Dimpled-Lunchmeat — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$53

Unrealized P&L

+$0

Hit rate

65.7%

Resolved

Trades

190

lifetime

Volume

$439

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

$147

1 position

First seen

2026-04-28

last 07-18 21:50

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 5 days

Categories

Crypto

64% — —

Other

36% 10% +$54

Politics

0% 0% $-1

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

9 active days in 12wk • peak 94 trades/day

Open positions (1) Resolved markets (22) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will Bitcoin dip to $40,000 by December 31, 2026?	Yes		-948	$-147	16¢	$-147	+$0	07-18 21:50

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will Bitcoin dip to $40,000 by December 31, 2026?	4	$179	73	1,021	-948	open	—	07-18 21:50
Will Bitcoin dip to $45,000 by December 31, 2026?	2	$100	196	196	+0	open	—	07-18 21:29
Games Total: O/U 2.5	4	$78	337	337	+0	Over	+$76	05-12 12:02
Will Meryl Streep attend the Met Gala?	10	$13	111	126	-15	No	+$6	05-05 00:10
Will Beyoncé be on Vogue's Best-Dressed list?	4	$7	154	50	+104	Yes	$-3	05-05 01:25
Games Total: O/U 2.5	5	$7	510	250	+260	open	—	05-12 12:00
Games Total: O/U 2.5	3	$6	605	250	+355	Under	$-2	05-12 11:39
Games Total: O/U 2.5	11	$6	4,005	310	+3,695	Under	$-6	05-12 16:04
Valorant: FunPlus Phoenix vs Nova Esports (BO3) - Esports World Cup China Qualifier Stage 1	6	$4	611	611	+0	Nova Esports	$-2	05-12 11:55
Will Zoë Kravitz be on Vogue's Best-Dressed list?	5	$4	57	37	+20	open	—	05-05 00:55
Games Total: O/U 2.5	6	$4	4,155	0	+4,155	open	—	05-13 19:00
Will Figure's humanoid robot push at least 10000 packages during the official Figure livestream before the 8:00:00 time mark?	5	$4	80	60	+20	Yes	$-1	05-13 23:52
Games Total: O/U 2.5	35	$3	952	0	+952	open	—	05-12 17:44
Counter-Strike: GamerLegion vs Liquid (BO3) - IEM Atlanta Group B	4	$3	552	0	+552	GamerLegion	$-3	05-13 19:44
Games Total: O/U 2.5	2	$3	255	255	+0	Under	$-2	05-13 00:04
Will Figure's humanoid robot push at least 12000 packages during the official Figure livestream before the 8:00:00 time mark?	5	$3	52	42	+10	No	$-0	05-13 22:10
Will Dupont (DD) beat quarterly earnings?	5	$2	1,706	94	+1,612	Yes	$-1	05-05 10:59
Games Total: O/U 2.5	5	$2	555	0	+555	Under	$-2	05-13 19:12
S&P 500 (SPY) closes above $715 on May 4?	2	$2	710	0	+710	Yes	$-2	05-04 20:00
Games Total: O/U 2.5	2	$1	850	0	+850	open	—	05-23 03:15
Games Total: O/U 4.5	6	$1	1,155	0	+1,155	Over	$-1	05-13 20:32
Counter-Strike: BET-M 33 vs Walczaki (BO3) - CCT Europe Series 1 Playoffs	1	$1	1,050	0	+1,050	Walczaki	$-1	05-12 15:55
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 28, 6:20AM-6:25AM ET	1	$1	1	0	+1	open	—	04-28 10:24
Will Figure's humanoid robot push at least 10250 packages during the official Figure livestream before the 8:00:00 time mark?	4	$1	31	0	+31	Yes	$-1	05-14 00:38
Will Trump say "Nuclear" during Small Business Summit?	5	$1	246	246	+0	Yes	$-0	05-04 20:19
Will Trump say "Made in America" during Small Business Summit?	2	$1	200	200	+0	Yes	$-0	05-04 20:02
Will Figure's humanoid robot push at least 11000 packages during the official Figure livestream before the 8:00:00 time mark?	1	$0	20	0	+20	No	$-0	05-13 22:34
Will Figure's humanoid robot push at least 10500 packages during the official Figure livestream before the 8:00:00 time mark?	2	$0	23	0	+23	No	$-0	05-14 00:24
Amazon (AMZN) Up or Down on May 4?	4	$0	210	5	+205	Up	$-0	05-04 20:00
Will Paramount Skydance (PSKY) beat quarterly earnings?	6	$0	210	11	+199	Yes	$-0	05-04 20:38

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
07-18 21:50:58	Will Bitcoin dip to $40,000 by December 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	667	16¢	$107	0xaf097a…
07-18 21:29:24	Will Bitcoin dip to $45,000 by December 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	196	21¢	$41	0xdb245d…
07-18 21:17:37	Will Bitcoin dip to $40,000 by December 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	6	16¢	$1	0x80c97f…
07-18 21:09:19	Will Bitcoin dip to $40,000 by December 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	348	16¢	$56	0x275f13…
05-31 10:20:19	Will Bitcoin dip to $45,000 by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	196	30¢	$59	0xe45f05…
05-27 23:53:16	Will Bitcoin dip to $40,000 by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	73	22¢	$16	0x03d775…
05-23 03:15:26	Games Total: O/U 2.5	Over	BUY	350	0¢	$0	0x9fd327…
05-23 03:08:23	Games Total: O/U 2.5	Over	BUY	500	0¢	$1	0x558e1a…
05-14 00:38:01	Will Figure's humanoid robot push at least 10250 packages during the official Figure livestream before the 8:00:00 time mark?	No	BUY	10	1¢	$0	0x59e62a…
05-14 00:24:36	Will Figure's humanoid robot push at least 10500 packages during the official Figure livestream before the 8:00:00 time mark?	Yes	BUY	20	1¢	$0	0x446774…
05-14 00:18:32	Will Figure's humanoid robot push at least 10250 packages during the official Figure livestream before the 8:00:00 time mark?	No	BUY	15	4¢	$1	0xa6dc15…
05-14 00:12:48	Will Figure's humanoid robot push at least 10250 packages during the official Figure livestream before the 8:00:00 time mark?	No	BUY	5	4¢	$0	0x0429ac…
05-13 23:52:52	Will Figure's humanoid robot push at least 10000 packages during the official Figure livestream before the 8:00:00 time mark?	No	SELL	20	1¢	$0	0x3b495e…
05-13 23:48:51	Will Figure's humanoid robot push at least 10000 packages during the official Figure livestream before the 8:00:00 time mark?	No	BUY	20	1¢	$0	0x897f49…
05-13 23:45:47	Will Figure's humanoid robot push at least 10250 packages during the official Figure livestream before the 8:00:00 time mark?	No	BUY	1	3¢	$0	0x7c360e…
05-13 23:36:04	Will Figure's humanoid robot push at least 10000 packages during the official Figure livestream before the 8:00:00 time mark?	No	BUY	20	2¢	$0	0x469c58…
05-13 23:33:30	Will Figure's humanoid robot push at least 10500 packages during the official Figure livestream before the 8:00:00 time mark?	Yes	BUY	3	4¢	$0	0x3bc00b…
05-13 23:23:13	Will Figure's humanoid robot push at least 10000 packages during the official Figure livestream before the 8:00:00 time mark?	No	SELL	40	3¢	$1	0xc9de07…
05-13 22:34:46	Will Figure's humanoid robot push at least 11000 packages during the official Figure livestream before the 8:00:00 time mark?	Yes	BUY	20	2¢	$0	0xcd44f8…
05-13 22:10:23	Will Figure's humanoid robot push at least 12000 packages during the official Figure livestream before the 8:00:00 time mark?	Yes	SELL	29	2¢	$1	0x433b7e…
05-13 22:04:15	Will Figure's humanoid robot push at least 10000 packages during the official Figure livestream before the 8:00:00 time mark?	No	BUY	40	5¢	$2	0x064fe7…
05-13 21:34:37	Will Figure's humanoid robot push at least 12000 packages during the official Figure livestream before the 8:00:00 time mark?	Yes	SELL	3	4¢	$0	0xeadf40…
05-13 21:34:36	Will Figure's humanoid robot push at least 12000 packages during the official Figure livestream before the 8:00:00 time mark?	Yes	SELL	10	4¢	$0	0x47de6c…
05-13 21:31:16	Will Figure's humanoid robot push at least 12000 packages during the official Figure livestream before the 8:00:00 time mark?	Yes	BUY	30	1¢	$0	0x641ad5…
05-13 21:29:17	Will Figure's humanoid robot push at least 12000 packages during the official Figure livestream before the 8:00:00 time mark?	Yes	BUY	22	5¢	$1	0x17de1c…
05-13 20:32:11	Games Total: O/U 4.5	Under	BUY	300	0¢	$0	0xaca610…
05-13 20:31:09	Games Total: O/U 4.5	Under	BUY	299	0¢	$0	0xa341ca…
05-13 20:29:54	Games Total: O/U 4.5	Under	BUY	1	0¢	$0	0x902418…
05-13 20:28:30	Games Total: O/U 4.5	Under	BUY	300	0¢	$0	0x584e06…
05-13 20:27:20	Games Total: O/U 4.5	Under	BUY	254	0¢	$0	0x31e029…
05-13 20:27:08	Games Total: O/U 4.5	Under	BUY	1	0¢	$0	0x892216…
05-13 19:44:42	Counter-Strike: GamerLegion vs Liquid (BO3) - IEM Atlanta Group B	Liquid	BUY	140	0¢	$0	0xb6a698…
05-13 19:44:31	Counter-Strike: GamerLegion vs Liquid (BO3) - IEM Atlanta Group B	Liquid	BUY	1	1¢	$0	0x50f235…
05-13 19:44:28	Counter-Strike: GamerLegion vs Liquid (BO3) - IEM Atlanta Group B	Liquid	BUY	251	1¢	$3	0xcbe9c2…
05-13 19:44:15	Counter-Strike: GamerLegion vs Liquid (BO3) - IEM Atlanta Group B	Liquid	BUY	160	0¢	$0	0x799eae…
05-13 19:12:31	Games Total: O/U 2.5	Over	BUY	285	0¢	$0	0x735324…
05-13 19:11:25	Games Total: O/U 2.5	Over	BUY	5	0¢	$0	0xdcc5c6…
05-13 19:11:25	Games Total: O/U 2.5	Over	BUY	5	0¢	$0	0xbb0018…
05-13 19:11:25	Games Total: O/U 2.5	Over	BUY	5	0¢	$0	0x183ca1…
05-13 19:11:06	Games Total: O/U 2.5	Over	BUY	255	1¢	$2	0x3cb087…
05-13 19:00:08	Games Total: O/U 2.5	Over	BUY	300	0¢	$0	0x0baac3…
05-13 18:56:31	Games Total: O/U 2.5	Over	BUY	300	0¢	$0	0xe82b41…
05-13 18:48:26	Games Total: O/U 2.5	Over	BUY	300	0¢	$0	0xe5c1c3…
05-13 18:23:23	Games Total: O/U 2.5	Over	BUY	300	0¢	$0	0x04be7e…
05-13 18:22:34	Games Total: O/U 2.5	Over	BUY	350	0¢	$0	0xa7b1fe…
05-13 18:21:38	Games Total: O/U 2.5	Over	BUY	2,605	0¢	$3	0x9ee896…
05-13 00:04:07	Games Total: O/U 2.5	Over	SELL	255	0¢	$0	0x3ac109…
05-12 23:25:26	Games Total: O/U 2.5	Over	BUY	255	1¢	$3	0x2296b9…
05-12 22:42:43	Games Total: O/U 3.5	Over	BUY	5	0¢	$0	0xfe43b1…
05-12 22:42:43	Games Total: O/U 3.5	Over	BUY	2	0¢	$0	0xf606a1…
05-12 22:42:43	Games Total: O/U 3.5	Over	BUY	5	0¢	$0	0xc06bfb…
05-12 22:42:43	Games Total: O/U 3.5	Over	BUY	10	0¢	$0	0x41a47d…
05-12 22:42:43	Games Total: O/U 3.5	Over	BUY	5	0¢	$0	0x327eb9…
05-12 22:42:43	Games Total: O/U 3.5	Over	BUY	10	0¢	$0	0x29dcfc…
05-12 22:42:43	Games Total: O/U 3.5	Over	BUY	3	0¢	$0	0x23b962…
05-12 22:42:43	Games Total: O/U 3.5	Over	BUY	5	0¢	$0	0x01d5e3…
05-12 22:42:41	Games Total: O/U 3.5	Over	BUY	5	0¢	$0	0xfe4926…
05-12 22:42:41	Games Total: O/U 3.5	Over	BUY	10	0¢	$0	0xfe18b0…
05-12 22:42:41	Games Total: O/U 3.5	Over	BUY	5	0¢	$0	0xfde280…
05-12 22:42:41	Games Total: O/U 3.5	Over	BUY	5	0¢	$0	0xf2ae02…
05-12 22:42:41	Games Total: O/U 3.5	Over	BUY	5	0¢	$0	0xe7869d…
05-12 22:42:41	Games Total: O/U 3.5	Over	BUY	5	0¢	$0	0xde792d…
05-12 22:42:41	Games Total: O/U 3.5	Over	BUY	5	0¢	$0	0xda34b4…
05-12 22:42:41	Games Total: O/U 3.5	Over	BUY	5	0¢	$0	0xd3ff5f…
05-12 22:42:41	Games Total: O/U 3.5	Over	BUY	50	0¢	$0	0xcc92da…
05-12 22:42:41	Games Total: O/U 3.5	Over	BUY	5	0¢	$0	0xc57a8b…
05-12 22:42:41	Games Total: O/U 3.5	Over	BUY	5	0¢	$0	0xb42174…
05-12 22:42:41	Games Total: O/U 3.5	Over	BUY	5	0¢	$0	0x650af8…
05-12 22:42:41	Games Total: O/U 3.5	Over	BUY	5	0¢	$0	0x63d016…
05-12 22:42:41	Games Total: O/U 3.5	Over	BUY	5	0¢	$0	0x4b3ff0…
05-12 22:42:41	Games Total: O/U 3.5	Over	BUY	10	0¢	$0	0x42008a…
05-12 22:42:41	Games Total: O/U 3.5	Over	BUY	10	0¢	$0	0x3e61d9…
05-12 22:42:41	Games Total: O/U 3.5	Over	BUY	5	0¢	$0	0x39a004…
05-12 22:42:41	Games Total: O/U 3.5	Over	BUY	50	0¢	$0	0x2c2914…
05-12 22:42:41	Games Total: O/U 3.5	Over	BUY	5	0¢	$0	0x1583e9…
05-12 22:42:41	Games Total: O/U 3.5	Over	BUY	10	0¢	$0	0x0767ab…
05-12 17:44:43	Games Total: O/U 2.5	Over	BUY	5	0¢	$0	0xf42c79…
05-12 17:44:43	Games Total: O/U 2.5	Over	BUY	5	0¢	$0	0xf1d17d…
05-12 17:44:43	Games Total: O/U 2.5	Over	BUY	50	0¢	$0	0xee1690…
05-12 17:44:43	Games Total: O/U 2.5	Over	BUY	10	0¢	$0	0xe72af7…
05-12 17:44:43	Games Total: O/U 2.5	Over	BUY	5	0¢	$0	0xe2a869…
05-12 17:44:43	Games Total: O/U 2.5	Over	BUY	10	0¢	$0	0xe197ed…
05-12 17:44:43	Games Total: O/U 2.5	Over	BUY	5	0¢	$0	0xd6cd09…
05-12 17:44:43	Games Total: O/U 2.5	Over	BUY	5	0¢	$0	0xcda89c…
05-12 17:44:43	Games Total: O/U 2.5	Over	BUY	100	0¢	$0	0xc32c90…
05-12 17:44:43	Games Total: O/U 2.5	Over	BUY	5	0¢	$0	0xc12828…
05-12 17:44:43	Games Total: O/U 2.5	Over	BUY	5	0¢	$0	0xbea09b…
05-12 17:44:43	Games Total: O/U 2.5	Over	BUY	10	0¢	$0	0xb7bb58…
05-12 17:44:43	Games Total: O/U 2.5	Over	BUY	5	0¢	$0	0xb1b2cf…
05-12 17:44:43	Games Total: O/U 2.5	Over	BUY	5	0¢	$0	0x9e7dda…
05-12 17:44:43	Games Total: O/U 2.5	Over	BUY	5	0¢	$0	0x9bbdc8…
05-12 17:44:43	Games Total: O/U 2.5	Over	BUY	10	0¢	$0	0x98c090…
05-12 17:44:43	Games Total: O/U 2.5	Over	BUY	5	0¢	$0	0x7d3348…
05-12 17:44:43	Games Total: O/U 2.5	Over	BUY	5	0¢	$0	0x6d155c…
05-12 17:44:43	Games Total: O/U 2.5	Over	BUY	5	0¢	$0	0x663cf7…
05-12 17:44:43	Games Total: O/U 2.5	Over	BUY	5	0¢	$0	0x601b6a…
05-12 17:44:43	Games Total: O/U 2.5	Over	BUY	10	0¢	$0	0x5ebaf6…
05-12 17:44:43	Games Total: O/U 2.5	Over	BUY	5	0¢	$0	0x5ac088…
05-12 17:44:43	Games Total: O/U 2.5	Over	BUY	10	0¢	$0	0x368868…
05-12 17:44:43	Games Total: O/U 2.5	Over	BUY	5	0¢	$0	0x341637…