on November 1?	Yes	BUY	15	100¢	$15	0xe62229…
11-01 09:40:51	Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 33°C on November 1?	Yes	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0xc48743…
11-01 09:40:49	Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 33°C on November 1?	Yes	BUY	68	100¢	$68	0x98b6fd…
11-01 09:39:55	Will the highest temperature in Manila be 33°C on November 1?	Yes	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0xde00d4…
11-01 09:39:55	Will the highest temperature in Manila be 33°C on November 1?	Yes	BUY	30	100¢	$30	0xd6e77e…
11-01 09:39:25	Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 18°C on November 1?	Yes	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0x17d081…
11-01 09:29:42	Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 33°C on November 1?	Yes	BUY	90	100¢	$90	0x7d9228…
11-01 09:21:31	Will the highest temperature in Manila be 34°C on November 1?	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0xc2f0be…
11-01 09:21:03	Will the highest temperature in Manila be 34°C on November 1?	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0xc4bbc8…
11-01 09:21:00	Will the highest temperature in Manila be 34°C on November 1?	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0x12ec36…
11-01 09:16:46	Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 34°C on November 1?	Yes	BUY	64	100¢	$64	0x954c23…
11-01 09:14:36	Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 34°C on November 1?	Yes	BUY	64	100¢	$64	0x3294d7…
11-01 09:14:36	Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 35°C on November 1?	No	BUY	168	100¢	$168	0x010ed1…
11-01 09:12:18	Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 25°C on November 1?	No	BUY	20	100¢	$20	0x6ba94c…
11-01 09:12:01	Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 35°C on November 1?	No	BUY	144	100¢	$144	0x202362…
11-01 09:11:49	Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 34°C on November 1?	Yes	BUY	12	100¢	$12	0x61e506…
11-01 09:11:22	Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 36°C on November 1?	No	BUY	19	100¢	$19	0x622eff…
11-01 09:09:04	Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 12°C on November 1?	Yes	BUY	10	8¢	$1	0xe2dc65…
11-01 09:07:51	Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 18°C on November 1?	Yes	BUY	140	100¢	$140	0x053de1…
11-01 09:05:49	Will the highest temperature in Qingdao be 15°C on November 1?	Yes	BUY	1,547	100¢	$1,545	0xe8e819…
11-01 09:04:48	Will the highest temperature in Qingdao be 15°C on November 1?	Yes	BUY	44	100¢	$44	0xec9e3f…
11-01 09:02:33	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 26°C on November 1?	Yes	BUY	6	100¢	$6	0x95e5fb…
11-01 09:02:33	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 26°C on November 1?	Yes	BUY	79	100¢	$79	0x28eefc…
11-01 09:02:07	Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 33°C on November 1?	Yes	BUY	434	100¢	$433	0x00741c…
11-01 09:01:28	Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 33°C on November 1?	Yes	BUY	42	100¢	$41	0x8b8e3d…
11-01 09:01:25	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 26°C on November 1?	Yes	BUY	20	100¢	$20	0xdc0d5d…
11-01 09:01:25	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 26°C on November 1?	Yes	BUY	7	100¢	$7	0xc9f421…
11-01 09:01:19	Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 33°C on November 1?	Yes	BUY	58	100¢	$58	0x59a089…
11-01 09:00:21	Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 34°C on November 1?	No	BUY	238	100¢	$238	0x0c6ab8…
11-01 09:00:12	Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 33°C on November 1?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x29711c…
11-01 08:59:46	Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 33°C on November 1?	Yes	BUY	368	100¢	$368	0x1b452f…
11-01 08:58:01	Will the highest temperature in Qingdao be 17°C on November 1?	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0x8933e1…
11-01 08:58:00	Will the highest temperature in Qingdao be 17°C on November 1?	No	BUY	111	100¢	$111	0x6c346c…
11-01 08:47:39	Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 31°C on November 1?	No	BUY	20	100¢	$20	0xbff5be…
11-01 07:58:04	Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 31°C on November 1?	No	BUY	7	100¢	$7	0xa406b2…
11-01 07:17:21	Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 33°C on November 1?	Yes	SELL	1	99¢	$1	0x76bc27…
11-01 07:16:40	Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 32°C on November 1?	No	BUY	1,603	100¢	$1,602	0x62dbd5…
11-01 07:01:36	Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 35°C or higher on November 1?	No	BUY	79	100¢	$79	0xfd26d7…
11-01 06:59:45	Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 23°C on November 1?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xaa4711…
11-01 06:58:42	Will the highest temperature in Qingdao be 18°C on November 1?	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0x720a06…
11-01 06:34:30	Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 31°C on November 1?	No	BUY	17	100¢	$17	0x73641d…
11-01 06:30:06	Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 31°C on November 1?	No	BUY	14	100¢	$14	0x171a86…
11-01 06:16:42	Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 23°C on November 1?	Yes	BUY	19	100¢	$19	0x4d3b9e…
11-01 06:16:42	Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 23°C on November 1?	Yes	BUY	11	100¢	$11	0x1aae00…
11-01 06:15:22	Will the highest temperature in Qingdao be 18°C on November 1?	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0x780068…
11-01 06:15:19	Will the highest temperature in Qingdao be 18°C on November 1?	No	BUY	70	100¢	$70	0x7482c8…
11-01 06:14:34	Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 23°C on November 1?	Yes	BUY	7	100¢	$7	0xb874a3…
11-01 06:11:33	Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 33°C on November 1?	Yes	BUY	1	5¢	$0	0xd38e17…
11-01 06:10:43	Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 23°C on November 1?	Yes	BUY	1,058	100¢	$1,056	0x98c658…
11-01 06:09:52	Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 35°C or higher on November 1?	No	BUY	133	100¢	$133	0x4a8724…
11-01 06:09:51	Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 23°C on November 1?	Yes	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0xb9cf43…
11-01 06:09:42	Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 35°C or higher on November 1?	No	BUY	126	100¢	$126	0xc79c0a…
11-01 06:08:28	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 29°C on November 1?	No	BUY	82	100¢	$82	0x8def7f…
11-01 06:06:57	Will the highest temperature in Qingdao be 18°C on November 1?	No	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x5cfbca…
11-01 06:02:58	Will the highest temperature in Qingdao be 18°C on November 1?	No	BUY	500	100¢	$499	0x62a8e6…
11-01 06:02:48	Will the highest temperature in Qingdao be 18°C on November 1?	No	BUY	24	100¢	$24	0xf9eebc…
11-01 06:02:28	Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 23°C on November 1?	Yes	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0x8c597f…
11-01 06:02:01	Will the highest temperature in Qingdao be 18°C on November 1?	No	BUY	70	100¢	$70	0x6e8732…
11-01 06:00:10	Will the highest temperature in Qingdao be 18°C on November 1?	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0x0fe606…
11-01 06:00:06	Will the highest temperature in Qingdao be 18°C on November 1?	No	BUY	102	100¢	$102	0xd56e59…
11-01 05:51:46	Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 31°C on November 1?	No	BUY	61	100¢	$61	0x185834…
11-01 05:51:22	Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 23°C on November 1?	Yes	BUY	708	100¢	$707	0x91f40b…
11-01 05:47:58	Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 31°C on November 1?	No	BUY	52	100¢	$52	0x8f5da4…
11-01 02:21:13	Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 26°C on October 31?	Yes	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0xda92f2…
11-01 01:56:34	Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 26°C on October 31?	Yes	BUY	31	100¢	$31	0x7a0cde…
11-01 01:56:34	Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 26°C on October 31?	Yes	BUY	164	100¢	$164	0x716469…
11-01 01:04:13	Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 74-75°F on October 31?	No	BUY	99	100¢	$99	0x8e6eae…
11-01 01:04:12	Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 74-75°F on October 31?	No	BUY	48	100¢	$48	0x10eedf…
11-01 00:55:28	Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 26°C on October 31?	Yes	BUY	60	100¢	$59	0x3efc86…
11-01 00:47:43	Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 54-55°F on October 31?	Yes	BUY	103	100¢	$102	0x44732c…
10-31 23:58:07	Will the highest temperature in Austin be between 78-79°F on October 31?	Yes	BUY	6	100¢	$5	0xa66a69…
10-31 23:58:01	Will the highest temperature in Austin be between 78-79°F on October 31?	Yes	BUY	333	100¢	$332	0x6d26e7…
10-31 23:57:54	Will the highest temperature in Austin be between 78-79°F on October 31?	Yes	BUY	333	100¢	$332	0x111785…
10-31 23:57:49	Will the highest temperature in Austin be between 80-81°F on October 31?	No	BUY	81	100¢	$80	0x3cabf3…
10-31 23:57:45	Will the highest temperature in Austin be between 80-81°F on October 31?	No	BUY	13	100¢	$13	0x657e6c…
10-31 23:57:43	Will the highest temperature in Austin be between 80-81°F on October 31?	No	BUY	23	99¢	$23	0x20c8e8…
10-31 23:57:39	Will the highest temperature in Austin be between 78-79°F on October 31?	Yes	BUY	18	99¢	$18	0xfe5ddf…
10-31 23:57:21	Will the highest temperature in Denver be between 60-61°F on October 31?	No	BUY	9	100¢	$9	0xe253b0…
10-31 23:57:06	Will the highest temperature in Denver be between 60-61°F on October 31?	No	BUY	15	100¢	$15	0x055219…
10-31 23:56:57	Will the highest temperature in Denver be between 58-59°F on October 31?	Yes	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xc700a1…
10-31 23:56:55	Will the highest temperature in Denver be between 60-61°F on October 31?	No	BUY	18	100¢	$18	0xa94b0f…
10-31 23:54:16	Will the highest temperature in Denver be between 62-63°F on October 31?	No	BUY	160	100¢	$160	0xc3ec41…
10-31 23:53:57	Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 15°C on October 31?	Yes	BUY	216	100¢	$216	0x8f04c8…
10-31 23:49:58	Will the highest temperature in London be 16°C on October 31?	No	BUY	7	100¢	$7	0xd9b520…
10-31 23:48:25	Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 70-71°F on October 31?	Yes	BUY	13	100¢	$13	0xa6e39b…
10-31 23:45:33	Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 70-71°F on October 31?	Yes	BUY	143	100¢	$143	0xc8aefb…
10-31 23:44:25	Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 70-71°F on October 31?	Yes	BUY	105	100¢	$105	0xb11cfd…
10-31 23:44:04	Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 15°C on October 31?	Yes	BUY	2	100¢	$2	0x77495f…
10-31 23:44:00	Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 26°C on October 31?	Yes	BUY	63	100¢	$63	0x8ee453…
10-31 23:43:00	Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 26°C on October 31?	Yes	BUY	146	100¢	$146	0x62eef6…
10-31 23:32:51	Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 26°C on October 31?	Yes	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xa62998…
10-31 23:06:43	Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be 70°F or higher on October 31?	No	BUY	464	100¢	$463	0xea5824…
10-31 23:05:27	Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 70-71°F on October 31?	Yes	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x775c03…
10-31 23:04:58	Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 52-53°F on October 31?	No	BUY	2	100¢	$2	0xef82c4…
10-31 23:04:57	Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 52-53°F on October 31?	No	BUY	26	100¢	$26	0xf5fe36…
10-31 23:04:25	Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 70-71°F on October 31?	Yes	BUY	6	100¢	$6	0x0dbe83…
10-31 23:03:42	Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 70-71°F on October 31?	Yes	BUY	6	100¢	$6	0x3626fb…
10-31 23:03:21	Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 70-71°F on October 31?	Yes	BUY	1,010	100¢	$1,009	0x5954ba…