Wallet — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$3

Unrealized P&L

+$0

Hit rate

77.3%

Resolved

Trades

lifetime

Volume

$353

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

1 position

First seen

2026-02-06

last 06-22 02:18

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 2 days

Categories

Other

46% 0% $-6

Politics

34% 100% +$3

Sports

14% — —

Tech

6% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

13 active days in 12wk • peak 2 trades/day

Open positions (1) Resolved markets (2) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Fed rate cut by December 2026 meeting?	No		+8	$7	81¢	$7	+$0	06-18 19:10

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will the Detroit Pistons win the 2026 NBA Finals?	4	$40	21	21	+0	open	—	02-10 02:21
will one battle after another win best picture at the 98th academy awards	2	$20	50	0	+50	open	—	02-11 00:36
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by end of 2026?	2	$20	36	0	+36	Yes	+$3	04-07 19:15
will anthropic have the best ai model at the end of february 2026	2	$20	45	0	+45	open	—	02-10 01:51
will peoples party pple win the most seats in the 2026 thai legislative election	2	$12	17	0	+17	open	—	02-06 14:51
us forces enter iran by march 31 222 191 243 517 878 439 519	1	$10	15	0	+15	open	—	03-11 08:16
deepseek v4 released by march 31 446 353 924 266 292	1	$10	15	0	+15	open	—	03-06 20:00
will russia capture lyman by march 31 2026 494	1	$10	15	0	+15	open	—	02-13 01:48
Will Arsenal win the 2025–26 English Premier League?	1	$10	13	0	+13	open	—	02-10 07:53
will us gdp growth in q4 2025 be greater than 3pt5	1	$10	18	0	+18	open	—	02-12 07:39
us strikes iran by february 28 2026 227 967 547 688 589 491 592 418 452 924 384 915 464 672 196 157 993 596 269 535 381 391 471 256 988 997 296 225 762 973 292 827 345 182 558 215 794 879 189 761	1	$10	11	0	+11	open	—	02-13 07:19
will the us add less than 25k jobs in february	1	$10	37	0	+37	open	—	02-28 15:33
will nepal workers peasants party win the most seats in the nepal house of representatives election 685 483	1	$10	28	0	+28	open	—	02-28 07:32
Will US or Israel strike Iran by March 31, 2026?	1	$10	28	0	+28	open	—	02-13 09:49
deepseek v4 released by march 15 678	1	$10	28	0	+28	open	—	03-06 20:00
will jasmine crockett be the democratic nominee for senate in texas	1	$10	27	0	+27	open	—	02-28 08:06
Will Ken Paxton win the 2026 Texas Republican Primary?	1	$10	16	0	+16	open	—	04-20 16:29
Will James Talarico and Ken Paxton be the candidates for the Texas Senate Election?	1	$8	13	0	+13	open	—	04-22 00:39
amzn close above 215 on march 9 2026	1	$7	12	0	+12	open	—	03-07 01:48
elon musk of tweets march 5 march 7 65 89	1	$7	14	0	+14	open	—	03-06 17:40
will crude oil cl hit high 120 by end of march 766 813 597	1	$7	11	0	+11	open	—	03-16 06:46
will tisza respect and freedom party tisza win the most seats in the next hungarian parliamentary election	1	$7	10	0	+10	open	—	04-08 07:41
Fed rate cut by December 2026 meeting?	1	$7	8	0	+8	open	—	06-18 19:10
elon musk of tweets april 3 april 10 260 279	1	$6	8	0	+8	open	—	04-08 15:44
elon musk of tweets april 9 april 11 40 64	1	$6	8	0	+8	open	—	04-07 07:28
will crude oil cl hit low 80 by end of march 459 543 676 456 138 869 867 397	1	$6	8	0	+8	open	—	03-16 15:43
WTI Crude Oil (WTI) closes above $100 on May 12?	1	$6	11	0	+11	Yes	$-6	05-12 07:32
will mara corina machado enter venezuela by march 31 426 698 771	1	$5	6	0	+6	open	—	03-11 16:19
Will RIKU Dining Group Ltd not IPO before June 2026?	1	$5	10	0	+10	open	—	04-21 16:36
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 30, 2026?	1	$5	7	0	+7	open	—	06-11 09:29

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
06-22 02:18:20	will aapl reach 304 by june 22 2026	Yes	BUY	3	35¢	$1	0x28dcba…
06-18 19:10:13	Fed rate cut by December 2026 meeting?	No	BUY	8	79¢	$7	0x4c9d65…
06-15 20:04:55	will warsh say trend during june press conference 20260608181156665	Yes	BUY	3	43¢	$1	0x3f39df…
06-13 03:45:21	will warsh say asymmetric during june press conference 20260608181156671	No	BUY	8	60¢	$5	0xac9cf8…
06-12 06:34:46	will warsh say chair during june press conference 20260608181156655	No	BUY	10	21¢	$2	0xf574b9…
06-11 09:29:39	US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 30, 2026?	No	BUY	7	68¢	$5	0x218369…
05-21 00:47:25	Will the Ornn H100 Index hit $3.50 (HIGH) by May 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	7	34¢	$2	0x51fa20…
05-20 00:36:52	Will S&P 500 (SPY) hit (LOW) $720 in May?	Yes	BUY	8	56¢	$5	0x9651c3…
05-13 07:45:06	Will China announce a U.S. oil purchase by May 22?	Yes	BUY	7	23¢	$2	0xa23c76…
05-12 07:32:41	WTI Crude Oil (WTI) closes above $100 on May 12?	No	BUY	11	52¢	$6	0x465996…
04-22 09:53:12	US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 25, 2026?	Yes	BUY	9	24¢	$2	0x913409…
04-22 00:39:52	Will James Talarico and Ken Paxton be the candidates for the Texas Senate Election?	Yes	BUY	13	60¢	$8	0x9a6390…
04-21 16:36:22	Will RIKU Dining Group Ltd not IPO before June 2026?	Yes	BUY	10	50¢	$5	0xbf6a39…
04-21 00:31:02	elon musk of tweets april 14 april 21 240 259	Yes	BUY	10	21¢	$2	0xa62d62…
04-20 16:29:50	Will Ken Paxton win the 2026 Texas Republican Primary?	Yes	BUY	16	61¢	$10	0xbf006a…
04-20 08:15:46	Will Elon Musk post 1240-1279 tweets in April 2026?	Yes	BUY	11	24¢	$3	0x92ce98…
04-08 15:44:19	elon musk of tweets april 3 april 10 260 279	No	BUY	8	78¢	$6	0xa9a2a8…
04-08 07:41:39	will tisza respect and freedom party tisza win the most seats in the next hungarian parliamentary election	Yes	BUY	10	71¢	$7	0xad1644…
04-07 19:15:27	Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by end of 2026?	No	BUY	13	76¢	$10	0xae8ff6…
04-07 15:30:09	Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Viktor Orbán?	Yes	BUY	12	34¢	$4	0x92a340…
04-07 07:28:57	elon musk of tweets april 9 april 11 40 64	No	BUY	8	75¢	$6	0xded581…
03-18 01:48:35	will another country strike iran by march 31 833	Yes	BUY	6	21¢	$1	0x4f8377…
03-16 15:43:07	will crude oil cl hit low 80 by end of march 459 543 676 456 138 869 867 397	No	BUY	8	73¢	$6	0x816583…
03-16 06:46:19	will crude oil cl hit high 120 by end of march 766 813 597	No	BUY	11	61¢	$7	0x65ae9b…
03-11 16:19:07	will mara corina machado enter venezuela by march 31 426 698 771	No	BUY	6	79¢	$5	0xbb34ca…
03-11 08:16:41	us forces enter iran by march 31 222 191 243 517 878 439 519	No	BUY	15	65¢	$10	0x7f3dbc…
03-07 01:48:19	amzn close above 215 on march 9 2026	No	BUY	12	57¢	$7	0x7fbe6c…
03-06 20:00:45	deepseek v4 released by march 31 446 353 924 266 292	Yes	BUY	15	64¢	$10	0xe1385b…
03-06 20:00:43	deepseek v4 released by march 15 678	Yes	BUY	28	35¢	$10	0x56d586…
03-06 17:40:47	elon musk of tweets march 5 march 7 65 89	Yes	BUY	14	51¢	$7	0x94497d…
03-04 01:45:57	will the dhs shutdown last 60 days or more 988 872 151 791 415 422	Yes	BUY	6	23¢	$1	0x38c0e6…
03-03 17:43:43	us x iran ceasefire by march 15	Yes	BUY	8	22¢	$2	0xcda3f9…
03-03 09:42:59	us x iran ceasefire by april 30	No	BUY	8	35¢	$3	0x990035…
03-01 16:36:29	spx up or down on march 2 2026	Down	BUY	4	72¢	$3	0x38a63c…
02-28 15:33:09	will the us add less than 25k jobs in february	Yes	BUY	37	27¢	$10	0x128e59…
02-28 08:06:41	will jasmine crockett be the democratic nominee for senate in texas	Yes	BUY	27	37¢	$10	0xe2255b…
02-28 07:32:03	will nepal workers peasants party win the most seats in the nepal house of representatives election 685 483	No	BUY	28	36¢	$10	0xda95bf…
02-14 19:01:13	donald trump of truth social posts february 10 february 17 100 119	Yes	BUY	5	40¢	$2	0x4a732f…
02-13 17:50:37	will tsla dip to 383 in february	No	BUY	2	62¢	$1	0x33aa05…
02-13 09:49:45	Will US or Israel strike Iran by March 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	28	35¢	$10	0x5a71dd…
02-13 07:19:43	us strikes iran by february 28 2026 227 967 547 688 589 491 592 418 452 924 384 915 464 672 196 157 993 596 269 535 381 391 471 256 988 997 296 225 762 973 292 827 345 182 558 215 794 879 189 761	No	BUY	11	89¢	$10	0xd9c20e…
02-13 01:48:07	will russia capture lyman by march 31 2026 494	No	BUY	15	64¢	$10	0x657cef…
02-12 07:39:41	will us gdp growth in q4 2025 be greater than 3pt5	No	BUY	18	56¢	$10	0x1b95b7…
02-11 00:36:49	will one battle after another win best picture at the 98th academy awards	No	BUY	37	27¢	$10	0xb91171…
02-10 07:53:07	Will Arsenal win the 2025–26 English Premier League?	Yes	BUY	13	79¢	$10	0x5a878f…
02-10 02:21:47	Will the Detroit Pistons win the 2026 NBA Finals?	No	SELL	11	93¢	$10	0x147e86…
02-10 01:51:29	will anthropic have the best ai model at the end of february 2026	Yes	BUY	13	76¢	$10	0x5ca7c9…
02-09 19:38:43	Will the Detroit Pistons win the 2026 NBA Finals?	No	BUY	11	93¢	$10	0xfcccd7…
02-09 13:36:27	will anthropic have the best ai model at the end of february 2026	No	BUY	32	31¢	$10	0xd9af4a…
02-09 08:39:51	Will the Detroit Pistons win the 2026 NBA Finals?	No	SELL	11	92¢	$10	0xd5c6d1…
02-09 06:40:11	Will the Detroit Pistons win the 2026 NBA Finals?	No	BUY	11	92¢	$10	0x4cfc9c…
02-08 01:32:13	Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by end of 2026?	Yes	BUY	23	44¢	$10	0x25ba91…
02-06 21:49:53	will one battle after another win best picture at the 98th academy awards	Yes	BUY	14	72¢	$10	0x9484df…
02-06 14:51:57	will peoples party pple win the most seats in the 2026 thai legislative election	Yes	BUY	3	68¢	$2	0x6121d7…
02-06 14:49:39	will peoples party pple win the most seats in the 2026 thai legislative election	Yes	BUY	15	68¢	$10	0x2e0d95…