Wobbly-Hourglass — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$1.06K

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

96.7%

Resolved

8,036

Trades

30,384

lifetime

Volume

$3.14M

lifetime

Avg / trade

$103

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-03-29

last 11-04 19:47

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 217 days

Categories

Other

99% 97% -$1,290

Sports

0% 71% +$20

Crypto

0% 86% +$213

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

83 active days in 12wk • peak 322 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
nbasl lal lac 2026 07 14	53	$20.9K	14,877	7,012	+7,865	LA Lakers	-$290	07-15 03:52
nbasl chi was 2026 07 14	8	$13.8K	12,241	1,605	+10,636	Chicago Bulls	+$15	07-15 01:53
nbasl hou bkn 2026 07 16	3	$11.7K	11,768	0	+11,768	Houston Rockets	+$26	07-16 22:32
nbasl phi orl 2026 07 15	11	$11.4K	11,470	0	+11,470	Orlando Magic	+$35	07-15 21:39
Will Jordan win on 2026-06-27?	19	$10.1K	5,308	4,800	+508	No	+$26	06-28 03:41
wnba chi la 2026 07 10	37	$9.3K	9,302	0	+9,302	Los Angeles Sparks	+$10	07-11 04:38
nbasl sas uta 2026 07 15	6	$8.8K	8,828	0	+8,828	San Antonio Spurs	+$18	07-16 03:09
nbasl lac sac 2026 07 09	24	$8.7K	8,762	0	+8,762	Sacramento Kings	+$18	07-10 05:18
Will Switzerland win on 2026-06-18?	2	$8.6K	4,314	4,314	+0	Yes	+$35	06-18 20:46
chi ton zhe 2026 07 18 total 3pt5	4	$8.4K	4,327	4,327	+0	Under	+$202	07-18 12:54
Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 27°C or higher on August 31?	28	$8.3K	4,493	3,828	+665	Yes	+$13	08-31 15:23
nbasl mem chi 2026 07 10	5	$7.8K	3,939	3,939	+0	Memphis Grizzlies	+$20	07-11 02:12
Will Morocco win on 2026-07-04?	2	$7.2K	4,832	2,416	+2,416	Yes	+$36	07-04 18:57
wnba ind las 2026 07 12	8	$7.1K	7,225	0	+7,225	Indiana Fever	+$80	07-13 02:45
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 78-79°F on July 5?	3	$6.9K	6,955	0	+6,955	Yes	+$10	07-06 03:32
Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 19°C on June 25?	3	$6.7K	3,359	3,359	+0	No	+$20	06-25 06:12
Will the highest temperature in Munich be 27°C on July 12?	7	$6.5K	6,484	0	+6,484	No	+$31	07-12 14:55
nbasl mia mil 2026 07 10	16	$6.3K	6,358	0	+6,358	Miami Heat	+$19	07-10 22:11
wnba ind la 2026 07 08	17	$6.2K	6,285	0	+6,285	Los Angeles Sparks	+$24	07-09 04:00
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 26°C on June 4?	18	$6.0K	4,011	2,026	+1,986	No	+$24	06-04 08:09
fifwc tur usa 2026 06 25 total 8pt5	14	$5.9K	4,264	1,685	+2,578	Under	+$22	06-26 03:14
fifwc prt esp 2026 07 06 spread away 2pt5	3	$5.8K	5,792	0	+5,792	Portugal	+$12	07-06 20:52
Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 34°C on June 12?	2	$5.6K	5,656	0	+5,656	Yes	+$23	06-12 20:36
fifwc fra eng 2026 07 18 total 8pt5	19	$5.6K	5,662	0	+5,662	Over	-$3,127	07-18 22:58
Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 20°C or below on September 17?	4	$5.6K	5,603	0	+5,603	No	+$12	09-17 04:18
atp fery zverev 2026 07 10	16	$5.4K	3,450	1,976	+1,473	Alexander Zverev	+$17	07-10 14:51
highest temperature in los angeles on april 8 2026 76forhigher	18	$5.2K	2,618	2,617	+1	No	+$22	04-09 02:08
fifwc usa bel 2026 07 06 total 8pt5	6	$5.0K	5,006	0	+5,006	Under	+$40	07-07 00:34
nbasl tor hou 2026 07 11	7	$5.0K	4,968	0	+4,968	Toronto Raptors	+$8	07-12 03:48
nbasl por min 2026 07 13	8	$4.9K	4,875	0	+4,875	Portland Trail Blazers	+$10	07-14 05:17

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
11-04 20:18:57	Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 10°C on November 4?	Yes	BUY	12	100¢	$12	0x95c04d…
11-04 20:02:15	Will the highest temperature in Munich be 9°C on November 4?	No	BUY	20	100¢	$20	0xb91852…
11-04 20:02:07	Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 16°C on November 4?	No	BUY	20	100¢	$20	0xa49c1c…
11-04 19:47:46	Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 27°C on November 4?	Yes	BUY	46	100¢	$46	0xf72e48…
11-04 19:31:06	Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 16°C on November 4?	No	BUY	20	100¢	$20	0xacdb68…
11-04 19:29:34	Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 10°C on November 4?	Yes	BUY	61	100¢	$61	0x3e17be…
11-04 19:10:48	Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 15°C on November 4?	Yes	BUY	3	100¢	$3	0x0443f1…
11-04 19:05:30	Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 10°C on November 4?	Yes	BUY	293	100¢	$293	0xd84fc5…
11-04 18:58:57	Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 28°C on November 5?	No	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x1654be…
11-04 18:58:13	Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 15°C on November 4?	Yes	BUY	4	100¢	$3	0xcc4131…
11-04 18:58:13	Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 15°C on November 4?	Yes	BUY	3	100¢	$3	0x835463…
11-04 18:58:13	Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 15°C on November 4?	Yes	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x44ba79…
11-04 18:58:12	Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 80-81°F on November 4?	No	BUY	233	100¢	$233	0x1d480f…
11-04 18:57:31	Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 80-81°F on November 4?	No	BUY	24	100¢	$24	0x6566c8…
11-04 18:56:48	Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 80-81°F on November 4?	No	BUY	20	100¢	$20	0xd9f5bd…
11-04 18:56:07	Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 80-81°F on November 4?	No	BUY	2	100¢	$2	0x067e8a…
11-04 18:56:06	Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 80-81°F on November 4?	No	BUY	508	100¢	$507	0x28973e…
11-04 18:51:24	Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 10°C on November 4?	Yes	BUY	3	100¢	$3	0xca87b7…
11-04 18:51:01	Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 11°C on November 4?	No	BUY	3	100¢	$3	0x5c427c…
11-04 18:43:10	Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 28°C on November 4?	No	BUY	7	100¢	$7	0x7605d1…
11-04 18:43:10	Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 11°C on November 4?	No	BUY	6	100¢	$6	0x00f2e8…
11-04 18:43:07	Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 15°C on November 4?	Yes	BUY	39	100¢	$39	0x70a1a2…
11-04 18:41:27	Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 10°C on November 4?	Yes	BUY	7	100¢	$7	0xb27f8a…
11-04 18:33:03	Will the highest temperature in London be 10°C on November 4?	No	BUY	20	5¢	$1	0x9aeaf2…
11-04 18:31:39	Will the highest temperature in Munich be 9°C on November 4?	No	BUY	48	100¢	$48	0x09b82d…
11-04 18:31:34	Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 16°C on November 4?	No	BUY	49	100¢	$49	0x8dc67a…
11-04 18:31:25	Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 31°C on November 4?	No	BUY	54	100¢	$53	0x9b3418…
11-04 18:31:07	Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 15°C on November 4?	Yes	BUY	230	100¢	$230	0xef17c0…
11-04 18:27:52	Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 15°C on November 4?	Yes	BUY	202	100¢	$201	0xe9ae3e…
11-04 18:27:46	Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 16°C on November 4?	No	BUY	271	100¢	$271	0xf91b73…
11-04 18:20:15	Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 27°C on November 4?	Yes	BUY	0	100¢	$0	0xada106…
11-04 18:20:13	Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 27°C on November 4?	Yes	BUY	6	100¢	$6	0x76d261…
11-04 18:19:03	Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 10°C on November 4?	Yes	BUY	74	100¢	$74	0xc1d8b7…
11-04 18:15:10	Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 31°C on November 4?	No	BUY	20	100¢	$20	0xc362e3…
11-04 18:15:07	Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 10°C on November 4?	Yes	BUY	3	100¢	$3	0x990c62…
11-04 17:19:27	Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 10°C on November 4?	Yes	BUY	4	100¢	$4	0xa58392…
11-04 17:18:46	Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 70-71°F on November 4?	No	BUY	986	100¢	$985	0xd27647…
11-04 17:13:54	Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 10°C on November 4?	Yes	BUY	21	100¢	$21	0x16337d…
11-04 17:12:09	Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 31°C on November 4?	No	BUY	20	100¢	$20	0x9eeee5…
11-04 17:07:12	Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 28°C on November 4?	No	BUY	21	100¢	$21	0xbbf670…
11-04 17:02:19	Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 30°C on November 4?	Yes	BUY	38	100¢	$37	0xf0a193…
11-04 17:00:51	Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 11°C on November 4?	No	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x480719…
11-04 17:00:43	Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 10°C on November 4?	Yes	BUY	11	100¢	$11	0xf663dd…
11-04 16:56:16	Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 31°C on November 4?	No	BUY	20	100¢	$20	0x3808bc…
11-04 16:52:39	Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 31°C on November 4?	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0x3b3be4…
11-04 16:52:30	Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 10°C on November 4?	Yes	BUY	7	100¢	$7	0xe82067…
11-04 16:50:33	Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 27°C on November 4?	Yes	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0xcda45e…
11-04 16:50:33	Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 27°C on November 4?	Yes	BUY	43	100¢	$43	0x76244c…
11-04 16:50:01	Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 10°C on November 4?	Yes	BUY	60	100¢	$60	0x1096fa…
11-04 16:49:55	Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 10°C on November 4?	Yes	BUY	279	100¢	$279	0x8f9a88…
11-04 16:46:01	Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 11°C on November 4?	No	BUY	42	100¢	$42	0xfa2179…
11-04 16:36:49	Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 11°C on November 4?	No	BUY	19	100¢	$19	0x2656c8…
11-04 16:35:52	Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 11°C on November 4?	No	BUY	118	100¢	$117	0x6df0b1…
11-04 16:33:09	Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 11°C on November 4?	No	BUY	162	100¢	$162	0x2ecddd…
11-04 16:33:06	Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 10°C on November 4?	Yes	BUY	386	100¢	$386	0xb83fb0…
11-04 16:33:03	Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 10°C on November 4?	Yes	BUY	97	100¢	$97	0x67d8fc…
11-04 16:24:45	Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 28°C on November 4?	No	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0xb146e1…
11-04 16:08:54	Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 10°C on November 4?	Yes	BUY	6	100¢	$6	0x03a382…
11-04 16:07:42	Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 10°C on November 4?	Yes	BUY	251	100¢	$250	0xa9753c…
11-04 16:01:10	Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 27°C on November 4?	Yes	BUY	20	100¢	$20	0x64fa4a…
11-04 15:59:40	Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 27°C on November 4?	Yes	BUY	42	100¢	$42	0xecbc62…
11-04 15:35:51	Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 27°C on November 4?	Yes	BUY	3	100¢	$3	0x779df6…
11-04 15:35:51	Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 27°C on November 4?	Yes	BUY	278	100¢	$278	0x213dfd…
11-04 15:34:46	Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 16°C on November 4?	Yes	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x69f600…
11-04 15:33:06	Will the highest temperature in Munich be 9°C on November 4?	No	BUY	11	100¢	$11	0x4de25c…
11-04 15:30:09	Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 30°C on November 4?	Yes	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0xb25fa5…
11-04 15:29:49	Will the highest temperature in Munich be 9°C on November 4?	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0x2304b2…
11-04 15:29:22	Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 16°C on November 4?	Yes	BUY	27	100¢	$27	0x18a8f9…
11-04 15:29:09	Will the highest temperature in Munich be 9°C on November 4?	No	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x5e47a2…
11-04 15:27:30	Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 27°C on November 4?	Yes	BUY	73	100¢	$73	0xfef148…
11-04 15:26:19	Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 27°C on November 4?	Yes	BUY	107	100¢	$107	0x454811…
11-04 15:25:28	Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 16°C on November 4?	Yes	BUY	2	100¢	$2	0x832a27…
11-04 12:21:24	Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 9°C on November 4?	No	BUY	1,969	100¢	$1,967	0xf5bd57…
11-04 10:25:36	Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 21°C on November 4?	Yes	BUY	500	100¢	$500	0x64751d…
11-04 10:01:36	Will the highest temperature in Manila be 33°C on November 4?	Yes	BUY	258	100¢	$258	0x637151…
11-04 09:47:31	Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 34°C on November 4?	No	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xe954e6…
11-04 09:44:37	Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 13°C on November 4?	Yes	BUY	42	100¢	$42	0x394b5b…
11-04 09:43:46	Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 33°C on November 4?	Yes	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x2031d6…
11-04 09:43:21	Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 13°C on November 4?	Yes	BUY	7	100¢	$7	0x9d5db6…
11-04 09:39:58	Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 13°C on November 4?	Yes	BUY	134	100¢	$133	0xb8d87b…
11-04 09:39:43	Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 13°C on November 4?	Yes	BUY	7	100¢	$7	0x882865…
11-04 09:31:03	Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 13°C on November 4?	Yes	BUY	13	100¢	$13	0x013f01…
11-04 09:30:06	Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 13°C on November 4?	Yes	BUY	35	100¢	$35	0x8c0014…
11-04 09:23:06	Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 13°C on November 4?	Yes	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0xb84cc9…
11-04 09:18:49	Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 32°C on November 4?	Yes	BUY	9	100¢	$9	0x2fa29e…
11-04 09:15:57	Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 13°C on November 4?	Yes	BUY	73	100¢	$73	0xb87817…
11-04 09:13:27	Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 13°C on November 4?	Yes	BUY	3	100¢	$3	0xc3053c…
11-04 09:11:03	Will the highest temperature in Manila be 35°C on November 4?	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0x2529ba…
11-04 09:10:40	Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 13°C on November 4?	Yes	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0xec2b66…
11-04 09:10:19	Will the highest temperature in Manila be 35°C on November 4?	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0x93812b…
11-04 09:10:19	Will the highest temperature in Manila be 35°C on November 4?	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0x5d8bd4…
11-04 09:10:13	Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 13°C on November 4?	Yes	BUY	20	100¢	$20	0x43650e…
11-04 09:10:00	Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 14°C on November 4?	No	BUY	62	100¢	$62	0x923a8c…
11-04 09:09:57	Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 14°C on November 4?	No	BUY	188	100¢	$187	0xcce843…
11-04 09:09:52	Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 13°C on November 4?	Yes	BUY	90	100¢	$90	0xe9ad33…
11-04 09:00:57	Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 33°C on November 4?	No	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0xc7577b…
11-04 08:57:24	Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 32°C on November 4?	Yes	BUY	81	100¢	$81	0xd99172…
11-04 08:55:01	Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 15°C on November 4?	No	BUY	244	100¢	$244	0xea04c5…
11-04 08:53:28	Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 15°C on November 4?	No	BUY	18	100¢	$18	0xabc18c…
11-04 08:53:07	Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 15°C on November 4?	No	BUY	201	100¢	$201	0x32ba0f…